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Market-average order · Green ↑ shortening · Red ↓ drifting

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See what today’s price moves mean.

LIVE · Updated 15:35:08
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Bangor-on-Dee ✓Catterick 🔒Galway 🔒Newcastle 🔒Wolverhampton (AW) 🔒
ALLBACKED 💰DRIFTERS
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Next-race market pulse Tracking the next race
15:40 Catterick Lilykoy · 10/3 → 5/2 · +5.44pp
MARKET FORM CONTEXT LOCKEDUnlock the horse history and trainer evidence behind this move.
Extra race context · Signal Hub LilykoyMarket Form context locked LilykoyMarket Form context locked Corsican CaperMarket Form context locked Check the entire race in Live Market → 4m 15:46 Bangor-on-Dee Laristote · 15/2 → 4/1 · +7.90pp
MARKET FORM CONTEXT LOCKEDUnlock the horse history and trainer evidence behind this move.
Check the entire race in Live Market → 10m 15:55 Galway Granville Street · 13/2 → 7/1 · -0.62pp
MARKET FORM CONTEXT LOCKEDUnlock the horse history and trainer evidence behind this move.
Check the entire race in Live Market → 19m
Next-off intelligence uses the shared live snapshot. Races disappear automatically at their scheduled off time. Open the complete Live Terminal →
Shared live snapshot 15:35:26
Market overview
Runners Today
9
Shown After Filters
9
Active Signals (15%+)
5
01 · Strongest support
Racing silks
Laristote
74
15:46 Bangor-on-Dee
+7.67pp
True move after NR adjustment · 15/2 → 4/1
02 · Repeat evidence
No repeat signal active
No upcoming runner currently matches a previous successful market pattern.
03 · Weak favourite
Racing silks
Falco des Pins
49
15:46 Bangor-on-Dee
-7.27pp
True move after NR adjustment · 7/2 → 11/2
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
15:46Bangor-on-Dee • Chase • 2m1f77y • Class 5 • Going: Good To Soft
9 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

15:46Bangor-on-Dee
Racing silksInedit d'Amour
Trainer: Donald McCain
Jockey: Harry Brown(7)
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run23 days ago · 4 Oct 2026
Distance changeUp 1.4f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP18/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 5 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 10.3% • -2.47 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Catterick, 24 Feb 2026 — 5th • open 5/1 → final market price 16/1 (-10.78pp).

Opened 11/4Market avg 3/1Implied win: 24.1% · Loss: 75.9%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-2.47pp(-10.3%)
3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/3 4.33 decimal BetTom
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
BetTom 10/3Betfred 10/3Coral 10/3Hollywood Bets 10/3Ladbrokes 10/3LiveScore Bet 10/3Quinn Bet 10/3Star Sports 10/3Virgin Bet 10/3William Hill 10/3Betfair Sportsbook 10/3Paddy Power 10/310 Bet 3/17Bet 3/1Bet Victor 3/1Bet365 3/1BetMGM 3/1BetWright 3/1Betano 3/1Boyle Sports 3/1Dragon Bet 3/1Midnite 3/1SportingIndex 3/1Spreadex 3/1Unibet 3/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 1f 77y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 9 runners11/4+4.25ppOpen → 10am9/4-6.72pp10am → now; SP pending3/1Current; SP pendingPending-2.47pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-6.72pp since 10am, as of 15:35. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 5 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Inedit d'Amour is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 4.25pp by 10am. Drifted by 6.72pp since 10am. As of 15:35; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 4pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 7/15 (46.7%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Uttoxeter · 04 Oct 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Bangor-on-Dee · previous Uttoxeter×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 1f 77y · previous 1m 7f 214y×Ground: Today Good To Soft · previous Good✓Class: Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 9/4 (3.25 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/4 (3.17 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 15/61 (24.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.4%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
15:46Bangor-on-Dee
Racing silksLaristote
Trainer: Donald McCain
Jockey: Theo Gillard
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Bangor-on-Dee · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 14/1 · 66% shorter today
Last run192 days ago · 18 Apr 2026
Distance changeUp 0.7f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest support recorded across 3 previous runs.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 38.8% • +7.67 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Bangor-on-Dee, 18 Apr 2026 — 3rd • open 14/1 → final market price 12/1 (+1.03pp).

Opened 15/2Market avg 4/1Implied win: 19.8% · Loss: 80.2%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+7.67pp(+38.8%)
4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2 5.5 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 9/2Midnite 9/2SportingIndex 9/2Spreadex 9/2Unibet 9/210 Bet 4/17Bet 4/1BetMGM 4/1BetTom 4/1BetWright 4/1Betfred 4/1Boyle Sports 4/1Coral 4/1Dragon Bet 4/1Hollywood Bets 4/1Ladbrokes 4/1LiveScore Bet 4/1Quinn Bet 4/1Star Sports 4/1Virgin Bet 4/1William Hill 4/1Betfair Sportsbook 4/1Paddy Power 4/1Bet Victor 7/2Betano 7/2
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 1f 77y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 9 runners15/2+10.13ppOpen → 10am7/2-2.46pp10am → now; SP pending4/1Current; SP pendingPending+7.67pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
TRAINER RECORD MAKES THIS SUPPORT SIGNIFICANTMarket+7.67ppGenuine support from the opening price.Trainer11.4% → 24.6%Open → SP · backed 5pp+Baseline → matching strike rate; 61 runners, Open → SP · backed 5pp+. Historical sample requires opening, 10am and official SP prices. Popup uses opening → final market price and a broader results baseline.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.46pp since 10am, as of 15:35. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 4 · ↓ Class drop
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Donald McCain runners in the matching 5pp+ band have won 15/61 (a 24.6% Open→SP strike rate), compared with the trainer’s normal 11.4% strike rate. Across 3 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support compared with its previous Open → final market price moves. The support is accompanied by a drop from Class 4 to Class 5, giving the horse more favourable conditions today. Today’s move: Laristote has shortened from 15/2 to 4/1, which is support (+7.67pp).

Shortened by 10.13pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.46pp since 10am. As of 15:35; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 7/2 (4.53 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 8/28 (28.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.4%.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 5/1 (5.85 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

Trainer won 15/61 (24.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.4%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
15:46Bangor-on-Dee
Racing silksFalco des Pins
Trainer: Venetia Williams
Jockey: Charlie Deutsch
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run227 days ago · 14 Mar 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP11/82 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Fontwell on 14 Mar 2026 (-15.35pp); and finished 1st at Leicester on 06 Mar 2026 (-19.23pp).
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 48.1% • -7.27 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Leicester, 06 Mar 2026 — 1st • open EVS → final market price 9/4 (-19.23pp).

Opened 7/2Market avg 11/2Implied win: 15.1% · Loss: 84.9%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-7.27pp(-48.1%)
6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 6/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2 7.5 decimal BetTom
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
BetTom 13/2Hollywood Bets 13/210 Bet 6/1Betfred 6/1Boyle Sports 6/1Coral 6/1Ladbrokes 6/1LiveScore Bet 6/1Midnite 6/1Quinn Bet 6/1Star Sports 6/1Unibet 6/1Virgin Bet 6/1Paddy Power 6/1Bet365 11/2BetWright 11/2Betfair Sportsbook 11/27Bet 5/1Bet Victor 5/1BetMGM 5/1Betano 5/1Dragon Bet 5/1William Hill 5/1SportingIndex 9/2Spreadex 9/2
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 1f 77y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 9 runners7/2-2.38ppOpen → 10am4/1-4.89pp10am → now; SP pending11/2Current; SP pendingPending-7.27pp
MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-7.27ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse history2/2 top 2Displayed comparable drift runs: 2 first/second finishes in 2 completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-4.89pp since 10am, as of 15:35. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 4 · ↓ Class drop
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

2 of 4 previous runs showed a larger drift, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse against its previous Open → final market price moves. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Despite dropping from Class 4 to Class 5, the market is still weakening. Today’s move: Falco des Pins has moved from 7/2 to 11/2, a developing drift (-7.27pp).

Drifted by 2.38pp by 10am. Drifted by 4.89pp more since 10am. As of 15:35; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Leicester · 06 Mar 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Bangor-on-Dee · previous Leicester×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 1f 77y · previous 1m 7f 201y✓Ground: Good To Soft✓Class: Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 4/1 (5.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/4 (3.65 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 2/13 (15.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 6.8%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
15:46Bangor-on-Dee
Racing silksKer d'Oudairies
Trainer: Christian Williams
Jockey: Adam Wedge
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run16 days ago · 11 Oct 2026
Distance changeDown 2.1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 5.3% • +0.69 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Ffos Las, 30 Jan 2026 — finish unavailable • open 14/1 → final market price 11/2 (+8.72pp).

Opened 7/1Market avg 13/2Implied win: 13.0% · Loss: 87.0%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+0.69pp(+5.3%)
13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal Dragon Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Dragon Bet 15/2SportingIndex 15/2Spreadex 15/27Bet 7/1Bet365 7/1BetWright 7/1Hollywood Bets 7/1William Hill 7/1Betfair Sportsbook 7/1Paddy Power 7/110 Bet 13/2BetTom 13/2Betfred 13/2Boyle Sports 13/2Coral 13/2Ladbrokes 13/2LiveScore Bet 13/2Midnite 13/2Quinn Bet 13/2Star Sports 13/2Unibet 13/2Virgin Bet 13/2Bet Victor 6/1BetMGM 6/1Betano 6/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 1f 77y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 9 runners7/1+1.99ppOpen → 10am6/1-1.30pp10am → now; SP pending13/2Current; SP pendingPending+0.69pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.30pp since 10am, as of 15:35. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Ker d'Oudairies is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.99pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.30pp since 10am. As of 15:35; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 5/1 (5.78 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 9/25 (36%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
15:46Bangor-on-Dee
Racing silksAir Apparent
Trainer: Seamus Mullins
Jockey: Paul O'Brien
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run189 days ago · 21 Apr 2026
Distance changeDown 6.5f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 5.1% • -0.58 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final market drift in the recorded sample.

Opened 15/2Market avg 8/1Implied win: 11.4% · Loss: 88.6%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-0.58pp(-5.1%)
8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↑ 8/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
17/2 9.5 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 17/2SportingIndex 17/2Spreadex 17/210 Bet 8/1BetTom 8/1Betfred 8/1Boyle Sports 8/1Hollywood Bets 8/1LiveScore Bet 8/1Quinn Bet 8/1Star Sports 8/1Unibet 8/1Virgin Bet 8/1William Hill 8/1Betfair Sportsbook 8/1Paddy Power 8/17Bet 15/2BetMGM 15/2BetWright 15/2Dragon Bet 15/2Midnite 15/2Bet Victor 7/1Betano 7/1Coral 13/2Ladbrokes 13/2
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 1f 77y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 9 runners15/2+1.34ppOpen → 10am13/2-1.92pp10am → now; SP pending8/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.58pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.92pp since 10am, as of 15:35. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Air Apparent is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.34pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.92pp since 10am. As of 15:35; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 13/2 (7.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 5/1 (5.88 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 5/24 (20.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
15:46Bangor-on-Dee
Racing silksGrain Trade
Trainer: Billy Aprahamian
Jockey: Benjamin Macey(5)
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run166 days ago · 14 May 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Fontwell on 14 May 2026 (-13.33pp); and finished 4th at Market Rasen on 15 Mar 2026 (-8.33pp).
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 65.9% • -7.13 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Fontwell, 14 May 2026 — 3rd • open 2/1 → final market price 4/1 (-13.33pp).

Opened 9/2Market avg 8/1Implied win: 10.8% · Loss: 89.2%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-7.13pp(-65.9%)
8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 10/17Bet 9/1BetWright 9/1Dragon Bet 9/1LiveScore Bet 9/1Virgin Bet 9/1William Hill 9/1Hollywood Bets 17/2Midnite 17/2Paddy Power 17/210 Bet 8/1BetMGM 8/1BetTom 8/1Betano 8/1Betfred 8/1Boyle Sports 8/1Quinn Bet 8/1Star Sports 8/1Unibet 8/1Betfair Sportsbook 8/1Bet Victor 15/2Coral 15/2Ladbrokes 15/2SportingIndex 7/1Spreadex 7/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 1f 77y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 9 runners9/2-3.66ppOpen → 10am6/1-3.46pp10am → now; SP pending8/1Current; SP pendingPending-7.13pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-7.13ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyMissed top 2: 2/2Displayed comparable drift runs: 0 first/second finishes in 2 completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.46pp since 10am, as of 15:35. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

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More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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2 of 4 previous runs showed a larger drift, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse against its previous Open → final market price moves. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Grain Trade has moved from 9/2 to 8/1, a developing drift (-7.13pp).

Drifted by 3.66pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.46pp more since 10am. As of 15:35; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 6/1 (7.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
15:46Bangor-on-Dee
Racing silksMasterfield
Trainer: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero
Jockey: Toby Wynne
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
COURSE RECORD0/2 top 2Bangor-on-DeeAverage course SP 33/1 · 71% shorter today
Last run164 days ago · 16 May 2026
Distance changeUp 0.7f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 16.6% • +1.76 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Bangor-on-Dee, 16 May 2026 — 3rd • open 20/1 → final market price 10/1 (+4.33pp).

Opened 10/1Market avg 17/2Implied win: 10.6% · Loss: 89.4%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+1.76pp(+16.6%)
8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 9/1Coral 9/1Ladbrokes 9/1SportingIndex 9/1Spreadex 9/17Bet 17/2BetWright 17/2Betfred 17/2Dragon Bet 17/2Hollywood Bets 17/2LiveScore Bet 17/2Midnite 17/2Quinn Bet 17/2Star Sports 17/2Virgin Bet 17/2William Hill 17/2Betfair Sportsbook 17/2Paddy Power 17/210 Bet 8/1BetMGM 8/1BetTom 8/1Boyle Sports 8/1Unibet 8/1Bet Victor 15/2Betano 15/2
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 1f 77y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 9 runners10/1+5.43ppOpen → 10am6/1-3.67pp10am → now; SP pending17/2Current; SP pendingPending+1.76pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.67pp since 10am, as of 15:35. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 4 · ↓ Class drop
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

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More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Masterfield is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 5.43pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.67pp since 10am. As of 15:35; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 4pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 3/23 (13%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 6/1 (7.22 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 12/53 (22.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.3%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
15:46Bangor-on-Dee
Racing silksRiviera Walk
Trainer: Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill
Jockey: Jonjo O'Neill Jr.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run174 days ago · 6 May 2026
Distance changeUp 0.6f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP4/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 19.2% • -1.71 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Newton Abbot, 06 May 2026 — finish unavailable • open 7/1 → final market price 17/2 (-1.97pp).

Opened 17/2Market avg 10/1Implied win: 8.9% · Loss: 91.1%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-1.71pp(-19.2%)
10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 → 10/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 11/1Coral 11/1Hollywood Bets 11/1Ladbrokes 11/1SportingIndex 11/1Spreadex 11/1William Hill 11/110 Bet 10/17Bet 10/1BetMGM 10/1BetTom 10/1BetWright 10/1Betfred 10/1Boyle Sports 10/1Dragon Bet 10/1LiveScore Bet 10/1Midnite 10/1Quinn Bet 10/1Star Sports 10/1Unibet 10/1Virgin Bet 10/1Betfair Sportsbook 10/1Paddy Power 10/1Bet Victor 9/1Betano 9/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 1f 77y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 9 runners17/2-0.12ppOpen → 10am17/2-1.60pp10am → now; SP pending10/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.71pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.60pp since 10am, as of 15:35. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Riviera Walk is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 0.12pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.60pp more since 10am. As of 15:35; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Catterick · 04 Mar 2026 · 1st · 0/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Bangor-on-Dee · previous Catterick×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 1f 77y · previous 1m 7f 156y×Ground: Today Good To Soft · previous Good×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 17/2 (9.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/2 (6.39 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 6/20 (30%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 20%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
15:46Bangor-on-Dee
Racing silksLocquirec
Trainer: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero
Jockey: Jack Tudor
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Bangor-on-Dee · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 12/1 · Today close to the course average
Last run192 days ago · 18 Apr 2026
Distance changeDown 2.2f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 8.5% • +0.73 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Newbury, 28 Feb 2026 — finish unavailable • open 20/1 → final market price 14/1 (+1.90pp).

Opened 12/1Market avg 11/1Implied win: 8.5% · Loss: 91.5%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+0.73pp(+8.5%)
10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 9/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal SportingIndex
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
SportingIndex 14/1Spreadex 14/17Bet 12/1Bet365 12/1Dragon Bet 12/1Unibet 12/1BetMGM 11/1BetWright 11/1Betfred 11/1Hollywood Bets 11/1LiveScore Bet 11/1Midnite 11/1Quinn Bet 11/1Virgin Bet 11/1William Hill 11/1BetTom 10/1Boyle Sports 10/1Star Sports 10/1Betfair Sportsbook 10/1Paddy Power 10/110 Bet 9/1Bet Victor 9/1Betano 9/1Coral 8/1Ladbrokes 8/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 1f 77y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 9 runners12/1+5.53ppOpen → 10am13/2-4.80pp10am → now; SP pending11/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.73pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-4.80pp since 10am, as of 15:35. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 4 · ↓ Class drop
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Locquirec is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 5.53pp by 10am. Drifted by 4.80pp since 10am. As of 15:35; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 4pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 3/23 (13%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 7/1 (7.81 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 12/53 (22.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.3%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
Weakening late
Race market overview as at 15:36
  • Supported1 of 9 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Laristote +7.67pp
  • Drifting2 of 9 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Falco des Pins -7.27pp
  • Last 15 minbiggest gain: Ker d'Oudairies +0.83pp
  • Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min
15-minute snapshot 15:35 · no additional market query
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