See what today’s price moves mean.
Market overview
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More evidence
NR adjusted
Largest previous Open → final market drift: Newbury, 26 Aug 2026 — 3rd • open 6/1 → final market price 7/1 (-1.79pp).
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?
Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners | 6/4 | +4.63ppOpen → 10am | 5/4 | -10.15pp10am → now; SP pending | 15/8Current; SP pending | Pending | -5.53ppNR adjusted |
| No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet. | |||||||
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners | 6/4 | +4.63ppOpen → 10am | 5/4 | -10.15pp10am → now; SP pending | 15/8Current; SP pending | Pending | -5.53ppNR adjusted |
| Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions. | |||||||
MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-5.53ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-10.15pp since 10am, as of 19:53. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Back to the 10am position · around 5/4 (2.25 decimal).
Watch for the price to recover to this level.A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.
Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.
Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.TIMING & CONTEXT
More evidence
NR adjusted
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?
Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners | 15/2 | -0.65ppOpen → 10am | 8/1 | -0.89pp10am → now; SP pending | 9/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -1.54ppNR adjusted |
| No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet. | |||||||
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners | 15/2 | -0.65ppOpen → 10am | 8/1 | -0.89pp10am → now; SP pending | 9/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -1.54ppNR adjusted |
| Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions. | |||||||
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-0.89pp since 10am, as of 19:53. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Back to the 10am position · around 8/1 (9.00 decimal).
Watch for the price to recover to this level.A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.
Support of +5.00pp · around 5/1 (5.96 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 13/34 (38.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12.8%.
Support of +10.00pp · around 7/2 (4.59 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 4/16 (25%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12.8%.
Support of +15.00pp · around 11/4 (3.74 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 4/9 (44.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12.8%. Small sample.
TIMING & CONTEXT
More evidence
NR adjusted
Largest previous Open → final market drift: Newcastle (AW), 02 Oct 2026 — 4th • open 12/1 → final market price 66/1 (-6.20pp).
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?
Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners | 17/2 | -2.05ppOpen → 10am | 11/1 | +0.17pp10am → now; SP pending | 11/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -1.88ppNR adjusted |
| No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet. | |||||||
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners | 17/2 | -2.05ppOpen → 10am | 11/1 | +0.17pp10am → now; SP pending | 11/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -1.88ppNR adjusted |
| Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions. | |||||||
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amHolding+0.17pp since 10am, as of 19:53. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Back to the 10am position · around 11/1 (12.00 decimal).
10am price recovered — watch whether it holds.A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.
Support of +5.00pp · around 11/2 (6.50 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 31/85 (36.5%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 18.1%.
Support of +10.00pp · around 4/1 (4.91 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 19/43 (44.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 18.1%.
Support of +15.00pp · around 3/1 (3.94 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 10/20 (50%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 18.1%.
Support of +20.00pp · around 9/4 (3.29 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 4/9 (44.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 18.1%. Small sample.
TIMING & CONTEXT
More evidence
NR adjusted
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?
Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners | 7/1 | -4.61ppOpen → 10am | 12/1 | -1.67pp10am → now; SP pending | 16/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -6.28ppNR adjusted |
| No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet. | |||||||
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners | 7/1 | -4.61ppOpen → 10am | 12/1 | -1.67pp10am → now; SP pending | 16/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -6.28ppNR adjusted |
| Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions. | |||||||
MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-6.28ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.67pp since 10am, as of 19:53. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Back to the 10am position · around 12/1 (13.00 decimal).
Watch for the price to recover to this level.A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.
Support of +5.00pp · around 5/1 (5.78 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 12/45 (26.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12.4%.
Support of +10.00pp · around 7/2 (4.48 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 7/20 (35%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12.4%.
Support of +15.00pp · around 11/4 (3.66 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 4/6 (66.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12.4%. Small sample.
Support of +20.00pp · around 2/1 (3.10 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 3/5 (60%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12.4%. Small sample.
Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.
Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.TIMING & CONTEXT
More evidence
NR adjusted
Largest previous Open → final market drift: Pontefract, 17 Sep 2026 — 3rd • open 5/1 → final market price 40/1 (-13.69pp).
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?
Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners | 16/1 | -1.94ppOpen → 10am | 25/1 | -0.91pp10am → now; SP pending | 33/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -2.85ppNR adjusted |
| No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet. | |||||||
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners | 16/1 | -1.94ppOpen → 10am | 25/1 | -0.91pp10am → now; SP pending | 33/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -2.85ppNR adjusted |
| Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions. | |||||||
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-0.91pp since 10am, as of 19:53. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Back to the 10am position · around 25/1 (26.00 decimal).
Watch for the price to recover to this level.A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.
Support of +5.00pp · around 17/2 (9.27 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 26/60 (43.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 14.4%.
Support of +10.00pp · around 11/2 (6.34 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 11/31 (35.5%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 14.4%.
Support of +15.00pp · around 4/1 (4.81 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 5/13 (38.5%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 14.4%.
Support of +20.00pp · around 3/1 (3.88 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 2/6 (33.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 14.4%. Small sample.
TIMING & CONTEXT
- Supported1 of 7 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Al Arraab +6.07pp
- Drifting2 of 7 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: The Honey Thief -6.28pp
- Last 15 minbiggest gain: Flick of An Eye +3.03pp · biggest drift: Crystal Dark -3.03pp
- Market surges1 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min · Flick of An Eye
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