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Market-average order · Green ↑ shortening · Red ↓ drifting

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See what today’s price moves mean.

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Cheltenham 🔒Doncaster 🔒Kelso 🔒Newbury 🔒Southwell (AW) ✓
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Market overview
Runners Today
13
Shown After Filters
13
Active Signals (15%+)
9
01 · Strongest support
Racing silks
Rhythm N Hooves
50
17:00 Southwell (AW)
+5.88pp
True move after NR adjustment · 9/2 → 10/3
02 · Repeat evidence
No repeat signal active
No upcoming runner currently matches a previous successful market pattern.
03 · Weak favourite
Racing silks
Moulin Booj
30
17:00 Southwell (AW)
-6.36pp
True move after NR adjustment · 5/1 → 9/1
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
17:00Southwell (AW) • Flat • 4f214y • Class 4 • Going: Standard
13 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

17:00Southwell (AW)
Racing silksRhythm N HoovesDraw 4
Trainer: Robert Cowell
Jockey: Barry McHugh
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
10AM EMERGING PATTERNFrozen 10am Emerging market pattern. This is an early pattern, not yet a fully established repeat-winner signal.

Source: stored dcn_signal_flags classification for today. This signal is frozen at 10am; the live price can move afterwards without changing the 10am classification.
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 9/1 · 56% shorter today
Last run21 days ago · 3 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP7/21 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: +19.8% • +4.48pp
Measured NR price effect removed: -1.39pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 4/1 @ 08:55
NR @ 08:55: 7/2 → 4/1 (-1.39pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +5.88pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
92th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE92nd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 12 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 3rd at Windsor on 22 Jun 2026 (+8.33pp).
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
1/5 placed when backed like this (20%).
When backed like this: 1/5 WON
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Windsor, 22 Jun 2026 — 3rd • open 5/1 → final market price 3/1 (+8.33pp).

All 5 comparable backed runs (1st or 2nd counts as placed):

  • Ascot, 05 Sep 2026 — 8th • open 15/2 → final 11/2
  • Newbury, 15 Aug 2026 — 1st • open 6/1 → final 9/2
  • Windsor, 18 May 2026 — 3rd • open 7/1 → final 11/2
  • Goodwood, 01 May 2026 — 4th • open 8/1 → final 11/2
  • Southwell (AW), 21 Mar 2026 — 4th • open 10/1 → final 8/1
Opened 9/2Market avg 10/3Implied win: 22.7% · Loss: 77.3%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+5.88pp(+24.4%)
3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 4/1Hollywood Bets 4/1LiveScore Bet 4/1Virgin Bet 4/1Coral 7/2Ladbrokes 7/2SportingIndex 7/2Spreadex 7/2Star Sports 7/2William Hill 7/27Bet 10/3BetMGM 10/3BetWright 10/3Betfred 10/3Dragon Bet 10/3Midnite 10/3Quinn Bet 10/3Unibet 10/3Betfair Sportsbook 10/3Paddy Power 10/310 Bet 3/1Bet Victor 3/1BetTom 3/1Betano 3/1Boyle Sports 3/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners9/2+9.88ppOpen → 10am11/4-4.00pp10am → now; SP pending10/3Current; SP pendingPending+5.88ppNR adjusted
TRAINER RECORD MAKES THIS SUPPORT SIGNIFICANTMarket+5.88ppGenuine support from the opening price.Trainer11.4% → 28.9%Open → SP · backed 5pp+Baseline → matching strike rate; 38 runners, Open → SP · backed 5pp+. Historical sample requires opening, 10am and official SP prices. Popup uses opening → final market price and a broader results baseline.Horse historyMissed top 2: 4/5Comparable support: 1 first/second finishes in 5 completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-4.00pp since 10am, as of 16:22. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 2 · ↓ Class drop
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

Robert Cowell runners in the matching 5pp+ band have won 11/38 (a 28.9% Open→SP strike rate), compared with the trainer’s normal 11.4% strike rate. Just 1 of 12 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse against its previous Open → final market price moves. When backed in a similar way previously, it finished first or second in 1 of 5 runs. The support is accompanied by a drop from Class 2 to Class 4, giving the horse more favourable conditions today. Today’s move: Rhythm N Hooves has shortened from 9/2 to 10/3, which is support (+5.88pp).

Shortened by 9.88pp by 10am. Drifted by 4.00pp since 10am. As of 16:22; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 8pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 3/5 (60%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Ascot · 03 Oct 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Ascot✓Trip (within ½f): 4f 214y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 2
ACT NOW — DO NOT WAIT FOR ANOTHER 2PP

41.7% of Robert Cowell runners backed by at least 8pp by 10am continued to shorten from 10am to SP (5/12). Today’s live move of +5.88pp is supported by the horse or trainer evidence too. That continuation record is the reason to act now: waiting for another 2pp risks losing the available price.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 11/4 (3.73 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 3/12 (25%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.4%.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 7/2 (4.59 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

Trainer won 11/38 (28.9%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.4%.

Risk of losing the price: 5/12 (41.7%) trainer runners backed by 8pp+ by 10am shortened further into SP.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
17:00Southwell (AW)
Racing silksBona FortunaDraw 12
Trainer: Michael Appleby
Jockey: Luke Morris
🟢 Needs Support (38%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬆ CLASS RISE
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
Last run26 days ago · 28 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP11/81 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: +1.3% • +0.30pp
Measured NR price effect removed: -0.46pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 5/1 @ 08:55
NR @ 08:55: 5/1 → 5/1 (-0.46pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +0.76pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Wolverhampton (AW), 28 Sep 2026 — 1st • open 3/1 → final market price 7/4 (+11.36pp).

Opened 7/2Market avg 7/2Implied win: 22.5% · Loss: 77.5%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+0.76pp(+3.3%)
10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/2 4.5 decimal 10 Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
10 Bet 7/2Bet365 7/2BetTom 7/2Betfred 7/2Coral 7/2Hollywood Bets 7/2Ladbrokes 7/2LiveScore Bet 7/2Midnite 7/2Quinn Bet 7/2SportingIndex 7/2Spreadex 7/2Star Sports 7/2Unibet 7/2Virgin Bet 7/2William Hill 7/2Paddy Power 7/27Bet 10/3Bet Victor 10/3BetWright 10/3Betano 10/3Boyle Sports 10/3Dragon Bet 10/3Betfair Sportsbook 10/3BetMGM 10/3
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners7/2-5.10ppOpen → 10am5/1+5.86pp10am → now; SP pending7/2Current; SP pendingPending+0.76ppNR adjusted
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amStrengthening+5.86pp since 10am, as of 16:22. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 5 · ↑ Class rise
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Bona Fortuna is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 5.10pp by 10am. Shortened by 5.86pp since 10am. As of 16:22; SP pending. If it keeps drifting into SP: this trainer’s runners with 5pp+ drift by 10am that kept drifting from 10am to SP won 2/23 (8.7%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 28 Sep 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 4f 214y✓Ground: Standard×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Horse support level

Support of +10.39pp · around 2/1 (3.11 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd with this much support or more (100%).

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/4 (3.74 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 16/76 (21.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12.2%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: 10am was biggest
Weakening late
17:00Southwell (AW)
Racing silksNight StormDraw 10
Trainer: James Tate
Jockey: Rob Hornby
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
Last run102 days ago · 14 Jul 2026
Distance changeDown 1.1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -1.8% • -0.28pp
Measured NR price effect removed: -0.49pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 11/2 @ 08:55
NR @ 08:55: 11/2 → 11/2 (-0.49pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +0.21pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Wolverhampton (AW), 14 Jul 2026 — 6th • open 7/2 → final market price 6/4 (+17.78pp).

Opened 11/2Market avg 11/2Implied win: 15.1% · Loss: 84.9%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+0.21pp(+1.3%)
5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 6/1Coral 6/1Hollywood Bets 6/1Ladbrokes 6/1LiveScore Bet 6/1SportingIndex 6/1Spreadex 6/1Star Sports 6/1Unibet 6/1Virgin Bet 6/1William Hill 6/110 Bet 11/27Bet 11/2BetTom 11/2BetWright 11/2Betfred 11/2Dragon Bet 11/2Midnite 11/2Quinn Bet 11/2Paddy Power 11/2Bet Victor 5/1BetMGM 5/1Betano 5/1Boyle Sports 5/1Betfair Sportsbook 5/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners11/2+3.29ppOpen → 10am9/2-3.08pp10am → now; SP pending11/2Current; SP pendingPending+0.21ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.08pp since 10am, as of 16:22. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Night Storm is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 3.29pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.08pp since 10am. As of 16:22; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 4/1 (5.03 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 19/56 (33.9%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 14.5%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
17:00Southwell (AW)
Racing silksShes Got A BrotherDraw 11
Trainer: Michael & David Easterby
Jockey: Billy Garritty
🟢 Needs Support (23%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
COURSE RECORD2/2 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 6/1 · Today close to the course average
Last run24 days ago · 30 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP6/12 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: +29.5% • +4.40pp
Measured NR price effect removed: -0.38pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 8/1 @ 08:55
NR @ 08:55: 15/2 → 8/1 (-0.38pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +4.78pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
89th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE89th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 9 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Southwell (AW) on 28 Apr 2026 (+27.78pp).
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
1/2 placed when backed like this (50%).
When backed like this: 1/2 WON
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Southwell (AW), 28 Apr 2026 — 1st • open 7/2 → final market price EVS (+27.78pp).

All 2 comparable backed runs (1st or 2nd counts as placed):

  • York, 19 Aug 2026 — 10th • open 14/1 → final 17/2
  • Southwell (AW), 28 Apr 2026 — 1st • open 7/2 → final EVS
Opened 17/2Market avg 11/2Implied win: 14.9% · Loss: 85.1%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+4.78pp(+31.2%)
5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 13/27Bet 6/1BetWright 6/1Coral 6/1Dragon Bet 6/1Ladbrokes 6/1LiveScore Bet 6/1SportingIndex 6/1Spreadex 6/1Star Sports 6/1Unibet 6/1Virgin Bet 6/1William Hill 6/110 Bet 11/2BetTom 11/2Betfred 11/2Hollywood Bets 11/2Midnite 11/2Quinn Bet 11/2Betfair Sportsbook 11/2Paddy Power 11/2Bet Victor 5/1BetMGM 5/1Betano 5/1Boyle Sports 5/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners17/2+4.14ppOpen → 10am6/1+0.64pp10am → now; SP pending11/2Current; SP pendingPending+4.78ppNR adjusted
HORSE HISTORY SUPPORTS TODAY’S MARKET MOVEMarket+4.78ppGenuine support from the opening price.Trainer9.3% → 12.7%Open → SP · backed 5pp+Baseline → matching strike rate; 79 runners, Open → SP · backed 5pp+. Historical sample requires opening, 10am and official SP prices. Popup uses opening → final market price and a broader results baseline.Horse history1/2 top 2Comparable support: 1 first/second finishes in 2 completed runs.Since 10amStrengthening+0.64pp since 10am, as of 16:22. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

Just 1 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse against its previous Open → final market price moves. When backed in a similar way previously, it finished first or second in 1 of 2 runs. The trainer evidence is important here: At 5pp+: Open→SP 10/79 won (12.7%), compared with the yard’s normal 9.3% strike rate. Today’s move: Shes Got A Brother has shortened from 17/2 to 11/2, which is support (+4.78pp).

Shortened by 4.14pp by 10am. Shortened by 0.64pp more since 10am. As of 16:22; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 4pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 7/37 (18.9%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 09 Apr 2026 · 1st · 4/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Southwell (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 4f 214y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 4
ACT NOW — DO NOT WAIT FOR ANOTHER 2PP

48.1% of Michael & David Easterby runners backed by at least 4pp by 10am continued to shorten from 10am to SP (37/77). Today’s live move of +4.78pp is supported by the horse or trainer evidence too. That continuation record is the reason to act now: waiting for another 2pp risks losing the available price.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 4/1 (4.96 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 4/26 (15.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.3%.

Risk of losing the price: 37/77 (48.1%) trainer runners backed by 4pp+ by 10am shortened further into SP.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
17:00Southwell (AW)
Racing silksBetsenDraw 2
Trainer: Tony Carroll
Jockey: Kevin Stott
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 13/2 · Today close to the course average
Last run35 days ago · 19 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP3/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -26.3% • -3.47pp
Measured NR price effect removed: +0.22pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 5/1 @ 08:55
NR @ 08:55: 5/1 → 5/1 (+0.22pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -3.69pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 12 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Ascot, 08 May 2026 — 9th • open 6/1 → final market price 14/1 (-7.62pp).

Opened 5/1Market avg 13/2Implied win: 13.2% · Loss: 86.8%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-3.69pp(-28.5%)
6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 7/1Coral 7/1Ladbrokes 7/1LiveScore Bet 7/1Midnite 7/1Quinn Bet 7/1Star Sports 7/1Unibet 7/1Virgin Bet 7/1William Hill 7/1Betfair Sportsbook 7/110 Bet 13/27Bet 13/2BetTom 13/2BetWright 13/2Betfred 13/2Dragon Bet 13/2Paddy Power 13/2Bet Victor 6/1BetMGM 6/1Betano 6/1Boyle Sports 6/1Hollywood Bets 6/1SportingIndex 6/1Spreadex 6/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners5/1+1.30ppOpen → 10am9/2-4.99pp10am → now; SP pending13/2Current; SP pendingPending-3.69ppNR adjusted
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-4.99pp since 10am, as of 16:22. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 12 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Betsen is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.30pp by 10am. Drifted by 4.99pp since 10am. As of 16:22; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Chepstow · 21 May 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Chepstow✓Trip (within ½f): 4f 214y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Soft✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 9/2 (5.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 7/2 (4.57 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 40/159 (25.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
17:00Southwell (AW)
Racing silksAlmaty StarDraw 9
Trainer: Robert Cowell
Jockey: Robert Havlin
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 15/2 · 12% bigger today
Last run18 days ago · 6 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP8/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: +4.4% • +0.46pp
Measured NR price effect removed: -0.03pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 10/1 @ 08:55
NR @ 08:55: 10/1 → 10/1 (-0.03pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +0.49pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 10 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Wolverhampton (AW), 09 Mar 2026 — 2nd • open 4/1 → final market price 11/4 (+6.67pp).

Opened 9/1Market avg 17/2Implied win: 10.5% · Loss: 89.5%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+0.49pp(+4.7%)
8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 15/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Bet365
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Bet365 9/1Coral 9/1Hollywood Bets 9/1Ladbrokes 9/1LiveScore Bet 9/1Quinn Bet 9/1Star Sports 9/1Virgin Bet 9/1William Hill 9/1Betfair Sportsbook 9/1Paddy Power 9/17Bet 17/2BetTom 17/2BetWright 17/2Betfred 17/2Dragon Bet 17/2Midnite 17/2SportingIndex 17/2Spreadex 17/2Unibet 17/2Bet Victor 8/1Betano 8/1Boyle Sports 8/110 Bet 15/2BetMGM 7/1
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners9/1+3.37ppOpen → 10am13/2-2.87pp10am → now; SP pending17/2Current; SP pendingPending+0.49ppNR adjusted
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.87pp since 10am, as of 16:22. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 10 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Almaty Star is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 3.37pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.87pp since 10am. As of 16:22; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 09 Mar 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 4f 214y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/2 (6.68 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 11/38 (28.9%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.4%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
17:00Southwell (AW)
Racing silksMoulin BoojDraw 1
Trainer: George Scott
Jockey: Darragh Keenan
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD1/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 14/1 · 35% shorter today
Last run28 days ago · 26 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP6/13 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -62.7% • -6.42pp
Measured NR price effect removed: -0.06pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 7/1 @ 08:55
NR @ 08:55: 7/1 → 7/1 (-0.06pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -6.36pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
73th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE73rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 11 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 1st at Southwell (AW) on 26 Sep 2026 (-11.52pp); finished 11th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 20 Mar 2026 (-6.62pp); and finished 4th at Chelmsford (AW) on 21 Feb 2026 (-7.26pp).
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
When drifting like this: failed 3/4Historical Drift Profile

26 Sep 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 9/2 → Final: 14/1 | SP: 14/1 | Fin: 1
03 Apr 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 14/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 33/1 | Fin: 6
20 Mar 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 7/1 → Final: 16/1 | SP: 16/1 | Fin: 11
21 Feb 26 | Chelmsford (AW) | Open: 8/1 → Final: 25/1 | SP: 20/1 | Fin: 4
When drifting like this: failed 3/4 — view runs
26 Sep 2026 · Southwell (AW)
Open 9/2 → final 14/1 · SP 14/1 · 1st
03 Apr 2026 · Lingfield (AW)
Open 14/1 → final 33/1 · SP 33/1 · 6th
20 Mar 2026 · Wolverhampton (AW)
Open 7/1 → final 16/1 · SP 16/1 · 11th
21 Feb 2026 · Chelmsford (AW)
Open 8/1 → final 25/1 · SP 20/1 · 4th
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Southwell (AW), 26 Sep 2026 — 1st • open 9/2 → final market price 14/1 (-11.52pp).

Opened 5/1Market avg 9/1Implied win: 10.2% · Loss: 89.8%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-6.36pp(-61.7%)
8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↑ 9/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal 10 Bet
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10 Bet 9/1Bet365 9/1Betfred 9/1Coral 9/1Hollywood Bets 9/1Ladbrokes 9/1LiveScore Bet 9/1Midnite 9/1Quinn Bet 9/1SportingIndex 9/1Spreadex 9/1Star Sports 9/1Unibet 9/1Virgin Bet 9/1William Hill 9/1Betfair Sportsbook 9/1Paddy Power 9/17Bet 17/2BetTom 17/2BetWright 17/2Dragon Bet 17/2Bet Victor 8/1BetMGM 8/1Betano 8/1Boyle Sports 8/1
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners5/1-3.27ppOpen → 10am13/2-3.09pp10am → now; SP pending9/1Current; SP pendingPending-6.36ppNR adjusted
MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-6.36ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyMissed top 2: 3/4Displayed comparable drift runs: 1 first/second finishes in 4 completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.09pp since 10am, as of 16:22. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Just 3 of 11 previous runs showed a larger drift, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse against its previous Open → final market price moves. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Moulin Booj has moved from 5/1 to 9/1, a developing drift (-6.36pp).

Drifted by 3.27pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.09pp more since 10am. As of 16:22; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 26 Sep 2026 · 1st · 4/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Southwell (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 4f 214y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 13/2 (7.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 7/2 (4.63 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 23/53 (43.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 17.5%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
17:00Southwell (AW)
Racing silksGlamorous BreezeDraw 3
Trainer: Christopher Mason
Jockey: Gina Mangan
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run21 days ago · 3 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -32.0% • -3.23pp
Measured NR price effect removed: -0.13pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 7/1 @ 08:55
NR @ 08:55: 7/1 → 7/1 (-0.13pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -3.11pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE71st HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 7 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
When drifting like this: failed 2/3Historical Drift Profile

28 Jul 26 | Goodwood | Open: 10/1 → Final: 14/1 | SP: 12/1 | Fin: 3
22 Jun 26 | Windsor | Open: 11/2 → Final: 15/2 | SP: 6/1 | Fin: 2
22 May 26 | Goodwood | Open: 10/1 → Final: 20/1 | SP: 20/1 | Fin: 3
When drifting like this: failed 2/3 — view runs
28 Jul 2026 · Goodwood
Open 10/1 → final 14/1 · SP 12/1 · 3rd
22 Jun 2026 · Windsor
Open 11/2 → final 15/2 · SP 6/1 · 2nd
22 May 2026 · Goodwood
Open 10/1 → final 20/1 · SP 20/1 · 3rd
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Goodwood, 22 May 2026 — 3rd • open 10/1 → final market price 20/1 (-4.33pp).

Opened 13/2Market avg 9/1Implied win: 10.1% · Loss: 89.9%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-3.11pp(-30.4%)
8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↑ 9/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Hollywood Bets
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Hollywood Bets 10/1SportingIndex 10/1Spreadex 10/110 Bet 9/1Bet365 9/1BetWright 9/1Betfred 9/1Coral 9/1Dragon Bet 9/1Ladbrokes 9/1LiveScore Bet 9/1Quinn Bet 9/1Star Sports 9/1Unibet 9/1Virgin Bet 9/1William Hill 9/1Betfair Sportsbook 9/1Paddy Power 9/17Bet 17/2BetTom 17/2Midnite 17/2Bet Victor 8/1BetMGM 8/1Betano 8/1Boyle Sports 8/1
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners13/2+1.08ppOpen → 10am6/1-4.18pp10am → now; SP pending9/1Current; SP pendingPending-3.11ppNR adjusted
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-4.18pp since 10am, as of 16:22. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 2 · ↓ Class drop
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 7 previous Open → final market price moves. The horse drops from Class 2 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Glamorous Breeze is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.08pp by 10am. Drifted by 4.18pp since 10am. As of 16:22; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Windsor · 22 Jun 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Windsor✓Trip (within ½f): 4f 214y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 3
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 6/1 (7.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/2 (5.49 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 4/13 (30.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 18.3%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
17:00Southwell (AW)
Racing silksAlondraDraw 6
Trainer: Scott Dixon
Jockey: Kieran O'Neill
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 17/2 · 184% bigger today
Last run25 days ago · 29 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP5/13 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -58.6% • -2.17pp
Measured NR price effect removed: -0.17pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 20/1 @ 08:55
NR @ 08:55: 20/1 → 20/1 (-0.17pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -2.00pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
42th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE42nd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 12 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
When drifting like this: failed 5/7Historical Drift Profile

26 Jun 26 | Doncaster | Open: 16/1 → Final: 28/1 | SP: 25/1 | Fin: 4
29 May 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 13/2 → Final: 14/1 | SP: 14/1 | Fin: 5
30 Apr 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 15/2 → Final: 11/1 | SP: 17/2 | Fin: 3
17 Apr 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 10/1 → Final: 18/1 | SP: 14/1 | Fin: 3
09 Mar 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 5/1 → Final: 10/1 | SP: 8/1 | Fin: 5
When drifting like this: failed 5/7 — view runs
26 Jun 2026 · Doncaster
Open 16/1 → final 28/1 · SP 25/1 · 4th
29 May 2026 · Wolverhampton (AW)
Open 13/2 → final 14/1 · SP 14/1 · 5th
30 Apr 2026 · Southwell (AW)
Open 15/2 → final 11/1 · SP 17/2 · 3rd
17 Apr 2026 · Wolverhampton (AW)
Open 10/1 → final 18/1 · SP 14/1 · 3rd
09 Mar 2026 · Wolverhampton (AW)
Open 5/1 → final 10/1 · SP 8/1 · 5th
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 16 Feb 2026 — 2nd • open 13/8 → final market price 5/2 (-9.45pp).

Opened 16/1Market avg 25/1Implied win: 3.7% · Loss: 96.3%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-2.00pp(-51.7%)
22/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 31 decimal 7Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
7Bet 28/1Bet365 28/1Coral 28/1Ladbrokes 28/1LiveScore Bet 28/1Midnite 28/1SportingIndex 28/1Spreadex 28/1Star Sports 28/1Unibet 28/1Virgin Bet 28/1William Hill 28/110 Bet 25/1BetTom 25/1BetWright 25/1Betfred 25/1Dragon Bet 25/1Hollywood Bets 25/1Quinn Bet 25/1Betfair Sportsbook 25/1Paddy Power 25/1Bet Victor 22/1Betano 22/1Boyle Sports 22/1BetMGM 20/1
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners16/1-0.45ppOpen → 10am18/1-1.55pp10am → now; SP pending25/1Current; SP pendingPending-2.00ppNR adjusted
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.55pp since 10am, as of 16:22. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 12 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Alondra is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 0.45pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.55pp more since 10am. As of 16:22; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 16 Feb 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 4f 214y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 18/1 (19.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 17/2 (9.33 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 6/47 (12.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 6.2%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
17:00Southwell (AW)
Racing silksHenrythenateDraw 13
Trainer: Patrick Morris
Jockey: Jack Dace(5)
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run41 days ago · 13 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP10/13 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -35.2% • -1.24pp
Measured NR price effect removed: -0.20pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 25/1 @ 08:55
NR @ 08:55: 25/1 → 25/1 (-0.20pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -1.04pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
30th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE30th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 10 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Lingfield (AW), 12 Feb 2026 — 1st • open EVS → final market price 11/4 (-23.33pp).

Opened 20/1Market avg 28/1Implied win: 3.5% · Loss: 96.5%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-1.04pp(-28.0%)
25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 28/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 31 decimal 7Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
7Bet 28/110 Bet 28/1Bet365 28/1BetTom 28/1BetWright 28/1Betfred 28/1Coral 28/1Dragon Bet 28/1Hollywood Bets 28/1Ladbrokes 28/1LiveScore Bet 28/1Midnite 28/1Quinn Bet 28/1SportingIndex 28/1Spreadex 28/1Star Sports 28/1Unibet 28/1Virgin Bet 28/1William Hill 28/1Betfair Sportsbook 28/1Paddy Power 28/1Bet Victor 25/1Betano 25/1Boyle Sports 25/1BetMGM 20/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners20/1+0.20ppOpen → 10am20/1-1.24pp10am → now; SP pending28/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.04ppNR adjusted
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.24pp since 10am, as of 16:22. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 3 · ↓ Class drop
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

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AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 10 previous Open → final market price moves. The horse drops from Class 3 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Henrythenate is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.20pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.24pp since 10am. As of 16:22; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Chester · 22 Aug 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Chester✓Trip (within ½f): 4f 214y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Soft✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 20/1 (21.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/1 (10.46 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 4/29 (13.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 6.4%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
17:00Southwell (AW)
Racing silksSugar Hill BabeDraw 7
Trainer: Lisa Williamson
Jockey: Harry Davies
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run21 days ago · 3 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP7/21 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -74.5% • -2.25pp
Measured NR price effect removed: -0.16pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 25/1 @ 08:55
NR @ 08:55: 25/1 → 25/1 (-0.16pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -2.09pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Nottingham, 20 Jun 2026 — 6th • open 15/8 → final market price 10/3 (-11.63pp).

Opened 18/1Market avg 33/1Implied win: 3.0% · Loss: 97.0%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-2.09pp(-65.7%)
28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 33/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 36 decimal 7Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
7Bet 33/110 Bet 33/1Bet365 33/1BetTom 33/1BetWright 33/1Betfred 33/1Coral 33/1Dragon Bet 33/1Hollywood Bets 33/1Ladbrokes 33/1LiveScore Bet 33/1Midnite 33/1Quinn Bet 33/1SportingIndex 33/1Spreadex 33/1Star Sports 33/1Unibet 33/1Virgin Bet 33/1William Hill 33/1Betfair Sportsbook 33/1Paddy Power 33/1Bet Victor 28/1Betano 28/1Boyle Sports 28/1BetMGM 25/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners18/1-0.34ppOpen → 10am20/1-1.75pp10am → now; SP pending33/1Current; SP pendingPending-2.09ppNR adjusted
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.75pp since 10am, as of 16:22. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Sugar Hill Babe is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 0.34pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.75pp more since 10am. As of 16:22; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Nottingham · 31 May 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Nottingham✓Trip (within ½f): 4f 214y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 20/1 (21.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
17:00Southwell (AW)
Racing silksKanishkaDraw 8
Trainer: Ian Williams
Jockey: Ryan Kavanagh(3)
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
COURSE RECORD0/2 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 8/1 · 285% bigger today
Last run48 days ago · 6 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -159.4% • -4.73pp
Measured NR price effect removed: -0.08pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 22/1 @ 08:55
NR @ 08:55: 22/1 → 22/1 (-0.08pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -4.64pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
88th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE88th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 8 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Newcastle (AW) on 26 Jun 2026 (-7.05pp).
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Newcastle (AW), 26 Jun 2026 — 6th • open 11/2 → final market price 11/1 (-7.05pp).

Opened 12/1Market avg 33/1Implied win: 3.0% · Loss: 97.0%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-4.64pp(-152.2%)
28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 33/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal SportingIndex
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
SportingIndex 40/1Spreadex 40/17Bet 33/110 Bet 33/1Bet365 33/1BetTom 33/1BetWright 33/1Betfred 33/1Coral 33/1Dragon Bet 33/1Hollywood Bets 33/1Ladbrokes 33/1LiveScore Bet 33/1Midnite 33/1Quinn Bet 33/1Star Sports 33/1Unibet 33/1Virgin Bet 33/1William Hill 33/1Betfair Sportsbook 33/1Paddy Power 33/1Bet Victor 28/1Betano 28/1Boyle Sports 28/1BetMGM 25/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners12/1-2.85ppOpen → 10am20/1-1.80pp10am → now; SP pending33/1Current; SP pendingPending-4.64ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-4.64ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.80pp since 10am, as of 16:22. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

Just 1 of 8 previous runs showed a larger drift, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse against its previous Open → final market price moves. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Kanishka has moved from 12/1 to 33/1, a developing drift (-4.64pp).

Drifted by 2.85pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.80pp more since 10am. As of 16:22; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 20/1 (21.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 7/1 (7.93 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 27/108 (25%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.3%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Wateen
NON-RUNNERNR @ 08:55

Non-runner adjustment audit

NR recorded: 08:55:29 · recorded declaration time
Last recorded market average before NR: 40/1 (39.391) at 08:52:09
Implied probability: 2.54%
Snapshot 200 seconds before the recorded NR time.

The last captured price is shown, not an assumed exact withdrawal price. Adjustments below use each remaining horse’s measured pre/post-NR price change.

Remaining horseBefore NR / capturedPost-NR baselineEffect removed
Rhythm N Hooves7/2 (4.674)
08:52:09		4/1 (5.000)
Baseline reference 08:55:29		-1.39pp
Bona Fortuna5/1 (5.840)
08:52:09		5/1 (6.000)
Baseline reference 08:55:29		-0.46pp
Night Storm11/2 (6.300)
08:52:09		11/2 (6.500)
Baseline reference 08:55:29		-0.49pp
Shes Got A Brother15/2 (8.700)
08:52:09		8/1 (9.000)
Baseline reference 08:55:29		-0.38pp
Betsen5/1 (6.080)
08:52:09		5/1 (6.000)
Baseline reference 08:55:29		+0.22pp
Almaty Star10/1 (10.960)
08:52:09		10/1 (11.000)
Baseline reference 08:55:29		-0.03pp
Moulin Booj7/1 (7.960)
08:52:09		7/1 (8.000)
Baseline reference 08:55:29		-0.06pp
Glamorous Breeze7/1 (7.920)
08:52:09		7/1 (8.000)
Baseline reference 08:55:29		-0.13pp
Alondra20/1 (20.280)
08:52:09		20/1 (21.000)
Baseline reference 08:55:29		-0.17pp
Henrythenate25/1 (24.720)
08:52:09		25/1 (26.000)
Baseline reference 08:55:29		-0.20pp
Sugar Hill Babe25/1 (24.960)
08:52:09		25/1 (26.000)
Baseline reference 08:55:29		-0.16pp
Kanishka22/1 (22.560)
08:52:09		22/1 (23.000)
Baseline reference 08:55:29		-0.08pp

Effect removed = (100 ÷ post-NR baseline) − (100 ÷ pre-NR price). True move = raw Open → Now move − total signed NR effects.

The post-NR baseline can be the median of captured bookmaker prices within five minutes after the NR, or the first available timeline price. Its reference time is not necessarily an individual price capture. Fractional prices are rounded; decimal prices are included for checking. Simultaneous withdrawals share one measured event.

Race market overview as at 16:24
  • Supported2 of 12 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Rhythm N Hooves +5.88pp
  • Drifting2 of 12 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Moulin Booj -6.36pp
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
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