LIVE MARKET
See what today’s price moves mean.
LIVE · Updated 17:20:42
Featured meeting preview: Southwell (AW)
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Market overview
Runners Today
14
Shown After Filters
3
Active Signals (15%+)
12
01 · Strongest support
Alkaios
+3.57pp
True move after NR adjustment · 16/1 → 10/1
02 · Repeat evidence
No repeat signal active
No upcoming runner currently matches a previous successful market pattern.
03 · Weak favourite
Spirit of Nature
-7.74pp
True move after NR adjustment · 5/2 → 4/1
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
17:30Southwell (AW) • Flat • 1m4f14y • Class 6 • Going: Standard
3 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.
Full field shown.
Off — prices frozen
Trainer: Patrick Morris
Jockey: Paddy Bradley
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
↔ SAME CLASSSURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD1/3 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 11/2 · 20% bigger today
Last run29 days ago · 25 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP7/23 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
73th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE73rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 15 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.1/2 placed when backed like this (50%).
When backed like this: 1/2 WON
Raw Open → Now price change: 18.1% • +2.33 probability points
Previous market evidence
Strongest previous Open → final market support: Wolverhampton (AW), 08 May 2026 — 2nd • open 11/4 → final market price 6/5 (+18.79pp).
All 2 comparable backed runs (1st or 2nd counts as placed):
- Newcastle (AW), 25 Sep 2026 — 6th • open 7/1 → final 5/1
- Wolverhampton (AW), 16 Jan 2026 — 1st • open 8/1 → final 11/2
Opened 17/2Market avg 7/1Implied win: 12.9% · Loss: 87.1%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+2.33pp(+18.1%)
13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2
8.5 decimal
SportingIndex
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
SportingIndex 15/2Spreadex 15/27Bet 7/1Bet365 7/1BetWright 7/1Coral 7/1Dragon Bet 7/1Hollywood Bets 7/1Ladbrokes 7/1LiveScore Bet 7/1Midnite 7/1Star Sports 7/1Virgin Bet 7/1William Hill 7/110 Bet 13/2BetMGM 13/2BetTom 13/2Betfred 13/2Boyle Sports 13/2Quinn Bet 13/2Unibet 13/2Betfair Sportsbook 13/2Paddy Power 13/2Bet Victor 6/1Betano 6/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for allCompare all fixed odds
3/25 bookmakers shortening
SportingIndex→ unchanged · updated now15/2
Spreadex→ unchanged · updated now15/2
7Bet→ unchanged · updated now7/1
Bet365→ unchanged · updated now7/1
BetWright→ unchanged · updated now7/1
Coral→ unchanged · updated now7/1
Dragon Bet→ unchanged · updated now7/1
Hollywood Bets→ unchanged · updated now7/1
Ladbrokes→ unchanged · updated now7/1
LiveScore Bet→ unchanged · updated now7/1
Midnite→ unchanged · updated now7/1
Star Sports→ unchanged · updated now7/1
Virgin Bet→ unchanged · updated now7/1
William Hill↓ shortening · updated now7/1
10 Bet→ unchanged · updated now13/2
BetMGM→ unchanged · updated now13/2
BetTom→ unchanged · updated now13/2
Betfred→ unchanged · updated now13/2
Boyle Sports→ unchanged · updated now13/2
Quinn Bet→ unchanged · updated now13/2
Unibet↓ shortening · updated now13/2
Betfair Sportsbook→ unchanged · updated now13/2
Paddy Power→ unchanged · updated now13/2
Bet Victor→ unchanged · updated now6/1
Betano↓ shortening · updated now6/1
25 bookmakers comparedWhat do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?
Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today1m 4f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners | 17/2 | +2.81ppOpen → 10am | 13/2 | -0.48pp10am → now; SP pending | 7/1Current; SP pending | Pending | +2.33pp |
| Beverley03 Jul 20261m 4f 23y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 5 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 13/2 | -5.64ppOpen → 10am | 12/1 | +2.83pp10am → SP | 17/2 | 2nd | -2.81pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Newcastle (AW)02 Jun 20261m 4f 98y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 9/4 | -10.77ppOpen → 10am | 4/1 | +2.22pp10am → SP | 7/2 | 2nd | -8.55pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Wolverhampton (AW)08 May 20261m 5f 218y · Class 6 · Standard · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 11/4 | +17.78ppOpen → 10am | 5/4 | +3.17pp10am → SP | 11/10 | 2nd | +20.95pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Newcastle (AW)15 Feb 20261m 4f 98y · Class 6 · Standard · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 11/8 | +0.00ppOpen → 10am | 11/8 | -19.79pp10am → SP | 7/2 | 1st | -19.79pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Southwell (AW)05 Feb 20261m 4f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 2/1 | +0.00ppOpen → 10am | 2/1 | -4.76pp10am → SP | 5/2 | 1st | -4.76pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Wolverhampton (AW)16 Jan 20261m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 8/1 | +0.65ppOpen → 10am | 15/2 | +6.42pp10am → SP | 9/2 | 1st | +7.07pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today1m 4f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners | 17/2 | +2.81ppOpen → 10am | 13/2 | -0.48pp10am → now; SP pending | 7/1Current; SP pending | Pending | +2.33pp |
| Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions. | |||||||
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amHolding-0.48pp since 10am, as of 17:20. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level
Support of +5.00pp · around 11/2 (6.44 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 4/29 (13.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 6.4%.
Trainer support level
Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.Support of +10.00pp · around 4/1 (4.87 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 1/7 (14.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 6.4%. Small sample.
TIMING & CONTEXT
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Weakening late
Off — prices frozen↔ SAME CLASS
Trainer: Steph Hollinshead
Jockey: Dougie Costello
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD0/3 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 100/1 · 92% shorter today
Last run19 days ago · 5 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE83rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 6 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Raw Open → Now price change: 37.8% • +3.57 probability points
Previous market evidence
Strongest previous Open → final market support: Wolverhampton (AW), 05 Oct 2026 — 5th • open 50/1 → final market price 16/1 (+3.92pp).
Opened 16/1Market avg 10/1Implied win: 9.5% · Loss: 90.5%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+3.57pp(+37.8%)
8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1
13 decimal
Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 12/1SportingIndex 12/1Spreadex 12/17Bet 10/1BetMGM 10/1BetWright 10/1Coral 10/1Dragon Bet 10/1Hollywood Bets 10/1Ladbrokes 10/1Midnite 10/1Star Sports 10/1William Hill 10/110 Bet 9/1BetTom 9/1Betfred 9/1LiveScore Bet 9/1Quinn Bet 9/1Unibet 9/1Virgin Bet 9/1Paddy Power 17/2Bet Victor 8/1Betano 8/1Boyle Sports 8/1Betfair Sportsbook 8/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for allCompare all fixed odds
6/25 bookmakers drifting
Bet365→ unchanged · updated now12/1
SportingIndex↑ drifting · updated now12/1
Spreadex↑ drifting · updated now12/1
7Bet→ unchanged · updated now10/1
BetMGM→ unchanged · updated now10/1
BetWright→ unchanged · updated now10/1
Coral→ unchanged · updated now10/1
Dragon Bet→ unchanged · updated now10/1
Hollywood Bets↑ drifting · updated now10/1
Ladbrokes→ unchanged · updated now10/1
Midnite→ unchanged · updated now10/1
Star Sports↑ drifting · updated now10/1
William Hill→ unchanged · updated now10/1
10 Bet↑ drifting · updated now9/1
BetTom↑ drifting · updated now9/1
Betfred→ unchanged · updated now9/1
LiveScore Bet→ unchanged · updated now9/1
Quinn Bet→ unchanged · updated now9/1
Unibet→ unchanged · updated now9/1
Virgin Bet→ unchanged · updated now9/1
Paddy Power→ unchanged · updated now17/2
Bet Victor→ unchanged · updated now8/1
Betano→ unchanged · updated now8/1
Boyle Sports→ unchanged · updated now8/1
Betfair Sportsbook→ unchanged · updated now8/1
25 bookmakers comparedWhat do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?
Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today1m 4f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners | 16/1 | +0.78ppOpen → 10am | 14/1 | +2.79pp10am → now; SP pending | 10/1Current; SP pending | Pending | +3.57pp |
| No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet. | |||||||
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today1m 4f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners | 16/1 | +0.78ppOpen → 10am | 14/1 | +2.79pp10am → now; SP pending | 10/1Current; SP pending | Pending | +3.57pp |
| Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions. | |||||||
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amStrengthening+2.79pp since 10am, as of 17:20. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level
Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.Support of +5.00pp · around 8/1 (9.19 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 4/18 (22.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 7.1%.
TIMING & CONTEXT
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Weakening late
Off — prices frozen↔ SAME CLASS
Trainer: Ivan Furtado
Jockey: Elle-May Croot(5)
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD1/7 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 14/1 · 23% shorter today
Last run26 days ago · 28 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1.9f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP18/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
64th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE64th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 14 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Raw Open → Now price change: 19.2% • +1.58 probability points
Previous market evidence
Strongest previous Open → final market support: Southwell (AW), 31 Aug 2026 — 5th • open 13/2 → final market price 7/2 (+8.71pp).
Opened 14/1Market avg 11/1Implied win: 8.3% · Loss: 91.7%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+1.58pp(+19.2%)
9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 10/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1
17 decimal
SportingIndex
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
SportingIndex 16/1Spreadex 16/17Bet 12/1Bet365 12/1BetMGM 12/1BetWright 12/1Dragon Bet 12/1Midnite 12/1Coral 11/1Hollywood Bets 11/1Ladbrokes 11/1LiveScore Bet 11/1Star Sports 11/1Unibet 11/1Virgin Bet 11/1William Hill 11/110 Bet 10/1BetTom 10/1Betfred 10/1Quinn Bet 10/1Paddy Power 10/1Bet Victor 9/1Betano 9/1Boyle Sports 9/1Betfair Sportsbook 9/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for allCompare all fixed odds
2/25 bookmakers drifting
SportingIndex→ unchanged · updated now16/1
Spreadex→ unchanged · updated now16/1
7Bet→ unchanged · updated now12/1
Bet365→ unchanged · updated now12/1
BetMGM→ unchanged · updated now12/1
BetWright→ unchanged · updated now12/1
Dragon Bet→ unchanged · updated now12/1
Midnite→ unchanged · updated now12/1
Coral→ unchanged · updated now11/1
Hollywood Bets→ unchanged · updated now11/1
Ladbrokes→ unchanged · updated now11/1
LiveScore Bet→ unchanged · updated now11/1
Star Sports→ unchanged · updated now11/1
Unibet↑ drifting · updated now11/1
Virgin Bet→ unchanged · updated now11/1
William Hill→ unchanged · updated now11/1
10 Bet↑ drifting · updated now10/1
BetTom→ unchanged · updated now10/1
Betfred→ unchanged · updated now10/1
Quinn Bet→ unchanged · updated now10/1
Paddy Power→ unchanged · updated now10/1
Bet Victor→ unchanged · updated now9/1
Betano→ unchanged · updated now9/1
Boyle Sports→ unchanged · updated now9/1
Betfair Sportsbook→ unchanged · updated now9/1
25 bookmakers comparedWhat do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?
Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today1m 4f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners | 14/1 | +0.00ppOpen → 10am | 14/1 | +1.58pp10am → now; SP pending | 11/1Current; SP pending | Pending | +1.58pp |
| Southwell (AW)13 Mar 20261m 6f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 10/1 | -5.64ppOpen → 10am | 28/1 | +1.81pp10am → SP | 18/1 | 1st | -3.83pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today1m 4f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners | 14/1 | +0.00ppOpen → 10am | 14/1 | +1.58pp10am → now; SP pending | 11/1Current; SP pending | Pending | +1.58pp |
| Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions. | |||||||
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amStrengthening+1.58pp since 10am, as of 17:20. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level
Support of +5.00pp · around 15/2 (8.57 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 10/62 (16.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 8.1%.
Trainer support level
Support of +10.00pp · around 5/1 (6.00 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 6/27 (22.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 8.1%.
Trainer support level
Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.Support of +15.00pp · around 7/2 (4.62 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 3/8 (37.5%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 8.1%. Small sample.
TIMING & CONTEXT
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Weakening late
- Supported0 of 14 runners at +4pp or more
- Drifting1 of 14 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Spirit of Nature -7.74pp
- Last 15 minbiggest gain: Wyvill +3.90pp · biggest drift: Spirit of Nature -2.22pp
- Market surges1 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min · Wyvill
Price Movement
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