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Market-average order · Green ↑ shortening · Red ↓ drifting

LIVE · Updated 10:45:02

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12:46 Nottingham Defiant Dream · 11/1 → 9/1 · +1.67pp
MARKET FORM CONTEXT LOCKEDUnlock the horse history and trainer evidence behind this move.
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MARKET FORM CONTEXT LOCKEDUnlock the horse history and trainer evidence behind this move.
Check the entire race in Live Market → 139m 13:16 Nottingham Run This Way · 17/2 → 7/1 · +1.97pp
MARKET FORM CONTEXT LOCKEDUnlock the horse history and trainer evidence behind this move.
Check the entire race in Live Market → 149m
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Shared live snapshot 10:46:29
Market overview
Runners Today
6
Shown After Filters
1
Active Signals (15%+)
4
01 · Strongest support
Racing silks
Majestic Moment
59
13:06 Huntingdon
+6.99pp
True move after NR adjustment · 4/1 → 11/4
02 · Repeat evidence
No repeat signal active
No upcoming runner currently matches a previous successful market pattern.
03 · Weak favourite
Racing silks
Anytrixwilldo
50
13:06 Huntingdon
-4.15pp
True move after NR adjustment · 7/2 → 9/2
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
13:06Huntingdon • Chase • 2m7f129y • Class 5 • Going: Good
1 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

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13:06Huntingdon
Racing silksMajestic Moment
Trainer: Dean Summersby
Jockey: Mr Henry Moore(7)
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run25 days ago · 3 Oct 2026
Distance changeUp 4.1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP15/22 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → Mid-1
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Strongest support recorded across 7 previous runs.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → Mid-1 moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 26.9% • +6.99 probability points
Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Fontwell, 06 May 2026 — finish unavailable • open 3/1 → final market price 11/10 (+22.62pp).

Opened 4/1Market avg 11/4Implied win: 26.0% · Loss: 74.0%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move+6.99pp(+26.9%)
11/4 ↑ 3/1 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4 ↑ 3/1 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 3/1 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4 ↑ 3/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
3/1 4 decimal 10 Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
10 Bet 3/1Bet365 3/1BetTom 3/1Betfred 3/1Hollywood Bets 3/1LiveScore Bet 3/1Quinn Bet 3/1SportingIndex 3/1Spreadex 3/1Star Sports 3/1Unibet 3/1Virgin Bet 3/1William Hill 3/1Betfair Sportsbook 3/1Paddy Power 3/17Bet 11/4BetMGM 11/4BetWright 11/4Boyle Sports 11/4Dragon Bet 11/4Midnite 11/4Bet Victor 5/2Betano 5/2Coral 9/4Ladbrokes 9/4
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
HuntingdonToday2m 7f 129y · Class 5 · Good · 6 runners4/1+11.72ppOpen → 10am9/4-4.73pp10am → now; SP pending11/4Current; SP pendingPending+6.99pp
THIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORTMarket+6.99ppGenuine support from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-4.73pp since 10am, as of 10:46. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 4 · ↓ Class drop
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

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More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Across 7 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support compared with its previous Open → Mid-1 moves. The trainer evidence is important here: At 5pp+: Open→SP 0/0 won (0%), compared with the yard’s normal 0% strike rate. The support is accompanied by a drop from Class 4 to Class 5, giving the horse more favourable conditions today. Today’s move: Majestic Moment has shortened from 4/1 to 11/4, which is support (+6.99pp).

Shortened by 11.72pp by 10am. Drifted by 4.73pp since 10am. As of 10:46; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Fontwell · 24 May 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Huntingdon · previous Fontwell×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 7f 129y · previous 2m 3f 104y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW

No evidence-backed price trigger for this runner yet. Use Notify Me to monitor it; the current records do not justify a target price.

TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
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Best time: Open was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 10:47
  • Supported1 of 6 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Majestic Moment +6.99pp
  • Drifting1 of 6 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Anytrixwilldo -4.15pp
  • Last 15 minbiggest gain: Felton Bellevue +1.03pp
  • Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min
15-minute snapshot 10:46 · no additional market query
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