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Market-average order · Green ↑ shortening · Red ↓ drifting

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See what today’s price moves mean.

LIVE · Updated 19:15:02
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Aintree 🔒Galway 🔒Market Rasen ✓Wexford 🔒
Next off intelligence
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Next-Off Market Intelligence

The strongest horse and trainer evidence from the races coming up next.

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Shared live snapshot 19:16:07
Market overview
Runners Today
11
Shown After Filters
11
Active Signals (15%+)
10
01 · Strongest support
Racing silks
Moore Brion
13:00 Market Rasen
+10.50pp
True move after NR adjustment · 10/11 → 4/7
02 · Repeat evidence
No repeat signal active
No upcoming runner currently matches a previous successful market pattern.
03 · Weak favourite
Racing silks
Kaldoun des Rocs
13:00 Market Rasen
-8.40pp
True move after NR adjustment · 2/1 → 3/1
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
13:00Market Rasen • Hurdle • 2m0f125y • Class 4 • Going: Good To Soft
11 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

13:00Market Rasen
Trainer: Olly Murphy
Jockey: Sean Bowen
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬆ CLASS RISE
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run211 days ago · 28 Mar 2026
Distance changeUp 0.8f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP7/41 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 16.7% • +10.50 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Uttoxeter, 28 Mar 2026 — 1st • open 3/1 → final market price 6/4 (+15.00pp).

Opened 10/11Market avg 4/7Implied win: 62.9% · Loss: 37.1%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+10.50pp(+16.7%)
8/13 ↓ 4/7 ↑ 8/13 → 8/13 → 8/13 ↓ 4/7 → 4/7 ↑ 8/13 → 8/13 ↓ 4/7
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/6 1.67 decimal Unibet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Unibet 4/6Hollywood Bets 8/137Bet 8/13Bet Victor 8/13BetTom 8/13BetWright 8/13Betano 8/13Boyle Sports 8/13Dragon Bet 8/13LiveScore Bet 8/13Midnite 8/13Quinn Bet 8/13Star Sports 8/13Virgin Bet 8/13William Hill 8/1310 Bet 4/7Bet365 4/7BetMGM 4/7Betfred 4/7SportingIndex 4/7Spreadex 4/7Betfair Sportsbook 8/15Paddy Power 8/15Coral 4/9Ladbrokes 4/9
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners10/11+15.67ppOpen → 10am4/9-5.17pp10am → now; SP pending4/7Current; SP pendingPending+10.50pp
TRAINER RECORD MAKES THIS SUPPORT SIGNIFICANTMarket+10.50ppGenuine support from the opening price.Trainer19.9% → 48.5%Open → SP · backed 10pp+Baseline → matching strike rate; 66 runners, Open → SP · backed 10pp+. Historical sample requires opening, 10am and official SP prices. Popup uses opening → final market price and a broader results baseline.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-5.17pp since 10am, as of 12:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 5 · ↑ Class rise
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Olly Murphy runners in the matching 10pp+ band have won 32/66 (a 48.5% Open→SP strike rate), compared with the trainer’s normal 19.9% strike rate. There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Moore Brion has shortened from 10/11 to 4/7, which is strong support (+10.50pp).

Shortened by 15.67pp by 10am. Drifted by 5.17pp since 10am. As of 12:57; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 15pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 6/11 (54.5%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Uttoxeter · 28 Mar 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Market Rasen · previous Uttoxeter×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 125y · previous 1m 7f 168y✓Ground: Good To Soft×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5
ACT NOW — DO NOT WAIT FOR ANOTHER 2PP

55% of Olly Murphy runners backed by at least 15pp by 10am continued to shorten from 10am to SP (11/20). Today’s live move of +10.50pp is supported by the horse or trainer evidence too. That continuation record is the reason to act now: waiting for another 2pp risks losing the available price.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +15.00pp · around 1/2 (1.48 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 16/36 (44.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.9%.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 8/11 (1.74 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

Trainer won 47/130 (36.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.9%.

Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 8/13 (1.60 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

Trainer won 32/66 (48.5%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.9%.

Risk of losing the price: 11/20 (55%) trainer runners backed by 15pp+ by 10am shortened further into SP.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
13:00Market Rasen
Trainer: Dan Skelton
Jockey: Tristan Durrell
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run302 days ago · 27 Dec 2025
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 33.7% • -8.40 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Chepstow, 27 Dec 2025 — 3rd • open 17/2 → final market price 9/1 (-0.53pp).

Opened 2/1Market avg 3/1Implied win: 24.9% · Loss: 75.1%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-8.40pp(-33.7%)
3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 3/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/3 4.33 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 10/3Betfred 10/3Quinn Bet 10/310 Bet 3/1Bet Victor 3/1BetTom 3/1BetWright 3/1Betano 3/1Boyle Sports 3/1Coral 3/1Hollywood Bets 3/1Ladbrokes 3/1LiveScore Bet 3/1Midnite 3/1SportingIndex 3/1Spreadex 3/1Star Sports 3/1Unibet 3/1Virgin Bet 3/1William Hill 3/1Betfair Sportsbook 3/1Paddy Power 3/17Bet 11/4BetMGM 11/4Dragon Bet 11/4
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners2/1+2.38ppOpen → 10am7/4-10.78pp10am → now; SP pending3/1Current; SP pendingPending-8.40pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
SIGNIFICANT MARKET DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-8.40ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-10.78pp since 10am, as of 12:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 1 · ↓ Class drop
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Despite dropping from Class 1 to Class 4, the market is still weakening. Today’s move: Kaldoun des Rocs has moved from 2/1 to 3/1, a significant drift (-8.40pp).

Shortened by 2.38pp by 10am. Drifted by 10.78pp since 10am. As of 12:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 7/4 (2.80 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 13/8 (2.61 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 72/171 (42.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 23.7%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
13:00Market Rasen
Trainer: Seamus Mullins
Jockey: Benjamin Macey(5)
🟢 Needs Support (13%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run169 days ago · 9 May 2026
Distance changeUp 0.9f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP11/21 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 19.3% • -4.31 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final market drift in the recorded sample.

Opened 11/4Market avg 7/2Implied win: 22.4% · Loss: 77.6%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-4.31pp(-19.3%)
7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 4/1SportingIndex 4/1Spreadex 4/110 Bet 7/27Bet 7/2Bet Victor 7/2BetTom 7/2BetWright 7/2Betano 7/2Betfred 7/2Boyle Sports 7/2Dragon Bet 7/2Hollywood Bets 7/2Midnite 7/2Unibet 7/2William Hill 7/2BetMGM 10/3Coral 10/3Ladbrokes 10/3LiveScore Bet 10/3Quinn Bet 10/3Star Sports 10/3Virgin Bet 10/3Betfair Sportsbook 3/1Paddy Power 3/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners11/4+6.67ppOpen → 10am2/1-10.97pp10am → now; SP pending7/2Current; SP pendingPending-4.31pp
MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-4.31ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-10.97pp since 10am, as of 12:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 3 · ↓ Class drop
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Despite dropping from Class 3 to Class 4, the market is still weakening. Today’s move: Running Happy has moved from 11/4 to 7/2, a developing drift (-4.31pp).

Shortened by 6.67pp by 10am. Drifted by 10.97pp since 10am. As of 12:57; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 6pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 3/8 (37.5%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Haydock · 09 May 2026 · 2nd · 0/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Market Rasen · previous Haydock×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 125y · previous 1m 7f 144y×Ground: Today Good To Soft · previous Good×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 3
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 2/1 (3.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/4 (3.16 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 5/23 (21.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.5%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
13:00Market Rasen
Trainer: Sam England
Jockey: Jonathan England
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run18 days ago · 7 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Sedgefield on 07 Oct 2026 (-10.24pp); and finished 3rd at Southwell (AW) on 30 Jan 2026 (-8.68pp).
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 58.3% • -6.14 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Sedgefield, 07 Oct 2026 — 2nd • open 2/1 → final market price 10/3 (-10.24pp).

Opened 5/1Market avg 17/2Implied win: 10.5% · Loss: 89.5%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-6.14pp(-58.3%)
8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 10/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal 10 Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
10 Bet 10/1Bet Victor 10/1BetWright 10/1Hollywood Bets 10/1SportingIndex 10/1Spreadex 10/1Unibet 10/1William Hill 10/1Bet365 9/1BetTom 9/1Dragon Bet 9/1Midnite 9/1Star Sports 9/1Betano 17/2Betfred 8/1Boyle Sports 8/1LiveScore Bet 8/1Quinn Bet 8/1Virgin Bet 8/17Bet 15/2Paddy Power 15/2BetMGM 7/1Betfair Sportsbook 6/1Coral 11/2Ladbrokes 11/2
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners5/1-2.38ppOpen → 10am6/1-3.76pp10am → now; SP pending17/2Current; SP pendingPending-6.14pp
MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-6.14ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse history1/2 top 2Displayed comparable drift runs: 1 first/second finishes in 2 completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.76pp since 10am, as of 12:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

2 of 4 previous runs showed a larger drift, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse against its previous Open → final market price moves. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Military Cross has moved from 5/1 to 17/2, a developing drift (-6.14pp).

Drifted by 2.38pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.76pp more since 10am. As of 12:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Sedgefield · 07 Oct 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Market Rasen · previous Sedgefield✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 125y×Ground: Today Good To Soft · previous Good✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 6/1 (7.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 7/2 (4.62 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 17/58 (29.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 14.1%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
13:00Market Rasen
Trainer: Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith
Jockey: Danny McMenamin
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run163 days ago · 15 May 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.8% • -0.02 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final market drift in the recorded sample.

Opened 50/1Market avg 50/1Implied win: 1.9% · Loss: 98.1%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-0.02pp(-0.8%)
50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 71 decimal 7Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
7Bet 66/1Bet365 66/1Midnite 66/1SportingIndex 66/1Spreadex 66/110 Bet 50/1Bet Victor 50/1BetMGM 50/1BetTom 50/1BetWright 50/1Betano 50/1Betfred 50/1Boyle Sports 50/1Dragon Bet 50/1Hollywood Bets 50/1Quinn Bet 50/1Unibet 50/1William Hill 50/1Paddy Power 50/1LiveScore Bet 40/1Star Sports 40/1Virgin Bet 40/1Betfair Sportsbook 40/1Coral 33/1Ladbrokes 33/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners50/1+0.48ppOpen → 10am40/1-0.49pp10am → now; SP pending50/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.02pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amHolding-0.49pp since 10am, as of 12:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Silver Salver is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.48pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.49pp since 10am. As of 12:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 40/1 (41.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 14/1 (14.37 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 10/40 (25%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 13%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
13:00Market Rasen
Trainer: Dan Skelton
Jockey: Liam Harrison
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run18 days ago · 7 Oct 2026
Distance changeUp 0.6f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 65.2% • -1.10 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Worcester, 07 Oct 2026 — finish unavailable • open 20/1 → final market price 33/1 (-1.82pp).

Opened 33/1Market avg 66/1Implied win: 1.7% · Loss: 98.3%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-1.10pp(-65.2%)
50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 → 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
80/1 81 decimal LiveScore Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
LiveScore Bet 80/1Quinn Bet 80/1SportingIndex 80/1Spreadex 80/1Virgin Bet 80/1Paddy Power 80/17Bet 66/1Betfair Sportsbook 66/1Bet365 66/1BetWright 66/1Dragon Bet 66/110 Bet 50/1Bet Victor 50/1BetMGM 50/1BetTom 50/1Betano 50/1Betfred 50/1Boyle Sports 50/1Hollywood Bets 50/1Midnite 50/1Unibet 50/1William Hill 50/1Star Sports 40/1Coral 33/1Ladbrokes 33/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners33/1+0.67ppOpen → 10am28/1-1.77pp10am → now; SP pending66/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.10pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.77pp since 10am, as of 12:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Mags Ocean is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.67pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.77pp since 10am. As of 12:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 28/1 (29.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 12/1 (12.86 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 72/171 (42.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 23.7%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
13:00Market Rasen
Trainer: Dan Skelton
Jockey: Robert Dunne
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run9 days ago · 16 Oct 2026
Distance changeUp 0.8f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Raw Open → Now price change: 31.2% • +0.45 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Stratford, 09 Mar 2026 — 3rd • open 25/1 → final market price 16/1 (+2.04pp).

Opened 100/1Market avg 66/1Implied win: 1.4% · Loss: 98.6%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+0.45pp(+31.2%)
50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 126 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 100/1LiveScore Bet 100/1Quinn Bet 100/1SportingIndex 100/1Spreadex 100/1Virgin Bet 100/1Paddy Power 100/1Unibet 80/1Betfair Sportsbook 80/17Bet 66/1BetMGM 66/1BetWright 66/1Dragon Bet 66/110 Bet 50/1Bet Victor 50/1BetTom 50/1Betano 50/1Betfred 50/1Boyle Sports 50/1Hollywood Bets 50/1Midnite 50/1William Hill 50/1Coral 40/1Ladbrokes 40/1Star Sports 40/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners100/1+1.95ppOpen → 10am33/1-1.50pp10am → now; SP pending66/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.45pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.50pp since 10am, as of 12:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Equi Libre is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.95pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.50pp since 10am. As of 12:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 16/1 (16.69 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 72/171 (42.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 23.7%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
13:00Market Rasen
Trainer: Tom Ellis
Jockey: Jack Andrews
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run16 days ago · 9 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 101.2% • -1.40 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final market drift in the recorded sample.

Opened 33/1Market avg 66/1Implied win: 1.4% · Loss: 98.6%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-1.40pp(-101.2%)
66/1 → 66/1 ↑ 80/1 ↓ 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 80/1 → 80/1 ↓ 66/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 100/1Midnite 100/1SportingIndex 100/1Spreadex 100/17Bet 80/1Bet Victor 80/1Betano 80/1LiveScore Bet 80/1Quinn Bet 80/1Virgin Bet 80/1Paddy Power 80/110 Bet 66/1BetMGM 66/1BetTom 66/1BetWright 66/1Betfred 66/1Boyle Sports 66/1Dragon Bet 66/1Hollywood Bets 66/1William Hill 66/1Betfair Sportsbook 66/1Star Sports 50/1Unibet 50/1Coral 33/1Ladbrokes 33/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners33/1+0.67ppOpen → 10am28/1-2.07pp10am → now; SP pending66/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.40pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.07pp since 10am, as of 12:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Lady Bam is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.67pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.07pp since 10am. As of 12:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 28/1 (29.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 12/1 (12.86 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 3/5 (60%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 25%. Small sample.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
13:00Market Rasen
Trainer: Dan Skelton
Jockey: Billy Marshall(7)
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run14 days ago · 11 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 170.1% • -1.23 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final market drift in the recorded sample.

Opened 50/1Market avg 100/1Implied win: 0.7% · Loss: 99.3%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-1.23pp(-170.1%)
80/1 → 80/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↓ 80/1 ↓ 66/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 80/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 80/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 251 decimal Betano
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Betano 100/1Midnite 100/1William Hill 100/1Paddy Power 100/1LiveScore Bet 100/1Quinn Bet 100/1Virgin Bet 100/1Betfair Sportsbook 100/1SportingIndex 100/1Spreadex 100/1Unibet 100/1Bet365 100/17Bet 100/1BetWright 100/1Dragon Bet 100/110 Bet 80/1Bet Victor 80/1BetTom 80/1Betfred 80/1Boyle Sports 80/1Hollywood Bets 80/1BetMGM 66/1Coral 66/1Ladbrokes 66/1Star Sports 66/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners50/1+0.48ppOpen → 10am40/1-1.71pp10am → now; SP pending100/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.23pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.71pp since 10am, as of 12:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 3 · ↓ Class drop
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The horse drops from Class 3 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Skibidirizz is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.48pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.71pp since 10am. As of 12:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 40/1 (41.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 14/1 (14.37 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 72/171 (42.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 23.7%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
13:00Market Rasen
Trainer: Michael Keady
Jockey: Nathan Moscrop
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Market Rasen · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 66/1 · 190% bigger today
Last run8 days ago · 17 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP7/12 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
29th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE29th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 7 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 28.7% • -0.15 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Kempton (AW), 06 Apr 2026 — 2nd • open 5/2 → final market price 11/2 (-13.19pp).

Opened 100/1Market avg 100/1Implied win: 0.5% · Loss: 99.5%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-0.15pp(-28.7%)
100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 301 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 100/1LiveScore Bet 100/1Midnite 100/1Virgin Bet 100/110 Bet 100/17Bet 100/1Bet Victor 100/1BetMGM 100/1BetTom 100/1BetWright 100/1Betano 100/1Betfred 100/1Boyle Sports 100/1Dragon Bet 100/1Hollywood Bets 100/1Quinn Bet 100/1Unibet 100/1William Hill 100/1Betfair Sportsbook 100/1Paddy Power 100/1SportingIndex 100/1Spreadex 100/1Star Sports 100/1Coral 66/1Ladbrokes 66/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners100/1+1.30ppOpen → 10am50/1-1.45pp10am → now; SP pending100/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.15pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.45pp since 10am, as of 12:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 7 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Mio Amico is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.30pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.45pp since 10am. As of 12:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Kempton (AW) · 06 Apr 2026 · 2nd · 0/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Market Rasen · previous Kempton (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 125y · previous 1m 7f 218y×Ground: Today Good To Soft · previous Standard To Slow×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 50/1 (51.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 16/1 (17.66 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 5/14 (35.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 5.7%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
13:00Market Rasen
Trainer: Charlie Longsdon
Jockey: Richie McLernon
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run18 days ago · 7 Oct 2026
Distance changeUp 0.6f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 47.7% • -0.21 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Worcester, 10 Sep 2026 — finish unavailable • open 4/1 → final market price 10/1 (-10.91pp).

Opened 100/1Market avg 100/1Implied win: 0.4% · Loss: 99.6%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-0.21pp(-47.7%)
100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 401 decimal Paddy Power
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Paddy Power 100/1LiveScore Bet 100/1Quinn Bet 100/1Virgin Bet 100/1Betfair Sportsbook 100/1Bet365 100/1Midnite 100/1Unibet 100/110 Bet 100/17Bet 100/1Bet Victor 100/1BetMGM 100/1BetTom 100/1BetWright 100/1Betano 100/1Betfred 100/1Boyle Sports 100/1Coral 100/1Dragon Bet 100/1Hollywood Bets 100/1Ladbrokes 100/1William Hill 100/1Star Sports 100/1SportingIndex 100/1Spreadex 100/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners100/1+1.30ppOpen → 10am50/1-1.51pp10am → now; SP pending100/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.21pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.51pp since 10am, as of 12:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Action Replay is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.30pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.51pp since 10am. As of 12:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 50/1 (51.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 16/1 (17.66 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 8/30 (26.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.9%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 19:16
  • Supported1 of 11 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Moore Brion +10.50pp
  • Drifting3 of 11 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Kaldoun des Rocs -8.40pp
  • Last 15 minNo gain or drift recorded
  • Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min
15-minute snapshot 19:16 · no additional market query
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