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Market-average order · Green ↑ shortening · Red ↓ drifting

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Aintree 🔒Galway 🔒Market Rasen ✓Wexford 🔒
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
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Market overview
Runners Today
7
Shown After Filters
7
Active Signals (15%+)
6
01 · Strongest support
Racing silks
Minella Buoy
13:35 Market Rasen
+18.70pp
True move after NR adjustment · 7/1 → 9/4
02 · Repeat evidence
No repeat signal active
No upcoming runner currently matches a previous successful market pattern.
03 · Weak favourite
Racing silks
Don Dandy
13:35 Market Rasen
-15.13pp
True move after NR adjustment · 1/3 → 4/6
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
13:35Market Rasen • Hurdle • 2m0f125y • Class 4 • Going: Good To Soft
7 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

13:35Market Rasen
Racing silksDon Dandy
Trainer: Olly Murphy
Jockey: Sean Bowen
PRO RACECARD ↗
Last runNot recorded
Distance changeNot recorded
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 25.2% • -15.13 probability points
Opened 1/3Market avg 4/6Implied win: 60.1% · Loss: 39.9%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-15.13pp(-25.2%)
4/6 → 4/6 ↑ 8/11 → 8/11 ↓ 4/6 → 4/6 → 4/6 ↑ 8/11 ↓ 4/6 → 4/6
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/6 1.83 decimal LiveScore Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
LiveScore Bet 5/6Virgin Bet 5/6Bet Victor 8/11BetWright 8/11Betano 8/11Hollywood Bets 8/1110 Bet 4/67Bet 4/6Bet365 4/6BetMGM 4/6BetTom 4/6Betfred 4/6Boyle Sports 4/6Dragon Bet 4/6Midnite 4/6Quinn Bet 4/6Star Sports 4/6Unibet 4/6Paddy Power 4/6SportingIndex 8/13Spreadex 8/13Betfair Sportsbook 8/13William Hill 8/15Coral 4/9Ladbrokes 4/9
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 7 runners1/3-15.31ppOpen → 10am4/6+0.18pp10am → now; SP pending4/6Current; SP pendingPending-15.13pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
SIGNIFICANT MARKET DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-15.13ppMarket weakness from the opening price.Trainer19.9% → 0%Open → 10am · drifted 15pp+Baseline → matching strike rate; 8 runners, Open → 10am · drifted 15pp+. Historical sample requires opening, 10am and official SP prices. Popup uses opening → final market price and a broader results baseline.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amHolding+0.18pp since 10am, as of 13:31. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: class not recorded
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The trainer’s drift record adds context: When this trainer's runners had drifted by 15pp+ by 10am, 0/8 won (0%), compared with the yard's normal 19.9% strike rate. Today’s move: Don Dandy has moved from 1/3 to 4/6, a significant drift (-15.13pp).

Drifted by 15.31pp by 10am. Shortened by 0.18pp since 10am. As of 13:31; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 4/6 (1.67 decimal).

10am price recovered — watch whether it holds.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 1/4 (1.25 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 47/130 (36.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.9%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: 10am was biggest
Easing off
13:35Market Rasen
Racing silksMinella Buoy
Trainer: Gary Hanmer
Jockey: Danny McMenamin
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run35 days ago · 20 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 0.6f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest support recorded across 6 previous runs.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Raw Open → Now price change: 59.9% • +18.70 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Gowran Park (IRE), 01 Jun 2026 — 6th • open 20/1 → final market price 5/1 (+11.90pp).

Opened 7/1Market avg 9/4Implied win: 31.2% · Loss: 68.8%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+18.70pp(+59.9%)
9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 2/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/2 3.5 decimal 7Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
7Bet 5/2BetTom 5/2William Hill 5/2Bet Victor 9/4Bet365 9/4BetMGM 9/4Betano 9/4Betfred 9/4Boyle Sports 9/4Dragon Bet 9/4LiveScore Bet 9/4Midnite 9/4Quinn Bet 9/4SportingIndex 9/4Spreadex 9/4Star Sports 9/4Virgin Bet 9/4Unibet 9/410 Bet 2/1BetWright 2/1Coral 2/1Hollywood Bets 2/1Ladbrokes 2/1Betfair Sportsbook 2/1Paddy Power 2/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 7 runners7/1+27.50ppOpen → 10am6/4-8.80pp10am → now; SP pending9/4Current; SP pendingPending+18.70pp
THIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORTMarket+18.70ppGenuine support from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-8.80pp since 10am, as of 13:31. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: class not recorded
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Across 6 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support compared with its previous Open → final market price moves. The trainer evidence is important here: At 15pp+: Open→SP 1/3 won (33.3%), compared with the yard’s normal 8.2% strike rate. Today’s move: Minella Buoy has shortened from 7/1 to 9/4, which is exceptional support (+18.70pp).

Shortened by 27.50pp by 10am. Drifted by 8.80pp since 10am. As of 13:31; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Killarney (IRE) · 20 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 1/3 known conditions match
×Track: Today Market Rasen · previous Killarney (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 125y×Ground: Today Good To Soft · previous Good?Class: Data missing
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 7/2 (4.44 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

Trainer won 3/11 (27.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 8.2%.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/2 (5.71 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

Trainer won 5/20 (25%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 8.2%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
Easing off
13:35Market Rasen
Racing silksSee Blue
Trainer: Max Comley
Jockey: David Bass
🟢 Needs Support (14%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run128 days ago · 19 Jun 2026
Distance changeUp 8.6f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 12.9% • -1.76 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Goodwood, 19 Jun 2026 — 8th • open 6/1 → final market price 13/2 (-0.95pp).

Opened 11/2Market avg 13/2Implied win: 13.6% · Loss: 86.4%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-1.76pp(-12.9%)
7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↓ 11/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Coral
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Coral 8/1Ladbrokes 8/1Betfred 15/2Bet365 7/1Boyle Sports 7/1LiveScore Bet 7/1Virgin Bet 7/1Bet Victor 13/2BetMGM 13/2SportingIndex 13/2Spreadex 13/2Star Sports 13/2William Hill 13/2Paddy Power 13/27Bet 6/1BetTom 6/110 Bet 11/2BetWright 11/2Betano 11/2Dragon Bet 11/2Hollywood Bets 11/2Midnite 11/2Quinn Bet 11/2Unibet 11/2Betfair Sportsbook 11/2
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 7 runners11/2+6.84ppOpen → 10am7/2-8.60pp10am → now; SP pending13/2Current; SP pendingPending-1.76pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-8.60pp since 10am, as of 13:31. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: See Blue is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 6.84pp by 10am. Drifted by 8.60pp since 10am. As of 13:31; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 6pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 1/5 (20%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Haydock · 25 Apr 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Market Rasen · previous Haydock×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 125y · previous 1m 37y×Ground: Today Good To Soft · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 7/2 (4.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Horse support level

Support of +3.90pp · around 4/1 (5.19 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd with this much support or more (100%).

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 4/1 (4.91 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 6/23 (26.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.3%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Easing off
13:35Market Rasen
Racing silksElm Creek
Trainer: Rebecca Menzies
Jockey: Jamie Hamilton
PRO RACECARD ↗
SURFACE SWITCHAW → Turf
Last run198 days ago · 10 Apr 2026
Distance changeUp 5.9f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 133.6% • -3.81 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Dundalk (AW) (IRE), 10 Apr 2026 — 5th • open 9/4 → final market price 7/2 (-8.55pp).

Opened 14/1Market avg 33/1Implied win: 2.9% · Loss: 97.1%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-3.81pp(-133.6%)
33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal 10 Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
10 Bet 40/17Bet 40/1Bet Victor 40/1Betano 40/1Betfred 40/1Dragon Bet 40/1Hollywood Bets 40/1LiveScore Bet 40/1Quinn Bet 40/1SportingIndex 40/1Spreadex 40/1Star Sports 40/1Unibet 40/1Virgin Bet 40/1Bet365 33/1BetMGM 33/1BetWright 33/1Boyle Sports 33/1Midnite 33/1BetTom 28/1Paddy Power 28/1William Hill 22/1Betfair Sportsbook 22/1Coral 12/1Ladbrokes 12/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 7 runners14/1-1.40ppOpen → 10am18/1-2.41pp10am → now; SP pending33/1Current; SP pendingPending-3.81pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.41pp since 10am, as of 13:31. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: class not recorded
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Elm Creek is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 1.40pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.41pp more since 10am. As of 13:31; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 18/1 (19.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 15/2 (8.57 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 10/37 (27%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 7.5%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Easing off
13:35Market Rasen
Racing silksOllierob
Trainer: Harry Derham
Jockey: Paul O'Brien
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run33 days ago · 22 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1.2f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 109.2% • -3.07 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Fontwell, 22 Sep 2026 — 4th • open 5/2 → final market price 11/4 (-1.90pp).

Opened 16/1Market avg 33/1Implied win: 2.8% · Loss: 97.2%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-3.07pp(-109.2%)
33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↓ 33/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Bet Victor
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet Victor 40/1Bet365 40/1Betano 40/1SportingIndex 40/1Spreadex 40/17Bet 33/1Paddy Power 33/110 Bet 33/1BetMGM 33/1BetTom 33/1BetWright 33/1Betfred 33/1Boyle Sports 33/1Coral 33/1Dragon Bet 33/1Hollywood Bets 33/1Ladbrokes 33/1LiveScore Bet 33/1Midnite 33/1Quinn Bet 33/1Star Sports 33/1Unibet 33/1Virgin Bet 33/1William Hill 33/1Betfair Sportsbook 33/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 7 runners16/1-2.04ppOpen → 10am25/1-1.03pp10am → now; SP pending33/1Current; SP pendingPending-3.07pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.03pp since 10am, as of 13:31. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Ollierob is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 2.04pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.03pp more since 10am. As of 13:31; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 25/1 (26.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 8/1 (9.19 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 13/46 (28.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 17.2%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Easing off
13:35Market Rasen
Racing silksSolar Jet
Trainer: Dan Skelton
Jockey: Tristan Durrell
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run15 days ago · 10 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 15.5% • -0.33 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Leopardstown (IRE), 18 Jun 2026 — 10th • open 66/1 → final market price 100/1 (-0.50pp).

Opened 40/1Market avg 50/1Implied win: 2.1% · Loss: 97.9%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-0.33pp(-15.5%)
50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 66/110 Bet 50/17Bet 50/1Bet Victor 50/1BetMGM 50/1BetTom 50/1BetWright 50/1Betano 50/1Betfred 50/1Boyle Sports 50/1Dragon Bet 50/1Hollywood Bets 50/1LiveScore Bet 50/1Midnite 50/1Quinn Bet 50/1SportingIndex 50/1Spreadex 50/1Star Sports 50/1Unibet 50/1Virgin Bet 50/1Paddy Power 40/1Betfair Sportsbook 33/1William Hill 28/1Coral 20/1Ladbrokes 20/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 7 runners40/1+0.50ppOpen → 10am33/1-0.83pp10am → now; SP pending50/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.33pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-0.83pp since 10am, as of 13:31. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

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AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Solar Jet is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.50pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.83pp since 10am. As of 13:31; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 33/1 (34.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 12/1 (13.44 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 72/171 (42.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 23.7%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Easing off
13:35Market Rasen
Racing silksContemplation
Trainer: Mike Sowersby
Jockey: Charlie Maggs
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬆ CLASS RISE
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run137 days ago · 10 Jun 2026
Distance changeUp 8.6f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 6 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 31.3% • -0.16 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Beverley, 23 Apr 2026 — 6th • open 14/1 → final market price 50/1 (-4.71pp).

Opened 100/1Market avg 100/1Implied win: 0.5% · Loss: 99.5%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-0.16pp(-31.3%)
100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 301 decimal Paddy Power
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Paddy Power 100/1Bet365 100/1BetTom 100/1Midnite 100/1William Hill 100/1Betfair Sportsbook 100/110 Bet 100/17Bet 100/1Bet Victor 100/1BetMGM 100/1BetWright 100/1Betano 100/1Betfred 100/1Boyle Sports 100/1Dragon Bet 100/1Hollywood Bets 100/1LiveScore Bet 100/1Quinn Bet 100/1Star Sports 100/1Unibet 100/1Virgin Bet 100/1SportingIndex 100/1Spreadex 100/1Coral 66/1Ladbrokes 66/1
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 7 runners100/1+0.33ppOpen → 10am100/1-0.49pp10am → now; SP pending100/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.16pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amHolding-0.49pp since 10am, as of 13:31. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 6 · ↑ Class rise
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 6 previous Open → final market price moves. It is also stepping up from Class 6 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Contemplation is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.33pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.49pp since 10am. As of 13:31; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 100/1 (101.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Easing off
Race market overview as at 20:12
  • Supported1 of 7 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Minella Buoy +18.70pp
  • Drifting1 of 7 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Don Dandy -15.13pp
  • Last 15 minNo gain or drift recorded
  • Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min
15-minute snapshot 20:12 · no additional market query
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