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Market-average order · Green ↑ shortening · Red ↓ drifting

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See what today’s price moves mean.

LIVE · Updated 18:15:43
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Cheltenham 🔒Doncaster 🔒Kelso 🔒Newbury 🔒Southwell (AW) ✓
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Market overview
Runners Today
10
Shown After Filters
7
Active Signals (15%+)
6
01 · Strongest support
Racing silks
Geometry
73
18:30 Southwell (AW)
+6.03pp
True move after NR adjustment · 11/10 → 5/6
02 · Repeat evidence
No repeat signal active
No upcoming runner currently matches a previous successful market pattern.
03 · Weak favourite
Racing silks
Kings Medal
49
18:30 Southwell (AW)
-6.34pp
True move after NR adjustment · 11/4 → 4/1
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
18:30Southwell (AW) • Flat • 1m13y • Class 3 • Going: Standard
7 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

18:30Southwell (AW)
Trainer: John & Thady Gosden
Jockey: Robert Havlin
PRO RACECARD ↗
Last runNot recorded
Distance changeNot recorded
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 31.2% • -6.34 probability points
Opened 11/4Market avg 4/1Implied win: 20.3% · Loss: 79.7%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-6.34pp(-31.2%)
4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal 10 Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
10 Bet 4/17Bet 4/1Bet Victor 4/1BetTom 4/1Betano 4/1Betfred 4/1Boyle Sports 4/1Coral 4/1Hollywood Bets 4/1Ladbrokes 4/1LiveScore Bet 4/1Midnite 4/1Quinn Bet 4/1SportingIndex 4/1Spreadex 4/1Star Sports 4/1Unibet 4/1Virgin Bet 4/1William Hill 4/1Betfair Sportsbook 4/1Paddy Power 4/1Bet365 7/2BetMGM 7/2BetWright 7/2Dragon Bet 7/2
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners11/4+1.11ppOpen → 10am5/2-7.45pp10am → now; SP pending4/1Current; SP pendingPending-6.34pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-6.34ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-7.45pp since 10am, as of 18:17. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: class not recorded
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Kings Medal has moved from 11/4 to 4/1, a developing drift (-6.34pp).

Shortened by 1.11pp by 10am. Drifted by 7.45pp since 10am. As of 18:17; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 5/2 (3.60 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/4 (3.16 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 37/107 (34.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 23.9%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: 11am was biggest
Weakening late
18:30Southwell (AW)
Racing silksJebayliDraw 9
Trainer: Simon Crisford
Jockey: Harry Davies
PRO RACECARD ↗
Last runNot recorded
Distance changeNot recorded
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 31.7% • -3.44 probability points
Opened 6/1Market avg 8/1Implied win: 10.8% · Loss: 89.2%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-3.44pp(-31.7%)
8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal LiveScore Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
LiveScore Bet 9/1Virgin Bet 9/1Betfred 17/2Coral 17/2Hollywood Bets 17/2Ladbrokes 17/2Quinn Bet 17/2SportingIndex 17/2Spreadex 17/2Unibet 17/2William Hill 17/2Betfair Sportsbook 17/2Paddy Power 17/210 Bet 8/1Bet Victor 8/1Bet365 8/1BetTom 8/1Betano 8/1Boyle Sports 8/1Midnite 8/1Star Sports 8/17Bet 15/2BetMGM 15/2BetWright 15/2Dragon Bet 15/2
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners6/1+1.10ppOpen → 10am11/2-4.54pp10am → now; SP pending8/1Current; SP pendingPending-3.44pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-4.54pp since 10am, as of 18:17. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: class not recorded
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Jebayli is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.10pp by 10am. Drifted by 4.54pp since 10am. As of 18:17; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 11/2 (6.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
18:30Southwell (AW)
Trainer: Andrew Balding
Jockey: Callum Hutchinson
PRO RACECARD ↗
Last runNot recorded
Distance changeNot recorded
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 71% • -3.46 probability points
Opened 11/1Market avg 20/1Implied win: 4.9% · Loss: 95.1%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-3.46pp(-71.0%)
20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal 10 Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
10 Bet 20/17Bet 20/1BetTom 20/1BetWright 20/1Betfred 20/1Boyle Sports 20/1Coral 20/1Hollywood Bets 20/1Ladbrokes 20/1LiveScore Bet 20/1Quinn Bet 20/1SportingIndex 20/1Spreadex 20/1Star Sports 20/1Unibet 20/1Virgin Bet 20/1William Hill 20/1Betfair Sportsbook 20/1Paddy Power 20/1Bet Victor 18/1Bet365 18/1BetMGM 18/1Betano 18/1Dragon Bet 18/1Midnite 18/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners11/1-0.64ppOpen → 10am12/1-2.82pp10am → now; SP pending20/1Current; SP pendingPending-3.46pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.82pp since 10am, as of 18:17. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: class not recorded
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Haldon Fire is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 0.64pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.82pp more since 10am. As of 18:17; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 12/1 (13.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 13/2 (7.50 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 75/228 (32.9%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 18.7%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
18:30Southwell (AW)
Trainer: Alan King
Jockey: Rob Hornby
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
Last run17 days ago · 7 Oct 2026
Distance changeUp 1.1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 186% • -6.50 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Kempton (AW), 07 Oct 2026 — 6th • open 10/1 → final market price 12/1 (-1.40pp).

Opened 9/1Market avg 28/1Implied win: 3.5% · Loss: 96.5%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-6.50pp(-186.0%)
28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 28/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 31 decimal 7Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
7Bet 28/110 Bet 28/1Bet365 28/1BetTom 28/1BetWright 28/1Betfred 28/1Boyle Sports 28/1Coral 28/1Hollywood Bets 28/1Ladbrokes 28/1LiveScore Bet 28/1Midnite 28/1Quinn Bet 28/1SportingIndex 28/1Spreadex 28/1Star Sports 28/1Unibet 28/1Virgin Bet 28/1William Hill 28/1Betfair Sportsbook 28/1Paddy Power 28/1Bet Victor 25/1BetMGM 25/1Betano 25/1Dragon Bet 25/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners9/1-3.75ppOpen → 10am14/1-2.75pp10am → now; SP pending28/1Current; SP pendingPending-6.50pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-6.50ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.75pp since 10am, as of 18:17. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: Class 3 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Oldbullyoungbull has moved from 9/1 to 28/1, a developing drift (-6.50pp).

Drifted by 3.75pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.75pp more since 10am. As of 18:17; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 14/1 (16.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/2 (6.67 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 23/63 (36.5%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 15.7%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
18:30Southwell (AW)
Trainer: William Knight
Jockey: Taylor Fisher
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 100/1 · 64% shorter today
Last run32 days ago · 22 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 13.5% • -0.37 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Southwell (AW), 22 Sep 2026 — 6th • open 66/1 → final market price 100/1 (-0.50pp).

Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1Implied win: 2.8% · Loss: 97.2%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-0.37pp(-13.5%)
28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 80/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 33/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
80/1 81 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 80/1Coral 40/1Hollywood Bets 40/1Ladbrokes 40/1Unibet 40/1William Hill 40/17Bet 33/110 Bet 33/1Bet Victor 33/1BetMGM 33/1BetTom 33/1BetWright 33/1Betano 33/1Betfred 33/1Midnite 33/1Quinn Bet 33/1SportingIndex 33/1Spreadex 33/1Star Sports 33/1Betfair Sportsbook 28/1Paddy Power 28/1Boyle Sports 28/1Dragon Bet 28/1LiveScore Bet 28/1Virgin Bet 28/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners33/1+1.22ppOpen → 10am22/1-1.59pp10am → now; SP pending33/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.37pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.59pp since 10am, as of 18:17. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: Class 3 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Yellow Vision is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.22pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.59pp since 10am. As of 18:17; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 22/1 (23.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/1 (12.31 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 16/69 (23.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.7%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
18:30Southwell (AW)
Trainer: George Boughey
Jockey: Jack Callan
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run43 days ago · 11 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 425.7% • -6.75 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Salisbury, 11 Sep 2026 — 6th • open 4/7 → final market price 28/1 (-60.65pp).

Opened 11/1Market avg 66/1Implied win: 1.6% · Loss: 98.4%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-6.75pp(-425.7%)
66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 ↓ 66/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 → 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 66/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 71 decimal 7Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
7Bet 66/110 Bet 66/1Bet Victor 66/1BetTom 66/1Betano 66/1Betfred 66/1Boyle Sports 66/1Coral 66/1Hollywood Bets 66/1Ladbrokes 66/1Midnite 66/1Quinn Bet 66/1SportingIndex 66/1Spreadex 66/1Star Sports 66/1William Hill 66/1Betfair Sportsbook 66/1Paddy Power 66/1BetWright 66/1Bet365 50/1BetMGM 50/1Dragon Bet 50/1LiveScore Bet 50/1Unibet 50/1Virgin Bet 50/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners11/1-4.89ppOpen → 10am28/1-1.86pp10am → now; SP pending66/1Current; SP pendingPending-6.75pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-6.75ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.86pp since 10am, as of 18:17. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: Class 3 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Golden Eagle has moved from 11/1 to 66/1, a developing drift (-6.75pp).

Drifted by 4.89pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.86pp more since 10am. As of 18:17; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 28/1 (29.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 13/2 (7.50 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 31/85 (36.5%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 18.1%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
18:30Southwell (AW)
Trainer: Sir Mark Prescott Bt
Jockey: Luke Morris
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run12 days ago · 12 Oct 2026
Distance changeUp 1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 445.6% • -2.27 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Kempton (AW), 30 Sep 2026 — 11th • open 14/1 → final market price 28/1 (-3.22pp).

Opened 33/1Market avg 100/1Implied win: 0.5% · Loss: 99.5%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-2.27pp(-445.6%)
100/1 ↓ 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 251 decimal Bet365
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners33/1-1.29ppOpen → 10am66/1-0.98pp10am → now; SP pending100/1Current; SP pendingPending-2.27pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-0.98pp since 10am, as of 18:17. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: Class 3 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

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AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Stellar Max is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 1.29pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.98pp more since 10am. As of 18:17; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 66/1 (67.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 12/1 (12.86 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 23/62 (37.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 17.9%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
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Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Race market overview as at 18:17
  • Supported1 of 10 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Geometry +6.03pp
  • Drifting3 of 10 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Golden Eagle -6.75pp
  • Last 15 minbiggest gain: Jebayli +1.24pp · biggest drift: Geometry -4.64pp
  • Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min
15-minute snapshot 18:17 · no additional market query
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