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Market-average order · Green ↑ shortening · Red ↓ drifting

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Next-Off Market Intelligence

The strongest horse and trainer evidence from the races coming up next.

Next-race market pulse Tracking the next race
Shared live snapshot 04:57:24
Market overview
Runners Today
14
Shown After Filters
5
Active Signals (15%+)
0
01 · Strongest support
Racing silks
Calyxoh
50
16:25 Southwell (AW)
+0.28pp
True move after NR adjustment · 16/1 → 14/1
02 · Repeat evidence
No repeat signal active
No upcoming runner currently matches a previous successful market pattern.
03 · Weak favourite
Favourites currently holding
No short-priced upcoming runner has weakened by at least 2 probability points.
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
16:25Southwell (AW) • Flat • 1m14y • Class 5 • Going: Standard
5 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

16:25Southwell (AW)
Trainer: Michael Herrington
Jockey: Dylan Hogan
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD1/4 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 12/1 · 83% shorter today
Last run5 days ago · 24 Oct 2026
Distance changeUp 1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP15/21 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → 10am
38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 13 previous Open → 10am moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → 10am moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.1% • -0.45 probability points
Built 00:00 → 00:35
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Newcastle (AW), 06 Feb 2026 — 6th • open 4/1 → final market price 9/1 (-10.00pp).

Opened 11/8Market avg 11/8Implied win: 42.3% · Loss: 57.7%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-0.45pp(-1.1%)
11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8 ↓ 5/4 ↑ 11/8 ↓ 5/4 ↑ 11/8 → 11/8 ↓ 5/4
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/4 2.5 decimal Paddy Power
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Paddy Power 6/4Betfair Sportsbook 6/4Bet Victor 11/8Bet365 11/8BetTom 11/8Betano 11/8Betfred 11/8Boyle Sports 11/8Coral 11/8Hollywood Bets 11/8Ladbrokes 11/8LiveScore Bet 11/8Midnite 11/8Quinn Bet 11/8SportingIndex 11/8Spreadex 11/8Star Sports 11/8Unibet 11/8William Hill 11/87Bet 5/4BetMGM 5/4BetWright 5/4Dragon Bet 5/4Virgin Bet 5/4
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners11/8—No checkpoint——No checkpoint11/8Current; SP pendingPending-0.45pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 13 previous Open → 10am moves. Today’s move: Anthropologist is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 14 Mar 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Southwell (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 14y · previous 7f 14y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/10 (2.09 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 17/69 (24.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 17.5%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
16:25Southwell (AW)
Trainer: William Knight
Jockey: Taylor Fisher
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD3/4 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 2/1 · 143% bigger today
Last run22 days ago · 7 Oct 2026
Distance changeUp 1.1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP10/33 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → 10am
70th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE70th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 10 previous Open → 10am moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → 10am moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.3% • -0.05 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Yarmouth, 20 May 2026 — 3rd • open 3/1 → final market price 9/1 (-15.00pp).

Opened 13/2Market avg 13/2Implied win: 13.4% · Loss: 86.6%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-0.05pp(-0.3%)
13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal William Hill
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
William Hill 7/1Paddy Power 7/1Betfair Sportsbook 7/1Bet365 13/2BetTom 13/2Betfred 13/2Boyle Sports 13/2Coral 13/2Hollywood Bets 13/2Ladbrokes 13/2LiveScore Bet 13/2Midnite 13/2Quinn Bet 13/2SportingIndex 13/2Spreadex 13/2Star Sports 13/2Unibet 13/2Virgin Bet 13/27Bet 6/1Bet Victor 6/1BetMGM 6/1BetWright 6/1Betano 6/1Dragon Bet 6/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners13/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint13/2Current; SP pendingPending-0.05pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 10 previous Open → 10am moves. Today’s move: Timely Affair is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Lingfield (AW) · 22 Aug 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Lingfield (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 14y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/2 (5.41 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 16/69 (23.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.6%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
16:25Southwell (AW)
Trainer: Tom Tate
Jockey: John Egan
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬆ CLASS RISE
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD1/2 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 8/1 · 46% bigger today
Last run21 days ago · 8 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → 10am
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → 10am moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → 10am moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • -0.08 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 15 Sep 2026 — 3rd • open 9/1 → final market price 16/1 (-4.32pp).

Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1Implied win: 7.8% · Loss: 92.2%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-0.08pp(-1.0%)
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 14/1BetTom 12/1Betfred 12/1Boyle Sports 12/1Coral 12/1Hollywood Bets 12/1Ladbrokes 12/1Midnite 12/1Quinn Bet 12/1SportingIndex 12/1Spreadex 12/1Star Sports 12/1Unibet 12/1William Hill 12/1Paddy Power 12/1Betfair Sportsbook 12/17Bet 11/1Bet Victor 11/1BetMGM 11/1BetWright 11/1Betano 11/1Dragon Bet 11/1LiveScore Bet 11/1Virgin Bet 11/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners12/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint12/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.08pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 6 · ↑ Class rise
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → 10am moves. It is also stepping up from Class 6 to Class 5, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Have You A Minute is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 16 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Southwell (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 14y✓Ground: Standard×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 6
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 13/2 (7.74 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 2/7 (28.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.7%. Small sample.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
16:25Southwell (AW)
Racing silksAlcarazDraw 14
Trainer: George Baker
Jockey: Callum Shepherd
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run28 days ago · 1 Oct 2026
Distance changeDown 1.9f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → 10am
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → 10am moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → 10am moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • -0.04 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Chepstow, 21 May 2026 — 5th • open 4/1 → final market price 5/1 (-3.33pp).

Opened 22/1Market avg 25/1Implied win: 4.0% · Loss: 96.0%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-0.04pp(-1.0%)
25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 22/1 → 22/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 22/1 ↓ 20/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 28/1BetTom 25/1Betfred 25/1Boyle Sports 25/1Coral 25/1Hollywood Bets 25/1Ladbrokes 25/1Midnite 25/1Quinn Bet 25/1SportingIndex 25/1Spreadex 25/1Star Sports 25/1Unibet 25/1William Hill 25/1Bet Victor 22/1BetWright 22/1Betano 22/1Dragon Bet 22/1LiveScore Bet 22/1Virgin Bet 22/1Paddy Power 22/1Betfair Sportsbook 22/17Bet 20/1BetMGM 20/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners22/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint25/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.04pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 4 · ↓ Class drop
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → 10am moves. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Alcaraz is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 10/1 (11.00 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 7/24 (29.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.4%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
16:25Southwell (AW)
Trainer: Jessica Bedi
Jockey: William Pyle
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬆ CLASS RISE
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
Last run31 days ago · 28 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1.4f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → 10am
17th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE17th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 6 previous Open → 10am moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → 10am moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.4% • -0.05 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Carlisle, 24 Jun 2026 — 9th • open 8/1 → final market price 66/1 (-9.62pp).

Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1Implied win: 3.1% · Loss: 96.9%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-0.05pp(-1.4%)
33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 28/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 40/1BetTom 33/1Betfred 33/1Boyle Sports 33/1Coral 33/1Hollywood Bets 33/1Ladbrokes 33/1Midnite 33/1Quinn Bet 33/1SportingIndex 33/1Spreadex 33/1Star Sports 33/1Unibet 33/1William Hill 33/17Bet 28/1Bet Victor 28/1BetWright 28/1Betano 28/1Dragon Bet 28/1LiveScore Bet 28/1Virgin Bet 28/1Paddy Power 28/1Betfair Sportsbook 28/1BetMGM 25/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners33/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint33/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.05pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 6 · ↑ Class rise
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 6 previous Open → 10am moves. It is also stepping up from Class 6 to Class 5, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Popeye Doyle is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wetherby · 15 Jun 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Wetherby✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 14y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/1 (12.26 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 1/7 (14.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 3.9%. Small sample.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 04:58
  • Supported0 of 14 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 14 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minNo gain or drift recorded
  • Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min
15-minute snapshot 04:57 · no additional market query
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