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12:42 Bath The Can Can Man · 7/1 → 7/1 · +0.07pp

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Extra race context · Signal Hub Buxted FlyerMarket Form context locked Check the entire race in Live Market → 471m 13:05 Punchestown Anymore · 10/1 → 10/1 · +0.02pp

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Check the entire race in Live Market → 494m 13:12 Bath Hot Port · 11/2 → 11/2 · +0.11pp

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Check the entire race in Live Market → 501m

Shared live snapshot 04:51:28

Market overview

Runners Today

Shown After Filters

Active Signals (15%+)

01 · Strongest support

Calyxoh

16:25 Southwell (AW)

+0.28pp

True move after NR adjustment · 16/1 → 14/1

02 · Repeat evidence

No repeat signal active

No upcoming runner currently matches a previous successful market pattern.

03 · Weak favourite

Favourites currently holding

No short-priced upcoming runner has weakened by at least 2 probability points.

Runner

Bookmaker move

Evidence

What to do next

16:25Southwell (AW) • Flat • 1m14y • Class 5 • Going: Standard

14 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

AnthropologistDraw 7

Trainer: Michael Herrington

Jockey: Dylan Hogan

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

COURSE RECORD1/4 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 12/1 · 83% shorter today

Last run5 days ago · 24 Oct 2026

Distance changeUp 1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP15/21 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → 10am

38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 13 previous Open → 10am moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → 10am moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.1% • -0.45 probability points

Built 00:00 → 00:35

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Newcastle (AW), 06 Feb 2026 — 6th • open 4/1 → final market price 9/1 (-10.00pp).

Opened 11/8Market avg 11/8

Price move-0.45pp(-1.1%)

11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8 ↓ 5/4 ↑ 11/8 ↓ 5/4 ↑ 11/8 → 11/8 ↓ 5/4

BEST FIXED ODDS

6/4 2.5 decimal Paddy Power

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Paddy Power 6/4Betfair Sportsbook 6/4Bet Victor 11/8Bet365 11/8BetTom 11/8Betano 11/8Betfred 11/8Boyle Sports 11/8Coral 11/8Hollywood Bets 11/8Ladbrokes 11/8LiveScore Bet 11/8Midnite 11/8Quinn Bet 11/8SportingIndex 11/8Spreadex 11/8Star Sports 11/8Unibet 11/8William Hill 11/87Bet 5/4BetMGM 5/4BetWright 5/4Dragon Bet 5/4Virgin Bet 5/4

24 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	11/8	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	11/8Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.45pp
Newcastle (AW)05 Sep 20267f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	-3.74ppOpen → 10am	5/1	-4.17pp10am → SP	7/1	2nd	-7.91pp
Post-race comment
Newcastle (AW)27 Mar 20267f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/2	-5.68ppOpen → 10am	7/1	-0.74pp10am → SP	15/2	1st	-6.42pp
Post-race comment
Southwell (AW)14 Mar 20267f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	12/1	+3.42ppOpen → 10am	8/1	+0.65pp10am → SP	15/2	2nd	+4.07pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	11/8	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	11/8Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.45pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amPendingWaiting for a valid 10am price and a later update.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 13 previous Open → 10am moves. Today’s move: Anthropologist is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 14 Mar 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Southwell (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 14y · previous 7f 14y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/10 (2.09 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 17/69 (24.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 17.5%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Timely AffairDraw 1

Trainer: William Knight

Jockey: Taylor Fisher

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

COURSE RECORD3/4 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 2/1 · 143% bigger today

Last run22 days ago · 7 Oct 2026

Distance changeUp 1.1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP10/33 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → 10am

70th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE70th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 10 previous Open → 10am moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → 10am moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.3% • -0.05 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Yarmouth, 20 May 2026 — 3rd • open 3/1 → final market price 9/1 (-15.00pp).

Opened 13/2Market avg 13/2

Price move-0.05pp(-0.3%)

13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

7/1 8 decimal William Hill

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

William Hill 7/1Paddy Power 7/1Betfair Sportsbook 7/1Bet365 13/2BetTom 13/2Betfred 13/2Boyle Sports 13/2Coral 13/2Hollywood Bets 13/2Ladbrokes 13/2LiveScore Bet 13/2Midnite 13/2Quinn Bet 13/2SportingIndex 13/2Spreadex 13/2Star Sports 13/2Unibet 13/2Virgin Bet 13/27Bet 6/1Bet Victor 6/1BetMGM 6/1BetWright 6/1Betano 6/1Dragon Bet 6/1

24 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	13/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	13/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.05pp
Kempton (AW)07 Oct 20267f · Class 5 · Standard / Slow · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	+1.52ppOpen → 10am	9/2	-1.52pp10am → SP	5/1	2nd	+0.00pp
Post-race comment
Lingfield (AW)22 Aug 20261m 1y · Class 5 · Standard · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/3	-7.87ppOpen → 10am	11/2	+2.80pp10am → SP	9/2	1st	-5.07pp
Post-race comment
Southwell (AW)23 Jul 20267f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 13 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	6/1	+7.94ppOpen → 10am	7/2	-4.04pp10am → SP	9/2	1st	+3.90pp
Post-race comment
Southwell (AW)29 Apr 20261m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	6/4	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	6/4	+7.62pp10am → SP	11/10	1st	+7.62pp
Post-race comment
Southwell (AW)11 Apr 20267f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	2/1	-2.56ppOpen → 10am	9/4	+7.40pp10am → SP	13/8	2nd	+4.83pp
Post-race comment
Kempton (AW)25 Mar 20261m · Class 6 · Standard To Slow · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	2/1	+14.29ppOpen → 10am	11/10	+0.00pp10am → SP	11/10	2nd	+14.29pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	13/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	13/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.05pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 10 previous Open → 10am moves. Today’s move: Timely Affair is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Lingfield (AW) · 22 Aug 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Lingfield (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 14y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/2 (5.41 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 16/69 (23.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.6%.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Dovey MoonDraw 8

Trainer: David Evans

Jockey: Marco Ghiani

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 25/1 · 70% shorter today

Last run26 days ago · 3 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP13/21 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → 10am

63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE63rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 8 previous Open → 10am moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → 10am moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • +0.13 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Windsor, 07 Sep 2026 — 6th • open 40/1 → final market price 12/1 (+5.42pp).

Opened 7/1Market avg 13/2

Price move+0.13pp(+1.0%)

7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

15/2 8.5 decimal Bet365

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Bet365 15/2Betfred 7/1Boyle Sports 7/1Coral 7/1Hollywood Bets 7/1Ladbrokes 7/1Midnite 7/1Quinn Bet 7/1SportingIndex 7/1Spreadex 7/1Star Sports 7/1Unibet 7/1William Hill 7/17Bet 13/2BetMGM 13/2BetTom 13/2BetWright 13/2Dragon Bet 13/2LiveScore Bet 13/2Virgin Bet 13/2Paddy Power 13/2Betfair Sportsbook 13/2Bet Victor 6/1Betano 6/1

24 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	7/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	13/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.13pp
Salisbury23 May 20261m · Class 4 · Good · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	17/2	+1.24ppOpen → 10am	15/2	+1.57pp10am → SP	13/2	1st	+2.81pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	7/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	13/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.13pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 4 · ↓ Class drop

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 8 previous Open → 10am moves. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Dovey Moon is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Salisbury · 23 May 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Salisbury✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 14y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 4

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/2 (5.63 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 7/44 (15.9%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.6%.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Monsieur BondyDraw 6

Trainer: Geoff Oldroyd

Jockey: P. J. McDonald

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

COURSE RECORD1/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 11/4 · 109% bigger today

Last run12 days ago · 17 Oct 2026

Distance changeUp 1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP11/41 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → 10am

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 6 previous Open → 10am moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → 10am moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.3% • +0.17 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Southwell (AW), 17 Oct 2026 — 1st • open 7/1 → final market price 5/2 (+16.07pp).

Opened 7/1Market avg 7/1

Price move+0.17pp(+1.3%)

7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

7/1 8 decimal Bet365

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Bet365 7/1BetTom 7/1Betfred 7/1Boyle Sports 7/1Coral 7/1Hollywood Bets 7/1Ladbrokes 7/1Midnite 7/1Quinn Bet 7/1SportingIndex 7/1Spreadex 7/1Star Sports 7/1Unibet 7/1William Hill 7/1Paddy Power 7/1Betfair Sportsbook 7/17Bet 13/2Bet Victor 13/2BetMGM 13/2BetWright 13/2Betano 13/2Dragon Bet 13/2LiveScore Bet 13/2Virgin Bet 13/2

24 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	7/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.17pp
Southwell (AW)17 Oct 20267f 15y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/1	+10.59ppOpen → 10am	10/3	+3.57pp10am → SP	11/4	1st	+14.17pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	7/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.17pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 6 previous Open → 10am moves. Today’s move: Monsieur Bondy is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 17 Oct 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Southwell (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 14y · previous 7f 15y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/2 (5.68 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 4/12 (33.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 13.5%.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Mount KingDraw 12

Trainer: Tim Easterby

Jockey: David Allan

🟢 Needs Support (21%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

Last run24 days ago · 5 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP9/21 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → 10am

46th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE46th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 13 previous Open → 10am moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → 10am moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.6% • +0.17 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Pontefract, 05 Oct 2026 — 2nd • open 7/1 → final market price 10/3 (+10.59pp).

Opened 17/2Market avg 8/1

Price move+0.17pp(+1.6%)

17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/1 10 decimal Bet365

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Bet365 9/1Betfred 17/2Coral 17/2Hollywood Bets 17/2Ladbrokes 17/2Midnite 17/2Quinn Bet 17/2SportingIndex 17/2Spreadex 17/2Star Sports 17/2Unibet 17/2William Hill 17/2Paddy Power 17/2Betfair Sportsbook 17/27Bet 8/1BetTom 8/1BetWright 8/1Boyle Sports 8/1Dragon Bet 8/1LiveScore Bet 8/1Virgin Bet 8/1Bet Victor 15/2BetMGM 15/2Betano 15/2

24 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	17/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	8/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.17pp
Pontefract05 Oct 20261m 6y · Class 5 · Good · 13 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/1	+5.68ppOpen → 10am	9/2	+4.04pp10am → SP	7/2	2nd	+9.72pp
Post-race comment
Pontefract26 Jul 20261m 6y · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/2	+1.82ppOpen → 10am	4/1	+2.22pp10am → SP	7/2	2nd	+4.04pp
Post-race comment
Pontefract17 Jul 20261m 6y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	8/1	+5.56ppOpen → 10am	5/1	+1.52pp10am → SP	9/2	1st	+7.07pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	17/2	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	8/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.17pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 13 previous Open → 10am moves. Today’s move: Mount King is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Pontefract · 05 Oct 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Pontefract✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 14y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good✓Class: Class 5

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Horse support level

Support of +6.82pp · around 9/2 (5.73 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

3/4 finished 1st or 2nd with this much support or more (75%).

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/2 (6.39 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 48/207 (23.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.4%.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Exotic BabyDraw 10

Trainer: Ian Williams

Jockey: Paul Mulrennan

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬆ CLASS RISE

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

COURSE RECORD0/2 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 25/1 · 60% shorter today

Last run28 days ago · 1 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → 10am

75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 8 previous Open → 10am moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → 10am moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.6% • +0.15 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Newcastle (AW), 01 Oct 2026 — 3rd • open 12/1 → final market price 17/2 (+2.83pp).

Opened 10/1Market avg 9/1

Price move+0.15pp(+1.6%)

10/1 → 10/1 → 10/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

12/1 13 decimal Bet365

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Bet365 12/1Betfred 10/1Boyle Sports 10/1Coral 10/1Hollywood Bets 10/1Ladbrokes 10/1Midnite 10/1Quinn Bet 10/1SportingIndex 10/1Spreadex 10/1Star Sports 10/1Unibet 10/1William Hill 10/17Bet 9/1BetTom 9/1BetWright 9/1Dragon Bet 9/1LiveScore Bet 9/1Virgin Bet 9/1Bet Victor 17/2Betano 17/2Paddy Power 17/2Betfair Sportsbook 17/2BetMGM 8/1

24 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	10/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	9/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.15pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	10/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	9/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.15pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 6 · ↑ Class rise

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 8 previous Open → 10am moves. It is also stepping up from Class 6 to Class 5, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Exotic Baby is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 6/1 (6.96 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 27/109 (24.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.2%.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Anton MauveDraw 9

Trainer: Kevin & Lauren Frost

Jockey: Alistair Rawlinson

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

Last run15 days ago · 14 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP12/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → 10am

60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 5 previous Open → 10am moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → 10am moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 2.2% • +0.18 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Yarmouth, 17 Sep 2026 — 1st • open 16/1 → final market price 14/1 (+0.78pp).

Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1

Price move+0.18pp(+2.2%)

12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

12/1 13 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 12/1BetTom 12/1Betfred 12/1Boyle Sports 12/1Coral 12/1Hollywood Bets 12/1Ladbrokes 12/1Midnite 12/1Quinn Bet 12/1SportingIndex 12/1Spreadex 12/1Star Sports 12/1Unibet 12/1William Hill 12/1Paddy Power 12/1Betfair Sportsbook 12/17Bet 11/1Bet Victor 11/1BetMGM 11/1BetWright 11/1Betano 11/1Dragon Bet 11/1LiveScore Bet 11/1Virgin Bet 11/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.18pp
Yarmouth17 Sep 20267f 3y · Class 6 · Good · 13 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	16/1	+2.45ppOpen → 10am	11/1	-0.64pp10am → SP	12/1	1st	+1.81pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.18pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 5 previous Open → 10am moves. Today’s move: Anton Mauve is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Yarmouth · 17 Sep 2026 · 1st · 0/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Yarmouth×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 14y · previous 7f 3y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 6

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 7/1 (7.86 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 6/26 (23.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.6%.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Have You A MinuteDraw 13

Trainer: Tom Tate

Jockey: John Egan

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬆ CLASS RISE

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

COURSE RECORD1/2 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 8/1 · 46% bigger today

Last run21 days ago · 8 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → 10am

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → 10am moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → 10am moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • -0.08 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 15 Sep 2026 — 3rd • open 9/1 → final market price 16/1 (-4.32pp).

Opened 12/1Market avg 12/1

Price move-0.08pp(-1.0%)

12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 14/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

14/1 15 decimal Bet365

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Bet365 14/1BetTom 12/1Betfred 12/1Boyle Sports 12/1Coral 12/1Hollywood Bets 12/1Ladbrokes 12/1Midnite 12/1Quinn Bet 12/1SportingIndex 12/1Spreadex 12/1Star Sports 12/1Unibet 12/1William Hill 12/1Paddy Power 12/1Betfair Sportsbook 12/17Bet 11/1Bet Victor 11/1BetMGM 11/1BetWright 11/1Betano 11/1Dragon Bet 11/1LiveScore Bet 11/1Virgin Bet 11/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.08pp
Southwell (AW)16 Aug 20261m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	15/2	+0.74ppOpen → 10am	7/1	-4.17pp10am → SP	11/1	2nd	-3.43pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	12/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.08pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 6 · ↑ Class rise

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → 10am moves. It is also stepping up from Class 6 to Class 5, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Have You A Minute is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 16 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Southwell (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 14y✓Ground: Standard×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 6

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 13/2 (7.74 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 2/7 (28.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.7%. Small sample.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

CalyxohDraw 11

Trainer: Patrick Morris

Jockey: David Nolan

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

Last run55 days ago · 4 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → 10am

86th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE86th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 7 previous Open → 10am moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → 10am moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 4.3% • +0.28 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Carlisle, 04 Jul 2026 — 7th • open 16/1 → final market price 11/1 (+2.45pp).

Opened 16/1Market avg 14/1

Price move+0.28pp(+4.3%)

16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

22/1 23 decimal Bet365

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Bet365 22/1Boyle Sports 16/1Coral 16/1Ladbrokes 16/1Midnite 16/17Bet 14/1Bet Victor 14/1BetMGM 14/1BetTom 14/1BetWright 14/1Betano 14/1Betfred 14/1Dragon Bet 14/1Hollywood Bets 14/1Quinn Bet 14/1SportingIndex 14/1Spreadex 14/1Star Sports 14/1Unibet 14/1Virgin Bet 14/1William Hill 14/1LiveScore Bet 12/1Paddy Power 12/1Betfair Sportsbook 12/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	16/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	14/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.28pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	16/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	14/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.28pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 4 · ↓ Class drop

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 7 previous Open → 10am moves. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Calyxoh is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 8/1 (8.92 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 5/30 (16.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 6.7%.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Up The JazzDraw 3

Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey

Jockey: Oisin McSweeney

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

Last run16 days ago · 13 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP3/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → 10am

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 14 previous Open → 10am moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → 10am moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.9% • +0.05 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Carlisle, 27 Aug 2026 — 2nd • open 7/1 → final market price 3/1 (+12.50pp).

Opened 18/1Market avg 18/1

Price move+0.05pp(+0.9%)

18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

20/1 21 decimal Paddy Power

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Paddy Power 20/1BetTom 18/1Betfred 18/1Boyle Sports 18/1Coral 18/1Hollywood Bets 18/1Ladbrokes 18/1LiveScore Bet 18/1Midnite 18/1Quinn Bet 18/1SportingIndex 18/1Spreadex 18/1Star Sports 18/1Unibet 18/1Virgin Bet 18/1William Hill 18/1Betfair Sportsbook 18/17Bet 16/1Bet Victor 16/1Bet365 16/1BetMGM 16/1BetWright 16/1Betano 16/1Dragon Bet 16/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	18/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	18/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.05pp
Carlisle27 Aug 20261m 1f · Class 5 · Good · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/1	+7.50ppOpen → 10am	4/1	+5.00pp10am → SP	3/1	2nd	+12.50pp
Post-race comment
Ripon06 Jul 20261m · Class 5 · Good · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/2	-4.04ppOpen → 10am	9/2	-2.80pp10am → SP	11/2	2nd	-6.84pp
Post-race comment
Musselburgh22 Jun 20261m 2y · Class 6 · Good · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/2	-5.48ppOpen → 10am	10/3	+1.91pp10am → SP	3/1	1st	-3.57pp
Post-race comment
Ripon25 Apr 20261m · Class 5 · Good · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	13/2	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	13/2	+0.95pp10am → SP	6/1	2nd	+0.95pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	18/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	18/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.05pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 14 previous Open → 10am moves. Today’s move: Up The Jazz is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Ripon · 06 Jul 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Ripon✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 14y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good✓Class: Class 5

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 17/2 (9.66 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 26/90 (28.9%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.7%.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

AlcarazDraw 14

Trainer: George Baker

Jockey: Callum Shepherd

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

Last run28 days ago · 1 Oct 2026

Distance changeDown 1.9f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → 10am

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → 10am moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → 10am moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 1% • -0.04 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Chepstow, 21 May 2026 — 5th • open 4/1 → final market price 5/1 (-3.33pp).

Opened 22/1Market avg 25/1

Price move-0.04pp(-1.0%)

25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 22/1 → 22/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 22/1 ↓ 20/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

28/1 29 decimal Bet365

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Bet365 28/1BetTom 25/1Betfred 25/1Boyle Sports 25/1Coral 25/1Hollywood Bets 25/1Ladbrokes 25/1Midnite 25/1Quinn Bet 25/1SportingIndex 25/1Spreadex 25/1Star Sports 25/1Unibet 25/1William Hill 25/1Bet Victor 22/1BetWright 22/1Betano 22/1Dragon Bet 22/1LiveScore Bet 22/1Virgin Bet 22/1Paddy Power 22/1Betfair Sportsbook 22/17Bet 20/1BetMGM 20/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	22/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	25/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.04pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	22/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	25/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.04pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 4 · ↓ Class drop

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → 10am moves. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Alcaraz is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 10/1 (11.00 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 7/24 (29.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.4%.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Galileo IslandDraw 5

Trainer: Tom Ward

Jockey: Sean Levey

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 9/2 · 352% bigger today

Last run24 days ago · 5 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → 10am

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 5 previous Open → 10am moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → 10am moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.3% • +0.01 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final market support in the recorded sample.

Opened 25/1Market avg 25/1

Price move+0.01pp(+0.3%)

25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 22/1 → 22/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↓ 20/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

25/1 26 decimal Bet365

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Bet365 25/1BetTom 25/1Betfred 25/1Boyle Sports 25/1Coral 25/1Hollywood Bets 25/1Ladbrokes 25/1Midnite 25/1Quinn Bet 25/1SportingIndex 25/1Spreadex 25/1Star Sports 25/1Unibet 25/1William Hill 25/1Paddy Power 25/1Betfair Sportsbook 25/1Bet Victor 22/1BetWright 22/1Betano 22/1Dragon Bet 22/1LiveScore Bet 22/1Virgin Bet 22/17Bet 20/1BetMGM 20/1

24 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	25/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	25/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.01pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	25/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	25/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.01pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 4 · ↓ Class drop

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 5 previous Open → 10am moves. The horse drops from Class 4 to Class 5, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Galileo Island is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 10/1 (11.09 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 9/28 (32.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 6.4%.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Quiet ResolveDraw 4

Trainer: Alan Brown

Jockey: Sean Kirrane

🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

Last run9 days ago · 20 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP20/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → 10am

78th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE78th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 9 previous Open → 10am moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → 10am moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.3% • +0.01 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Newcastle (AW), 02 Jun 2026 — 6th • open 11/2 → final market price 9/2 (+2.80pp).

Opened 25/1Market avg 25/1

Price move+0.01pp(+0.3%)

25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

28/1 29 decimal Paddy Power

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Paddy Power 28/1Betfair Sportsbook 28/17Bet 25/1Bet365 25/1BetTom 25/1BetWright 25/1Betfred 25/1Boyle Sports 25/1Coral 25/1Dragon Bet 25/1Hollywood Bets 25/1Ladbrokes 25/1LiveScore Bet 25/1Midnite 25/1Quinn Bet 25/1SportingIndex 25/1Spreadex 25/1Star Sports 25/1Unibet 25/1Virgin Bet 25/1William Hill 25/1Bet Victor 22/1Betano 22/1BetMGM 20/1

24 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	25/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	25/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.01pp
Hamilton11 Aug 20261m 68y · Class 5 · Good · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/2	+1.28ppOpen → 10am	5/1	-2.38pp10am → SP	6/1	2nd	-1.10pp
Post-race comment
Hamilton15 May 20261m 1f 34y · Class 4 · Good · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/2	-3.90ppOpen → 10am	6/1	-3.76pp10am → SP	17/2	2nd	-7.66pp
Post-race comment
Hamilton03 May 20261m 67y · Class 5 · Good · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	18/1	-1.42ppOpen → 10am	25/1	+0.92pp10am → SP	20/1	1st	-0.50pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	25/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	25/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.01pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 9 previous Open → 10am moves. Today’s move: Quiet Resolve is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Hamilton · 11 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Hamilton✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 14y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good✓Class: Class 5

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 10/1 (11.28 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 1/6 (16.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 3.6%. Small sample.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

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Popeye DoyleDraw 2

Trainer: Jessica Bedi

Jockey: William Pyle

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬆ CLASS RISE

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

Last run31 days ago · 28 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1.4f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → 10am

17th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE17th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 6 previous Open → 10am moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → 10am moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.4% • -0.05 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Carlisle, 24 Jun 2026 — 9th • open 8/1 → final market price 66/1 (-9.62pp).

Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1

Price move-0.05pp(-1.4%)

33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 28/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

40/1 41 decimal Bet365

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Bet365 40/1BetTom 33/1Betfred 33/1Boyle Sports 33/1Coral 33/1Hollywood Bets 33/1Ladbrokes 33/1Midnite 33/1Quinn Bet 33/1SportingIndex 33/1Spreadex 33/1Star Sports 33/1Unibet 33/1William Hill 33/17Bet 28/1Bet Victor 28/1BetWright 28/1Betano 28/1Dragon Bet 28/1LiveScore Bet 28/1Virgin Bet 28/1Paddy Power 28/1Betfair Sportsbook 28/1BetMGM 25/1

24 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	33/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.05pp
Wetherby15 Jun 20261m · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	33/1	-0.98ppOpen → 10am	50/1	-0.73pp10am → SP	80/1	2nd	-1.71pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	33/1	—No checkpoint	—	—No checkpoint	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.05pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 6 · ↑ Class rise

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 6 previous Open → 10am moves. It is also stepping up from Class 6 to Class 5, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Popeye Doyle is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wetherby · 15 Jun 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Wetherby✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 14y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 5

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/1 (12.26 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 1/7 (14.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 3.9%. Small sample.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Now was biggest

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Race market overview as at 04:51

Supported0 of 14 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting0 of 14 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minNo gain or drift recorded
Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min

15-minute snapshot 04:51 · no additional market query

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