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Market-average order · Green ↑ shortening · Red ↓ drifting

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Next-Off Market Intelligence

The strongest horse and trainer evidence from the races coming up next.

Next-race market pulse Tracking the next race
Shared live snapshot 04:57:24
Market overview
Runners Today
14
Shown After Filters
9
Active Signals (15%+)
0
01 · Strongest support
Racing silks
Calyxoh
50
16:25 Southwell (AW)
+0.28pp
True move after NR adjustment · 16/1 → 14/1
02 · Repeat evidence
No repeat signal active
No upcoming runner currently matches a previous successful market pattern.
03 · Weak favourite
Favourites currently holding
No short-priced upcoming runner has weakened by at least 2 probability points.
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
16:25Southwell (AW) • Flat • 1m14y • Class 5 • Going: Standard
9 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

16:25Southwell (AW)
Trainer: David Evans
Jockey: Marco Ghiani
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 25/1 · 70% shorter today
Last run26 days ago · 3 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP13/21 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → 10am
63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE63rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 8 previous Open → 10am moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → 10am moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • +0.13 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Windsor, 07 Sep 2026 — 6th • open 40/1 → final market price 12/1 (+5.42pp).

Opened 7/1Market avg 13/2Implied win: 12.9% · Loss: 87.1%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+0.13pp(+1.0%)
7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 15/2Betfred 7/1Boyle Sports 7/1Coral 7/1Hollywood Bets 7/1Ladbrokes 7/1Midnite 7/1Quinn Bet 7/1SportingIndex 7/1Spreadex 7/1Star Sports 7/1Unibet 7/1William Hill 7/17Bet 13/2BetMGM 13/2BetTom 13/2BetWright 13/2Dragon Bet 13/2LiveScore Bet 13/2Virgin Bet 13/2Paddy Power 13/2Betfair Sportsbook 13/2Bet Victor 6/1Betano 6/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners7/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint13/2Current; SP pendingPending+0.13pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 4 · ↓ Class drop
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 8 previous Open → 10am moves. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Dovey Moon is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Salisbury · 23 May 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Salisbury✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 14y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/2 (5.63 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 7/44 (15.9%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.6%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
16:25Southwell (AW)
Trainer: Geoff Oldroyd
Jockey: P. J. McDonald
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD1/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 11/4 · 109% bigger today
Last run12 days ago · 17 Oct 2026
Distance changeUp 1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP11/41 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → 10am
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 6 previous Open → 10am moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → 10am moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.3% • +0.17 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Southwell (AW), 17 Oct 2026 — 1st • open 7/1 → final market price 5/2 (+16.07pp).

Opened 7/1Market avg 7/1Implied win: 12.8% · Loss: 87.2%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+0.17pp(+1.3%)
7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 7/1BetTom 7/1Betfred 7/1Boyle Sports 7/1Coral 7/1Hollywood Bets 7/1Ladbrokes 7/1Midnite 7/1Quinn Bet 7/1SportingIndex 7/1Spreadex 7/1Star Sports 7/1Unibet 7/1William Hill 7/1Paddy Power 7/1Betfair Sportsbook 7/17Bet 13/2Bet Victor 13/2BetMGM 13/2BetWright 13/2Betano 13/2Dragon Bet 13/2LiveScore Bet 13/2Virgin Bet 13/2
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners7/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint7/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.17pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 6 previous Open → 10am moves. Today’s move: Monsieur Bondy is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 17 Oct 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Southwell (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 14y · previous 7f 15y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/2 (5.68 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 4/12 (33.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 13.5%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
16:25Southwell (AW)
Racing silksMount KingDraw 12
Trainer: Tim Easterby
Jockey: David Allan
🟢 Needs Support (21%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run24 days ago · 5 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP9/21 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → 10am
46th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE46th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 13 previous Open → 10am moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → 10am moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.6% • +0.17 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Pontefract, 05 Oct 2026 — 2nd • open 7/1 → final market price 10/3 (+10.59pp).

Opened 17/2Market avg 8/1Implied win: 10.8% · Loss: 89.2%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+0.17pp(+1.6%)
17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 9/1Betfred 17/2Coral 17/2Hollywood Bets 17/2Ladbrokes 17/2Midnite 17/2Quinn Bet 17/2SportingIndex 17/2Spreadex 17/2Star Sports 17/2Unibet 17/2William Hill 17/2Paddy Power 17/2Betfair Sportsbook 17/27Bet 8/1BetTom 8/1BetWright 8/1Boyle Sports 8/1Dragon Bet 8/1LiveScore Bet 8/1Virgin Bet 8/1Bet Victor 15/2BetMGM 15/2Betano 15/2
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners17/2—No checkpoint——No checkpoint8/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.17pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 13 previous Open → 10am moves. Today’s move: Mount King is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Pontefract · 05 Oct 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Pontefract✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 14y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good✓Class: Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Horse support level

Support of +6.82pp · around 9/2 (5.73 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

3/4 finished 1st or 2nd with this much support or more (75%).

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/2 (6.39 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 48/207 (23.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.4%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
16:25Southwell (AW)
Trainer: Ian Williams
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬆ CLASS RISE
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
COURSE RECORD0/2 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 25/1 · 60% shorter today
Last run28 days ago · 1 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → 10am
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 8 previous Open → 10am moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → 10am moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.6% • +0.15 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Newcastle (AW), 01 Oct 2026 — 3rd • open 12/1 → final market price 17/2 (+2.83pp).

Opened 10/1Market avg 9/1Implied win: 9.5% · Loss: 90.5%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+0.15pp(+1.6%)
10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 12/1Betfred 10/1Boyle Sports 10/1Coral 10/1Hollywood Bets 10/1Ladbrokes 10/1Midnite 10/1Quinn Bet 10/1SportingIndex 10/1Spreadex 10/1Star Sports 10/1Unibet 10/1William Hill 10/17Bet 9/1BetTom 9/1BetWright 9/1Dragon Bet 9/1LiveScore Bet 9/1Virgin Bet 9/1Bet Victor 17/2Betano 17/2Paddy Power 17/2Betfair Sportsbook 17/2BetMGM 8/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners10/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint9/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.15pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 6 · ↑ Class rise
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 8 previous Open → 10am moves. It is also stepping up from Class 6 to Class 5, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Exotic Baby is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 6/1 (6.96 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 27/109 (24.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.2%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
16:25Southwell (AW)
Trainer: Kevin & Lauren Frost
Jockey: Alistair Rawlinson
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run15 days ago · 14 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP12/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → 10am
60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 5 previous Open → 10am moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → 10am moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 2.2% • +0.18 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Yarmouth, 17 Sep 2026 — 1st • open 16/1 → final market price 14/1 (+0.78pp).

Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1Implied win: 7.9% · Loss: 92.1%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+0.18pp(+2.2%)
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 12/1BetTom 12/1Betfred 12/1Boyle Sports 12/1Coral 12/1Hollywood Bets 12/1Ladbrokes 12/1Midnite 12/1Quinn Bet 12/1SportingIndex 12/1Spreadex 12/1Star Sports 12/1Unibet 12/1William Hill 12/1Paddy Power 12/1Betfair Sportsbook 12/17Bet 11/1Bet Victor 11/1BetMGM 11/1BetWright 11/1Betano 11/1Dragon Bet 11/1LiveScore Bet 11/1Virgin Bet 11/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners12/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint12/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.18pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 5 previous Open → 10am moves. Today’s move: Anton Mauve is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Yarmouth · 17 Sep 2026 · 1st · 0/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Yarmouth×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 14y · previous 7f 3y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 6
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 7/1 (7.86 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 6/26 (23.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.6%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
16:25Southwell (AW)
Racing silksCalyxohDraw 11
Trainer: Patrick Morris
Jockey: David Nolan
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run55 days ago · 4 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → 10am
86th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE86th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 7 previous Open → 10am moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → 10am moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 4.3% • +0.28 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Carlisle, 04 Jul 2026 — 7th • open 16/1 → final market price 11/1 (+2.45pp).

Opened 16/1Market avg 14/1Implied win: 6.5% · Loss: 93.5%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+0.28pp(+4.3%)
16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 22/1Boyle Sports 16/1Coral 16/1Ladbrokes 16/1Midnite 16/17Bet 14/1Bet Victor 14/1BetMGM 14/1BetTom 14/1BetWright 14/1Betano 14/1Betfred 14/1Dragon Bet 14/1Hollywood Bets 14/1Quinn Bet 14/1SportingIndex 14/1Spreadex 14/1Star Sports 14/1Unibet 14/1Virgin Bet 14/1William Hill 14/1LiveScore Bet 12/1Paddy Power 12/1Betfair Sportsbook 12/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners16/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint14/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.28pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 4 · ↓ Class drop
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 7 previous Open → 10am moves. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Calyxoh is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 8/1 (8.92 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 5/30 (16.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 6.7%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
16:25Southwell (AW)
Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey
Jockey: Oisin McSweeney
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
Last run16 days ago · 13 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP3/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → 10am
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 14 previous Open → 10am moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → 10am moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.9% • +0.05 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Carlisle, 27 Aug 2026 — 2nd • open 7/1 → final market price 3/1 (+12.50pp).

Opened 18/1Market avg 18/1Implied win: 5.4% · Loss: 94.6%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+0.05pp(+0.9%)
18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Paddy Power
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Paddy Power 20/1BetTom 18/1Betfred 18/1Boyle Sports 18/1Coral 18/1Hollywood Bets 18/1Ladbrokes 18/1LiveScore Bet 18/1Midnite 18/1Quinn Bet 18/1SportingIndex 18/1Spreadex 18/1Star Sports 18/1Unibet 18/1Virgin Bet 18/1William Hill 18/1Betfair Sportsbook 18/17Bet 16/1Bet Victor 16/1Bet365 16/1BetMGM 16/1BetWright 16/1Betano 16/1Dragon Bet 16/1
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners18/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint18/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.05pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 14 previous Open → 10am moves. Today’s move: Up The Jazz is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Ripon · 06 Jul 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Ripon✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 14y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good✓Class: Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 17/2 (9.66 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 26/90 (28.9%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.7%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
16:25Southwell (AW)
Trainer: Tom Ward
Jockey: Sean Levey
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW
COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 9/2 · 352% bigger today
Last run24 days ago · 5 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → 10am
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 5 previous Open → 10am moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → 10am moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.3% • +0.01 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final market support in the recorded sample.

Opened 25/1Market avg 25/1Implied win: 4.0% · Loss: 96.0%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+0.01pp(+0.3%)
25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 22/1 → 22/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↓ 20/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
25/1 26 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 25/1BetTom 25/1Betfred 25/1Boyle Sports 25/1Coral 25/1Hollywood Bets 25/1Ladbrokes 25/1Midnite 25/1Quinn Bet 25/1SportingIndex 25/1Spreadex 25/1Star Sports 25/1Unibet 25/1William Hill 25/1Paddy Power 25/1Betfair Sportsbook 25/1Bet Victor 22/1BetWright 22/1Betano 22/1Dragon Bet 22/1LiveScore Bet 22/1Virgin Bet 22/17Bet 20/1BetMGM 20/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners25/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint25/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.01pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 4 · ↓ Class drop
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 5 previous Open → 10am moves. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Galileo Island is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 10/1 (11.09 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 9/28 (32.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 6.4%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
16:25Southwell (AW)
Trainer: Alan Brown
Jockey: Sean Kirrane
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW
Last run9 days ago · 20 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP20/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → 10am
78th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE78th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 9 previous Open → 10am moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → 10am moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.3% • +0.01 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Newcastle (AW), 02 Jun 2026 — 6th • open 11/2 → final market price 9/2 (+2.80pp).

Opened 25/1Market avg 25/1Implied win: 3.9% · Loss: 96.1%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+0.01pp(+0.3%)
25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Paddy Power
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Paddy Power 28/1Betfair Sportsbook 28/17Bet 25/1Bet365 25/1BetTom 25/1BetWright 25/1Betfred 25/1Boyle Sports 25/1Coral 25/1Dragon Bet 25/1Hollywood Bets 25/1Ladbrokes 25/1LiveScore Bet 25/1Midnite 25/1Quinn Bet 25/1SportingIndex 25/1Spreadex 25/1Star Sports 25/1Unibet 25/1Virgin Bet 25/1William Hill 25/1Bet Victor 22/1Betano 22/1BetMGM 20/1
24 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners25/1—No checkpoint——No checkpoint25/1Current; SP pendingPending+0.01pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 9 previous Open → 10am moves. Today’s move: Quiet Resolve is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Hamilton · 11 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Hamilton✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 14y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good✓Class: Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 10/1 (11.28 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 1/6 (16.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 3.6%. Small sample.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 04:59
  • Supported0 of 14 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting0 of 14 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
  • Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.
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