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See what today’s price moves mean.
LIVE · Updated 18:57:26
Featured meeting preview: Southwell (AW)
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Market overview
Runners Today
14
Shown After Filters
14
Active Signals (15%+)
9
01 · Strongest support
Love You More
+11.89pp
True move after NR adjustment · 11/1 → 10/3
02 · Repeat evidence
No repeat signal active
No upcoming runner currently matches a previous successful market pattern.
03 · Weak favourite
Crown The Future
-5.75pp
True move after NR adjustment · 4/1 → 11/2
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
19:00Southwell (AW) • Flat • 1m13y • Class 6 • Going: Standard
14 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.
Full field shown.
Off — prices frozen
Trainer: Joseph Parr
Jockey: Jack Mitchell
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
↔ SAME CLASSSURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 9/2 · 20% shorter today
Last run25 days ago · 29 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1.4f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP10/31 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: +63.5% • +14.49pp
Measured NR price effect removed: +2.60pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 9/2 @ 08:52
NR @ 08:52: 11/2 → 9/2 (+2.60pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +11.89pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
88th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE88th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 8 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 7th at Windsor on 29 Jun 2026 (+13.89pp).
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.0/3 placed when backed like this (0%).
When backed like this: 0/3 WON
Previous market evidence
Strongest previous Open → final market support: Windsor, 29 Jun 2026 — 7th • open 11/1 → final market price 7/2 (+13.89pp).
All 3 comparable backed runs (1st or 2nd counts as placed):
- Southwell (AW), 16 Aug 2026 — 6th • open 8/1 → final 9/2
- Windsor, 29 Jun 2026 — 7th • open 11/1 → final 7/2
- Brighton, 09 Jun 2026 — 10th • open 14/1 → final 11/2
Opened 11/1Market avg 10/3Implied win: 22.8% · Loss: 77.2%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+11.89pp(+58.8%)
3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 3/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1
5 decimal
Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 4/1Coral 4/1Ladbrokes 4/17Bet 7/2BetWright 7/2Dragon Bet 7/2Midnite 7/2SportingIndex 7/2Spreadex 7/2Star Sports 7/2Unibet 7/2William Hill 7/2BetMGM 10/3BetTom 10/3Betfred 10/3Hollywood Bets 10/3LiveScore Bet 10/3Quinn Bet 10/3Virgin Bet 10/310 Bet 3/1Bet Victor 3/1Betano 3/1Boyle Sports 3/1Paddy Power 3/1Betfair Sportsbook 11/4
25 bookmakers · scroll for allCompare all fixed odds
Mixed market: 0 shortening, 0 drifting
Bet365→ unchanged · 1m ago4/1
Coral→ unchanged · 1m ago4/1
Ladbrokes→ unchanged · 1m ago4/1
7Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago7/2
BetWright→ unchanged · 1m ago7/2
Dragon Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago7/2
Midnite→ unchanged · 1m ago7/2
SportingIndex→ unchanged · 1m ago7/2
Spreadex→ unchanged · 1m ago7/2
Star Sports→ unchanged · 1m ago7/2
Unibet→ unchanged · 1m ago7/2
William Hill→ unchanged · 1m ago7/2
BetMGM→ unchanged · 1m ago10/3
BetTom→ unchanged · 1m ago10/3
Betfred→ unchanged · 1m ago10/3
Hollywood Bets→ unchanged · 1m ago10/3
LiveScore Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago10/3
Quinn Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago10/3
Virgin Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago10/3
10 Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago3/1
Bet Victor→ unchanged · 1m ago3/1
Betano→ unchanged · 1m ago3/1
Boyle Sports→ unchanged · 1m ago3/1
Paddy Power→ unchanged · 1m ago3/1
Betfair Sportsbook→ unchanged · 1m ago11/4
25 bookmakers comparedWhat do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?
Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners | 11/1 | +14.07ppOpen → 10am | 3/1 | -2.18pp10am → now; SP pending | 10/3Current; SP pending | Pending | +11.89ppNR adjusted |
| Lingfield (AW)13 Jul 20261m 1y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 3/1 | +0.00ppOpen → 10am | 3/1 | -1.91pp10am → SP | 10/3 | 1st | -1.91pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Nottingham18 Apr 20261m 75y · Class 6 · Good · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 11/1 | -3.99ppOpen → 10am | 22/1 | +3.34pp10am → SP | 12/1 | 2nd | -0.64pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners | 11/1 | +14.07ppOpen → 10am | 3/1 | -2.18pp10am → now; SP pending | 10/3Current; SP pending | Pending | +11.89ppNR adjusted |
| Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions. | |||||||
TRAINER RECORD MAKES THIS SUPPORT SIGNIFICANTMarket+11.89ppGenuine support from the opening price.Trainer6.8% → 20%Open → SP · backed 10pp+Baseline → matching strike rate; 10 runners, Open → SP · backed 10pp+. Historical sample requires opening, 10am and official SP prices. Popup uses opening → final market price and a broader results baseline.Horse historyMissed top 2: 3/3Comparable support: 0 first/second finishes in 3 completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.18pp since 10am, as of 18:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level
Support of +15.00pp · around 11/4 (3.86 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 2/5 (40%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 6.8%. Small sample.
Trainer support level
Support of +5.00pp · around 11/2 (6.28 decimal).
Level reached — watch whether support holds.Trainer won 4/21 (19%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 6.8%.
Trainer support level
Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.Support of +10.00pp · around 4/1 (4.78 decimal).
Level reached — watch whether support holds.Trainer won 2/10 (20%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 6.8%.
TIMING & CONTEXT
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Weakening late
Off — prices frozen
Trainer: Jack Jones
Jockey: Luke Morris
10AM EMERGING PATTERNFrozen 10am Emerging market pattern. This is an early pattern, not yet a fully established repeat-winner signal.
Source: stored dcn_signal_flags classification for today. This signal is frozen at 10am; the live price can move afterwards without changing the 10am classification.
↔ SAME CLASSSource: stored dcn_signal_flags classification for today. This signal is frozen at 10am; the live price can move afterwards without changing the 10am classification.
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD1/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 14/1 · 67% shorter today
Last run7 days ago · 17 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: +1.7% • +0.35pp
Measured NR price effect removed: +2.22pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 4/1 @ 08:52
NR @ 08:52: 9/2 → 4/1 (+2.22pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -1.87pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
86th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE86th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 7 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.Previous market evidence
Largest previous Open → final market drift: Kempton (AW), 12 Aug 2026 — 10th • open 40/1 → final market price 100/1 (-1.94pp).
Opened 4/1Market avg 4/1Implied win: 20.4% · Loss: 79.6%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-1.87pp(-10.3%)
7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2
5.5 decimal
Coral
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Coral 9/2Ladbrokes 9/27Bet 4/1BetTom 4/1BetWright 4/1Betfred 4/1Dragon Bet 4/1Hollywood Bets 4/1LiveScore Bet 4/1Midnite 4/1Quinn Bet 4/1SportingIndex 4/1Spreadex 4/1Star Sports 4/1Unibet 4/1Virgin Bet 4/1William Hill 4/1Betfair Sportsbook 4/1Paddy Power 4/110 Bet 7/2Bet Victor 7/2Bet365 7/2Betano 7/2Boyle Sports 7/2BetMGM 10/3
25 bookmakers · scroll for allCompare all fixed odds
Mixed market: 0 shortening, 0 drifting
Coral→ unchanged · 1m ago9/2
Ladbrokes→ unchanged · 1m ago9/2
7Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago4/1
BetTom→ unchanged · 1m ago4/1
BetWright→ unchanged · 1m ago4/1
Betfred→ unchanged · 1m ago4/1
Dragon Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago4/1
Hollywood Bets→ unchanged · 1m ago4/1
LiveScore Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago4/1
Midnite→ unchanged · 1m ago4/1
Quinn Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago4/1
SportingIndex→ unchanged · 1m ago4/1
Spreadex→ unchanged · 1m ago4/1
Star Sports→ unchanged · 1m ago4/1
Unibet→ unchanged · 1m ago4/1
Virgin Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago4/1
William Hill→ unchanged · 1m ago4/1
Betfair Sportsbook→ unchanged · 1m ago4/1
Paddy Power→ unchanged · 1m ago4/1
10 Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago7/2
Bet Victor→ unchanged · 1m ago7/2
Bet365→ unchanged · 1m ago7/2
Betano→ unchanged · 1m ago7/2
Boyle Sports→ unchanged · 1m ago7/2
BetMGM→ unchanged · 1m ago10/3
25 bookmakers comparedWhat do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?
Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners | 4/1 | +1.59ppOpen → 10am | 10/3 | -3.46pp10am → now; SP pending | 4/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -1.87ppNR adjusted |
| Southwell (AW)17 Oct 20261m 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 18/1 | +1.54ppOpen → 10am | 14/1 | +0.00pp10am → SP | 14/1 | 2nd | +1.54pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners | 4/1 | +1.59ppOpen → 10am | 10/3 | -3.46pp10am → now; SP pending | 4/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -1.87ppNR adjusted |
| Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions. | |||||||
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.46pp since 10am, as of 18:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price
Back to the 10am position · around 10/3 (4.20 decimal).
Watch for the price to recover to this level.A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.
Trainer support level
Support of +5.00pp · around 11/4 (3.67 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 15/41 (36.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12.7%.
Trainer support level
Support of +10.00pp · around 2/1 (3.10 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 6/17 (35.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12.7%.
Trainer support level
Support of +15.00pp · around 13/8 (2.69 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 3/9 (33.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12.7%. Small sample.
Trainer support level
Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.Support of +20.00pp · around 11/8 (2.37 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 3/5 (60%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12.7%. Small sample.
TIMING & CONTEXT
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Weakening late
Off — prices frozen
Trainer: William Muir & Chris Grassick
Jockey: Daniel Muscutt
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
↔ SAME CLASSSURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
Last run25 days ago · 29 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 0.6f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP17/22 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -17.6% • -2.99pp
Measured NR price effect removed: +1.57pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 9/2 @ 08:52
NR @ 08:52: 5/1 → 9/2 (+1.57pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -4.57pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Largest drift recorded across 8 previous runs.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.Previous market evidence
Largest previous Open → final market drift: Bath, 17 Apr 2026 — 8th • open 18/1 → final market price 40/1 (-2.82pp).
Opened 4/1Market avg 5/1Implied win: 17.0% · Loss: 83.0%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-4.57pp(-29.6%)
9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2
6.5 decimal
Coral
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Coral 11/2Ladbrokes 11/2Star Sports 11/27Bet 5/1Bet365 5/1BetWright 5/1Betfred 5/1Dragon Bet 5/1Hollywood Bets 5/1LiveScore Bet 5/1Midnite 5/1Quinn Bet 5/1Spreadex 5/1Unibet 5/1Virgin Bet 5/1William Hill 5/110 Bet 9/2Bet Victor 9/2BetMGM 9/2BetTom 9/2Betano 9/2Boyle Sports 9/2SportingIndex 9/2Betfair Sportsbook 9/2Paddy Power 9/2
25 bookmakers · scroll for allCompare all fixed odds
Mixed market: 0 shortening, 0 drifting
Coral→ unchanged · 1m ago11/2
Ladbrokes→ unchanged · 1m ago11/2
Star Sports→ unchanged · 1m ago11/2
7Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago5/1
Bet365→ unchanged · 1m ago5/1
BetWright→ unchanged · 1m ago5/1
Betfred→ unchanged · 1m ago5/1
Dragon Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago5/1
Hollywood Bets→ unchanged · 1m ago5/1
LiveScore Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago5/1
Midnite→ unchanged · 1m ago5/1
Quinn Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago5/1
Spreadex→ unchanged · 1m ago5/1
Unibet→ unchanged · 1m ago5/1
Virgin Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago5/1
William Hill→ unchanged · 1m ago5/1
10 Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago9/2
Bet Victor→ unchanged · 1m ago9/2
BetMGM→ unchanged · 1m ago9/2
BetTom→ unchanged · 1m ago9/2
Betano→ unchanged · 1m ago9/2
Boyle Sports→ unchanged · 1m ago9/2
SportingIndex→ unchanged · 1m ago9/2
Betfair Sportsbook→ unchanged · 1m ago9/2
Paddy Power→ unchanged · 1m ago9/2
25 bookmakers comparedWhat do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?
Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners | 4/1 | +2.24ppOpen → 10am | 10/3 | -6.80pp10am → now; SP pending | 5/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -4.57ppNR adjusted |
| Wolverhampton (AW)29 Sep 20261m 142y · Class 6 · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 11/4 | +1.17ppOpen → 10am | 5/2 | +13.45pp10am → SP | 11/8 | 1st | +14.62pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Bath13 Sep 20261m 2f 37y · Class 6 · Good · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 4/1 | -1.05ppOpen → 10am | 9/2 | -2.80pp10am → SP | 11/2 | 2nd | -3.85pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Lingfield (AW)27 Aug 20261m 2f · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 12/1 | -1.03ppOpen → 10am | 14/1 | -0.78pp10am → SP | 16/1 | 1st | -1.81pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners | 4/1 | +2.24ppOpen → 10am | 10/3 | -6.80pp10am → now; SP pending | 5/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -4.57ppNR adjusted |
| Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions. | |||||||
THIS IS THE HORSE’S LARGEST RECORDED DRIFTMarket-4.57ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLargest recorded driftLargest recorded drift across 8 previous runs. This flags unusual market weakness; it does not claim a finishing record.Since 10amWeakening-6.80pp since 10am, as of 18:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price
Back to the 10am position · around 10/3 (4.20 decimal).
Watch for the price to recover to this level.A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.
Trainer support level
Support of +5.00pp · around 11/4 (3.76 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 9/31 (29%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 8.6%.
Trainer support level
Support of +10.00pp · around 9/4 (3.17 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 5/12 (41.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 8.6%.
Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.
Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.TIMING & CONTEXT
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Weakening late
Off — prices frozen
Trainer: Tony Carroll
Jockey: Charlie Tucker(7)
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
↔ SAME CLASSSURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
Last run26 days ago · 28 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 0.6f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP5/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -34.8% • -5.16pp
Measured NR price effect removed: +0.59pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 7/1 @ 08:52
NR @ 08:52: 15/2 → 7/1 (+0.59pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -5.75pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
88th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE88th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 8 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 1st at Wolverhampton (AW) on 28 Sep 2026 (-6.82pp).
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.Previous market evidence
Largest previous Open → final market drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 28 Sep 2026 — 1st • open 3/1 → final market price 9/2 (-6.82pp).
Opened 4/1Market avg 11/2Implied win: 14.8% · Loss: 85.2%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-5.75pp(-40.4%)
5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1
8 decimal
SportingIndex
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
SportingIndex 7/1Spreadex 7/17Bet 6/1BetWright 6/1Coral 6/1Dragon Bet 6/1Ladbrokes 6/1Midnite 6/1Quinn Bet 6/1Star Sports 6/1Unibet 6/1William Hill 6/110 Bet 11/2Bet365 11/2BetMGM 11/2BetTom 11/2Betfred 11/2Hollywood Bets 11/2LiveScore Bet 11/2Virgin Bet 11/2Paddy Power 11/2Bet Victor 5/1Betano 5/1Boyle Sports 5/1Betfair Sportsbook 5/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for allCompare all fixed odds
Mixed market: 0 shortening, 0 drifting
SportingIndex→ unchanged · 1m ago7/1
Spreadex→ unchanged · 1m ago7/1
7Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago6/1
BetWright→ unchanged · 1m ago6/1
Coral→ unchanged · 1m ago6/1
Dragon Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago6/1
Ladbrokes→ unchanged · 1m ago6/1
Midnite→ unchanged · 1m ago6/1
Quinn Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago6/1
Star Sports→ unchanged · 1m ago6/1
Unibet→ unchanged · 1m ago6/1
William Hill→ unchanged · 1m ago6/1
10 Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago11/2
Bet365→ unchanged · 1m ago11/2
BetMGM→ unchanged · 1m ago11/2
BetTom→ unchanged · 1m ago11/2
Betfred→ unchanged · 1m ago11/2
Hollywood Bets→ unchanged · 1m ago11/2
LiveScore Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago11/2
Virgin Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago11/2
Paddy Power→ unchanged · 1m ago11/2
Bet Victor→ unchanged · 1m ago5/1
Betano→ unchanged · 1m ago5/1
Boyle Sports→ unchanged · 1m ago5/1
Betfair Sportsbook→ unchanged · 1m ago5/1
25 bookmakers comparedWhat do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?
Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners | 4/1 | -5.20ppOpen → 10am | 11/2 | -0.55pp10am → now; SP pending | 11/2Current; SP pending | Pending | -5.75ppNR adjusted |
| Wolverhampton (AW)28 Sep 20261m 142y · Class 6 · Standard · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 3/1 | -9.62ppOpen → 10am | 11/2 | +1.28pp10am → SP | 5/1 | 1st | -8.33pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Wolverhampton (AW)07 Sep 20261m 142y · Class 6 · Standard · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 12/1 | -2.38ppOpen → 10am | 20/1 | +4.33pp10am → SP | 10/1 | 2nd | +1.95pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners | 4/1 | -5.20ppOpen → 10am | 11/2 | -0.55pp10am → now; SP pending | 11/2Current; SP pending | Pending | -5.75ppNR adjusted |
| Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions. | |||||||
MARKET DRIFT DETECTED — TRAINER IMPACT IS LIMITEDMarket-5.75ppMarket weakness from the opening price.Trainer12% → 11.9%Open → 10am · drifted 5pp+Baseline → matching strike rate; 151 runners, Open → 10am · drifted 5pp+. Historical sample requires opening, 10am and official SP prices. Popup uses opening → final market price and a broader results baseline.Horse history1/2 top 2Displayed comparable drift runs: 1 first/second finishes in 2 completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-0.55pp since 10am, as of 18:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price
Back to the 10am position · around 11/2 (6.50 decimal).
Watch for the price to recover to this level.A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.
Trainer support level
Support of +5.00pp · around 3/1 (3.91 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 40/159 (25.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12%.
Trainer support level
Support of +10.00pp · around 9/4 (3.27 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 27/71 (38%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12%.
Trainer support level
Support of +15.00pp · around 7/4 (2.81 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 10/32 (31.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12%.
Trainer support level
Support of +20.00pp · around 6/4 (2.46 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 4/10 (40%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12%.
Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.
Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.TIMING & CONTEXT
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Late money still arriving
Off — prices frozen↔ SAME CLASS
Trainer: Ian Williams
Jockey: Billy Loughnane
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
Last run25 days ago · 29 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 0.6f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP11/81 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -27.0% • -3.54pp
Measured NR price effect removed: +0.72pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 5/1 @ 08:52
NR @ 08:52: 11/2 → 5/1 (+0.72pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -4.26pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE83rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 30 Jul 2026 (-5.88pp).
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.Previous market evidence
Largest previous Open → final market drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 30 Jul 2026 — 3rd • open 15/2 → final market price 16/1 (-5.88pp).
Opened 5/1Market avg 13/2Implied win: 13.1% · Loss: 86.9%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-4.26pp(-34.4%)
6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 11/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2
8.5 decimal
Coral
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Coral 15/2Ladbrokes 15/27Bet 7/1Bet365 7/1BetWright 7/1Dragon Bet 7/1SportingIndex 7/1Spreadex 7/1Star Sports 7/1Unibet 7/1William Hill 7/1BetTom 13/2Betfred 13/2Hollywood Bets 13/2LiveScore Bet 13/2Midnite 13/2Quinn Bet 13/2Virgin Bet 13/2Betfair Sportsbook 13/2Bet Victor 6/1BetMGM 6/1Betano 6/1Boyle Sports 6/1Paddy Power 6/110 Bet 11/2
25 bookmakers · scroll for allCompare all fixed odds
Mixed market: 0 shortening, 0 drifting
Coral→ unchanged · 1m ago15/2
Ladbrokes→ unchanged · 1m ago15/2
7Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago7/1
Bet365→ unchanged · 1m ago7/1
BetWright→ unchanged · 1m ago7/1
Dragon Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago7/1
SportingIndex→ unchanged · 1m ago7/1
Spreadex→ unchanged · 1m ago7/1
Star Sports→ unchanged · 1m ago7/1
Unibet→ unchanged · 1m ago7/1
William Hill→ unchanged · 1m ago7/1
BetTom→ unchanged · 1m ago13/2
Betfred→ unchanged · 1m ago13/2
Hollywood Bets→ unchanged · 1m ago13/2
LiveScore Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago13/2
Midnite→ unchanged · 1m ago13/2
Quinn Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago13/2
Virgin Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago13/2
Betfair Sportsbook→ unchanged · 1m ago13/2
Bet Victor→ unchanged · 1m ago6/1
BetMGM→ unchanged · 1m ago6/1
Betano→ unchanged · 1m ago6/1
Boyle Sports→ unchanged · 1m ago6/1
Paddy Power→ unchanged · 1m ago6/1
10 Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago11/2
25 bookmakers comparedWhat do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?
Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners | 5/1 | +2.61ppOpen → 10am | 4/1 | -6.88pp10am → now; SP pending | 13/2Current; SP pending | Pending | -4.26ppNR adjusted |
| Wolverhampton (AW)29 Sep 20261m 142y · Class 6 · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 3/1 | +4.18ppOpen → 10am | 5/2 | +13.45pp10am → SP | 11/8 | 1st | +17.63pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners | 5/1 | +2.61ppOpen → 10am | 4/1 | -6.88pp10am → now; SP pending | 13/2Current; SP pending | Pending | -4.26ppNR adjusted |
| Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions. | |||||||
MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-4.26ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyMissed top 2: 2/2Displayed comparable drift runs: 0 first/second finishes in 2 completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-6.88pp since 10am, as of 18:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price
Back to the 10am position · around 4/1 (5.00 decimal).
Watch for the price to recover to this level.A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.
Trainer support level
Support of +5.00pp · around 7/2 (4.47 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 27/108 (25%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.3%.
Trainer support level
Support of +10.00pp · around 11/4 (3.65 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 16/49 (32.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.3%.
Trainer support level
Support of +15.00pp · around 2/1 (3.09 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 9/23 (39.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.3%.
Trainer support level
Support of +20.00pp · around 13/8 (2.67 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 3/8 (37.5%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.3%. Small sample.
Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.
Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.TIMING & CONTEXT
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Weakening late
Off — prices frozen
Trainer: David Evans
Jockey: Jack Callan
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
↔ SAME CLASSSURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
Last run25 days ago · 29 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 0.6f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP9/41 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: +13.0% • +1.25pp
Measured NR price effect removed: +0.42pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 14/1 @ 08:52
NR @ 08:52: 14/1 → 14/1 (+0.42pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +0.83pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 15 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Previous market evidence
Strongest previous Open → final market support: Wolverhampton (AW), 02 Jun 2026 — 2nd • open 5/1 → final market price 5/2 (+11.90pp).
Opened 11/1Market avg 9/1Implied win: 9.6% · Loss: 90.4%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+0.83pp(+9.0%)
8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1
12 decimal
Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 11/1SportingIndex 11/1Spreadex 11/17Bet 10/1BetWright 10/1Coral 10/1Dragon Bet 10/1Ladbrokes 10/1LiveScore Bet 10/1Star Sports 10/1Virgin Bet 10/1William Hill 10/110 Bet 9/1BetTom 9/1Betfred 9/1Hollywood Bets 9/1Midnite 9/1Quinn Bet 9/1Unibet 9/1Betfair Sportsbook 9/1Paddy Power 9/1Bet Victor 8/1BetMGM 8/1Betano 8/1Boyle Sports 8/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for allCompare all fixed odds
Mixed market: 0 shortening, 0 drifting
Bet365→ unchanged · 1m ago11/1
SportingIndex→ unchanged · 1m ago11/1
Spreadex→ unchanged · 1m ago11/1
7Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago10/1
BetWright→ unchanged · 1m ago10/1
Coral→ unchanged · 1m ago10/1
Dragon Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago10/1
Ladbrokes→ unchanged · 1m ago10/1
LiveScore Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago10/1
Star Sports→ unchanged · 1m ago10/1
Virgin Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago10/1
William Hill→ unchanged · 1m ago10/1
10 Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago9/1
BetTom→ unchanged · 1m ago9/1
Betfred→ unchanged · 1m ago9/1
Hollywood Bets→ unchanged · 1m ago9/1
Midnite→ unchanged · 1m ago9/1
Quinn Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago9/1
Unibet→ unchanged · 1m ago9/1
Betfair Sportsbook→ unchanged · 1m ago9/1
Paddy Power→ unchanged · 1m ago9/1
Bet Victor→ unchanged · 1m ago8/1
BetMGM→ unchanged · 1m ago8/1
Betano→ unchanged · 1m ago8/1
Boyle Sports→ unchanged · 1m ago8/1
25 bookmakers comparedWhat do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?
Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners | 11/1 | -0.42ppOpen → 10am | 11/1 | +1.25pp10am → now; SP pending | 9/1Current; SP pending | Pending | +0.83ppNR adjusted |
| Ffos Las28 Jul 20261m · Class 6 · Good · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 6/4 | -3.64ppOpen → 10am | 7/4 | +9.09pp10am → SP | 6/5 | 2nd | +5.45pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Chepstow24 Jul 20261m 14y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 13/8 | -0.15ppOpen → 10am | 13/8 | -7.25pp10am → SP | 9/4 | 1st | -7.40pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Wolverhampton (AW)07 Jul 20261m 142y · Class 6 · Standard · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 5/6 | -9.19ppOpen → 10am | 6/5 | +4.55pp10am → SP | EVS | 2nd | -4.64pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Bath01 Jul 20261m · Class 6 · Firm · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 3/1 | +1.67ppOpen → 10am | 11/4 | -1.67pp10am → SP | 3/1 | 2nd | +0.00pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Ffos Las23 Jun 20261m 2f · Class 6 · Good · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 13/2 | +3.33ppOpen → 10am | 5/1 | -2.38pp10am → SP | 6/1 | 2nd | +0.95pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Wolverhampton (AW)02 Jun 20261m 142y · Class 6 · Standard · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 5/1 | +14.10ppOpen → 10am | 9/4 | +0.00pp10am → SP | 9/4 | 2nd | +14.10pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Kempton (AW)14 Jan 20267f · Class 6 · Standard To Slow · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 5/2 | -8.57ppOpen → 10am | 4/1 | -9.47pp10am → SP | 17/2 | 2nd | -18.05pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners | 11/1 | -0.42ppOpen → 10am | 11/1 | +1.25pp10am → now; SP pending | 9/1Current; SP pending | Pending | +0.83ppNR adjusted |
| Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions. | |||||||
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amStrengthening+1.25pp since 10am, as of 18:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level
Support of +5.00pp · around 13/2 (7.27 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 7/44 (15.9%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.7%.
Trainer support level
Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.Support of +10.00pp · around 9/2 (5.33 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 3/20 (15%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.7%.
TIMING & CONTEXT
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Weakening late
Off — prices frozen↔ SAME CLASS
Trainer: Ruth Carr
Jockey: William Pyle
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD0/2 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 12/1 · 13% shorter today
Last run14 days ago · 10 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: +28.2% • +2.31pp
Measured NR price effect removed: +0.04pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 14/1 @ 08:52
NR @ 08:52: 14/1 → 14/1 (+0.04pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +2.28pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE83rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 6 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Previous market evidence
Strongest previous Open → final market support: Beverley, 28 Jul 2026 — 5th • open 12/1 → final market price 17/2 (+2.83pp).
Opened 16/1Market avg 11/1Implied win: 8.2% · Loss: 91.8%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+2.28pp(+27.9%)
10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
![7Bet]()
12/1
13 decimal
7Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
7Bet 12/1Bet365 12/1BetWright 12/1Coral 12/1Dragon Bet 12/1Ladbrokes 12/1SportingIndex 12/1Spreadex 12/1Star Sports 12/110 Bet 11/1BetTom 11/1Betfred 11/1Hollywood Bets 11/1LiveScore Bet 11/1Midnite 11/1Quinn Bet 11/1Unibet 11/1Virgin Bet 11/1William Hill 11/1Betfair Sportsbook 11/1Paddy Power 11/1Bet Victor 10/1BetMGM 10/1Betano 10/1Boyle Sports 10/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for allCompare all fixed odds
Mixed market: 0 shortening, 0 drifting
7Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago12/1
Bet365→ unchanged · 1m ago12/1
BetWright→ unchanged · 1m ago12/1
Coral→ unchanged · 1m ago12/1
Dragon Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago12/1
Ladbrokes→ unchanged · 1m ago12/1
SportingIndex→ unchanged · 1m ago12/1
Spreadex→ unchanged · 1m ago12/1
Star Sports→ unchanged · 1m ago12/1
10 Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago11/1
BetTom→ unchanged · 1m ago11/1
Betfred→ unchanged · 1m ago11/1
Hollywood Bets→ unchanged · 1m ago11/1
LiveScore Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago11/1
Midnite→ unchanged · 1m ago11/1
Quinn Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago11/1
Unibet→ unchanged · 1m ago11/1
Virgin Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago11/1
William Hill→ unchanged · 1m ago11/1
Betfair Sportsbook→ unchanged · 1m ago11/1
Paddy Power→ unchanged · 1m ago11/1
Bet Victor→ unchanged · 1m ago10/1
BetMGM→ unchanged · 1m ago10/1
Betano→ unchanged · 1m ago10/1
Boyle Sports→ unchanged · 1m ago10/1
25 bookmakers comparedWhat do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?
Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners | 16/1 | +5.19ppOpen → 10am | 8/1 | -2.91pp10am → now; SP pending | 11/1Current; SP pending | Pending | +2.28ppNR adjusted |
| Wolverhampton (AW)29 Sep 20261m 142y · Class 6 · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 10/3 | -0.51ppOpen → 10am | 7/2 | -2.22pp10am → SP | 4/1 | 2nd | -2.73pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners | 16/1 | +5.19ppOpen → 10am | 8/1 | -2.91pp10am → now; SP pending | 11/1Current; SP pending | Pending | +2.28ppNR adjusted |
| Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions. | |||||||
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.91pp since 10am, as of 18:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level
Support of +5.00pp · around 8/1 (9.16 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 18/86 (20.9%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.9%.
Trainer support level
Support of +10.00pp · around 11/2 (6.28 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 10/30 (33.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.9%.
Trainer support level
Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.Support of +15.00pp · around 4/1 (4.78 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 6/14 (42.9%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.9%.
TIMING & CONTEXT
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Weakening late
Off — prices frozen↔ SAME CLASS
Trainer: Derek Shaw
Jockey: Taryn Langley(5)
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD0/2 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 66/1 · 73% shorter today
Last run30 days ago · 24 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -39.0% • -2.34pp
Measured NR price effect removed: +0.77pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 17/2 @ 08:52
NR @ 08:52: 9/1 → 17/2 (+0.77pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -3.11pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.Previous market evidence
Largest previous Open → final market drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 18 Sep 2026 — 4th • open 14/1 → final market price 33/1 (-3.51pp).
Opened 11/1Market avg 16/1Implied win: 6.0% · Loss: 94.0%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-3.11pp(-59.5%)
14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1
19 decimal
Coral
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Coral 18/1Ladbrokes 18/1Star Sports 18/110 Bet 16/17Bet 16/1Bet365 16/1BetTom 16/1BetWright 16/1Betfred 16/1Dragon Bet 16/1Hollywood Bets 16/1LiveScore Bet 16/1Midnite 16/1Quinn Bet 16/1Virgin Bet 16/1William Hill 16/1Betfair Sportsbook 16/1Paddy Power 16/1Bet Victor 14/1BetMGM 14/1Betano 14/1Boyle Sports 14/1SportingIndex 14/1Spreadex 14/1Unibet 14/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for allCompare all fixed odds
Mixed market: 0 shortening, 0 drifting
Coral→ unchanged · 1m ago18/1
Ladbrokes→ unchanged · 1m ago18/1
Star Sports→ unchanged · 1m ago18/1
10 Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago16/1
7Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago16/1
Bet365→ unchanged · 1m ago16/1
BetTom→ unchanged · 1m ago16/1
BetWright→ unchanged · 1m ago16/1
Betfred→ unchanged · 1m ago16/1
Dragon Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago16/1
Hollywood Bets→ unchanged · 1m ago16/1
LiveScore Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago16/1
Midnite→ unchanged · 1m ago16/1
Quinn Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago16/1
Virgin Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago16/1
William Hill→ unchanged · 1m ago16/1
Betfair Sportsbook→ unchanged · 1m ago16/1
Paddy Power→ unchanged · 1m ago16/1
Bet Victor→ unchanged · 1m ago14/1
BetMGM→ unchanged · 1m ago14/1
Betano→ unchanged · 1m ago14/1
Boyle Sports→ unchanged · 1m ago14/1
SportingIndex→ unchanged · 1m ago14/1
Spreadex→ unchanged · 1m ago14/1
Unibet→ unchanged · 1m ago14/1
25 bookmakers comparedWhat do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?
Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners | 11/1 | +2.01ppOpen → 10am | 8/1 | -5.12pp10am → now; SP pending | 16/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -3.11ppNR adjusted |
| No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet. | |||||||
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners | 11/1 | +2.01ppOpen → 10am | 8/1 | -5.12pp10am → now; SP pending | 16/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -3.11ppNR adjusted |
| Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions. | |||||||
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-5.12pp since 10am, as of 18:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price
Back to the 10am position · around 8/1 (9.00 decimal).
Watch for the price to recover to this level.A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.
Trainer support level
Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.Support of +5.00pp · around 6/1 (7.09 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 3/10 (30%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 3.4%.
TIMING & CONTEXT
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Weakening late
Off — prices frozen↔ SAME CLASS
Trainer: James Owen
Jockey: Robert Havlin
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
Last run17 days ago · 7 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: +20.2% • +1.20pp
Measured NR price effect removed: -0.14pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 18/1 @ 08:52
NR @ 08:52: 18/1 → 18/1 (-0.14pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +1.35pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.Previous market evidence
Strongest previous Open → final market support: Newmarket, 15 May 2026 — 7th • open 16/1 → final market price 14/1 (+0.78pp).
Opened 20/1Market avg 16/1Implied win: 6.0% · Loss: 94.0%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+1.35pp(+22.0%)
14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1
19 decimal
Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 18/1Coral 18/1Ladbrokes 18/1Star Sports 18/17Bet 16/1BetTom 16/1BetWright 16/1Betfred 16/1Dragon Bet 16/1Hollywood Bets 16/1LiveScore Bet 16/1Midnite 16/1Quinn Bet 16/1SportingIndex 16/1Spreadex 16/1Virgin Bet 16/1Betfair Sportsbook 16/1Paddy Power 16/110 Bet 14/1Bet Victor 14/1BetMGM 14/1Betano 14/1Boyle Sports 14/1Unibet 14/1William Hill 14/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for allCompare all fixed odds
1/25 bookmakers drifting
Bet365→ unchanged · 1m ago18/1
Coral→ unchanged · 1m ago18/1
Ladbrokes→ unchanged · 1m ago18/1
Star Sports→ unchanged · 1m ago18/1
7Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago16/1
BetTom↑ drifting · 1m ago16/1
BetWright→ unchanged · 1m ago16/1
Betfred→ unchanged · 1m ago16/1
Dragon Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago16/1
Hollywood Bets→ unchanged · 1m ago16/1
LiveScore Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago16/1
Midnite→ unchanged · 1m ago16/1
Quinn Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago16/1
SportingIndex→ unchanged · 1m ago16/1
Spreadex→ unchanged · 1m ago16/1
Virgin Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago16/1
Betfair Sportsbook→ unchanged · 1m ago16/1
Paddy Power→ unchanged · 1m ago16/1
10 Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago14/1
Bet Victor→ unchanged · 1m ago14/1
BetMGM→ unchanged · 1m ago14/1
Betano→ unchanged · 1m ago14/1
Boyle Sports→ unchanged · 1m ago14/1
Unibet→ unchanged · 1m ago14/1
William Hill→ unchanged · 1m ago14/1
25 bookmakers comparedWhat do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?
Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners | 20/1 | +3.07ppOpen → 10am | 12/1 | -1.73pp10am → now; SP pending | 16/1Current; SP pending | Pending | +1.35ppNR adjusted |
| No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet. | |||||||
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners | 20/1 | +3.07ppOpen → 10am | 12/1 | -1.73pp10am → now; SP pending | 16/1Current; SP pending | Pending | +1.35ppNR adjusted |
| Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions. | |||||||
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.73pp since 10am, as of 18:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level
Support of +5.00pp · around 9/1 (10.40 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 66/220 (30%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 16.2%.
Trainer support level
Support of +10.00pp · around 6/1 (6.84 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 42/102 (41.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 16.2%.
Trainer support level
Support of +15.00pp · around 4/1 (5.10 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 25/42 (59.5%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 16.2%.
Trainer support level
Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.Support of +20.00pp · around 3/1 (4.06 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 15/20 (75%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 16.2%.
TIMING & CONTEXT
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Weakening late
Off — prices frozen↔ SAME CLASS
Trainer: Julie Camacho
Jockey: Rob Hornby
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run98 days ago · 18 Jul 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -4.6% • -0.23pp
Measured NR price effect removed: +0.24pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 28/1 @ 08:52
NR @ 08:52: 28/1 → 28/1 (+0.24pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -0.47pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.Previous market evidence
Largest previous Open → final market drift: Doncaster, 18 Jul 2026 — 6th • open 11/4 → final market price 14/1 (-20.00pp).
Opened 18/1Market avg 18/1Implied win: 5.0% · Loss: 95.0%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-0.47pp(-9.9%)
16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 18/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1
23 decimal
Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 22/17Bet 20/1BetWright 20/1Coral 20/1Dragon Bet 20/1Hollywood Bets 20/1Ladbrokes 20/1LiveScore Bet 20/1Midnite 20/1SportingIndex 20/1Spreadex 20/1Star Sports 20/1Virgin Bet 20/1William Hill 20/110 Bet 18/1BetTom 18/1Betfred 18/1Quinn Bet 18/1Unibet 18/1Betfair Sportsbook 18/1Paddy Power 18/1Bet Victor 16/1BetMGM 16/1Betano 16/1Boyle Sports 16/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for allCompare all fixed odds
Mixed market: 0 shortening, 0 drifting
Bet365→ unchanged · 1m ago22/1
7Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago20/1
BetWright→ unchanged · 1m ago20/1
Coral→ unchanged · 1m ago20/1
Dragon Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago20/1
Hollywood Bets→ unchanged · 1m ago20/1
Ladbrokes→ unchanged · 1m ago20/1
LiveScore Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago20/1
Midnite→ unchanged · 1m ago20/1
SportingIndex→ unchanged · 1m ago20/1
Spreadex→ unchanged · 1m ago20/1
Star Sports→ unchanged · 1m ago20/1
Virgin Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago20/1
William Hill→ unchanged · 1m ago20/1
10 Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago18/1
BetTom→ unchanged · 1m ago18/1
Betfred→ unchanged · 1m ago18/1
Quinn Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago18/1
Unibet→ unchanged · 1m ago18/1
Betfair Sportsbook→ unchanged · 1m ago18/1
Paddy Power→ unchanged · 1m ago18/1
Bet Victor→ unchanged · 1m ago16/1
BetMGM→ unchanged · 1m ago16/1
Betano→ unchanged · 1m ago16/1
Boyle Sports→ unchanged · 1m ago16/1
25 bookmakers comparedWhat do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?
Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners | 18/1 | -0.24ppOpen → 10am | 18/1 | -0.23pp10am → now; SP pending | 18/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -0.47ppNR adjusted |
| No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet. | |||||||
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners | 18/1 | -0.24ppOpen → 10am | 18/1 | -0.23pp10am → now; SP pending | 18/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -0.47ppNR adjusted |
| Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions. | |||||||
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amHolding-0.23pp since 10am, as of 18:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price
Back to the 10am position · around 18/1 (19.00 decimal).
Watch for the price to recover to this level.A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.
Trainer support level
Support of +5.00pp · around 17/2 (9.52 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 12/48 (25%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 7.8%.
Trainer support level
Support of +10.00pp · around 11/2 (6.45 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 8/20 (40%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 7.8%.
Trainer support level
Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.Support of +15.00pp · around 4/1 (4.88 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 3/5 (60%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 7.8%. Small sample.
TIMING & CONTEXT
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Weakening late
Off — prices frozen↔ SAME CLASS
Trainer: Julie Camacho
Jockey: Dylan Hogan
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run33 days ago · 21 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1.1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -9.5% • -0.41pp
Measured NR price effect removed: +0.22pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 18/1 @ 08:52
NR @ 08:52: 18/1 → 18/1 (+0.22pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -0.64pp
Previous market evidence
Largest previous Open → final market drift: Redcar, 09 Sep 2026 — 13th • open 40/1 → final market price 40/1 (-0.06pp).
Opened 20/1Market avg 22/1Implied win: 4.3% · Loss: 95.7%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-0.64pp(-15.4%)
18/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1
29 decimal
Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 28/1Midnite 28/1Coral 25/1Ladbrokes 25/1Star Sports 25/1William Hill 25/1BetTom 22/1BetWright 22/1Betfred 22/1Dragon Bet 22/1Hollywood Bets 22/1LiveScore Bet 22/1Quinn Bet 22/1SportingIndex 22/1Spreadex 22/1Virgin Bet 22/110 Bet 20/17Bet 20/1BetMGM 20/1Unibet 20/1Betfair Sportsbook 20/1Paddy Power 20/1Bet Victor 18/1Betano 18/1Boyle Sports 18/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for allCompare all fixed odds
1/25 bookmakers drifting
Bet365→ unchanged · 1m ago28/1
Midnite→ unchanged · 1m ago28/1
Coral→ unchanged · 1m ago25/1
Ladbrokes→ unchanged · 1m ago25/1
Star Sports→ unchanged · 1m ago25/1
William Hill→ unchanged · 1m ago25/1
BetTom↑ drifting · 1m ago22/1
BetWright→ unchanged · 1m ago22/1
Betfred→ unchanged · 1m ago22/1
Dragon Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago22/1
Hollywood Bets→ unchanged · 1m ago22/1
LiveScore Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago22/1
Quinn Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago22/1
SportingIndex→ unchanged · 1m ago22/1
Spreadex→ unchanged · 1m ago22/1
Virgin Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago22/1
10 Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago20/1
7Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago20/1
BetMGM→ unchanged · 1m ago20/1
Unibet→ unchanged · 1m ago20/1
Betfair Sportsbook→ unchanged · 1m ago20/1
Paddy Power→ unchanged · 1m ago20/1
Bet Victor→ unchanged · 1m ago18/1
Betano→ unchanged · 1m ago18/1
Boyle Sports→ unchanged · 1m ago18/1
25 bookmakers comparedWhat do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?
Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners | 20/1 | -0.22ppOpen → 10am | 20/1 | -0.41pp10am → now; SP pending | 22/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -0.64ppNR adjusted |
| No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet. | |||||||
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners | 20/1 | -0.22ppOpen → 10am | 20/1 | -0.41pp10am → now; SP pending | 22/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -0.64ppNR adjusted |
| Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions. | |||||||
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amHolding-0.41pp since 10am, as of 18:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price
Back to the 10am position · around 20/1 (21.00 decimal).
Watch for the price to recover to this level.A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.
Trainer support level
Support of +5.00pp · around 9/1 (10.02 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 12/48 (25%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 7.8%.
Trainer support level
Support of +10.00pp · around 11/2 (6.67 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 8/20 (40%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 7.8%.
Trainer support level
Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.Support of +15.00pp · around 4/1 (5.00 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 3/5 (60%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 7.8%. Small sample.
TIMING & CONTEXT
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Weakening late
Off — prices frozen
Trainer: Micky Fenton
Jockey: Grace McEntee
🟢 Needs Support (13%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
↔ SAME CLASSSURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 9/1 · 204% bigger today
Last run9 days ago · 15 Oct 2026
Distance changeUp 2.1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP11/41 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -44.8% • -1.47pp
Measured NR price effect removed: +0.12pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 22/1 @ 08:52
NR @ 08:52: 22/1 → 22/1 (+0.12pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -1.59pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
73th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE73rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 11 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.Previous market evidence
Largest previous Open → final market drift: Kempton (AW), 14 Jan 2026 — 5th • open 8/1 → final market price 22/1 (-6.76pp).
Opened 20/1Market avg 28/1Implied win: 3.3% · Loss: 96.7%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-1.59pp(-50.4%)
25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 28/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
![7Bet]()
33/1
36 decimal
7Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
7Bet 33/1Bet365 33/1BetWright 33/1Coral 33/1Dragon Bet 33/1Ladbrokes 33/1Midnite 33/1Star Sports 33/1William Hill 33/110 Bet 28/1BetTom 28/1Betfred 28/1Hollywood Bets 28/1LiveScore Bet 28/1Quinn Bet 28/1SportingIndex 28/1Spreadex 28/1Unibet 28/1Virgin Bet 28/1Betfair Sportsbook 28/1Paddy Power 28/1Bet Victor 25/1BetMGM 25/1Betano 25/1Boyle Sports 25/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for allCompare all fixed odds
1/25 bookmakers drifting
7Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago33/1
Bet365→ unchanged · 1m ago33/1
BetWright↑ drifting · 1m ago33/1
Coral→ unchanged · 1m ago33/1
Dragon Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago33/1
Ladbrokes→ unchanged · 1m ago33/1
Midnite→ unchanged · 1m ago33/1
Star Sports→ unchanged · 1m ago33/1
William Hill→ unchanged · 1m ago33/1
10 Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago28/1
BetTom→ unchanged · 1m ago28/1
Betfred→ unchanged · 1m ago28/1
Hollywood Bets→ unchanged · 1m ago28/1
LiveScore Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago28/1
Quinn Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago28/1
SportingIndex→ unchanged · 1m ago28/1
Spreadex→ unchanged · 1m ago28/1
Unibet→ unchanged · 1m ago28/1
Virgin Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago28/1
Betfair Sportsbook→ unchanged · 1m ago28/1
Paddy Power→ unchanged · 1m ago28/1
Bet Victor→ unchanged · 1m ago25/1
BetMGM→ unchanged · 1m ago25/1
Betano→ unchanged · 1m ago25/1
Boyle Sports→ unchanged · 1m ago25/1
25 bookmakers comparedWhat do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?
Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners | 20/1 | +0.38ppOpen → 10am | 18/1 | -1.97pp10am → now; SP pending | 28/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -1.59ppNR adjusted |
| Leicester25 May 20267f · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 11/4 | +4.10ppOpen → 10am | 9/4 | -4.10pp10am → SP | 11/4 | 1st | +0.00pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Lingfield19 May 20267f 135y · Class 6 · Good · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 7/1 | +12.50ppOpen → 10am | 3/1 | +0.00pp10am → SP | 3/1 | 2nd | +12.50pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners | 20/1 | +0.38ppOpen → 10am | 18/1 | -1.97pp10am → now; SP pending | 28/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -1.59ppNR adjusted |
| Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions. | |||||||
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.97pp since 10am, as of 18:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price
Back to the 10am position · around 18/1 (19.00 decimal).
Watch for the price to recover to this level.A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.
Horse support level
Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.Support of +4.10pp · around 10/1 (11.13 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.2/3 finished 1st or 2nd with this much support or more (67%).
TIMING & CONTEXT
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Weakening late
Off — prices frozen↔ SAME CLASS
Trainer: Tony Carroll
Jockey: Kevin Stott
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD0/2 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 100/1 · 71% shorter today
Last run32 days ago · 22 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 8.4f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: +8.1% • +0.25pp
Measured NR price effect removed: +0.45pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 16/1 @ 08:52
NR @ 08:52: 18/1 → 16/1 (+0.45pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -0.21pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 5 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.Previous market evidence
Largest previous Open → final market drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 04 Apr 2026 — 5th • open 9/4 → final market price 7/2 (-8.55pp).
Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1Implied win: 3.0% · Loss: 97.0%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-0.21pp(-8.1%)
28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 28/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1
41 decimal
Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 40/1Star Sports 40/17Bet 33/1BetMGM 33/1BetWright 33/1Betfred 33/1Coral 33/1Dragon Bet 33/1Hollywood Bets 33/1Ladbrokes 33/1LiveScore Bet 33/1Midnite 33/1Quinn Bet 33/1SportingIndex 33/1Spreadex 33/1Virgin Bet 33/1William Hill 33/1Betfair Sportsbook 33/1Paddy Power 33/110 Bet 28/1BetTom 28/1Boyle Sports 28/1Bet Victor 25/1Betano 25/1Unibet 25/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for allCompare all fixed odds
Mixed market: 0 shortening, 0 drifting
Bet365→ unchanged · 1m ago40/1
Star Sports→ unchanged · 1m ago40/1
7Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago33/1
BetMGM→ unchanged · 1m ago33/1
BetWright→ unchanged · 1m ago33/1
Betfred→ unchanged · 1m ago33/1
Coral→ unchanged · 1m ago33/1
Dragon Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago33/1
Hollywood Bets→ unchanged · 1m ago33/1
Ladbrokes→ unchanged · 1m ago33/1
LiveScore Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago33/1
Midnite→ unchanged · 1m ago33/1
Quinn Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago33/1
SportingIndex→ unchanged · 1m ago33/1
Spreadex→ unchanged · 1m ago33/1
Virgin Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago33/1
William Hill→ unchanged · 1m ago33/1
Betfair Sportsbook→ unchanged · 1m ago33/1
Paddy Power→ unchanged · 1m ago33/1
10 Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago28/1
BetTom→ unchanged · 1m ago28/1
Boyle Sports→ unchanged · 1m ago28/1
Bet Victor→ unchanged · 1m ago25/1
Betano→ unchanged · 1m ago25/1
Unibet→ unchanged · 1m ago25/1
25 bookmakers comparedWhat do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?
Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners | 33/1 | +2.03ppOpen → 10am | 18/1 | -2.24pp10am → now; SP pending | 33/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -0.21ppNR adjusted |
| No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet. | |||||||
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners | 33/1 | +2.03ppOpen → 10am | 18/1 | -2.24pp10am → now; SP pending | 33/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -0.21ppNR adjusted |
| Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions. | |||||||
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.24pp since 10am, as of 18:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price
Back to the 10am position · around 18/1 (19.00 decimal).
Watch for the price to recover to this level.A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.
Trainer support level
Support of +5.00pp · around 11/1 (12.15 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 40/159 (25.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12%.
Trainer support level
Support of +10.00pp · around 13/2 (7.56 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 27/71 (38%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12%.
Trainer support level
Support of +15.00pp · around 9/2 (5.49 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 10/32 (31.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12%.
Trainer support level
Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.Support of +20.00pp · around 10/3 (4.30 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 4/10 (40%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12%.
TIMING & CONTEXT
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Weakening late
Battle Standard
NON-RUNNERNR @ 08:52
Non-runner adjustment audit
NR recorded: 08:52:09 · recorded declaration time
Last recorded market average before NR: 7/2 (4.462) at 08:50:23
Implied probability: 22.41%
Snapshot 106 seconds before the recorded NR time.
The last captured price is shown, not an assumed exact withdrawal price. Adjustments below use each remaining horse’s measured pre/post-NR price change.
| Remaining horse | Before NR / captured | Post-NR baseline | Effect removed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Love You More | 11/2 (6.417) 08:50:23 | 9/2 (5.500) Baseline reference 08:52:09 | +2.60pp |
| Lili Marleen | 9/2 (5.625) 08:50:23 | 4/1 (5.000) Baseline reference 08:52:09 | +2.22pp |
| Kev | 5/1 (6.021) 08:50:23 | 9/2 (5.500) Baseline reference 08:52:09 | +1.57pp |
| Crown The Future | 15/2 (8.396) 08:50:23 | 7/1 (8.000) Baseline reference 08:52:09 | +0.59pp |
| African Spirit | 11/2 (6.271) 08:50:23 | 5/1 (6.000) Baseline reference 08:52:09 | +0.72pp |
| Knightmare | 14/1 (16.000) 08:50:23 | 14/1 (15.000) Baseline reference 08:52:09 | +0.42pp |
| Dumfries | 14/1 (15.083) 08:50:23 | 14/1 (15.000) Baseline reference 08:52:09 | +0.04pp |
| Al Suil Eile | 9/1 (10.250) 08:50:23 | 17/2 (9.500) Baseline reference 08:52:09 | +0.77pp |
| Blue Samuna | 18/1 (18.500) 08:50:23 | 18/1 (19.000) Baseline reference 08:52:09 | -0.14pp |
| Oscar's Sister | 28/1 (31.167) 08:50:23 | 28/1 (29.000) Baseline reference 08:52:09 | +0.24pp |
| Captain Corelli | 18/1 (19.833) 08:50:23 | 18/1 (19.000) Baseline reference 08:52:09 | +0.22pp |
| Grand Citadel | 22/1 (23.667) 08:50:23 | 22/1 (23.000) Baseline reference 08:52:09 | +0.12pp |
| Rogue Desire | 18/1 (18.417) 08:50:23 | 16/1 (17.000) Baseline reference 08:52:09 | +0.45pp |
Effect removed = (100 ÷ post-NR baseline) − (100 ÷ pre-NR price). True move = raw Open → Now move − total signed NR effects.
The post-NR baseline can be the median of captured bookmaker prices within five minutes after the NR, or the first available timeline price. Its reference time is not necessarily an individual price capture. Fractional prices are rounded; decimal prices are included for checking. Simultaneous withdrawals share one measured event.
- Supported1 of 13 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Love You More +11.89pp
- Drifting3 of 13 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Crown The Future -5.75pp
- Last 15 minbiggest gain: Kev +4.04pp · biggest drift: Love You More -4.04pp
- Market surges1 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min · Kev
Price Movement
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