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See what today’s price moves mean.
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Featured meeting preview: Southwell (AW)
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Market overview
Runners Today
4
Shown After Filters
2
Active Signals (15%+)
3
01 · Strongest support
Bill The Bull
+2.84pp
True move after NR adjustment · 13/8 → 6/4
02 · Repeat evidence
No repeat signal active
No upcoming runner currently matches a previous successful market pattern.
03 · Weak favourite
Blake's Monarch
-7.71pp
True move after NR adjustment · 5/4 → 7/4
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
16:24Southwell (AW) • Flat • 4f214y • Class 4 • Going: Standard
2 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.
Full field shown.
Off — prices frozen
Trainer: Adam Kirby
Jockey: Robert Havlin
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
↔ SAME CLASSSURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
Last run23 days ago · 1 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP9/22 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
78th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE78th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 9 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.Raw Open → Now price change: 7% • +2.84 probability points
Previous market evidence
Strongest previous Open → final market support: Bath, 05 Jun 2026 — 1st • open 11/8 → final market price 4/6 (+17.86pp).
Opened 13/8Market avg 6/4Implied win: 40.9% · Loss: 59.1%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+2.84pp(+7.0%)
11/8 ↑ 6/4 ↓ 11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8 ↓ 5/4 → 5/4 ↑ 11/8 → 11/8 ↑ 6/4
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/8
2.63 decimal
LiveScore Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
LiveScore Bet 13/8Virgin Bet 13/810 Bet 6/4Betfred 6/4Coral 6/4Hollywood Bets 6/4Ladbrokes 6/4Midnite 6/4Quinn Bet 6/4Star Sports 6/4Unibet 6/4William Hill 6/4Betfair Sportsbook 6/4Paddy Power 6/47Bet 11/8Bet Victor 11/8BetTom 11/8BetWright 11/8Betano 11/8Boyle Sports 11/8Dragon Bet 11/8SportingIndex 11/8Spreadex 11/8Bet365 5/4BetMGM 5/4
25 bookmakers · scroll for allCompare all fixed odds
Mixed market: 0 shortening, 0 drifting
LiveScore Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago13/8
Virgin Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago13/8
10 Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago6/4
Betfred→ unchanged · 1m ago6/4
Coral→ unchanged · 1m ago6/4
Hollywood Bets→ unchanged · 1m ago6/4
Ladbrokes→ unchanged · 1m ago6/4
Midnite→ unchanged · 1m ago6/4
Quinn Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago6/4
Star Sports→ unchanged · 1m ago6/4
Unibet→ unchanged · 1m ago6/4
William Hill→ unchanged · 1m ago6/4
Betfair Sportsbook→ unchanged · 1m ago6/4
Paddy Power→ unchanged · 1m ago6/4
7Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago11/8
Bet Victor→ unchanged · 1m ago11/8
BetTom→ unchanged · 1m ago11/8
BetWright→ unchanged · 1m ago11/8
Betano→ unchanged · 1m ago11/8
Boyle Sports→ unchanged · 1m ago11/8
Dragon Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago11/8
SportingIndex→ unchanged · 1m ago11/8
Spreadex→ unchanged · 1m ago11/8
Bet365→ unchanged · 1m ago5/4
BetMGM→ unchanged · 1m ago5/4
25 bookmakers comparedWhat do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?
Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 4 runners | 13/8 | +0.15ppOpen → 10am | 13/8 | +2.70pp10am → now; SP pending | 6/4Current; SP pending | Pending | +2.84pp |
| Newcastle (AW)01 Oct 20265f · Class 4 · Standard · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 15/2 | +4.90ppOpen → 10am | 5/1 | -6.14pp10am → SP | 17/2 | 1st | -1.24pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Bath05 Jun 20265f 160y · Class 2 · Good · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 11/8 | +19.71ppOpen → 10am | 8/13 | +1.97pp10am → SP | 4/7 | 1st | +21.68pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 4 runners | 13/8 | +0.15ppOpen → 10am | 13/8 | +2.70pp10am → now; SP pending | 6/4Current; SP pending | Pending | +2.84pp |
| Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions. | |||||||
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amStrengthening+2.70pp since 10am, as of 16:22. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Horse support level
Support of +0.74pp · around 13/8 (2.58 decimal).
Level reached — watch whether support holds.2/7 finished 1st or 2nd with this much support or more (29%).
Trainer support level
Support of +5.00pp · around 11/8 (2.32 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 8/28 (28.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12.3%.
Trainer support level
Support of +10.00pp · around 11/10 (2.08 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 4/11 (36.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12.3%.
Trainer support level
Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.Support of +15.00pp · around 10/11 (1.89 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 4/7 (57.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12.3%. Small sample.
TIMING & CONTEXT
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Weakening late
Off — prices frozen
Trainer: David Evans
Jockey: Billy Loughnane
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
↔ SAME CLASSSURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run23 days ago · 1 Oct 2026
Distance changeDown 1.1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP7/42 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 13 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.2/3 placed when backed like this (67%).
When backed like this: 2/3 WON
Raw Open → Now price change: 16.3% • +2.43 probability points
Previous market evidence
Strongest previous Open → final market support: Nottingham, 02 Jul 2026 — 3rd • open 5/1 → final market price 7/4 (+19.70pp).
All 3 comparable backed runs (1st or 2nd counts as placed):
- Windsor, 13 Jul 2026 — 1st • open 5/2 → final 15/8
- Goodwood, 07 Jun 2026 — 1st • open 7/4 → final 5/4
- Bath, 27 Apr 2026 — 4th • open 12/1 → final 10/1
Opened 7/1Market avg 11/2Implied win: 14.9% · Loss: 85.1%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+2.43pp(+16.2%)
11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2
7.5 decimal
Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 13/27Bet 6/1BetWright 6/1Coral 6/1Dragon Bet 6/1Hollywood Bets 6/1Ladbrokes 6/1LiveScore Bet 6/1SportingIndex 6/1Spreadex 6/1Virgin Bet 6/110 Bet 11/2BetMGM 11/2BetTom 11/2Betfred 11/2Boyle Sports 11/2Midnite 11/2Quinn Bet 11/2Star Sports 11/2Unibet 11/2William Hill 11/2Betfair Sportsbook 11/2Paddy Power 11/2Bet Victor 5/1Betano 5/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for allCompare all fixed odds
Mixed market: 0 shortening, 0 drifting
Bet365→ unchanged · 1m ago13/2
7Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago6/1
BetWright→ unchanged · 1m ago6/1
Coral→ unchanged · 1m ago6/1
Dragon Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago6/1
Hollywood Bets→ unchanged · 1m ago6/1
Ladbrokes→ unchanged · 1m ago6/1
LiveScore Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago6/1
SportingIndex→ unchanged · 1m ago6/1
Spreadex→ unchanged · 1m ago6/1
Virgin Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago6/1
10 Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago11/2
BetMGM→ unchanged · 1m ago11/2
BetTom→ unchanged · 1m ago11/2
Betfred→ unchanged · 1m ago11/2
Boyle Sports→ unchanged · 1m ago11/2
Midnite→ unchanged · 1m ago11/2
Quinn Bet→ unchanged · 1m ago11/2
Star Sports→ unchanged · 1m ago11/2
Unibet→ unchanged · 1m ago11/2
William Hill→ unchanged · 1m ago11/2
Betfair Sportsbook→ unchanged · 1m ago11/2
Paddy Power→ unchanged · 1m ago11/2
Bet Victor→ unchanged · 1m ago5/1
Betano→ unchanged · 1m ago5/1
25 bookmakers comparedWhat do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?
Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 4 runners | 7/1 | +5.68ppOpen → 10am | 9/2 | -3.26pp10am → now; SP pending | 11/2Current; SP pending | Pending | +2.43pp |
| Windsor13 Jul 20265f 21y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 3 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 5/2 | +9.45ppOpen → 10am | 13/8 | -5.97pp10am → SP | 2/1 | 1st | +3.48pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Redcar20 Jun 20265f · Class 4 · Good · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 4/1 | +8.57ppOpen → 10am | 5/2 | +11.43pp10am → SP | 6/4 | 2nd | +20.00pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Goodwood07 Jun 20265f · Class 3 · Soft · 5 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 7/4 | +8.08ppOpen → 10am | 5/4 | -2.43pp10am → SP | 11/8 | 1st | +5.65pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Chester30 May 20266f 17y · Class 4 · Good · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 7/2 | +14.14ppOpen → 10am | 7/4 | +8.08pp10am → SP | 5/4 | 2nd | +22.22pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Wolverhampton (AW)18 May 20265f 21y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 4/1 | -9.47ppOpen → 10am | 17/2 | +0.00pp10am → SP | 17/2 | 2nd | -9.47pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 4 runners | 7/1 | +5.68ppOpen → 10am | 9/2 | -3.26pp10am → now; SP pending | 11/2Current; SP pending | Pending | +2.43pp |
| Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions. | |||||||
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.26pp since 10am, as of 16:22. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level
Support of +5.00pp · around 9/2 (5.71 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 7/44 (15.9%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.7%.
Trainer support level
Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.Support of +10.00pp · around 7/2 (4.44 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 3/20 (15%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.7%.
TIMING & CONTEXT
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Weakening late
- Supported0 of 4 runners at +4pp or more
- Drifting2 of 4 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Blake's Monarch -7.71pp
- Last 15 minNo gain or drift recorded
- Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min
Price Movement
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