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Market-average order · Green ↑ shortening · Red ↓ drifting

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LIVE · Updated 20:10:05
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Aintree 🔒Galway 🔒Market Rasen ✓Wexford 🔒
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
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Shared live snapshot 20:10:08
Market overview
Runners Today
11
Shown After Filters
2
Active Signals (15%+)
10
01 · Strongest support
Racing silks
Moore Brion
13:00 Market Rasen
+10.50pp
True move after NR adjustment · 10/11 → 4/7
02 · Repeat evidence
No repeat signal active
No upcoming runner currently matches a previous successful market pattern.
03 · Weak favourite
Racing silks
Kaldoun des Rocs
13:00 Market Rasen
-8.40pp
True move after NR adjustment · 2/1 → 3/1
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
13:00Market Rasen • Hurdle • 2m0f125y • Class 4 • Going: Good To Soft
2 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

13:00Market Rasen
Racing silksMoore Brion
Trainer: Olly Murphy
Jockey: Sean Bowen
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬆ CLASS RISE
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run211 days ago · 28 Mar 2026
Distance changeUp 0.8f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP7/41 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 16.7% • +10.50 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Uttoxeter, 28 Mar 2026 — 1st • open 3/1 → final market price 6/4 (+15.00pp).

Opened 10/11Market avg 4/7Implied win: 62.9% · Loss: 37.1%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+10.50pp(+16.7%)
8/13 ↓ 4/7 ↑ 8/13 → 8/13 → 8/13 ↓ 4/7 → 4/7 ↑ 8/13 → 8/13 ↓ 4/7
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/6 1.67 decimal Unibet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Unibet 4/6Hollywood Bets 8/137Bet 8/13Bet Victor 8/13BetTom 8/13BetWright 8/13Betano 8/13Boyle Sports 8/13Dragon Bet 8/13LiveScore Bet 8/13Midnite 8/13Quinn Bet 8/13Star Sports 8/13Virgin Bet 8/13William Hill 8/1310 Bet 4/7Bet365 4/7BetMGM 4/7Betfred 4/7SportingIndex 4/7Spreadex 4/7Betfair Sportsbook 8/15Paddy Power 8/15Coral 4/9Ladbrokes 4/9
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners10/11+15.67ppOpen → 10am4/9-5.17pp10am → now; SP pending4/7Current; SP pendingPending+10.50pp
TRAINER RECORD MAKES THIS SUPPORT SIGNIFICANTMarket+10.50ppGenuine support from the opening price.Trainer19.9% → 48.5%Open → SP · backed 10pp+Baseline → matching strike rate; 66 runners, Open → SP · backed 10pp+. Historical sample requires opening, 10am and official SP prices. Popup uses opening → final market price and a broader results baseline.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-5.17pp since 10am, as of 12:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 5 · ↑ Class rise
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

Olly Murphy runners in the matching 10pp+ band have won 32/66 (a 48.5% Open→SP strike rate), compared with the trainer’s normal 19.9% strike rate. There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Moore Brion has shortened from 10/11 to 4/7, which is strong support (+10.50pp).

Shortened by 15.67pp by 10am. Drifted by 5.17pp since 10am. As of 12:57; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 15pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 6/11 (54.5%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Uttoxeter · 28 Mar 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Market Rasen · previous Uttoxeter×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 125y · previous 1m 7f 168y✓Ground: Good To Soft×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5
ACT NOW — DO NOT WAIT FOR ANOTHER 2PP

55% of Olly Murphy runners backed by at least 15pp by 10am continued to shorten from 10am to SP (11/20). Today’s live move of +10.50pp is supported by the horse or trainer evidence too. That continuation record is the reason to act now: waiting for another 2pp risks losing the available price.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +15.00pp · around 1/2 (1.48 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 16/36 (44.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.9%.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 8/11 (1.74 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

Trainer won 47/130 (36.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.9%.

Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 8/13 (1.60 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

Trainer won 32/66 (48.5%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.9%.

Risk of losing the price: 11/20 (55%) trainer runners backed by 15pp+ by 10am shortened further into SP.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
13:00Market Rasen
Racing silksEqui Libre
Trainer: Dan Skelton
Jockey: Robert Dunne
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run9 days ago · 16 Oct 2026
Distance changeUp 0.8f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Raw Open → Now price change: 31.2% • +0.45 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Stratford, 09 Mar 2026 — 3rd • open 25/1 → final market price 16/1 (+2.04pp).

Opened 100/1Market avg 66/1Implied win: 1.4% · Loss: 98.6%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+0.45pp(+31.2%)
50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 126 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 100/1LiveScore Bet 100/1Quinn Bet 100/1SportingIndex 100/1Spreadex 100/1Virgin Bet 100/1Paddy Power 100/1Unibet 80/1Betfair Sportsbook 80/17Bet 66/1BetMGM 66/1BetWright 66/1Dragon Bet 66/110 Bet 50/1Bet Victor 50/1BetTom 50/1Betano 50/1Betfred 50/1Boyle Sports 50/1Hollywood Bets 50/1Midnite 50/1William Hill 50/1Coral 40/1Ladbrokes 40/1Star Sports 40/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners100/1+1.95ppOpen → 10am33/1-1.50pp10am → now; SP pending66/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.45pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.50pp since 10am, as of 12:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Equi Libre is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.95pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.50pp since 10am. As of 12:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 16/1 (16.69 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 72/171 (42.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 23.7%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 20:10
  • Supported1 of 11 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Moore Brion +10.50pp
  • Drifting3 of 11 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Kaldoun des Rocs -8.40pp
  • Last 15 minNo gain or drift recorded
  • Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min
15-minute snapshot 20:10 · no additional market query
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