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Market-average order · Green ↑ shortening · Red ↓ drifting

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Shared live snapshot 20:32:10
Market overview
Runners Today
9
Shown After Filters
3
Active Signals (15%+)
7
01 · Strongest support
Racing silks
Aire Spray
69
13:46 Bangor-on-Dee
+8.35pp
True move after NR adjustment · 12/1 → 11/2
02 · Repeat evidence
No repeat signal active
No upcoming runner currently matches a previous successful market pattern.
03 · Weak favourite
Racing silks
Crystal Glance
37
13:46 Bangor-on-Dee
-5.71pp
True move after NR adjustment · 7/2 → 5/1
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
13:46Bangor-on-Dee • Hurdle • 2m7f32y • Class 4 • Going: Good
3 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

13:46Bangor-on-Dee
Racing silksAire Spray
Trainer: Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith
Jockey: Oscar Palmer(6)
10AM EMERGING PATTERNFrozen 10am Emerging market pattern. This is an early pattern, not yet a fully established repeat-winner signal.

Source: stored dcn_signal_flags classification for today. This signal is frozen at 10am; the live price can move afterwards without changing the 10am classification.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run226 days ago · 15 Mar 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP5/21 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Raw Open → Now price change: 52.5% • +8.35 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Market Rasen, 17 Feb 2026 — 1st • open 11/2 → final market price 5/2 (+13.19pp).

Opened 12/1Market avg 11/2Implied win: 15.9% · Loss: 84.1%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+8.35pp(+52.5%)
11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal Bet Victor
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet Victor 11/2Bet365 11/2BetMGM 11/2Betano 11/2Betfred 11/2Boyle Sports 11/2Coral 11/2Ladbrokes 11/2LiveScore Bet 11/2Midnite 11/2Quinn Bet 11/2Star Sports 11/2Virgin Bet 11/2William Hill 11/210 Bet 5/17Bet 5/1BetTom 5/1BetWright 5/1Dragon Bet 5/1Hollywood Bets 5/1SportingIndex 5/1Spreadex 5/1Unibet 5/1Betfair Sportsbook 5/1Paddy Power 5/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 7f 32y · Class 4 · Good · 9 runners12/1+10.61ppOpen → 10am9/2-2.26pp10am → now; SP pending11/2Current; SP pendingPending+8.35pp
TRAINER RECORD MAKES THIS SUPPORT SIGNIFICANTMarket+8.35ppGenuine support from the opening price.Trainer13.5% → 25%Open → SP · backed 5pp+Baseline → matching strike rate; 40 runners, Open → SP · backed 5pp+. Historical sample requires opening, 10am and official SP prices. Popup uses opening → final market price and a broader results baseline.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.26pp since 10am, as of 13:42. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith runners in the matching 5pp+ band have won 10/40 (a 25% Open→SP strike rate), compared with the trainer’s normal 13.5% strike rate. There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Aire Spray has shortened from 12/1 to 11/2, which is strong support (+8.35pp).

Shortened by 10.61pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.26pp since 10am. As of 13:42; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Market Rasen · 17 Feb 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Bangor-on-Dee · previous Market Rasen✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 7f 32y×Ground: Today Good · previous Soft✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 9/2 (5.69 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 7/21 (33.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 13.5%.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 7/1 (7.95 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

Trainer won 10/40 (25%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 13.5%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
Easing off
13:46Bangor-on-Dee
Racing silksHard Dealt
Trainer: Henry Daly
Jockey: Elliott England(5)
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run187 days ago · 23 Apr 2026
Distance changeUp 2.1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 6.1% • +0.92 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Haydock, 05 Mar 2026 — 2nd • open 7/1 → final market price 2/1 (+20.83pp).

Opened 6/1Market avg 11/2Implied win: 15.1% · Loss: 84.9%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+0.92pp(+6.1%)
6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 6/1BetMGM 6/1BetTom 6/1Boyle Sports 6/1Dragon Bet 6/1LiveScore Bet 6/1SportingIndex 6/1Spreadex 6/1Virgin Bet 6/1William Hill 6/1Paddy Power 6/17Bet 11/2Bet Victor 11/2BetWright 11/2Betano 11/2Betfred 11/2Hollywood Bets 11/2Midnite 11/2Quinn Bet 11/2Star Sports 11/2Unibet 11/2Betfair Sportsbook 11/210 Bet 5/1Coral 9/2Ladbrokes 9/2
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 7f 32y · Class 4 · Good · 9 runners6/1+4.00ppOpen → 10am9/2-3.08pp10am → now; SP pending11/2Current; SP pendingPending+0.92pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.08pp since 10am, as of 13:42. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 2 · ↓ Class drop
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves. The horse drops from Class 2 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Hard Dealt is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 4.00pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.08pp since 10am. As of 13:42; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Ascot · 29 Mar 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Bangor-on-Dee · previous Ascot✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 7f 32y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 4/1 (5.21 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 7/26 (26.9%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 14.4%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
Easing off
13:46Bangor-on-Dee
Racing silksSpeed Davis
Trainer: Donald McCain
Jockey: Harry Brown(10)
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
COURSE RECORD1/2 top 2Bangor-on-DeeAverage course SP 9/1 · 31% shorter today
Last run53 days ago · 4 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP9/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 28.7% • +3.95 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Bangor-on-Dee, 04 Sep 2026 — 3rd • open 14/1 → final market price 9/1 (+3.10pp).

Opened 9/1Market avg 13/2Implied win: 13.8% · Loss: 86.2%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+3.95pp(+28.7%)
13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 13/2BetMGM 13/2BetTom 13/2Betano 13/2Betfred 13/2Boyle Sports 13/2Coral 13/2Dragon Bet 13/2Ladbrokes 13/2LiveScore Bet 13/2Quinn Bet 13/2SportingIndex 13/2Spreadex 13/2Virgin Bet 13/2Paddy Power 13/210 Bet 6/17Bet 6/1Bet Victor 6/1Hollywood Bets 6/1Midnite 6/1Star Sports 6/1Unibet 6/1Betfair Sportsbook 6/1BetWright 11/2William Hill 11/2
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 7f 32y · Class 4 · Good · 9 runners9/1+4.46ppOpen → 10am6/1-0.51pp10am → now; SP pending13/2Current; SP pendingPending+3.95pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-0.51pp since 10am, as of 13:42. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 3 · ↓ Class drop
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves. The horse drops from Class 3 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Speed Davis is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 4.46pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.51pp since 10am. As of 13:42; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 4pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 7/15 (46.7%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Bangor-on-Dee · 18 Apr 2026 · 1st · 4/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Bangor-on-Dee✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 7f 32y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/2 (6.75 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 15/61 (24.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.4%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
Easing off
Race market overview as at 20:32
  • Supported1 of 9 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Aire Spray +8.35pp
  • Drifting2 of 9 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Mostly Sunny -8.78pp
  • Last 15 minNo gain or drift recorded
  • Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min
15-minute snapshot 20:32 · no additional market query
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