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Market-average order · Green ↑ shortening · Red ↓ drifting

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Market overview
Runners Today
14
Shown After Filters
8
Active Signals (15%+)
10
01 · Strongest support
Racing silks
Mehmar
65
20:30 Southwell (AW)
+15.24pp
True move after NR adjustment · 11/2 → 15/8
02 · Repeat evidence
No repeat signal active
No upcoming runner currently matches a previous successful market pattern.
03 · Weak favourite
Racing silks
Age of Time
41
20:30 Southwell (AW)
-4.54pp
True move after NR adjustment · 7/2 → 7/2
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
20:30Southwell (AW) • Flat • 6f16y • Class 6 • Going: Standard
8 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

20:30Southwell (AW)
Racing silksAge of TimeDraw 9
Trainer: Tony Carroll
Jockey: Kevin Stott
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 5/1 · 22% shorter today
Last run18 days ago · 6 Oct 2026
Distance changeUp 1.1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -4.0% • -0.85pp
Measured NR price effect removed: +3.68pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 7/2 @ 11:03
NR @ 07:37: 4/1 → 10/3 (+2.39pp removed)
NR @ 08:12: 4/1 → 7/2 (+1.39pp removed)
NR @ 11:03: 7/2 → 7/2 (-0.09pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -4.54pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Largest drift recorded across 10 previous runs.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 01 Jun 2026 — 5th • open 6/1 → final market price 17/2 (-3.76pp).

Opened 7/2Market avg 7/2Implied win: 21.4% · Loss: 78.6%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-4.54pp(-25.6%)
7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal BetMGM
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
BetMGM 4/1Betfred 4/1Midnite 4/1Quinn Bet 4/1SportingIndex 4/1Spreadex 4/1William Hill 4/1Betfair Sportsbook 4/1Paddy Power 4/110 Bet 7/27Bet 7/2Bet Victor 7/2BetTom 7/2BetWright 7/2Betano 7/2Boyle Sports 7/2Coral 7/2Dragon Bet 7/2Hollywood Bets 7/2Ladbrokes 7/2Star Sports 7/2Unibet 7/2Virgin Bet 7/2Bet365 10/3
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners7/2-1.00ppOpen → 10am3/1-3.54pp10am → now; SP pending7/2Current; SP pendingPending-4.54ppNR adjusted
THIS IS THE HORSE’S LARGEST RECORDED DRIFTMarket-4.54ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLargest recorded driftLargest recorded drift across 10 previous runs. This flags unusual market weakness; it does not claim a finishing record.Since 10amWeakening-3.54pp since 10am, as of 20:11. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Across 10 previous runs, this is the horse’s largest recorded drift compared with its previous Open → final market price moves. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Age of Time has moved from 7/2 to 7/2, a developing drift (-4.54pp).

Drifted by 1.00pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.54pp more since 10am. As of 20:11; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newcastle (AW) · 24 Feb 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Newcastle (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 6f 16y · previous 7f 14y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 3/1 (4.01 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/4 (3.24 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 40/159 (25.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
20:30Southwell (AW)
Racing silksMount RuapehuDraw 10
Trainer: Iain Jardine
Jockey: Zak Wheatley
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD3/3 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 11/2 · 17% bigger today
Last run12 days ago · 12 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP11/23 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -36.7% • -4.89pp
Measured NR price effect removed: -0.61pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 7/1 @ 11:03
NR @ 07:37: 5/1 → 5/1 (+0.56pp removed)
NR @ 08:12: 13/2 → 7/1 (-0.54pp removed)
NR @ 11:03: 13/2 → 7/1 (-0.62pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -4.28pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
87th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE87th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
2 of 15 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 8th at Catterick on 11 May 2026 (-6.82pp); and finished 2nd at Hamilton on 03 May 2026 (-5.48pp).
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
When drifting like this: failed 5/6Historical Drift Profile

02 Sep 26 | Hamilton | Open: 12/1 → Final: 20/1 | SP: 18/1 | Fin: 8
01 Aug 26 | Hamilton | Open: 16/1 → Final: 28/1 | SP: 33/1 | Fin: 8
09 Jul 26 | Carlisle | Open: 9/1 → Final: 12/1 | SP: 11/1 | Fin: 6
10 Jun 26 | Hamilton | Open: 13/2 → Final: 9/1 | SP: 12/1 | Fin: 6
11 May 26 | Catterick | Open: 3/1 → Final: 9/2 | SP: 5/1 | Fin: 8
When drifting like this: failed 5/6 — view runs
02 Sep 2026 · Hamilton
Open 12/1 → final 20/1 · SP 18/1 · 8th
01 Aug 2026 · Hamilton
Open 16/1 → final 28/1 · SP 33/1 · 8th
09 Jul 2026 · Carlisle
Open 9/1 → final 12/1 · SP 11/1 · 6th
10 Jun 2026 · Hamilton
Open 13/2 → final 9/1 · SP 12/1 · 6th
11 May 2026 · Catterick
Open 3/1 → final 9/2 · SP 5/1 · 8th
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Catterick, 11 May 2026 — 8th • open 3/1 → final market price 9/2 (-6.82pp).

Opened 9/2Market avg 13/2Implied win: 13.3% · Loss: 86.7%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-4.28pp(-30.8%)
6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 8/1William Hill 15/2Unibet 7/110 Bet 13/27Bet 13/2BetTom 13/2BetWright 13/2Betfred 13/2Coral 13/2Dragon Bet 13/2Hollywood Bets 13/2Ladbrokes 13/2Midnite 13/2Quinn Bet 13/2SportingIndex 13/2Spreadex 13/2Star Sports 13/2Virgin Bet 13/2Paddy Power 13/2Bet Victor 6/1BetMGM 6/1Betano 6/1Boyle Sports 6/1Betfair Sportsbook 6/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners9/2-1.53ppOpen → 10am5/1-2.75pp10am → now; SP pending13/2Current; SP pendingPending-4.28ppNR adjusted
MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-4.28ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyMissed top 2: 5/5Displayed comparable drift runs: 0 first/second finishes in 5 completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.75pp since 10am, as of 20:11. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

Just 2 of 15 previous runs showed a larger drift, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse against its previous Open → final market price moves. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Mount Ruapehu has moved from 9/2 to 13/2, a developing drift (-4.28pp).

Drifted by 1.53pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.75pp more since 10am. As of 20:11; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 28 Apr 2026 · 1st · 4/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Southwell (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 16y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 5/1 (6.23 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 7/2 (4.43 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 14/65 (21.5%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.1%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
20:30Southwell (AW)
Racing silksDue DateDraw 11
Trainer: Charlie Wallis
Jockey: Rob Hornby
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
Last run39 days ago · 15 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -32.9% • -2.48pp
Measured NR price effect removed: -0.65pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 12/1 @ 11:03
NR @ 07:37: 10/1 → 10/1 (-0.32pp removed)
NR @ 08:12: 11/1 → 11/1 (-0.21pp removed)
NR @ 11:03: 12/1 → 12/1 (-0.12pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -1.83pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
44th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE44th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 9 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 03 Mar 2026 — 8th • open 4/1 → final market price 50/1 (-18.04pp).

Opened 9/1Market avg 12/1Implied win: 7.5% · Loss: 92.5%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-1.83pp(-22.4%)
11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 16/1SportingIndex 14/1Spreadex 14/1William Hill 14/110 Bet 12/17Bet 12/1BetMGM 12/1BetTom 12/1BetWright 12/1Betfred 12/1Coral 12/1Dragon Bet 12/1Hollywood Bets 12/1Ladbrokes 12/1Midnite 12/1Quinn Bet 12/1Star Sports 12/1Unibet 12/1Virgin Bet 12/1Betfair Sportsbook 12/1Paddy Power 12/1Bet Victor 11/1Betano 11/1Boyle Sports 11/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners9/1+0.53ppOpen → 10am9/1-2.36pp10am → now; SP pending12/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.83ppNR adjusted
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.36pp since 10am, as of 20:11. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 9 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Due Date is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.53pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.36pp since 10am. As of 20:11; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Leicester · 04 Jul 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Leicester✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 16y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 6
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 9/1 (10.12 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
20:30Southwell (AW)
Racing silksHe's An AngelDraw 5
Trainer: Kevin & Lauren Frost
Jockey: William Pyle
🟢 Needs Support (36%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
COURSE RECORD0/2 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 13/2 · 194% bigger today
Last run102 days ago · 14 Jul 2026
Distance changeUp 1.1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP11/42 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -41.9% • -1.97pp
Measured NR price effect removed: -0.59pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 20/1 @ 11:03
NR @ 07:37: 16/1 → 16/1 (-0.21pp removed)
NR @ 08:12: 20/1 → 22/1 (-0.25pp removed)
NR @ 11:03: 20/1 → 20/1 (-0.13pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -1.38pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 14 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Newcastle (AW), 13 Jan 2026 — 5th • open 10/3 → final market price 11/2 (-7.71pp).

Opened 14/1Market avg 20/1Implied win: 4.7% · Loss: 95.3%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-1.38pp(-26.1%)
20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 25/1William Hill 22/110 Bet 20/17Bet 20/1Bet Victor 20/1BetMGM 20/1BetTom 20/1BetWright 20/1Betano 20/1Betfred 20/1Boyle Sports 20/1Coral 20/1Dragon Bet 20/1Hollywood Bets 20/1Ladbrokes 20/1Midnite 20/1Quinn Bet 20/1SportingIndex 20/1Spreadex 20/1Star Sports 20/1Unibet 20/1Virgin Bet 20/1Betfair Sportsbook 20/1Paddy Power 20/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners14/1-0.33ppOpen → 10am16/1-1.06pp10am → now; SP pending20/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.38ppNR adjusted
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.06pp since 10am, as of 20:11. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 14 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: He's An Angel is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 0.33pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.06pp more since 10am. As of 20:11; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 26 Jan 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 16y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 16/1 (17.39 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Horse support level

Support of +7.94pp · around 6/1 (7.14 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

3/4 finished 1st or 2nd with this much support or more (75%).

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 8/1 (9.03 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 6/26 (23.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.9%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
20:30Southwell (AW)
Racing silksPapa Don't PreachDraw 3
Trainer: Kevin & Lauren Frost
Jockey: Matthew Lloyd Slater(7)
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD0/3 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 11/1 · 97% bigger today
Last run39 days ago · 15 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -42.6% • -1.76pp
Measured NR price effect removed: -0.04pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 33/1 @ 11:03
NR @ 07:37: 22/1 → 22/1 (-0.15pp removed)
NR @ 08:12: 20/1 → 20/1 (-0.12pp removed)
NR @ 11:03: 33/1 → 33/1 (+0.23pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -1.71pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
55th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE55th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 11 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
When drifting like this: failed 4/4Historical Drift Profile

09 May 26 | Nottingham | Open: 3/1 → Final: 10/1 | SP: 17/2 | Fin: 9
28 Mar 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 12/1 → Final: 18/1 | SP: 16/1 | Fin: 5
02 Mar 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 9/1 → Final: 14/1 | SP: 16/1 | Fin: 5
22 Jan 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 6/1 → Final: 14/1 | SP: 14/1 | Fin: 5
When drifting like this: failed 4/4 — view runs
09 May 2026 · Nottingham
Open 3/1 → final 10/1 · SP 17/2 · 9th
28 Mar 2026 · Southwell (AW)
Open 12/1 → final 18/1 · SP 16/1 · 5th
02 Mar 2026 · Wolverhampton (AW)
Open 9/1 → final 14/1 · SP 16/1 · 5th
22 Jan 2026 · Southwell (AW)
Open 6/1 → final 14/1 · SP 14/1 · 5th
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Nottingham, 09 May 2026 — 9th • open 3/1 → final market price 10/1 (-15.91pp).

Opened 16/1Market avg 22/1Implied win: 4.1% · Loss: 95.9%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-1.71pp(-41.1%)
20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 22/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 28/1SportingIndex 28/1Spreadex 28/17Bet 25/1BetMGM 25/1BetWright 25/1Dragon Bet 25/1Midnite 25/1William Hill 25/110 Bet 22/1BetTom 22/1Betfred 22/1Coral 22/1Hollywood Bets 22/1Ladbrokes 22/1Quinn Bet 22/1Star Sports 22/1Unibet 22/1Virgin Bet 22/1Betfair Sportsbook 22/1Paddy Power 22/1Bet Victor 20/1Betano 20/1Boyle Sports 20/1
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners16/1-1.77ppOpen → 10am25/1+0.05pp10am → now; SP pending22/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.71ppNR adjusted
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amHolding+0.05pp since 10am, as of 20:11. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 11 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Papa Don't Preach is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 1.77pp by 10am. Shortened by 0.05pp since 10am. As of 20:11; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Yarmouth · 02 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Yarmouth×Trip (within ½f): Today 6f 16y · previous 5f 42y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 6
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 25/1 (24.55 decimal).

10am price recovered — watch whether it holds.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 8/1 (9.23 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 6/26 (23.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.9%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: 10am was biggest
Weakening late
20:30Southwell (AW)
Racing silksPiperstownDraw 6
Trainer: Kevin & Lauren Frost
Jockey: Oliver Stammers
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD1/3 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 11/2 · 268% bigger today
Last run12 days ago · 12 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP9/23 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -188.7% • -7.69pp
Measured NR price effect removed: +0.00pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 22/1 @ 11:03
NR @ 07:37: 17/2 → 9/1 (-0.30pp removed)
NR @ 08:12: 9/1 → 9/1 (+0.42pp removed)
NR @ 11:03: 22/1 → 22/1 (-0.12pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -7.69pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 9 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Thirsk on 18 Apr 2026 (-8.33pp); finished 1st at Southwell (AW) on 11 Apr 2026 (-7.71pp); and finished 5th at Southwell (AW) on 24 Feb 2026 (-10.71pp).
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
When drifting like this: failed 3/4Historical Drift Profile

12 Oct 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 11/2 → Final: 10/1 | SP: 10/1 | Fin: 12
18 Apr 26 | Thirsk | Open: 3/1 → Final: 5/1 | SP: 11/2 | Fin: 5
11 Apr 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 10/3 → Final: 11/2 | SP: 4/1 | Fin: 1
24 Feb 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 3/1 → Final: 6/1 | SP: 6/1 | Fin: 5
When drifting like this: failed 3/4 — view runs
12 Oct 2026 · Newcastle (AW)
Open 11/2 → final 10/1 · SP 10/1 · 12th
18 Apr 2026 · Thirsk
Open 3/1 → final 5/1 · SP 11/2 · 5th
11 Apr 2026 · Southwell (AW)
Open 10/3 → final 11/2 · SP 4/1 · 1st
24 Feb 2026 · Southwell (AW)
Open 3/1 → final 6/1 · SP 6/1 · 5th
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Southwell (AW), 24 Feb 2026 — 5th • open 3/1 → final market price 6/1 (-10.71pp).

Opened 15/2Market avg 25/1Implied win: 4.1% · Loss: 95.9%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-7.69pp(-188.9%)
20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 22/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal SportingIndex
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SportingIndex 33/1Spreadex 33/17Bet 25/1Bet365 25/1BetMGM 25/1BetWright 25/1Dragon Bet 25/1Midnite 25/1William Hill 25/110 Bet 22/1BetTom 22/1Betfred 22/1Coral 22/1Hollywood Bets 22/1Ladbrokes 22/1Quinn Bet 22/1Star Sports 22/1Unibet 22/1Virgin Bet 22/1Betfair Sportsbook 22/1Paddy Power 22/1Bet Victor 20/1Betano 20/1Boyle Sports 20/1
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners15/2-4.19ppOpen → 10am12/1-3.50pp10am → now; SP pending25/1Current; SP pendingPending-7.69ppNR adjusted
MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-7.69ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyMissed top 2: 3/4Displayed comparable drift runs: 1 first/second finishes in 4 completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.50pp since 10am, as of 20:11. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Just 3 of 9 previous runs showed a larger drift, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse against its previous Open → final market price moves. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Piperstown has moved from 15/2 to 25/1, a developing drift (-7.69pp).

Drifted by 4.19pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.50pp more since 10am. As of 20:11; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 11 Apr 2026 · 1st · 4/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Southwell (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 16y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 12/1 (13.20 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 5/1 (5.96 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 6/26 (23.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.9%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
20:30Southwell (AW)
Racing silksDr AliDraw 14
Trainer: J. R. Jenkins
Jockey: Jonny Peate
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD0/2 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 11/1 · 121% bigger today
Last run19 days ago · 5 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP8/12 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -52.9% • -2.04pp
Measured NR price effect removed: -0.44pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 18/1 @ 11:03
NR @ 07:37: 18/1 → 18/1 (-0.17pp removed)
NR @ 08:12: 20/1 → 20/1 (-0.16pp removed)
NR @ 11:03: 18/1 → 18/1 (-0.11pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -1.60pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
73th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE73rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 11 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
When drifting like this: failed 2/3Historical Drift Profile

28 Apr 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 5/1 → Final: 10/1 | SP: 15/2 | Fin: 6
24 Feb 26 | Southwell (AW) | Open: 5/1 → Final: 18/1 | SP: 14/1 | Fin: 7
19 Jan 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 7/1 → Final: 14/1 | SP: 14/1 | Fin: 1
When drifting like this: failed 2/3 — view runs
28 Apr 2026 · Southwell (AW)
Open 5/1 → final 10/1 · SP 15/2 · 6th
24 Feb 2026 · Southwell (AW)
Open 5/1 → final 18/1 · SP 14/1 · 7th
19 Jan 2026 · Kempton (AW)
Open 7/1 → final 14/1 · SP 14/1 · 1st
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Southwell (AW), 24 Feb 2026 — 7th • open 5/1 → final market price 18/1 (-11.40pp).

Opened 16/1Market avg 25/1Implied win: 3.8% · Loss: 96.2%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-1.60pp(-37.4%)
25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Bet365
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Bet365 28/1William Hill 28/110 Bet 25/17Bet 25/1Bet Victor 25/1BetMGM 25/1BetTom 25/1BetWright 25/1Betano 25/1Betfred 25/1Boyle Sports 25/1Coral 25/1Dragon Bet 25/1Hollywood Bets 25/1Ladbrokes 25/1Midnite 25/1Quinn Bet 25/1Star Sports 25/1Unibet 25/1Virgin Bet 25/1Betfair Sportsbook 25/1Paddy Power 25/1SportingIndex 22/1Spreadex 22/1
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners16/1+1.11ppOpen → 10am14/1-2.71pp10am → now; SP pending25/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.60ppNR adjusted
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.71pp since 10am, as of 20:11. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 11 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Dr Ali is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.11pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.71pp since 10am. As of 20:11; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Lingfield (AW) · 08 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Lingfield (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 16y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 14/1 (15.26 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
20:30Southwell (AW)
Racing silksHavana JoyDraw 2
Trainer: Charles Hills
Jockey: Daniel Muscutt
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run148 days ago · 29 May 2026
Distance changeDown 0.9f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -45.8% • -1.65pp
Measured NR price effect removed: -0.52pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 28/1 @ 11:03
NR @ 07:37: 22/1 → 22/1 (-0.14pp removed)
NR @ 08:12: 28/1 → 28/1 (-0.16pp removed)
NR @ 11:03: 25/1 → 28/1 (-0.22pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -1.14pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Lingfield (AW), 29 Jan 2026 — 6th • open 6/1 → final market price 20/1 (-9.52pp).

Opened 18/1Market avg 28/1Implied win: 3.6% · Loss: 96.4%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-1.14pp(-27.6%)
25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Bet365
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Bet365 33/1SportingIndex 33/1Spreadex 33/17Bet 28/1BetWright 28/1Dragon Bet 28/1Midnite 28/1William Hill 28/110 Bet 25/1Bet Victor 25/1BetMGM 25/1BetTom 25/1Betano 25/1Betfred 25/1Boyle Sports 25/1Coral 25/1Hollywood Bets 25/1Ladbrokes 25/1Quinn Bet 25/1Star Sports 25/1Unibet 25/1Virgin Bet 25/1Betfair Sportsbook 25/1Paddy Power 25/1
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners18/1-0.21ppOpen → 10am20/1-0.93pp10am → now; SP pending28/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.14ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-0.93pp since 10am, as of 20:11. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Havana Joy is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 0.21pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.93pp more since 10am. As of 20:11; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 22/1 (22.03 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/1 (10.26 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 13/37 (35.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 13.1%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Race market overview as at 20:11
  • Supported1 of 11 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Mehmar +15.24pp
  • Drifting3 of 11 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Piperstown -7.69pp
  • Last 15 minbiggest gain: Dr Ali +0.50pp · biggest drift: Mehmar -1.39pp
  • Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min
15-minute snapshot 20:11 · no additional market query
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