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See what today’s price moves mean.
LIVE · Updated 19:16:26
Featured meeting preview: Southwell (AW)
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Market overview
Runners Today
14
Shown After Filters
14
Active Signals (15%+)
11
01 · Strongest support
Packetofbiscuits
+4.72pp
True move after NR adjustment · 17/2 → 11/2
02 · Repeat evidence
No repeat signal active
No upcoming runner currently matches a previous successful market pattern.
03 · Weak favourite
Captain Parma
-2.26pp
True move after NR adjustment · 5/1 → 6/1
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
19:30Southwell (AW) • Flat • 7f14y • Class 5 • Going: Standard
14 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.
Full field shown.
Off — prices frozen
Trainer: Michael Herrington
Jockey: Dylan Hogan
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
↔ SAME CLASSSURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD1/4 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 12/1 · 63% shorter today
Last run29 days ago · 25 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP15/21 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
85th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE85th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 13 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Raw Open → Now price change: 8.4% • +1.66 probability points
Previous market evidence
Strongest previous Open → final market support: Southwell (AW), 14 Mar 2026 — 2nd • open 12/1 → final market price 8/1 (+3.42pp).
Opened 9/2Market avg 4/1Implied win: 19.8% · Loss: 80.2%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+1.66pp(+8.4%)
7/2 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/2
5.5 decimal
Betfred
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Betfred 9/2Coral 9/2Ladbrokes 9/2Midnite 9/2Star Sports 9/2Unibet 9/210 Bet 4/17Bet 4/1Bet365 4/1BetMGM 4/1BetTom 4/1BetWright 4/1Dragon Bet 4/1Hollywood Bets 4/1Quinn Bet 4/1SportingIndex 4/1Spreadex 4/1William Hill 4/1Paddy Power 4/1LiveScore Bet 4/1Virgin Bet 4/1Bet Victor 7/2Betano 7/2Boyle Sports 7/2Betfair Sportsbook 7/2
25 bookmakers · scroll for allCompare all fixed odds
1/25 bookmakers drifting
Betfred→ unchanged · updated now9/2
Coral→ unchanged · updated now9/2
Ladbrokes→ unchanged · updated now9/2
Midnite↑ drifting · updated now9/2
Star Sports→ unchanged · updated now9/2
Unibet→ unchanged · updated now9/2
10 Bet→ unchanged · updated now4/1
7Bet→ unchanged · updated now4/1
Bet365→ unchanged · updated now4/1
BetMGM→ unchanged · updated now4/1
BetTom→ unchanged · updated now4/1
BetWright→ unchanged · updated now4/1
Dragon Bet→ unchanged · updated now4/1
Hollywood Bets→ unchanged · updated now4/1
Quinn Bet→ unchanged · updated now4/1
SportingIndex→ unchanged · updated now4/1
Spreadex→ unchanged · updated now4/1
William Hill→ unchanged · updated now4/1
Paddy Power→ unchanged · updated now4/1
LiveScore Bet→ unchanged · 7m ago4/1
Virgin Bet→ unchanged · 7m ago4/1
Bet Victor→ unchanged · updated now7/2
Betano→ unchanged · updated now7/2
Boyle Sports→ unchanged · updated now7/2
Betfair Sportsbook→ unchanged · updated now7/2
25 bookmakers comparedWhat do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?
Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners | 9/2 | +1.82ppOpen → 10am | 4/1 | -0.16pp10am → now; SP pending | 4/1Current; SP pending | Pending | +1.66pp |
| Newcastle (AW)05 Sep 20267f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 4/1 | -3.74ppOpen → 10am | 5/1 | -4.17pp10am → SP | 7/1 | 2nd | -7.91pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Newcastle (AW)27 Mar 20267f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 9/2 | -5.68ppOpen → 10am | 7/1 | -0.74pp10am → SP | 15/2 | 1st | -6.42pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Southwell (AW)14 Mar 20267f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 12/1 | +3.42ppOpen → 10am | 8/1 | +0.65pp10am → SP | 15/2 | 2nd | +4.07pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners | 9/2 | +1.82ppOpen → 10am | 4/1 | -0.16pp10am → now; SP pending | 4/1Current; SP pending | Pending | +1.66pp |
| Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions. | |||||||
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amHolding-0.16pp since 10am, as of 19:17. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level
Support of +5.00pp · around 10/3 (4.31 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 16/68 (23.5%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 17.4%.
Trainer support level
Support of +10.00pp · around 5/2 (3.55 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 9/32 (28.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 17.4%.
Trainer support level
Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.Support of +15.00pp · around 2/1 (3.01 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 4/15 (26.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 17.4%.
TIMING & CONTEXT
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Weakening late
Off — prices frozen
Trainer: John Mackie
Jockey: Oisin Orr
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
10AM EMERGING PATTERNFrozen 10am Emerging market pattern. This is an early pattern, not yet a fully established repeat-winner signal.
Source: stored dcn_signal_flags classification for today. This signal is frozen at 10am; the live price can move afterwards without changing the 10am classification.
⬇ CLASS DROPSource: stored dcn_signal_flags classification for today. This signal is frozen at 10am; the live price can move afterwards without changing the 10am classification.
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
COURSE RECORD3/6 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 11/2 · Today close to the course average
Last run15 days ago · 9 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP11/22 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
93th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE93rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 14 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 3rd at Newcastle (AW) on 10 Feb 2026 (+5.88pp).
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.
Raw Open → Now price change: 30.9% • +4.72 probability points
Previous market evidence
Strongest previous Open → final market support: Newcastle (AW), 10 Feb 2026 — 3rd • open 16/1 → final market price 15/2 (+5.88pp).
Opened 17/2Market avg 11/2Implied win: 15.2% · Loss: 84.8%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+4.72pp(+30.9%)
5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 9/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2
7.5 decimal
Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 13/2SportingIndex 13/2Spreadex 13/27Bet 6/1BetWright 6/1Coral 6/1Dragon Bet 6/1Ladbrokes 6/1BetMGM 11/2Hollywood Bets 11/2Midnite 11/2Quinn Bet 11/2Star Sports 11/2Unibet 11/2William Hill 11/2Betfair Sportsbook 11/2LiveScore Bet 11/2Virgin Bet 11/2Bet Victor 5/1BetTom 5/1Betano 5/1Betfred 5/1Boyle Sports 5/1Paddy Power 5/110 Bet 9/2
25 bookmakers · scroll for allCompare all fixed odds
Mixed market: 0 shortening, 0 drifting
Bet365→ unchanged · updated now13/2
SportingIndex→ unchanged · updated now13/2
Spreadex→ unchanged · updated now13/2
7Bet→ unchanged · updated now6/1
BetWright→ unchanged · updated now6/1
Coral→ unchanged · updated now6/1
Dragon Bet→ unchanged · updated now6/1
Ladbrokes→ unchanged · updated now6/1
BetMGM→ unchanged · updated now11/2
Hollywood Bets→ unchanged · updated now11/2
Midnite→ unchanged · updated now11/2
Quinn Bet→ unchanged · updated now11/2
Star Sports→ unchanged · updated now11/2
Unibet→ unchanged · updated now11/2
William Hill→ unchanged · updated now11/2
Betfair Sportsbook→ unchanged · updated now11/2
LiveScore Bet→ unchanged · 7m ago11/2
Virgin Bet→ unchanged · 7m ago11/2
Bet Victor→ unchanged · updated now5/1
BetTom→ unchanged · updated now5/1
Betano→ unchanged · updated now5/1
Betfred→ unchanged · updated now5/1
Boyle Sports→ unchanged · updated now5/1
Paddy Power→ unchanged · updated now5/1
10 Bet→ unchanged · updated now9/2
25 bookmakers comparedWhat do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?
Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners | 17/2 | +3.76ppOpen → 10am | 6/1 | +0.96pp10am → now; SP pending | 11/2Current; SP pending | Pending | +4.72pp |
| Yarmouth17 Sep 20261m 3y · Class 5 · Good · 14 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 14/1 | -1.40ppOpen → 10am | 18/1 | -1.81pp10am → SP | 28/1 | 2nd | -3.22pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Southwell (AW)11 Mar 20267f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 5/2 | -1.90ppOpen → 10am | 11/4 | +0.00pp10am → SP | 11/4 | 2nd | -1.90pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Southwell (AW)28 Feb 20267f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 4/1 | -1.82ppOpen → 10am | 9/2 | +16.54pp10am → SP | 15/8 | 1st | +14.72pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Southwell (AW)20 Feb 20267f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 10/1 | +1.44ppOpen → 10am | 17/2 | -0.53pp10am → SP | 9/1 | 1st | +0.91pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners | 17/2 | +3.76ppOpen → 10am | 6/1 | +0.96pp10am → now; SP pending | 11/2Current; SP pending | Pending | +4.72pp |
| Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions. | |||||||
TRAINER RECORD MAKES THIS SUPPORT SIGNIFICANTMarket+4.72ppGenuine support from the opening price.Trainer8.5% → 37.5%Open → SP · backed 5pp+Baseline → matching strike rate; 16 runners, Open → SP · backed 5pp+. Historical sample requires opening, 10am and official SP prices. Popup uses opening → final market price and a broader results baseline.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amStrengthening+0.96pp since 10am, as of 19:17. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level
Support of +5.00pp · around 11/2 (6.44 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 6/16 (37.5%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 8.5%.
Trainer support level
Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.Support of +10.00pp · around 4/1 (4.87 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 5/7 (71.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 8.5%. Small sample.
TIMING & CONTEXT
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Weakening late
Off — prices frozen
Trainer: James Owen
Jockey: Luke Morris
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.
↔ SAME CLASSSURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
Last run22 days ago · 2 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP4/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 8 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.Raw Open → Now price change: 15.7% • -2.26 probability points
Previous market evidence
Largest previous Open → final market drift: Lingfield (AW), 14 Jan 2026 — 2nd • open EVS → final market price 4/1 (-30.00pp).
Opened 5/1Market avg 6/1Implied win: 14.4% · Loss: 85.6%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-2.26pp(-15.7%)
11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
13/2
7.5 decimal
Coral
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Coral 13/2Ladbrokes 13/2Midnite 13/2SportingIndex 13/2Spreadex 13/2Star Sports 13/210 Bet 6/17Bet 6/1BetWright 6/1Betfred 6/1Dragon Bet 6/1Hollywood Bets 6/1Quinn Bet 6/1Unibet 6/1William Hill 6/1Paddy Power 6/1LiveScore Bet 6/1Virgin Bet 6/1Bet365 11/2BetMGM 11/2BetTom 11/2Boyle Sports 11/2Betfair Sportsbook 11/2Bet Victor 5/1Betano 5/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for allCompare all fixed odds
2/25 bookmakers drifting
Coral→ unchanged · updated now13/2
Ladbrokes→ unchanged · updated now13/2
Midnite↑ drifting · updated now13/2
SportingIndex→ unchanged · updated now13/2
Spreadex→ unchanged · updated now13/2
Star Sports↑ drifting · updated now13/2
10 Bet→ unchanged · updated now6/1
7Bet→ unchanged · updated now6/1
BetWright→ unchanged · updated now6/1
Betfred→ unchanged · updated now6/1
Dragon Bet→ unchanged · updated now6/1
Hollywood Bets→ unchanged · updated now6/1
Quinn Bet→ unchanged · updated now6/1
Unibet→ unchanged · updated now6/1
William Hill→ unchanged · updated now6/1
Paddy Power→ unchanged · updated now6/1
LiveScore Bet→ unchanged · 7m ago6/1
Virgin Bet→ unchanged · 7m ago6/1
Bet365→ unchanged · updated now11/2
BetMGM→ unchanged · updated now11/2
BetTom→ unchanged · updated now11/2
Boyle Sports→ unchanged · updated now11/2
Betfair Sportsbook→ unchanged · updated now11/2
Bet Victor→ unchanged · updated now5/1
Betano→ unchanged · updated now5/1
25 bookmakers comparedWhat do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?
Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners | 5/1 | +0.00ppOpen → 10am | 5/1 | -2.26pp10am → now; SP pending | 6/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -2.26pp |
| Chelmsford (AW)26 Feb 20267f · Class 5 · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 3/1 | -5.00ppOpen → 10am | 4/1 | +0.00pp10am → SP | 4/1 | 1st | -5.00pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Lingfield (AW)14 Jan 20267f 1y · Class 5 · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | EVS | -34.62ppOpen → 10am | 11/2 | +4.62pp10am → SP | 4/1 | 2nd | -30.00pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners | 5/1 | +0.00ppOpen → 10am | 5/1 | -2.26pp10am → now; SP pending | 6/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -2.26pp |
| Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions. | |||||||
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.26pp since 10am, as of 19:17. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price
Back to the 10am position · around 5/1 (6.00 decimal).
Watch for the price to recover to this level.A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.
Trainer support level
Support of +5.00pp · around 7/2 (4.62 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 66/220 (30%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 16.2%.
Trainer support level
Support of +10.00pp · around 11/4 (3.75 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 42/102 (41.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 16.2%.
Trainer support level
Support of +15.00pp · around 9/4 (3.16 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 25/42 (59.5%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 16.2%.
Trainer support level
Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.Support of +20.00pp · around 7/4 (2.73 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 15/20 (75%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 16.2%.
TIMING & CONTEXT
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Weakening late
Off — prices frozen↔ SAME CLASS
Trainer: Scott Dixon
Jockey: Kieran O'Neill
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD1/7 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 20/1 · 62% shorter today
Last run7 days ago · 17 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 10 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.Raw Open → Now price change: 2.8% • -0.35 probability points
Previous market evidence
Largest previous Open → final market drift: Southwell (AW), 05 Feb 2026 — 3rd • open 15/2 → final market price 22/1 (-7.42pp).
Opened 7/1Market avg 7/1Implied win: 12.5% · Loss: 87.5%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-0.35pp(-2.8%)
13/2 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2
8.5 decimal
Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 15/2Betfred 15/2Coral 15/2Hollywood Bets 15/2Ladbrokes 15/2Star Sports 15/2Unibet 15/2LiveScore Bet 15/2Virgin Bet 15/210 Bet 7/17Bet 7/1BetMGM 7/1BetWright 7/1Dragon Bet 7/1Midnite 7/1Quinn Bet 7/1William Hill 7/1Betfair Sportsbook 7/1Paddy Power 7/1BetTom 13/2Boyle Sports 13/2SportingIndex 13/2Spreadex 13/2Bet Victor 6/1Betano 6/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for allCompare all fixed odds
1/25 bookmakers shortening
Bet365→ unchanged · updated now15/2
Betfred→ unchanged · updated now15/2
Coral→ unchanged · updated now15/2
Hollywood Bets→ unchanged · updated now15/2
Ladbrokes→ unchanged · updated now15/2
Star Sports→ unchanged · updated now15/2
Unibet→ unchanged · updated now15/2
LiveScore Bet→ unchanged · 7m ago15/2
Virgin Bet→ unchanged · 7m ago15/2
10 Bet→ unchanged · updated now7/1
7Bet→ unchanged · updated now7/1
BetMGM→ unchanged · updated now7/1
BetWright→ unchanged · updated now7/1
Dragon Bet→ unchanged · updated now7/1
Midnite→ unchanged · updated now7/1
Quinn Bet→ unchanged · updated now7/1
William Hill→ unchanged · updated now7/1
Betfair Sportsbook→ unchanged · updated now7/1
Paddy Power→ unchanged · updated now7/1
BetTom↓ shortening · updated now13/2
Boyle Sports→ unchanged · updated now13/2
SportingIndex→ unchanged · updated now13/2
Spreadex→ unchanged · updated now13/2
Bet Victor→ unchanged · updated now6/1
Betano→ unchanged · updated now6/1
25 bookmakers comparedWhat do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?
Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners | 7/1 | +5.36ppOpen → 10am | 9/2 | -5.71pp10am → now; SP pending | 7/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -0.35pp |
| Southwell (AW)08 Oct 20261m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 9/1 | -0.91ppOpen → 10am | 10/1 | -4.74pp10am → SP | 22/1 | 2nd | -5.65pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners | 7/1 | +5.36ppOpen → 10am | 9/2 | -5.71pp10am → now; SP pending | 7/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -0.35pp |
| Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions. | |||||||
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-5.71pp since 10am, as of 19:17. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price
Back to the 10am position · around 9/2 (5.50 decimal).
Watch for the price to recover to this level.A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.
Trainer support level
Support of +5.00pp · around 9/2 (5.61 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 6/47 (12.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 6.2%.
Trainer support level
Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.Support of +10.00pp · around 10/3 (4.38 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 3/18 (16.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 6.2%.
TIMING & CONTEXT
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Weakening late
Off — prices frozen↔ SAME CLASS
Trainer: William Knight
Jockey: Taylor Fisher
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 18/1 · 56% shorter today
Last run15 days ago · 9 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 10 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.Raw Open → Now price change: 0.7% • +0.08 probability points
Previous market evidence
Strongest previous Open → final market support: Kempton (AW), 09 Oct 2026 — 5th • open 9/2 → final market price 3/1 (+6.82pp).
Opened 15/2Market avg 15/2Implied win: 11.8% · Loss: 88.2%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+0.08pp(+0.7%)
13/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1
9 decimal
Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 8/1Betfred 8/1Coral 8/1Ladbrokes 8/1Star Sports 8/1Unibet 8/110 Bet 15/27Bet 15/2BetMGM 15/2BetWright 15/2Dragon Bet 15/2Hollywood Bets 15/2Midnite 15/2Quinn Bet 15/2SportingIndex 15/2Spreadex 15/2William Hill 15/2LiveScore Bet 15/2Virgin Bet 15/2BetTom 7/1Betfair Sportsbook 7/1Paddy Power 7/1Bet Victor 13/2Betano 13/2Boyle Sports 13/2
25 bookmakers · scroll for allCompare all fixed odds
Mixed market: 0 shortening, 0 drifting
Bet365→ unchanged · updated now8/1
Betfred→ unchanged · updated now8/1
Coral→ unchanged · updated now8/1
Ladbrokes→ unchanged · updated now8/1
Star Sports→ unchanged · updated now8/1
Unibet→ unchanged · updated now8/1
10 Bet→ unchanged · updated now15/2
7Bet→ unchanged · updated now15/2
BetMGM→ unchanged · updated now15/2
BetWright→ unchanged · updated now15/2
Dragon Bet→ unchanged · updated now15/2
Hollywood Bets→ unchanged · updated now15/2
Midnite→ unchanged · updated now15/2
Quinn Bet→ unchanged · updated now15/2
SportingIndex→ unchanged · updated now15/2
Spreadex→ unchanged · updated now15/2
William Hill→ unchanged · updated now15/2
LiveScore Bet→ unchanged · 7m ago15/2
Virgin Bet→ unchanged · 7m ago15/2
BetTom→ unchanged · updated now7/1
Betfair Sportsbook→ unchanged · updated now7/1
Paddy Power→ unchanged · updated now7/1
Bet Victor→ unchanged · updated now13/2
Betano→ unchanged · updated now13/2
Boyle Sports→ unchanged · updated now13/2
25 bookmakers comparedWhat do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?
Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners | 15/2 | +0.74ppOpen → 10am | 7/1 | -0.65pp10am → now; SP pending | 15/2Current; SP pending | Pending | +0.08pp |
| Lingfield (AW)20 Aug 20267f 1y · Class 5 · Standard · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 6/1 | +5.29ppOpen → 10am | 4/1 | +0.00pp10am → SP | 4/1 | 2nd | +5.29pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners | 15/2 | +0.74ppOpen → 10am | 7/1 | -0.65pp10am → now; SP pending | 15/2Current; SP pending | Pending | +0.08pp |
| Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions. | |||||||
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-0.65pp since 10am, as of 19:17. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level
Support of +5.00pp · around 5/1 (5.96 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 16/69 (23.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.7%.
Trainer support level
Support of +10.00pp · around 7/2 (4.59 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 9/29 (31%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.7%.
Trainer support level
Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.Support of +15.00pp · around 11/4 (3.74 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 3/15 (20%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.7%.
TIMING & CONTEXT
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Weakening late
Off — prices frozen
Trainer: Charlie Clover
Jockey: Jack Callan
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
⬆ CLASS RISESURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD2/3 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 11/2 · 38% bigger today
Last run28 days ago · 26 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP6/12 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
91th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE91st HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 11 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.Raw Open → Now price change: 23.4% • -2.71 probability points
Previous market evidence
Largest previous Open → final market drift: Nottingham, 08 Apr 2026 — 2nd • open 5/1 → final market price 13/2 (-3.33pp).
Opened 6/1Market avg 15/2Implied win: 11.6% · Loss: 88.4%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-2.71pp(-23.4%)
7/1 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
![7Bet]()
8/1
9 decimal
7Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
7Bet 8/1Bet365 8/1BetWright 8/1Betfred 8/1Coral 8/1Dragon Bet 8/1Hollywood Bets 8/1Ladbrokes 8/1Quinn Bet 8/1Star Sports 8/1Unibet 8/1William Hill 8/110 Bet 15/2BetMGM 15/2BetTom 15/2LiveScore Bet 15/2Midnite 15/2SportingIndex 15/2Spreadex 15/2Virgin Bet 15/2Betfair Sportsbook 15/2Paddy Power 15/2Boyle Sports 7/1Bet Victor 13/2Betano 13/2
25 bookmakers · scroll for allCompare all fixed odds
Mixed market: 0 shortening, 0 drifting
7Bet→ unchanged · updated now8/1
Bet365→ unchanged · updated now8/1
BetWright→ unchanged · updated now8/1
Betfred→ unchanged · updated now8/1
Coral→ unchanged · updated now8/1
Dragon Bet→ unchanged · updated now8/1
Hollywood Bets→ unchanged · updated now8/1
Ladbrokes→ unchanged · updated now8/1
Quinn Bet→ unchanged · updated now8/1
Star Sports→ unchanged · updated now8/1
Unibet→ unchanged · updated now8/1
William Hill→ unchanged · updated now8/1
10 Bet→ unchanged · updated now15/2
BetMGM→ unchanged · updated now15/2
BetTom→ unchanged · updated now15/2
LiveScore Bet→ unchanged · updated now15/2
Midnite→ unchanged · updated now15/2
SportingIndex→ unchanged · updated now15/2
Spreadex→ unchanged · updated now15/2
Virgin Bet→ unchanged · updated now15/2
Betfair Sportsbook→ unchanged · updated now15/2
Paddy Power→ unchanged · updated now15/2
Boyle Sports→ unchanged · updated now7/1
Bet Victor→ unchanged · updated now13/2
Betano→ unchanged · updated now13/2
25 bookmakers comparedWhat do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?
Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners | 6/1 | +0.00ppOpen → 10am | 6/1 | -2.71pp10am → now; SP pending | 15/2Current; SP pending | Pending | -2.71pp |
| Southwell (AW)17 Sep 20261m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 16/1 | +8.23ppOpen → 10am | 6/1 | -0.95pp10am → SP | 13/2 | 1st | +7.27pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Kempton (AW)08 Jul 20261m · Class 6 · Standard / Slow · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 3/1 | -1.91ppOpen → 10am | 10/3 | +3.57pp10am → SP | 11/4 | 2nd | +1.67pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Nottingham08 Apr 20261m 75y · Class 6 · Good · 15 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 5/1 | -1.28ppOpen → 10am | 11/2 | +0.00pp10am → SP | 11/2 | 2nd | -1.28pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Southwell (AW)28 Mar 20267f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 15/2 | -1.24ppOpen → 10am | 17/2 | +3.76pp10am → SP | 6/1 | 1st | +2.52pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners | 6/1 | +0.00ppOpen → 10am | 6/1 | -2.71pp10am → now; SP pending | 15/2Current; SP pending | Pending | -2.71pp |
| Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions. | |||||||
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.71pp since 10am, as of 19:17. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price
Back to the 10am position · around 6/1 (7.00 decimal).
Watch for the price to recover to this level.A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.
Trainer support level
Support of +5.00pp · around 4/1 (5.19 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 12/28 (42.9%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 23%.
Trainer support level
Support of +10.00pp · around 3/1 (4.12 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 8/19 (42.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 23%.
Trainer support level
Support of +15.00pp · around 5/2 (3.41 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 3/9 (33.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 23%. Small sample.
Trainer support level
Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.Support of +20.00pp · around 15/8 (2.92 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 3/5 (60%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 23%. Small sample.
TIMING & CONTEXT
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Weakening late
Off — prices frozen
Trainer: Ivan Furtado
Jockey: Elle-May Croot(5)
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
⬆ CLASS RISESURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD0/2 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 22/1 · 60% shorter today
Last run22 days ago · 2 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP5/12 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
90th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE90th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 10 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 4th at Kempton (AW) on 08 Jul 2026 (-4.44pp).
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.Raw Open → Now price change: 39.1% • -4.32 probability points
Previous market evidence
Largest previous Open → final market drift: Kempton (AW), 08 Jul 2026 — 4th • open 8/1 → final market price 14/1 (-4.44pp).
Opened 11/2Market avg 8/1Implied win: 11.1% · Loss: 88.9%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-4.32pp(-39.1%)
15/2 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
![7Bet]()
17/2
9.5 decimal
7Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
7Bet 17/2Betfred 17/2Coral 17/2Dragon Bet 17/2Ladbrokes 17/2SportingIndex 17/2Spreadex 17/2Star Sports 17/2Unibet 17/210 Bet 8/1Bet365 8/1BetMGM 8/1BetWright 8/1Hollywood Bets 8/1Midnite 8/1Quinn Bet 8/1William Hill 8/1Paddy Power 8/1LiveScore Bet 8/1Virgin Bet 8/1BetTom 15/2Boyle Sports 15/2Betfair Sportsbook 15/2Bet Victor 7/1Betano 7/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for allCompare all fixed odds
Mixed market: 0 shortening, 0 drifting
7Bet→ unchanged · updated now17/2
Betfred→ unchanged · updated now17/2
Coral→ unchanged · updated now17/2
Dragon Bet→ unchanged · updated now17/2
Ladbrokes→ unchanged · updated now17/2
SportingIndex→ unchanged · updated now17/2
Spreadex→ unchanged · updated now17/2
Star Sports→ unchanged · updated now17/2
Unibet→ unchanged · updated now17/2
10 Bet→ unchanged · updated now8/1
Bet365→ unchanged · updated now8/1
BetMGM→ unchanged · updated now8/1
BetWright→ unchanged · updated now8/1
Hollywood Bets→ unchanged · updated now8/1
Midnite→ unchanged · updated now8/1
Quinn Bet→ unchanged · updated now8/1
William Hill→ unchanged · updated now8/1
Paddy Power→ unchanged · updated now8/1
LiveScore Bet→ unchanged · 7m ago8/1
Virgin Bet→ unchanged · 7m ago8/1
BetTom→ unchanged · updated now15/2
Boyle Sports→ unchanged · updated now15/2
Betfair Sportsbook→ unchanged · updated now15/2
Bet Victor→ unchanged · updated now7/1
Betano→ unchanged · updated now7/1
25 bookmakers comparedWhat do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?
Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners | 11/2 | -2.05ppOpen → 10am | 13/2 | -2.27pp10am → now; SP pending | 8/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -4.32pp |
| Newcastle (AW)02 Oct 20267f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 3/1 | +0.00ppOpen → 10am | 3/1 | +1.67pp10am → SP | 11/4 | 1st | +1.67pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Newcastle (AW)05 Sep 20267f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 7/1 | +0.30ppOpen → 10am | 7/1 | -0.74pp10am → SP | 15/2 | 1st | -0.43pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Newcastle (AW)31 Jul 20267f 14y · Class 6 · Standard / Slow · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 10/3 | -0.87ppOpen → 10am | 7/2 | +0.87pp10am → SP | 10/3 | 2nd | +0.00pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners | 11/2 | -2.05ppOpen → 10am | 13/2 | -2.27pp10am → now; SP pending | 8/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -4.32pp |
| Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions. | |||||||
MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-4.32ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.27pp since 10am, as of 19:17. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price
Back to the 10am position · around 13/2 (7.50 decimal).
Watch for the price to recover to this level.A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.
Trainer support level
Support of +5.00pp · around 4/1 (4.91 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 10/62 (16.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 8.1%.
Trainer support level
Support of +10.00pp · around 3/1 (3.94 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 6/27 (22.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 8.1%.
Trainer support level
Support of +15.00pp · around 9/4 (3.29 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 3/8 (37.5%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 8.1%. Small sample.
Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.
Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.TIMING & CONTEXT
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Weakening late
Off — prices frozen
Trainer: Mark Loughnane
Jockey: Billy Loughnane
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run146 days ago · 31 May 2026
Distance changeUp 0.8f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.Raw Open → Now price change: 15.8% • +1.71 probability points
Previous market evidence
Strongest previous Open → final market support: Listowel (IRE), 31 May 2026 — 11th • open 20/1 → final market price 11/1 (+3.57pp).
Opened 10/1Market avg 17/2Implied win: 10.8% · Loss: 89.2%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+1.71pp(+15.8%)
15/2 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1
10 decimal
Coral
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Coral 9/1Ladbrokes 9/1Star Sports 9/1Unibet 9/17Bet 17/2Bet365 17/2BetWright 17/2Betfred 17/2Dragon Bet 17/2Hollywood Bets 17/2Quinn Bet 17/2William Hill 17/2LiveScore Bet 17/2Virgin Bet 17/210 Bet 8/1BetMGM 8/1BetTom 8/1Midnite 8/1Betfair Sportsbook 8/1Paddy Power 8/1Bet Victor 15/2Betano 15/2Boyle Sports 15/2SportingIndex 15/2Spreadex 15/2
25 bookmakers · scroll for allCompare all fixed odds
Mixed market: 0 shortening, 0 drifting
Coral→ unchanged · updated now9/1
Ladbrokes→ unchanged · updated now9/1
Star Sports→ unchanged · updated now9/1
Unibet→ unchanged · updated now9/1
7Bet→ unchanged · updated now17/2
Bet365→ unchanged · updated now17/2
BetWright→ unchanged · updated now17/2
Betfred→ unchanged · updated now17/2
Dragon Bet→ unchanged · updated now17/2
Hollywood Bets→ unchanged · updated now17/2
Quinn Bet→ unchanged · updated now17/2
William Hill→ unchanged · updated now17/2
LiveScore Bet→ unchanged · 7m ago17/2
Virgin Bet→ unchanged · 7m ago17/2
10 Bet→ unchanged · updated now8/1
BetMGM→ unchanged · updated now8/1
BetTom→ unchanged · updated now8/1
Midnite→ unchanged · updated now8/1
Betfair Sportsbook→ unchanged · updated now8/1
Paddy Power→ unchanged · updated now8/1
Bet Victor→ unchanged · updated now15/2
Betano→ unchanged · updated now15/2
Boyle Sports→ unchanged · updated now15/2
SportingIndex→ unchanged · updated now15/2
Spreadex→ unchanged · updated now15/2
25 bookmakers comparedWhat do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?
Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners | 10/1 | +5.19ppOpen → 10am | 6/1 | -3.49pp10am → now; SP pending | 17/2Current; SP pending | Pending | +1.71pp |
| No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet. | |||||||
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners | 10/1 | +5.19ppOpen → 10am | 6/1 | -3.49pp10am → now; SP pending | 17/2Current; SP pending | Pending | +1.71pp |
| Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions. | |||||||
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.49pp since 10am, as of 19:17. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level
Support of +5.00pp · around 6/1 (7.10 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 7/42 (16.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 4.9%.
Trainer support level
Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.Support of +10.00pp · around 4/1 (5.24 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 6/14 (42.9%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 4.9%.
TIMING & CONTEXT
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Weakening late
Off — prices frozen
Trainer: Charlie Johnston
Jockey: Callum Shepherd
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
↔ SAME CLASSSURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 10/11 · 723% bigger today
Last run12 days ago · 12 Oct 2026
Distance changeDown 1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP8/13 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE83rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
2 of 12 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 8th at Nottingham on 19 May 2026 (-7.74pp); and finished 2nd at Kempton (AW) on 18 Feb 2026 (-5.19pp).
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.When drifting like this: failed 1/3Historical Drift Profile
31 Jul 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 14/1 → Final: 22/1 | SP: 20/1 | Fin: 1
19 May 26 | Nottingham | Open: 7/1 → Final: 20/1 | SP: 18/1 | Fin: 8
18 Feb 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 6/1 → Final: 10/1 | SP: 10/1 | Fin: 2
31 Jul 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 14/1 → Final: 22/1 | SP: 20/1 | Fin: 1
19 May 26 | Nottingham | Open: 7/1 → Final: 20/1 | SP: 18/1 | Fin: 8
18 Feb 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 6/1 → Final: 10/1 | SP: 10/1 | Fin: 2
When drifting like this: failed 1/3 — view runs
31 Jul 2026 · Wolverhampton (AW)
Open 14/1 → final 22/1 · SP 20/1 · 1st
Open 14/1 → final 22/1 · SP 20/1 · 1st
19 May 2026 · Nottingham
Open 7/1 → final 20/1 · SP 18/1 · 8th
Open 7/1 → final 20/1 · SP 18/1 · 8th
18 Feb 2026 · Kempton (AW)
Open 6/1 → final 10/1 · SP 10/1 · 2nd
Open 6/1 → final 10/1 · SP 10/1 · 2nd
Raw Open → Now price change: 65.5% • -4.16 probability points
Previous market evidence
Largest previous Open → final market drift: Nottingham, 19 May 2026 — 8th • open 7/1 → final market price 20/1 (-7.74pp).
Opened 17/2Market avg 14/1Implied win: 6.4% · Loss: 93.6%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-4.16pp(-65.5%)
12/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
![7Bet]()
16/1
17 decimal
7Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
7Bet 16/1Bet365 16/1BetWright 16/1Coral 16/1Dragon Bet 16/1Hollywood Bets 16/1Ladbrokes 16/1Quinn Bet 16/1Star Sports 16/1Unibet 16/1William Hill 16/1Betfair Sportsbook 16/110 Bet 14/1BetMGM 14/1BetTom 14/1Betfred 14/1LiveScore Bet 14/1Midnite 14/1SportingIndex 14/1Spreadex 14/1Virgin Bet 14/1Paddy Power 14/1Bet Victor 12/1Betano 12/1Boyle Sports 12/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for allCompare all fixed odds
1/25 bookmakers shortening
7Bet→ unchanged · updated now16/1
Bet365→ unchanged · updated now16/1
BetWright→ unchanged · updated now16/1
Coral→ unchanged · updated now16/1
Dragon Bet→ unchanged · updated now16/1
Hollywood Bets→ unchanged · updated now16/1
Ladbrokes→ unchanged · updated now16/1
Quinn Bet→ unchanged · updated now16/1
Star Sports→ unchanged · updated now16/1
Unibet→ unchanged · updated now16/1
William Hill→ unchanged · updated now16/1
Betfair Sportsbook→ unchanged · updated now16/1
10 Bet→ unchanged · updated now14/1
BetMGM→ unchanged · updated now14/1
BetTom→ unchanged · updated now14/1
Betfred→ unchanged · updated now14/1
LiveScore Bet→ unchanged · updated now14/1
Midnite↓ shortening · updated now14/1
SportingIndex→ unchanged · updated now14/1
Spreadex→ unchanged · updated now14/1
Virgin Bet→ unchanged · updated now14/1
Paddy Power→ unchanged · updated now14/1
Bet Victor→ unchanged · updated now12/1
Betano→ unchanged · updated now12/1
Boyle Sports→ unchanged · updated now12/1
25 bookmakers comparedWhat do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?
Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners | 17/2 | +0.58ppOpen → 10am | 8/1 | -4.75pp10am → now; SP pending | 14/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -4.16pp |
| Newcastle (AW)01 Oct 20267f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 6/4 | +2.02ppOpen → 10am | 11/8 | -7.29pp10am → SP | 15/8 | 2nd | -5.28pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Wolverhampton (AW)21 Sep 20261m 142y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 4/1 | -7.84ppOpen → 10am | 15/2 | +13.24pp10am → SP | 3/1 | 2nd | +5.39pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Lingfield (AW)12 Sep 20261m 1y · Class 5 · Standard · 4 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 5/1 | +6.09ppOpen → 10am | 7/2 | +8.55pp10am → SP | 9/4 | 1st | +14.64pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Wolverhampton (AW)31 Jul 20267f 36y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 14/1 | +1.03ppOpen → 10am | 12/1 | -2.93pp10am → SP | 20/1 | 1st | -1.90pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Wolverhampton (AW)03 Mar 20267f 36y · Class 4 · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 25/1 | +41.61ppOpen → 10am | 6/5 | -3.44pp10am → SP | 11/8 | 1st | +38.17pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Kempton (AW)18 Feb 20267f · Class 4 · Standard To Slow · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 6/1 | +3.90ppOpen → 10am | 9/2 | -9.09pp10am → SP | 10/1 | 2nd | -5.19pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners | 17/2 | +0.58ppOpen → 10am | 8/1 | -4.75pp10am → now; SP pending | 14/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -4.16pp |
| Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions. | |||||||
MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-4.16ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse history2/3 top 2Displayed comparable drift runs: 2 first/second finishes in 3 completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-4.75pp since 10am, as of 19:17. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price
Back to the 10am position · around 8/1 (9.00 decimal).
Watch for the price to recover to this level.A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.
Trainer support level
Support of +5.00pp · around 11/2 (6.44 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 26/116 (22.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.8%.
Trainer support level
Support of +10.00pp · around 4/1 (4.87 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 15/42 (35.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.8%.
Trainer support level
Support of +15.00pp · around 3/1 (3.92 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 6/16 (37.5%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.8%.
Trainer support level
Support of +20.00pp · around 9/4 (3.28 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 3/7 (42.9%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.8%. Small sample.
Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.
Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.TIMING & CONTEXT
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Weakening late
Off — prices frozen
Trainer: David Loughnane
Jockey: Kevin Stott
🟢 Needs Support (17%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
↔ SAME CLASSSURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD0/2 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 12/1 · 29% bigger today
Last run15 days ago · 9 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP3/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE63rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 8 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.Raw Open → Now price change: 20.3% • -1.12 probability points
Previous market evidence
Largest previous Open → final market drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 18 Sep 2026 — 8th • open 15/2 → final market price 14/1 (-4.96pp).
Opened 14/1Market avg 18/1Implied win: 5.5% · Loss: 94.5%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-1.12pp(-20.3%)
16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 16/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1
21 decimal
Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 20/17Bet 18/1BetTom 18/1BetWright 18/1Betfred 18/1Coral 18/1Dragon Bet 18/1Hollywood Bets 18/1Ladbrokes 18/1Quinn Bet 18/1Star Sports 18/1William Hill 18/1Betfair Sportsbook 18/1Paddy Power 18/1LiveScore Bet 18/1Virgin Bet 18/110 Bet 16/1BetMGM 16/1Boyle Sports 16/1Midnite 16/1SportingIndex 16/1Spreadex 16/1Bet Victor 14/1Betano 14/1Unibet 12/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for allCompare all fixed odds
Mixed market: 0 shortening, 0 drifting
Bet365→ unchanged · updated now20/1
7Bet→ unchanged · updated now18/1
BetTom→ unchanged · updated now18/1
BetWright→ unchanged · updated now18/1
Betfred→ unchanged · updated now18/1
Coral→ unchanged · updated now18/1
Dragon Bet→ unchanged · updated now18/1
Hollywood Bets→ unchanged · updated now18/1
Ladbrokes→ unchanged · updated now18/1
Quinn Bet→ unchanged · updated now18/1
Star Sports→ unchanged · updated now18/1
William Hill→ unchanged · updated now18/1
Betfair Sportsbook→ unchanged · updated now18/1
Paddy Power→ unchanged · updated now18/1
LiveScore Bet→ unchanged · 7m ago18/1
Virgin Bet→ unchanged · 7m ago18/1
10 Bet→ unchanged · updated now16/1
BetMGM→ unchanged · updated now16/1
Boyle Sports→ unchanged · updated now16/1
Midnite→ unchanged · updated now16/1
SportingIndex→ unchanged · updated now16/1
Spreadex→ unchanged · updated now16/1
Bet Victor→ unchanged · updated now14/1
Betano→ unchanged · updated now14/1
Unibet→ unchanged · updated now12/1
25 bookmakers comparedWhat do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?
Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners | 14/1 | -0.78ppOpen → 10am | 16/1 | -0.34pp10am → now; SP pending | 18/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -1.12pp |
| Haydock25 Apr 20266f · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 5/1 | +1.52ppOpen → 10am | 9/2 | +6.82pp10am → SP | 3/1 | 1st | +8.33pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Wolverhampton (AW)03 Feb 20265f 21y · Class 5 · Standard · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 6/1 | +0.00ppOpen → 10am | 6/1 | +16.48pp10am → SP | 9/4 | 2nd | +16.48pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners | 14/1 | -0.78ppOpen → 10am | 16/1 | -0.34pp10am → now; SP pending | 18/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -1.12pp |
| Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions. | |||||||
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amHolding-0.34pp since 10am, as of 19:17. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price
Back to the 10am position · around 16/1 (17.00 decimal).
Watch for the price to recover to this level.A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.
Horse support level
Support of +1.52pp · around 11/1 (12.22 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.2/2 finished 1st or 2nd with this much support or more (100%).
Trainer support level
Support of +5.00pp · around 15/2 (8.57 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 10/39 (25.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.1%.
Trainer support level
Support of +10.00pp · around 5/1 (6.00 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 4/15 (26.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.1%.
Trainer support level
Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.Support of +15.00pp · around 7/2 (4.62 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 2/5 (40%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.1%. Small sample.
TIMING & CONTEXT
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Weakening late
Off — prices frozen
Trainer: Charles Hills
Jockey: Rob Hornby
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.
↔ SAME CLASSSURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
Last run15 days ago · 9 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
3 of 9 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 7th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 18 Sep 2026 (-20.48pp); finished 4th at Ffos Las on 28 Aug 2026 (-6.59pp); and finished 7th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 27 Apr 2026 (-12.31pp).
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.When drifting like this: failed 4/6Historical Drift Profile
18 Sep 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 5/2 → Final: 12/1 | SP: 12/1 | Fin: 7
28 Aug 26 | Ffos Las | Open: 6/1 → Final: 12/1 | SP: 14/1 | Fin: 4
19 Aug 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 4/1 → Final: 11/2 | SP: 6/1 | Fin: 2
10 Aug 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 33/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 50/1 | Fin: 2
20 May 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 18/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 5
18 Sep 26 | Wolverhampton (AW) | Open: 5/2 → Final: 12/1 | SP: 12/1 | Fin: 7
28 Aug 26 | Ffos Las | Open: 6/1 → Final: 12/1 | SP: 14/1 | Fin: 4
19 Aug 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 4/1 → Final: 11/2 | SP: 6/1 | Fin: 2
10 Aug 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 33/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 50/1 | Fin: 2
20 May 26 | Kempton (AW) | Open: 18/1 → Final: 50/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 5
When drifting like this: failed 4/6 — view runs
18 Sep 2026 · Wolverhampton (AW)
Open 5/2 → final 12/1 · SP 12/1 · 7th
Open 5/2 → final 12/1 · SP 12/1 · 7th
28 Aug 2026 · Ffos Las
Open 6/1 → final 12/1 · SP 14/1 · 4th
Open 6/1 → final 12/1 · SP 14/1 · 4th
19 Aug 2026 · Kempton (AW)
Open 4/1 → final 11/2 · SP 6/1 · 2nd
Open 4/1 → final 11/2 · SP 6/1 · 2nd
10 Aug 2026 · Kempton (AW)
Open 33/1 → final 50/1 · SP 50/1 · 2nd
Open 33/1 → final 50/1 · SP 50/1 · 2nd
20 May 2026 · Kempton (AW)
Open 18/1 → final 50/1 · SP 100/1 · 5th
Open 18/1 → final 50/1 · SP 100/1 · 5th
Raw Open → Now price change: 102.1% • -5.26 probability points
Previous market evidence
Largest previous Open → final market drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 18 Sep 2026 — 7th • open 5/2 → final market price 12/1 (-20.48pp).
Opened 17/2Market avg 18/1Implied win: 5.2% · Loss: 94.8%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-5.26pp(-102.1%)
12/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1
21 decimal
Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 20/1Betfred 20/1Coral 20/1Hollywood Bets 20/1Ladbrokes 20/1Quinn Bet 20/1Star Sports 20/1William Hill 20/1Betfair Sportsbook 20/1Paddy Power 20/1LiveScore Bet 20/1Virgin Bet 20/110 Bet 18/17Bet 18/1BetMGM 18/1BetTom 18/1BetWright 18/1Dragon Bet 18/1Midnite 18/1Unibet 18/1Bet Victor 16/1Betano 16/1SportingIndex 16/1Spreadex 16/1Boyle Sports 12/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for allCompare all fixed odds
Mixed market: 0 shortening, 0 drifting
Bet365→ unchanged · updated now20/1
Betfred→ unchanged · updated now20/1
Coral→ unchanged · updated now20/1
Hollywood Bets→ unchanged · updated now20/1
Ladbrokes→ unchanged · updated now20/1
Quinn Bet→ unchanged · updated now20/1
Star Sports→ unchanged · updated now20/1
William Hill→ unchanged · updated now20/1
Betfair Sportsbook→ unchanged · updated now20/1
Paddy Power→ unchanged · updated now20/1
LiveScore Bet→ unchanged · 7m ago20/1
Virgin Bet→ unchanged · 7m ago20/1
10 Bet→ unchanged · updated now18/1
7Bet→ unchanged · updated now18/1
BetMGM→ unchanged · updated now18/1
BetTom→ unchanged · updated now18/1
BetWright→ unchanged · updated now18/1
Dragon Bet→ unchanged · updated now18/1
Midnite→ unchanged · updated now18/1
Unibet→ unchanged · updated now18/1
Bet Victor→ unchanged · updated now16/1
Betano→ unchanged · updated now16/1
SportingIndex→ unchanged · updated now16/1
Spreadex→ unchanged · updated now16/1
Boyle Sports→ unchanged · updated now12/1
25 bookmakers comparedWhat do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?
Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners | 17/2 | -3.75ppOpen → 10am | 14/1 | -1.51pp10am → now; SP pending | 18/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -5.26pp |
| Kempton (AW)19 Aug 20267f · Class 5 · Standard / Slow · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 4/1 | -2.23ppOpen → 10am | 9/2 | -3.90pp10am → SP | 6/1 | 2nd | -6.12pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Kempton (AW)10 Aug 20261m · Class 5 · Standard / Slow · 14 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 33/1 | +0.51ppOpen → 10am | 28/1 | -1.49pp10am → SP | 50/1 | 2nd | -0.98pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners | 17/2 | -3.75ppOpen → 10am | 14/1 | -1.51pp10am → now; SP pending | 18/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -5.26pp |
| Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions. | |||||||
DRIFT DETECTED — BUT THIS HORSE HAS DEFIED IT BEFOREMarket-5.26ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyMissed top 2: 3/5Displayed comparable drift runs: 2 first/second finishes in 5 completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.51pp since 10am, as of 19:17. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price
Back to the 10am position · around 14/1 (15.00 decimal).
Watch for the price to recover to this level.A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.
Trainer support level
Support of +5.00pp · around 11/2 (6.49 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 13/37 (35.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 13.1%.
Trainer support level
Support of +10.00pp · around 4/1 (4.90 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 6/13 (46.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 13.1%.
Trainer support level
Support of +15.00pp · around 3/1 (3.93 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 4/7 (57.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 13.1%. Small sample.
Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.
Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.TIMING & CONTEXT
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Weakening late
Off — prices frozen⬇ CLASS DROP
Trainer: Seb Spencer
Jockey: Dale Swift
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
Last run29 days ago · 25 Sep 2026
Distance changeUp 1.1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Newcastle (AW) on 25 Sep 2026 (-19.66pp); and finished 6th at Newcastle (AW) on 20 Aug 2026 (-43.14pp).
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.When drifting like this: failed 3/3Historical Drift Profile
25 Sep 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 9/4 → Final: 8/1 | SP: 8/1 | Fin: 3
05 Sep 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 50/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 4
20 Aug 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: EVS → Final: 16/1 | SP: 16/1 | Fin: 6
25 Sep 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 9/4 → Final: 8/1 | SP: 8/1 | Fin: 3
05 Sep 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 50/1 → Final: 100/1 | SP: 100/1 | Fin: 4
20 Aug 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: EVS → Final: 16/1 | SP: 16/1 | Fin: 6
When drifting like this: failed 3/3 — view runs
25 Sep 2026 · Newcastle (AW)
Open 9/4 → final 8/1 · SP 8/1 · 3rd
Open 9/4 → final 8/1 · SP 8/1 · 3rd
05 Sep 2026 · Newcastle (AW)
Open 50/1 → final 100/1 · SP 100/1 · 4th
Open 50/1 → final 100/1 · SP 100/1 · 4th
20 Aug 2026 · Newcastle (AW)
Open EVS → final 16/1 · SP 16/1 · 6th
Open EVS → final 16/1 · SP 16/1 · 6th
Raw Open → Now price change: 118.8% • -4.18 probability points
Previous market evidence
Largest previous Open → final market drift: Newcastle (AW), 20 Aug 2026 — 6th • open EVS → final market price 16/1 (-43.14pp).
Opened 12/1Market avg 28/1Implied win: 3.5% · Loss: 96.5%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-4.18pp(-118.8%)
25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 28/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1
34 decimal
SportingIndex
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
SportingIndex 33/1Spreadex 33/1Betfair Sportsbook 33/1Paddy Power 33/17Bet 28/110 Bet 28/1BetWright 28/1Betfred 28/1Dragon Bet 28/1Hollywood Bets 28/1Midnite 28/1Star Sports 28/1Unibet 28/1LiveScore Bet 28/1Virgin Bet 28/1Bet365 25/1BetMGM 25/1BetTom 25/1Boyle Sports 25/1Coral 25/1Ladbrokes 25/1Quinn Bet 25/1William Hill 25/1Bet Victor 22/1Betano 22/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for allCompare all fixed odds
2/25 bookmakers shortening
SportingIndex→ unchanged · updated now33/1
Spreadex→ unchanged · updated now33/1
Betfair Sportsbook→ unchanged · updated now33/1
Paddy Power→ unchanged · updated now33/1
7Bet→ unchanged · updated now28/1
10 Bet→ unchanged · updated now28/1
BetWright→ unchanged · updated now28/1
Betfred→ unchanged · updated now28/1
Dragon Bet→ unchanged · updated now28/1
Hollywood Bets→ unchanged · updated now28/1
Midnite→ unchanged · updated now28/1
Star Sports↓ shortening · updated now28/1
Unibet→ unchanged · updated now28/1
LiveScore Bet→ unchanged · 7m ago28/1
Virgin Bet→ unchanged · 7m ago28/1
Bet365→ unchanged · updated now25/1
BetMGM→ unchanged · updated now25/1
BetTom↓ shortening · updated now25/1
Boyle Sports→ unchanged · updated now25/1
Coral→ unchanged · updated now25/1
Ladbrokes→ unchanged · updated now25/1
Quinn Bet→ unchanged · updated now25/1
William Hill→ unchanged · updated now25/1
Bet Victor→ unchanged · updated now22/1
Betano→ unchanged · updated now22/1
25 bookmakers comparedWhat do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?
Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners | 12/1 | -3.85ppOpen → 10am | 25/1 | -0.33pp10am → now; SP pending | 28/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -4.18pp |
| No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet. | |||||||
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners | 12/1 | -3.85ppOpen → 10am | 25/1 | -0.33pp10am → now; SP pending | 28/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -4.18pp |
| Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions. | |||||||
MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-4.18ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyMissed top 2: 3/3Displayed comparable drift runs: 0 first/second finishes in 3 completed runs.Since 10amHolding-0.33pp since 10am, as of 19:17. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price
Back to the 10am position · around 25/1 (26.00 decimal).
Watch for the price to recover to this level.A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.
Trainer support level
Support of +5.00pp · around 7/1 (7.88 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 3/12 (25%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 5.2%.
Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.
Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.TIMING & CONTEXT
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Weakening late
Off — prices frozen↔ SAME CLASS
Trainer: Ed Dunlop
Jockey: Robert Havlin
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 4/1 · 538% bigger today
Last run19 days ago · 5 Oct 2026
Distance changeDown 0.9f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 5 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.Raw Open → Now price change: 87.5% • -2.75 probability points
Previous market evidence
Largest previous Open → final market drift: Newmarket (July), 20 Aug 2026 — 6th • open 14/1 → final market price 40/1 (-3.81pp).
Opened 16/1Market avg 33/1Implied win: 3.1% · Loss: 96.9%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-2.75pp(-87.5%)
28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↑ 33/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1
34 decimal
10 Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
10 Bet 33/1Bet365 33/1BetTom 33/1BetWright 33/1Betfred 33/1Coral 33/1Hollywood Bets 33/1Ladbrokes 33/1Midnite 33/1Quinn Bet 33/1Star Sports 33/1Unibet 33/1William Hill 33/1Betfair Sportsbook 33/1Paddy Power 33/1LiveScore Bet 33/1Virgin Bet 33/17Bet 28/1Boyle Sports 28/1Dragon Bet 28/1Bet Victor 25/1BetMGM 25/1Betano 25/1SportingIndex 25/1Spreadex 25/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for allCompare all fixed odds
1/25 bookmakers drifting
10 Bet→ unchanged · updated now33/1
Bet365→ unchanged · updated now33/1
BetTom→ unchanged · updated now33/1
BetWright→ unchanged · updated now33/1
Betfred→ unchanged · updated now33/1
Coral→ unchanged · updated now33/1
Hollywood Bets→ unchanged · updated now33/1
Ladbrokes→ unchanged · updated now33/1
Midnite↑ drifting · updated now33/1
Quinn Bet→ unchanged · updated now33/1
Star Sports→ unchanged · updated now33/1
Unibet→ unchanged · updated now33/1
William Hill→ unchanged · updated now33/1
Betfair Sportsbook→ unchanged · updated now33/1
Paddy Power→ unchanged · updated now33/1
LiveScore Bet→ unchanged · 7m ago33/1
Virgin Bet→ unchanged · 7m ago33/1
7Bet→ unchanged · updated now28/1
Boyle Sports→ unchanged · updated now28/1
Dragon Bet→ unchanged · updated now28/1
Bet Victor→ unchanged · updated now25/1
BetMGM→ unchanged · updated now25/1
Betano→ unchanged · updated now25/1
SportingIndex→ unchanged · updated now25/1
Spreadex→ unchanged · updated now25/1
25 bookmakers comparedWhat do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?
Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners | 16/1 | +0.00ppOpen → 10am | 16/1 | -2.75pp10am → now; SP pending | 33/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -2.75pp |
| No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet. | |||||||
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners | 16/1 | +0.00ppOpen → 10am | 16/1 | -2.75pp10am → now; SP pending | 33/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -2.75pp |
| Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions. | |||||||
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.75pp since 10am, as of 19:17. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price
Back to the 10am position · around 16/1 (17.00 decimal).
Watch for the price to recover to this level.A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.
Trainer support level
Support of +5.00pp · around 8/1 (9.19 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 6/39 (15.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.8%.
Trainer support level
Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.Support of +10.00pp · around 11/2 (6.30 decimal).
Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.Trainer won 3/19 (15.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.8%.
TIMING & CONTEXT
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Weakening late
Off — prices frozen
Trainer: Micky Fenton
Jockey: Grace McEntee
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
⬇ CLASS DROPSURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run15 days ago · 9 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP10/31 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
86th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE86th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
2 of 14 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 4th at Windsor on 23 May 2026 (-8.07pp); and finished 9th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 17 Mar 2026 (-7.26pp).
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.When drifting like this: failed 6/6Historical Drift Profile
16 Sep 26 | Yarmouth | Open: 11/1 → Final: 16/1 | SP: 16/1 | Fin: 3
07 Aug 26 | Newmarket (July) | Open: 12/1 → Final: 22/1 | SP: 25/1 | Fin: 8
23 May 26 | Windsor | Open: 13/2 → Final: 18/1 | SP: 20/1 | Fin: 4
17 Apr 26 | Bath | Open: 14/1 → Final: 40/1 | SP: 22/1 | Fin: 8
03 Apr 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 16/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 28/1 | Fin: 4
16 Sep 26 | Yarmouth | Open: 11/1 → Final: 16/1 | SP: 16/1 | Fin: 3
07 Aug 26 | Newmarket (July) | Open: 12/1 → Final: 22/1 | SP: 25/1 | Fin: 8
23 May 26 | Windsor | Open: 13/2 → Final: 18/1 | SP: 20/1 | Fin: 4
17 Apr 26 | Bath | Open: 14/1 → Final: 40/1 | SP: 22/1 | Fin: 8
03 Apr 26 | Lingfield (AW) | Open: 16/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 28/1 | Fin: 4
When drifting like this: failed 6/6 — view runs
16 Sep 2026 · Yarmouth
Open 11/1 → final 16/1 · SP 16/1 · 3rd
Open 11/1 → final 16/1 · SP 16/1 · 3rd
07 Aug 2026 · Newmarket (July)
Open 12/1 → final 22/1 · SP 25/1 · 8th
Open 12/1 → final 22/1 · SP 25/1 · 8th
23 May 2026 · Windsor
Open 13/2 → final 18/1 · SP 20/1 · 4th
Open 13/2 → final 18/1 · SP 20/1 · 4th
17 Apr 2026 · Bath
Open 14/1 → final 40/1 · SP 22/1 · 8th
Open 14/1 → final 40/1 · SP 22/1 · 8th
03 Apr 2026 · Lingfield (AW)
Open 16/1 → final 33/1 · SP 28/1 · 4th
Open 16/1 → final 33/1 · SP 28/1 · 4th
Raw Open → Now price change: 182.8% • -5.62 probability points
Previous market evidence
Largest previous Open → final market drift: Windsor, 23 May 2026 — 4th • open 13/2 → final market price 18/1 (-8.07pp).
Opened 10/1Market avg 33/1Implied win: 3.1% · Loss: 96.9%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-5.62pp(-182.8%)
28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 33/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
![7Bet]()
33/1
36 decimal
7Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
7Bet 33/110 Bet 33/1Bet365 33/1BetTom 33/1BetWright 33/1Betfred 33/1Coral 33/1Dragon Bet 33/1Hollywood Bets 33/1Ladbrokes 33/1Midnite 33/1Quinn Bet 33/1Star Sports 33/1Unibet 33/1William Hill 33/1Betfair Sportsbook 33/1Paddy Power 33/1LiveScore Bet 33/1Virgin Bet 33/1Boyle Sports 28/1SportingIndex 28/1Spreadex 28/1Bet Victor 25/1BetMGM 25/1Betano 25/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for allCompare all fixed odds
Mixed market: 0 shortening, 0 drifting
7Bet→ unchanged · updated now33/1
10 Bet→ unchanged · updated now33/1
Bet365→ unchanged · updated now33/1
BetTom→ unchanged · updated now33/1
BetWright→ unchanged · updated now33/1
Betfred→ unchanged · updated now33/1
Coral→ unchanged · updated now33/1
Dragon Bet→ unchanged · updated now33/1
Hollywood Bets→ unchanged · updated now33/1
Ladbrokes→ unchanged · updated now33/1
Midnite→ unchanged · updated now33/1
Quinn Bet→ unchanged · updated now33/1
Star Sports→ unchanged · updated now33/1
Unibet→ unchanged · updated now33/1
William Hill→ unchanged · updated now33/1
Betfair Sportsbook→ unchanged · updated now33/1
Paddy Power→ unchanged · updated now33/1
LiveScore Bet→ unchanged · 7m ago33/1
Virgin Bet→ unchanged · 7m ago33/1
Boyle Sports→ unchanged · updated now28/1
SportingIndex→ unchanged · updated now28/1
Spreadex→ unchanged · updated now28/1
Bet Victor→ unchanged · updated now25/1
BetMGM→ unchanged · updated now25/1
Betano→ unchanged · updated now25/1
25 bookmakers comparedWhat do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?
Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners | 10/1 | -3.93ppOpen → 10am | 20/1 | -1.69pp10am → now; SP pending | 33/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -5.62pp |
| Newmarket15 May 20266f · Class 5 · Good · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 9/1 | +3.33ppOpen → 10am | 13/2 | +9.76pp10am → SP | 10/3 | 1st | +13.09pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Lingfield (AW)31 Dec 20256f 1y · Class 5 · Standard · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾ | 4/1 | -1.82ppOpen → 10am | 9/2 | +1.82pp10am → SP | 4/1 | 2nd | +0.00pp |
| Post-race comment | |||||||
| Racecourse | Open | Open → 10am | 10am | 10am → SP/Now | SP / current | Finish | Open → SP/Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners | 10/1 | -3.93ppOpen → 10am | 20/1 | -1.69pp10am → now; SP pending | 33/1Current; SP pending | Pending | -5.62pp |
| Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions. | |||||||
MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-5.62ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyMissed top 2: 5/5Displayed comparable drift runs: 0 first/second finishes in 5 completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.69pp since 10am, as of 19:17. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price
Back to the 10am position · around 20/1 (21.00 decimal).
Watch for the price to recover to this level.A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.
Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.
Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.TIMING & CONTEXT
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Weakening late
- Supported1 of 14 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Packetofbiscuits +4.72pp
- Drifting5 of 14 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Akabusi -5.62pp
- Last 15 minbiggest gain: Espanita +0.78pp · biggest drift: Packetofbiscuits -1.10pp
- Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min
Price Movement
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