Live Market Form Terminal

13:00Market Rasen • Hurdle • 2m0f125y • Class 4 • Going: Good To Soft

11 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

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Moore Brion

Trainer: Olly Murphy

Jockey: Sean Bowen

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬆ CLASS RISE

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run211 days ago · 28 Mar 2026

Distance changeUp 0.8f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP7/41 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 16.7% • +10.50 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Uttoxeter, 28 Mar 2026 — 1st • open 3/1 → final market price 6/4 (+15.00pp).

Opened 10/11Market avg 4/7

Price move+10.50pp(+16.7%)

8/13 ↓ 4/7 ↑ 8/13 → 8/13 → 8/13 ↓ 4/7 → 4/7 ↑ 8/13 → 8/13 ↓ 4/7

BEST FIXED ODDS

4/6 1.67 decimal Unibet

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Unibet 4/6Hollywood Bets 8/137Bet 8/13Bet Victor 8/13BetTom 8/13BetWright 8/13Betano 8/13Boyle Sports 8/13Dragon Bet 8/13LiveScore Bet 8/13Midnite 8/13Quinn Bet 8/13Star Sports 8/13Virgin Bet 8/13William Hill 8/1310 Bet 4/7Bet365 4/7BetMGM 4/7Betfred 4/7SportingIndex 4/7Spreadex 4/7Betfair Sportsbook 8/15Paddy Power 8/15Coral 4/9Ladbrokes 4/9

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners	10/11	+15.67ppOpen → 10am	4/9	-5.17pp10am → now; SP pending	4/7Current; SP pending	Pending	+10.50pp
Uttoxeter28 Mar 20261m 7f 168y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	3/1	+25.00ppOpen → 10am	EVS	-13.64pp10am → SP	7/4	1st	+11.36pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners	10/11	+15.67ppOpen → 10am	4/9	-5.17pp10am → now; SP pending	4/7Current; SP pending	Pending	+10.50pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

TRAINER RECORD MAKES THIS SUPPORT SIGNIFICANTMarket+10.50ppGenuine support from the opening price.Trainer19.9% → 48.5%Open → SP · backed 10pp+Baseline → matching strike rate; 66 runners, Open → SP · backed 10pp+. Historical sample requires opening, 10am and official SP prices. Popup uses opening → final market price and a broader results baseline.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-5.17pp since 10am, as of 12:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 5 · ↑ Class rise

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

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AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Olly Murphy runners in the matching 10pp+ band have won 32/66 (a 48.5% Open→SP strike rate), compared with the trainer’s normal 19.9% strike rate. There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Moore Brion has shortened from 10/11 to 4/7, which is strong support (+10.50pp).

Shortened by 15.67pp by 10am. Drifted by 5.17pp since 10am. As of 12:57; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 15pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 6/11 (54.5%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Uttoxeter · 28 Mar 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Market Rasen · previous Uttoxeter×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 125y · previous 1m 7f 168y✓Ground: Good To Soft×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5

ACT NOW — DO NOT WAIT FOR ANOTHER 2PP

55% of Olly Murphy runners backed by at least 15pp by 10am continued to shorten from 10am to SP (11/20). Today’s live move of +10.50pp is supported by the horse or trainer evidence too. That continuation record is the reason to act now: waiting for another 2pp risks losing the available price.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +15.00pp · around 1/2 (1.48 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 16/36 (44.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.9%.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 8/11 (1.74 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

Trainer won 47/130 (36.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.9%.

Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 8/13 (1.60 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

Trainer won 32/66 (48.5%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.9%.

Risk of losing the price: 11/20 (55%) trainer runners backed by 15pp+ by 10am shortened further into SP.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Kaldoun des Rocs

Trainer: Dan Skelton

Jockey: Tristan Durrell

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run302 days ago · 27 Dec 2025

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 33.7% • -8.40 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Chepstow, 27 Dec 2025 — 3rd • open 17/2 → final market price 9/1 (-0.53pp).

Opened 2/1Market avg 3/1

Price move-8.40pp(-33.7%)

3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 3/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/3 4.33 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 10/3Betfred 10/3Quinn Bet 10/310 Bet 3/1Bet Victor 3/1BetTom 3/1BetWright 3/1Betano 3/1Boyle Sports 3/1Coral 3/1Hollywood Bets 3/1Ladbrokes 3/1LiveScore Bet 3/1Midnite 3/1SportingIndex 3/1Spreadex 3/1Star Sports 3/1Unibet 3/1Virgin Bet 3/1William Hill 3/1Betfair Sportsbook 3/1Paddy Power 3/17Bet 11/4BetMGM 11/4Dragon Bet 11/4

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners	2/1	+2.38ppOpen → 10am	7/4	-10.78pp10am → now; SP pending	3/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-8.40pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners	2/1	+2.38ppOpen → 10am	7/4	-10.78pp10am → now; SP pending	3/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-8.40pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

SIGNIFICANT MARKET DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-8.40ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-10.78pp since 10am, as of 12:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 1 · ↓ Class drop

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

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More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Despite dropping from Class 1 to Class 4, the market is still weakening. Today’s move: Kaldoun des Rocs has moved from 2/1 to 3/1, a significant drift (-8.40pp).

Shortened by 2.38pp by 10am. Drifted by 10.78pp since 10am. As of 12:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 7/4 (2.80 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 13/8 (2.61 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 72/171 (42.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 23.7%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Running Happy

Trainer: Seamus Mullins

Jockey: Benjamin Macey(5)

🟢 Needs Support (13%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run169 days ago · 9 May 2026

Distance changeUp 0.9f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP11/21 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 19.3% • -4.31 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final market drift in the recorded sample.

Opened 11/4Market avg 7/2

Price move-4.31pp(-19.3%)

7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

4/1 5 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 4/1SportingIndex 4/1Spreadex 4/110 Bet 7/27Bet 7/2Bet Victor 7/2BetTom 7/2BetWright 7/2Betano 7/2Betfred 7/2Boyle Sports 7/2Dragon Bet 7/2Hollywood Bets 7/2Midnite 7/2Unibet 7/2William Hill 7/2BetMGM 10/3Coral 10/3Ladbrokes 10/3LiveScore Bet 10/3Quinn Bet 10/3Star Sports 10/3Virgin Bet 10/3Betfair Sportsbook 3/1Paddy Power 3/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners	11/4	+6.67ppOpen → 10am	2/1	-10.97pp10am → now; SP pending	7/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-4.31pp
Haydock09 May 20261m 7f 144y · Class 3 · Good · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	13/2	+3.33ppOpen → 10am	5/1	+10.00pp10am → SP	11/4	2nd	+13.33pp
Post-race comment
Huntingdon04 Apr 20261m 7f 171y · Class 5 · Good · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/1	+3.41ppOpen → 10am	7/1	+2.88pp10am → SP	11/2	1st	+6.29pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners	11/4	+6.67ppOpen → 10am	2/1	-10.97pp10am → now; SP pending	7/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-4.31pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-4.31ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-10.97pp since 10am, as of 12:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 3 · ↓ Class drop

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

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More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Despite dropping from Class 3 to Class 4, the market is still weakening. Today’s move: Running Happy has moved from 11/4 to 7/2, a developing drift (-4.31pp).

Shortened by 6.67pp by 10am. Drifted by 10.97pp since 10am. As of 12:57; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 6pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 3/8 (37.5%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Haydock · 09 May 2026 · 2nd · 0/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Market Rasen · previous Haydock×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 125y · previous 1m 7f 144y×Ground: Today Good To Soft · previous Good×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 3

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 2/1 (3.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/4 (3.16 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 5/23 (21.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.5%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Military Cross

Trainer: Sam England

Jockey: Jonathan England

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run18 days ago · 7 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Sedgefield on 07 Oct 2026 (-10.24pp); and finished 3rd at Southwell (AW) on 30 Jan 2026 (-8.68pp).

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 58.3% • -6.14 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Sedgefield, 07 Oct 2026 — 2nd • open 2/1 → final market price 10/3 (-10.24pp).

Opened 5/1Market avg 17/2

Price move-6.14pp(-58.3%)

8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 10/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/1 11 decimal 10 Bet

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10 Bet 10/1Bet Victor 10/1BetWright 10/1Hollywood Bets 10/1SportingIndex 10/1Spreadex 10/1Unibet 10/1William Hill 10/1Bet365 9/1BetTom 9/1Dragon Bet 9/1Midnite 9/1Star Sports 9/1Betano 17/2Betfred 8/1Boyle Sports 8/1LiveScore Bet 8/1Quinn Bet 8/1Virgin Bet 8/17Bet 15/2Paddy Power 15/2BetMGM 7/1Betfair Sportsbook 6/1Coral 11/2Ladbrokes 11/2

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners	5/1	-2.38ppOpen → 10am	6/1	-3.76pp10am → now; SP pending	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-6.14pp
Sedgefield07 Oct 20262m 178y · Class 4 · Good · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	2/1	-4.76ppOpen → 10am	5/2	-5.48pp10am → SP	10/3	2nd	-10.24pp
Post-race comment
Cartmel27 May 20262m 1f 46y · Class 4 · Good · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	2/1	-4.76ppOpen → 10am	5/2	+2.20pp10am → SP	9/4	2nd	-2.56pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners	5/1	-2.38ppOpen → 10am	6/1	-3.76pp10am → now; SP pending	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-6.14pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-6.14ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse history1/2 top 2Displayed comparable drift runs: 1 first/second finishes in 2 completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.76pp since 10am, as of 12:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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2 of 4 previous runs showed a larger drift, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse against its previous Open → final market price moves. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Military Cross has moved from 5/1 to 17/2, a developing drift (-6.14pp).

Drifted by 2.38pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.76pp more since 10am. As of 12:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Sedgefield · 07 Oct 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Market Rasen · previous Sedgefield✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 125y×Ground: Today Good To Soft · previous Good✓Class: Class 4

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 6/1 (7.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 7/2 (4.62 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 17/58 (29.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 14.1%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Silver Salver

Trainer: Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith

Jockey: Danny McMenamin

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run163 days ago · 15 May 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.8% • -0.02 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final market drift in the recorded sample.

Opened 50/1Market avg 50/1

Price move-0.02pp(-0.8%)

50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

66/1 71 decimal 7Bet

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7Bet 66/1Bet365 66/1Midnite 66/1SportingIndex 66/1Spreadex 66/110 Bet 50/1Bet Victor 50/1BetMGM 50/1BetTom 50/1BetWright 50/1Betano 50/1Betfred 50/1Boyle Sports 50/1Dragon Bet 50/1Hollywood Bets 50/1Quinn Bet 50/1Unibet 50/1William Hill 50/1Paddy Power 50/1LiveScore Bet 40/1Star Sports 40/1Virgin Bet 40/1Betfair Sportsbook 40/1Coral 33/1Ladbrokes 33/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners	50/1	+0.48ppOpen → 10am	40/1	-0.49pp10am → now; SP pending	50/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.02pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners	50/1	+0.48ppOpen → 10am	40/1	-0.49pp10am → now; SP pending	50/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.02pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amHolding-0.49pp since 10am, as of 12:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Silver Salver is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.48pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.49pp since 10am. As of 12:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 40/1 (41.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 14/1 (14.37 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 10/40 (25%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 13%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Mags Ocean

Trainer: Dan Skelton

Jockey: Liam Harrison

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run18 days ago · 7 Oct 2026

Distance changeUp 0.6f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 65.2% • -1.10 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Worcester, 07 Oct 2026 — finish unavailable • open 20/1 → final market price 33/1 (-1.82pp).

Opened 33/1Market avg 66/1

Price move-1.10pp(-65.2%)

50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 → 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

80/1 81 decimal LiveScore Bet

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LiveScore Bet 80/1Quinn Bet 80/1SportingIndex 80/1Spreadex 80/1Virgin Bet 80/1Paddy Power 80/17Bet 66/1Betfair Sportsbook 66/1Bet365 66/1BetWright 66/1Dragon Bet 66/110 Bet 50/1Bet Victor 50/1BetMGM 50/1BetTom 50/1Betano 50/1Betfred 50/1Boyle Sports 50/1Hollywood Bets 50/1Midnite 50/1Unibet 50/1William Hill 50/1Star Sports 40/1Coral 33/1Ladbrokes 33/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners	33/1	+0.67ppOpen → 10am	28/1	-1.77pp10am → now; SP pending	66/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.10pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners	33/1	+0.67ppOpen → 10am	28/1	-1.77pp10am → now; SP pending	66/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.10pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.77pp since 10am, as of 12:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Mags Ocean is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.67pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.77pp since 10am. As of 12:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 28/1 (29.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 12/1 (12.86 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 72/171 (42.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 23.7%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Equi Libre

Trainer: Dan Skelton

Jockey: Robert Dunne

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run9 days ago · 16 Oct 2026

Distance changeUp 0.8f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.

Raw Open → Now price change: 31.2% • +0.45 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Stratford, 09 Mar 2026 — 3rd • open 25/1 → final market price 16/1 (+2.04pp).

Opened 100/1Market avg 66/1

Price move+0.45pp(+31.2%)

50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

100/1 126 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 100/1LiveScore Bet 100/1Quinn Bet 100/1SportingIndex 100/1Spreadex 100/1Virgin Bet 100/1Paddy Power 100/1Unibet 80/1Betfair Sportsbook 80/17Bet 66/1BetMGM 66/1BetWright 66/1Dragon Bet 66/110 Bet 50/1Bet Victor 50/1BetTom 50/1Betano 50/1Betfred 50/1Boyle Sports 50/1Hollywood Bets 50/1Midnite 50/1William Hill 50/1Coral 40/1Ladbrokes 40/1Star Sports 40/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners	100/1	+1.95ppOpen → 10am	33/1	-1.50pp10am → now; SP pending	66/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.45pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners	100/1	+1.95ppOpen → 10am	33/1	-1.50pp10am → now; SP pending	66/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.45pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.50pp since 10am, as of 12:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Equi Libre is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.95pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.50pp since 10am. As of 12:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 16/1 (16.69 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 72/171 (42.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 23.7%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Lady Bam

Trainer: Tom Ellis

Jockey: Jack Andrews

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run16 days ago · 9 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 101.2% • -1.40 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final market drift in the recorded sample.

Opened 33/1Market avg 66/1

Price move-1.40pp(-101.2%)

66/1 → 66/1 ↑ 80/1 ↓ 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 80/1 → 80/1 ↓ 66/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

100/1 101 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 100/1Midnite 100/1SportingIndex 100/1Spreadex 100/17Bet 80/1Bet Victor 80/1Betano 80/1LiveScore Bet 80/1Quinn Bet 80/1Virgin Bet 80/1Paddy Power 80/110 Bet 66/1BetMGM 66/1BetTom 66/1BetWright 66/1Betfred 66/1Boyle Sports 66/1Dragon Bet 66/1Hollywood Bets 66/1William Hill 66/1Betfair Sportsbook 66/1Star Sports 50/1Unibet 50/1Coral 33/1Ladbrokes 33/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners	33/1	+0.67ppOpen → 10am	28/1	-2.07pp10am → now; SP pending	66/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.40pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners	33/1	+0.67ppOpen → 10am	28/1	-2.07pp10am → now; SP pending	66/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.40pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.07pp since 10am, as of 12:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Lady Bam is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.67pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.07pp since 10am. As of 12:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 28/1 (29.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 12/1 (12.86 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 3/5 (60%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 25%. Small sample.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Skibidirizz

Trainer: Dan Skelton

Jockey: Billy Marshall(7)

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run14 days ago · 11 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 170.1% • -1.23 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final market drift in the recorded sample.

Opened 50/1Market avg 100/1

Price move-1.23pp(-170.1%)

80/1 → 80/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↓ 80/1 ↓ 66/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 80/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 80/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

100/1 251 decimal Betano

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Betano 100/1Midnite 100/1William Hill 100/1Paddy Power 100/1LiveScore Bet 100/1Quinn Bet 100/1Virgin Bet 100/1Betfair Sportsbook 100/1SportingIndex 100/1Spreadex 100/1Unibet 100/1Bet365 100/17Bet 100/1BetWright 100/1Dragon Bet 100/110 Bet 80/1Bet Victor 80/1BetTom 80/1Betfred 80/1Boyle Sports 80/1Hollywood Bets 80/1BetMGM 66/1Coral 66/1Ladbrokes 66/1Star Sports 66/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners	50/1	+0.48ppOpen → 10am	40/1	-1.71pp10am → now; SP pending	100/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.23pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners	50/1	+0.48ppOpen → 10am	40/1	-1.71pp10am → now; SP pending	100/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.23pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.71pp since 10am, as of 12:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 3 · ↓ Class drop

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The horse drops from Class 3 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Skibidirizz is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.48pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.71pp since 10am. As of 12:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 40/1 (41.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 14/1 (14.37 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 72/171 (42.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 23.7%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Mio Amico

Trainer: Michael Keady

Jockey: Nathan Moscrop

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Market Rasen · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 66/1 · 190% bigger today

Last run8 days ago · 17 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP7/12 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

29th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE29th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 7 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 28.7% • -0.15 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Kempton (AW), 06 Apr 2026 — 2nd • open 5/2 → final market price 11/2 (-13.19pp).

Opened 100/1Market avg 100/1

Price move-0.15pp(-28.7%)

100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

100/1 301 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 100/1LiveScore Bet 100/1Midnite 100/1Virgin Bet 100/110 Bet 100/17Bet 100/1Bet Victor 100/1BetMGM 100/1BetTom 100/1BetWright 100/1Betano 100/1Betfred 100/1Boyle Sports 100/1Dragon Bet 100/1Hollywood Bets 100/1Quinn Bet 100/1Unibet 100/1William Hill 100/1Betfair Sportsbook 100/1Paddy Power 100/1SportingIndex 100/1Spreadex 100/1Star Sports 100/1Coral 66/1Ladbrokes 66/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners	100/1	+1.30ppOpen → 10am	50/1	-1.45pp10am → now; SP pending	100/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.15pp
Kempton (AW)06 Apr 20261m 7f 218y · Class 5 · Standard To Slow · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/2	-6.35ppOpen → 10am	7/2	-5.56pp10am → SP	5/1	2nd	-11.90pp
Post-race comment
Chelmsford (AW)07 Mar 20261m 6f · Class 6 · Standard · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/2	+4.04ppOpen → 10am	7/2	+2.78pp10am → SP	3/1	1st	+6.82pp
Post-race comment
Lingfield (AW)03 Jan 20261m 4f · Class 6 · Standard To Slow · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/1	-1.40ppOpen → 10am	12/1	+0.64pp10am → SP	11/1	1st	-0.76pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners	100/1	+1.30ppOpen → 10am	50/1	-1.45pp10am → now; SP pending	100/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.15pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.45pp since 10am, as of 12:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 7 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Mio Amico is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.30pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.45pp since 10am. As of 12:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Kempton (AW) · 06 Apr 2026 · 2nd · 0/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Market Rasen · previous Kempton (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 125y · previous 1m 7f 218y×Ground: Today Good To Soft · previous Standard To Slow×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 50/1 (51.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 16/1 (17.66 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 5/14 (35.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 5.7%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Action Replay

Trainer: Charlie Longsdon

Jockey: Richie McLernon

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run18 days ago · 7 Oct 2026

Distance changeUp 0.6f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 47.7% • -0.21 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Worcester, 10 Sep 2026 — finish unavailable • open 4/1 → final market price 10/1 (-10.91pp).

Opened 100/1Market avg 100/1

Price move-0.21pp(-47.7%)

100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

100/1 401 decimal Paddy Power

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Paddy Power 100/1LiveScore Bet 100/1Quinn Bet 100/1Virgin Bet 100/1Betfair Sportsbook 100/1Bet365 100/1Midnite 100/1Unibet 100/110 Bet 100/17Bet 100/1Bet Victor 100/1BetMGM 100/1BetTom 100/1BetWright 100/1Betano 100/1Betfred 100/1Boyle Sports 100/1Coral 100/1Dragon Bet 100/1Hollywood Bets 100/1Ladbrokes 100/1William Hill 100/1Star Sports 100/1SportingIndex 100/1Spreadex 100/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners	100/1	+1.30ppOpen → 10am	50/1	-1.51pp10am → now; SP pending	100/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.21pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners	100/1	+1.30ppOpen → 10am	50/1	-1.51pp10am → now; SP pending	100/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.21pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.51pp since 10am, as of 12:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Action Replay is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.30pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.51pp since 10am. As of 12:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 50/1 (51.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 16/1 (17.66 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 8/30 (26.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.9%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 20:11

Supported1 of 11 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Moore Brion +10.50pp
Drifting3 of 11 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Kaldoun des Rocs -8.40pp
Last 15 minNo gain or drift recorded
Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min

15-minute snapshot 20:11 · no additional market query

13:35Market Rasen • Hurdle • 2m0f125y • Class 4 • Going: Good To Soft

7 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Don Dandy

Trainer: Olly Murphy

Jockey: Sean Bowen

PRO RACECARD ↗

Last runNot recorded

Distance changeNot recorded

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 25.2% • -15.13 probability points

Opened 1/3Market avg 4/6

Price move-15.13pp(-25.2%)

4/6 → 4/6 ↑ 8/11 → 8/11 ↓ 4/6 → 4/6 → 4/6 ↑ 8/11 ↓ 4/6 → 4/6

BEST FIXED ODDS

5/6 1.83 decimal LiveScore Bet

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LiveScore Bet 5/6Virgin Bet 5/6Bet Victor 8/11BetWright 8/11Betano 8/11Hollywood Bets 8/1110 Bet 4/67Bet 4/6Bet365 4/6BetMGM 4/6BetTom 4/6Betfred 4/6Boyle Sports 4/6Dragon Bet 4/6Midnite 4/6Quinn Bet 4/6Star Sports 4/6Unibet 4/6Paddy Power 4/6SportingIndex 8/13Spreadex 8/13Betfair Sportsbook 8/13William Hill 8/15Coral 4/9Ladbrokes 4/9

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 7 runners	1/3	-15.31ppOpen → 10am	4/6	+0.18pp10am → now; SP pending	4/6Current; SP pending	Pending	-15.13pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 7 runners	1/3	-15.31ppOpen → 10am	4/6	+0.18pp10am → now; SP pending	4/6Current; SP pending	Pending	-15.13pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

SIGNIFICANT MARKET DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-15.13ppMarket weakness from the opening price.Trainer19.9% → 0%Open → 10am · drifted 15pp+Baseline → matching strike rate; 8 runners, Open → 10am · drifted 15pp+. Historical sample requires opening, 10am and official SP prices. Popup uses opening → final market price and a broader results baseline.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amHolding+0.18pp since 10am, as of 13:31. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: class not recorded

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The trainer’s drift record adds context: When this trainer's runners had drifted by 15pp+ by 10am, 0/8 won (0%), compared with the yard's normal 19.9% strike rate. Today’s move: Don Dandy has moved from 1/3 to 4/6, a significant drift (-15.13pp).

Drifted by 15.31pp by 10am. Shortened by 0.18pp since 10am. As of 13:31; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 4/6 (1.67 decimal).

10am price recovered — watch whether it holds.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 1/4 (1.25 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 47/130 (36.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.9%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: 10am was biggest

Easing off

Minella Buoy

Trainer: Gary Hanmer

Jockey: Danny McMenamin

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run35 days ago · 20 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 0.6f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Strongest support recorded across 6 previous runs.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.

Raw Open → Now price change: 59.9% • +18.70 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Gowran Park (IRE), 01 Jun 2026 — 6th • open 20/1 → final market price 5/1 (+11.90pp).

Opened 7/1Market avg 9/4

Price move+18.70pp(+59.9%)

9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 2/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

5/2 3.5 decimal 7Bet

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7Bet 5/2BetTom 5/2William Hill 5/2Bet Victor 9/4Bet365 9/4BetMGM 9/4Betano 9/4Betfred 9/4Boyle Sports 9/4Dragon Bet 9/4LiveScore Bet 9/4Midnite 9/4Quinn Bet 9/4SportingIndex 9/4Spreadex 9/4Star Sports 9/4Virgin Bet 9/4Unibet 9/410 Bet 2/1BetWright 2/1Coral 2/1Hollywood Bets 2/1Ladbrokes 2/1Betfair Sportsbook 2/1Paddy Power 2/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 7 runners	7/1	+27.50ppOpen → 10am	6/4	-8.80pp10am → now; SP pending	9/4Current; SP pending	Pending	+18.70pp
Killarney (IRE)20 Aug 20262m 1f · Class — · Good · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/4	-0.48ppOpen → 10am	9/4	-4.10pp10am → SP	11/4	2nd	-4.58pp
Post-race comment
Ballinrobe (IRE)10 Aug 20262m 109y · Class — · Good · 13 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/3	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	10/3	+10.24pp10am → SP	2/1	2nd	+10.24pp
Post-race comment
Killarney (IRE)17 Jul 20262m 1f · Class — · Good · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	8/1	-6.35ppOpen → 10am	20/1	+8.57pp10am → SP	13/2	2nd	+2.22pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 7 runners	7/1	+27.50ppOpen → 10am	6/4	-8.80pp10am → now; SP pending	9/4Current; SP pending	Pending	+18.70pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

THIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORTMarket+18.70ppGenuine support from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-8.80pp since 10am, as of 13:31. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: class not recorded

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Across 6 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support compared with its previous Open → final market price moves. The trainer evidence is important here: At 15pp+: Open→SP 1/3 won (33.3%), compared with the yard’s normal 8.2% strike rate. Today’s move: Minella Buoy has shortened from 7/1 to 9/4, which is exceptional support (+18.70pp).

Shortened by 27.50pp by 10am. Drifted by 8.80pp since 10am. As of 13:31; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Killarney (IRE) · 20 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 1/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Market Rasen · previous Killarney (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 125y×Ground: Today Good To Soft · previous Good?Class: Data missing

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 7/2 (4.44 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

Trainer won 3/11 (27.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 8.2%.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/2 (5.71 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

Trainer won 5/20 (25%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 8.2%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Easing off

See Blue

Trainer: Max Comley

Jockey: David Bass

🟢 Needs Support (14%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run128 days ago · 19 Jun 2026

Distance changeUp 8.6f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 12.9% • -1.76 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Goodwood, 19 Jun 2026 — 8th • open 6/1 → final market price 13/2 (-0.95pp).

Opened 11/2Market avg 13/2

Price move-1.76pp(-12.9%)

7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↓ 11/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

8/1 9 decimal Coral

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Coral 8/1Ladbrokes 8/1Betfred 15/2Bet365 7/1Boyle Sports 7/1LiveScore Bet 7/1Virgin Bet 7/1Bet Victor 13/2BetMGM 13/2SportingIndex 13/2Spreadex 13/2Star Sports 13/2William Hill 13/2Paddy Power 13/27Bet 6/1BetTom 6/110 Bet 11/2BetWright 11/2Betano 11/2Dragon Bet 11/2Hollywood Bets 11/2Midnite 11/2Quinn Bet 11/2Unibet 11/2Betfair Sportsbook 11/2

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 7 runners	11/2	+6.84ppOpen → 10am	7/2	-8.60pp10am → now; SP pending	13/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.76pp
Haydock25 Apr 20261m 37y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	6/1	+1.10ppOpen → 10am	11/2	-2.05pp10am → SP	13/2	2nd	-0.95pp
Post-race comment
Southwell (AW)14 Mar 20261m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	2/1	+4.69ppOpen → 10am	13/8	+1.98pp10am → SP	6/4	2nd	+6.67pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 7 runners	11/2	+6.84ppOpen → 10am	7/2	-8.60pp10am → now; SP pending	13/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.76pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-8.60pp since 10am, as of 13:31. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: See Blue is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 6.84pp by 10am. Drifted by 8.60pp since 10am. As of 13:31; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 6pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 1/5 (20%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Haydock · 25 Apr 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Market Rasen · previous Haydock×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 125y · previous 1m 37y×Ground: Today Good To Soft · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 4

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 7/2 (4.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Horse support level

Support of +3.90pp · around 4/1 (5.19 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd with this much support or more (100%).

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 4/1 (4.91 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 6/23 (26.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.3%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Easing off

Elm Creek

Trainer: Rebecca Menzies

Jockey: Jamie Hamilton

PRO RACECARD ↗

SURFACE SWITCHAW → Turf

Last run198 days ago · 10 Apr 2026

Distance changeUp 5.9f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 133.6% • -3.81 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Dundalk (AW) (IRE), 10 Apr 2026 — 5th • open 9/4 → final market price 7/2 (-8.55pp).

Opened 14/1Market avg 33/1

Price move-3.81pp(-133.6%)

33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

40/1 41 decimal 10 Bet

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10 Bet 40/17Bet 40/1Bet Victor 40/1Betano 40/1Betfred 40/1Dragon Bet 40/1Hollywood Bets 40/1LiveScore Bet 40/1Quinn Bet 40/1SportingIndex 40/1Spreadex 40/1Star Sports 40/1Unibet 40/1Virgin Bet 40/1Bet365 33/1BetMGM 33/1BetWright 33/1Boyle Sports 33/1Midnite 33/1BetTom 28/1Paddy Power 28/1William Hill 22/1Betfair Sportsbook 22/1Coral 12/1Ladbrokes 12/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 7 runners	14/1	-1.40ppOpen → 10am	18/1	-2.41pp10am → now; SP pending	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.81pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 7 runners	14/1	-1.40ppOpen → 10am	18/1	-2.41pp10am → now; SP pending	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.81pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.41pp since 10am, as of 13:31. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: class not recorded

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Elm Creek is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 1.40pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.41pp more since 10am. As of 13:31; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 18/1 (19.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 15/2 (8.57 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 10/37 (27%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 7.5%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Easing off

Ollierob

Trainer: Harry Derham

Jockey: Paul O'Brien

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run33 days ago · 22 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1.2f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 109.2% • -3.07 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Fontwell, 22 Sep 2026 — 4th • open 5/2 → final market price 11/4 (-1.90pp).

Opened 16/1Market avg 33/1

Price move-3.07pp(-109.2%)

33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↓ 33/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

40/1 41 decimal Bet Victor

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Bet Victor 40/1Bet365 40/1Betano 40/1SportingIndex 40/1Spreadex 40/17Bet 33/1Paddy Power 33/110 Bet 33/1BetMGM 33/1BetTom 33/1BetWright 33/1Betfred 33/1Boyle Sports 33/1Coral 33/1Dragon Bet 33/1Hollywood Bets 33/1Ladbrokes 33/1LiveScore Bet 33/1Midnite 33/1Quinn Bet 33/1Star Sports 33/1Unibet 33/1Virgin Bet 33/1William Hill 33/1Betfair Sportsbook 33/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 7 runners	16/1	-2.04ppOpen → 10am	25/1	-1.03pp10am → now; SP pending	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.07pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 7 runners	16/1	-2.04ppOpen → 10am	25/1	-1.03pp10am → now; SP pending	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.07pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.03pp since 10am, as of 13:31. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Ollierob is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 2.04pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.03pp more since 10am. As of 13:31; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 25/1 (26.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 8/1 (9.19 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 13/46 (28.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 17.2%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Easing off

Solar Jet

Trainer: Dan Skelton

Jockey: Tristan Durrell

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run15 days ago · 10 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 15.5% • -0.33 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Leopardstown (IRE), 18 Jun 2026 — 10th • open 66/1 → final market price 100/1 (-0.50pp).

Opened 40/1Market avg 50/1

Price move-0.33pp(-15.5%)

50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

66/1 67 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 66/110 Bet 50/17Bet 50/1Bet Victor 50/1BetMGM 50/1BetTom 50/1BetWright 50/1Betano 50/1Betfred 50/1Boyle Sports 50/1Dragon Bet 50/1Hollywood Bets 50/1LiveScore Bet 50/1Midnite 50/1Quinn Bet 50/1SportingIndex 50/1Spreadex 50/1Star Sports 50/1Unibet 50/1Virgin Bet 50/1Paddy Power 40/1Betfair Sportsbook 33/1William Hill 28/1Coral 20/1Ladbrokes 20/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 7 runners	40/1	+0.50ppOpen → 10am	33/1	-0.83pp10am → now; SP pending	50/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.33pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 7 runners	40/1	+0.50ppOpen → 10am	33/1	-0.83pp10am → now; SP pending	50/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.33pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-0.83pp since 10am, as of 13:31. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

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More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Solar Jet is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.50pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.83pp since 10am. As of 13:31; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 33/1 (34.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 12/1 (13.44 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 72/171 (42.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 23.7%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Easing off

Contemplation

Trainer: Mike Sowersby

Jockey: Charlie Maggs

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬆ CLASS RISE

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run137 days ago · 10 Jun 2026

Distance changeUp 8.6f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 6 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 31.3% • -0.16 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Beverley, 23 Apr 2026 — 6th • open 14/1 → final market price 50/1 (-4.71pp).

Opened 100/1Market avg 100/1

Price move-0.16pp(-31.3%)

100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

100/1 301 decimal Paddy Power

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Paddy Power 100/1Bet365 100/1BetTom 100/1Midnite 100/1William Hill 100/1Betfair Sportsbook 100/110 Bet 100/17Bet 100/1Bet Victor 100/1BetMGM 100/1BetWright 100/1Betano 100/1Betfred 100/1Boyle Sports 100/1Dragon Bet 100/1Hollywood Bets 100/1LiveScore Bet 100/1Quinn Bet 100/1Star Sports 100/1Unibet 100/1Virgin Bet 100/1SportingIndex 100/1Spreadex 100/1Coral 66/1Ladbrokes 66/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 7 runners	100/1	+0.33ppOpen → 10am	100/1	-0.49pp10am → now; SP pending	100/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.16pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 7 runners	100/1	+0.33ppOpen → 10am	100/1	-0.49pp10am → now; SP pending	100/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.16pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amHolding-0.49pp since 10am, as of 13:31. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 6 · ↑ Class rise

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

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More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 6 previous Open → final market price moves. It is also stepping up from Class 6 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Contemplation is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.33pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.49pp since 10am. As of 13:31; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 100/1 (101.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Easing off

Race market overview as at 20:11

Supported1 of 7 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Minella Buoy +18.70pp
Drifting1 of 7 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Don Dandy -15.13pp
Last 15 minNo gain or drift recorded
Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min

15-minute snapshot 20:11 · no additional market query

14:10Market Rasen • Chase • 2m5f89y • Class 2 • Going: Good To Soft

5 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Triple Trade

Trainer: Joe Tizzard

Jockey: Brendan Powell

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run193 days ago · 15 Apr 2026

Distance changeUp 1.5f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP5/21 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 5 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.2% • +0.43 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Haydock, 04 Apr 2026 — finish unavailable • open 11/1 → final market price 5/1 (+8.33pp).

Opened 15/8Market avg 15/8

Price move+0.43pp(+1.2%)

15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 ↓ 7/4 → 7/4 ↑ 15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 ↑ 15/8 ↓ 15/8

BEST FIXED ODDS

2/1 3 decimal Quinn Bet

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Quinn Bet 2/1Virgin Bet 2/1Paddy Power 2/17Bet 15/810 Bet 15/8Bet Victor 15/8Bet365 15/8BetMGM 15/8Betano 15/8Betfred 15/8Boyle Sports 15/8Coral 15/8Dragon Bet 15/8Ladbrokes 15/8LiveScore Bet 15/8Midnite 15/8Star Sports 15/8Unibet 15/8William Hill 15/8BetTom 7/4BetWright 7/4Hollywood Bets 7/4SportingIndex 7/4Spreadex 7/4Betfair Sportsbook 7/4

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 5f 89y · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 5 runners	15/8	+1.88ppOpen → 10am	7/4	-1.45pp10am → now; SP pending	15/8Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.43pp
Sandown03 Jan 20262m 4f 15y · Class 3 · Good · 4 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	4/1	+8.57pp10am → SP	5/2	1st	+8.57pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 5f 89y · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 5 runners	15/8	+1.88ppOpen → 10am	7/4	-1.45pp10am → now; SP pending	15/8Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.43pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.45pp since 10am, as of 14:08. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 2 · Last run: Class 1 · ↓ Class drop

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 5 previous Open → final market price moves. The horse drops from Class 1 to Class 2, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Triple Trade is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.88pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.45pp since 10am. As of 14:08; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Sandown · 03 Jan 2026 · 1st · 0/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Market Rasen · previous Sandown×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 5f 89y · previous 2m 4f 15y×Ground: Today Good To Soft · previous Good×Class: Today Class 2 · previous Class 3

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 6/4 (2.53 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 19/60 (31.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 14.1%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

Sure Touch

Trainer: Olly Murphy

Jockey: Sean Bowen

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬆ CLASS RISE

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Market Rasen · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 10/3 · 26% shorter today

Last run29 days ago · 26 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 8.6% • +2.68 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final market support in the recorded sample.

Opened 5/2Market avg 9/4

Price move+2.68pp(+8.6%)

9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/4 3.25 decimal 10 Bet

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10 Bet 9/47Bet 9/4Bet Victor 9/4Bet365 9/4BetMGM 9/4BetTom 9/4Betano 9/4Betfred 9/4Boyle Sports 9/4Coral 9/4Hollywood Bets 9/4Ladbrokes 9/4LiveScore Bet 9/4Quinn Bet 9/4SportingIndex 9/4Spreadex 9/4Star Sports 9/4Unibet 9/4Virgin Bet 9/4William Hill 9/4BetWright 2/1Dragon Bet 2/1Midnite 2/1Betfair Sportsbook 2/1Paddy Power 2/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 5f 89y · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 5 runners	5/2	+6.15ppOpen → 10am	15/8	-3.47pp10am → now; SP pending	9/4Current; SP pending	Pending	+2.68pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 5f 89y · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 5 runners	5/2	+6.15ppOpen → 10am	15/8	-3.47pp10am → now; SP pending	9/4Current; SP pending	Pending	+2.68pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.47pp since 10am, as of 14:08. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 2 · Last run: Class 3 · ↑ Class rise

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves. It is also stepping up from Class 3 to Class 2, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Sure Touch is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 6.15pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.47pp since 10am. As of 14:08; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 6pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 18/38 (47.4%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 2/1 (2.98 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 47/130 (36.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.9%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

Tommy's Oscar

Trainer: Ann Hamilton

Jockey: Danny McMenamin

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run21 days ago · 4 Oct 2026

Distance changeUp 4.3f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP6/41 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 6 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 0.5% • -0.12 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Musselburgh, 31 Jan 2026 — 2nd • open 13/2 → final market price 10/1 (-4.24pp).

Opened 3/1Market avg 3/1

Price move-0.12pp(-0.5%)

3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/3 4.33 decimal BetTom

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BetTom 10/3BetWright 10/3Hollywood Bets 10/310 Bet 3/17Bet 3/1Bet Victor 3/1Bet365 3/1BetMGM 3/1Betano 3/1Betfred 3/1Boyle Sports 3/1Coral 3/1Dragon Bet 3/1Ladbrokes 3/1LiveScore Bet 3/1Midnite 3/1Quinn Bet 3/1SportingIndex 3/1Spreadex 3/1Star Sports 3/1Unibet 3/1Virgin Bet 3/1William Hill 3/1Betfair Sportsbook 11/4Paddy Power 11/4

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 5f 89y · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 5 runners	3/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	3/1	-0.12pp10am → now; SP pending	3/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.12pp
Perth23 Apr 20262m 4f 20y · Class 2 · Good · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	6/1	+3.90ppOpen → 10am	9/2	-1.52pp10am → SP	5/1	2nd	+2.38pp
Post-race comment
Carlisle08 Mar 20263m 110y · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 5 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/4	-3.03ppOpen → 10am	2/1	+6.67pp10am → SP	6/4	1st	+3.64pp
Post-race comment
Musselburgh31 Jan 20262m 4f 68y · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	13/2	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	13/2	-2.22pp10am → SP	8/1	2nd	-2.22pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 5f 89y · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 5 runners	3/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	3/1	-0.12pp10am → now; SP pending	3/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.12pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amHolding-0.12pp since 10am, as of 14:08. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 2 · Last run: Class 2 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 6 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Tommy's Oscar is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

No net move by 10am. Drifted by 0.12pp since 10am. As of 14:08; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Carlisle · 08 Mar 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Market Rasen · previous Carlisle×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 5f 89y · previous 3m 110y✓Ground: Good To Soft✓Class: Class 2

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 3/1 (4.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/4 (3.33 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 2/7 (28.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.3%. Small sample.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Ga Law

Trainer: Jamie Snowden

Jockey: Isabelle Ryder(5)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Last runNot recorded

Distance changeNot recorded

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 30.7% • -5.22 probability points

Opened 7/2Market avg 5/1

Price move-5.22pp(-30.7%)

5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

5/1 6 decimal 10 Bet

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10 Bet 5/1Bet Victor 5/1Bet365 5/1BetTom 5/1Betano 5/1Betfred 5/1Boyle Sports 5/1Coral 5/1Hollywood Bets 5/1Ladbrokes 5/1LiveScore Bet 5/1Midnite 5/1Quinn Bet 5/1Star Sports 5/1Unibet 5/1Virgin Bet 5/1William Hill 5/1Betfair Sportsbook 5/1Paddy Power 5/17Bet 9/2BetMGM 9/2BetWright 9/2Dragon Bet 9/2SportingIndex 9/2Spreadex 9/2

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 5f 89y · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 5 runners	7/2	-2.22ppOpen → 10am	4/1	-2.99pp10am → now; SP pending	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-5.22pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 5f 89y · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 5 runners	7/2	-2.22ppOpen → 10am	4/1	-2.99pp10am → now; SP pending	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-5.22pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-5.22ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.99pp since 10am, as of 14:08. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 2 · Last run: class not recorded

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Ga Law has moved from 7/2 to 5/1, a developing drift (-5.22pp).

Drifted by 2.22pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.99pp more since 10am. As of 14:08; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 4/1 (5.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/4 (3.67 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 26/65 (40%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 22.1%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Mars Harper

Trainer: Sarah Humphrey

Jockey: Tabitha Worsley

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run155 days ago · 23 May 2026

Distance changeDown 2.7f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 96.2% • -2.33 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Bangor-on-Dee, 23 May 2026 — 6th • open 15/2 → final market price 18/1 (-6.50pp).

Opened 20/1Market avg 40/1

Price move-2.33pp(-96.2%)

40/1 → 40/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↑ 50/1 → 50/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 50/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

50/1 51 decimal 10 Bet

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10 Bet 50/1Bet Victor 50/1Bet365 50/1Betano 50/1Midnite 50/1Star Sports 50/1Betfred 40/1Boyle Sports 40/1Coral 40/1Ladbrokes 40/1LiveScore Bet 40/1Quinn Bet 40/1SportingIndex 40/1Spreadex 40/1Unibet 40/1Virgin Bet 40/1William Hill 40/1Betfair Sportsbook 40/1Paddy Power 40/17Bet 33/1BetMGM 33/1Dragon Bet 33/1BetTom 28/1BetWright 28/1Hollywood Bets 28/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 5f 89y · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 5 runners	20/1	-0.92ppOpen → 10am	25/1	-1.42pp10am → now; SP pending	40/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.33pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 5f 89y · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 5 runners	20/1	-0.92ppOpen → 10am	25/1	-1.42pp10am → now; SP pending	40/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.33pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.42pp since 10am, as of 14:08. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 2 · Last run: Class 2 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

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More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Mars Harper is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 0.92pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.42pp more since 10am. As of 14:08; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 25/1 (26.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Race market overview as at 20:11

Supported0 of 5 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting1 of 5 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Ga Law -5.22pp
Last 15 minNo gain or drift recorded
Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min

15-minute snapshot 20:11 · no additional market query

14:41Market Rasen • Chase • 3m3f123y • Class 3 • Going: Good To Soft

4 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Paper Mill

Trainer: Stuart Edmunds

Jockey: Charlie Hammond

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬆ CLASS RISE

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run24 days ago · 1 Oct 2026

Distance changeUp 3.3f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP6/41 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Strongest support recorded across 4 previous runs.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.

Raw Open → Now price change: 25.8% • +10.69 probability points

Built 14:27 → 14:39

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Southwell, 01 Oct 2026 — 1st • open 2/1 → final market price 6/4 (+6.67pp).

Opened 9/4Market avg 11/8

Price move+10.69pp(+25.8%)

11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8 ↑ 6/4 → 6/4 ↓ 11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8 ↑ 6/4 → 6/4

BEST FIXED ODDS

7/4 2.75 decimal LiveScore Bet

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LiveScore Bet 7/4Virgin Bet 7/4Unibet 13/810 Bet 6/47Bet 6/4BetTom 6/4BetWright 6/4Bet Victor 11/8Bet365 11/8BetMGM 11/8Betano 11/8Betfred 11/8Boyle Sports 11/8Coral 11/8Hollywood Bets 11/8Ladbrokes 11/8Quinn Bet 11/8Paddy Power 11/8Dragon Bet 11/8Star Sports 11/8Midnite 5/4SportingIndex 5/4Spreadex 5/4William Hill 5/4Betfair Sportsbook 5/4

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday3m 3f 123y · Class 3 · Good To Soft · 4 runners	9/4	+13.68ppOpen → 10am	5/4	-2.99pp10am → now; SP pending	11/8Current; SP pending	Pending	+10.69pp
Southwell01 Oct 20263m 60y · Class 4 · Good · 4 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	2/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	2/1	+6.67pp10am → SP	6/4	1st	+6.67pp
Post-race comment
Uttoxeter07 Jul 20263m 10y · Class 4 · Good · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	-3.33ppOpen → 10am	5/1	+3.33pp10am → SP	4/1	2nd	+0.00pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday3m 3f 123y · Class 3 · Good To Soft · 4 runners	9/4	+13.68ppOpen → 10am	5/4	-2.99pp10am → now; SP pending	11/8Current; SP pending	Pending	+10.69pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

TRAINER RECORD MAKES THIS SUPPORT SIGNIFICANTMarket+10.69ppGenuine support from the opening price.Trainer14.7% → 25%Open → SP · backed 10pp+Baseline → matching strike rate; 12 runners, Open → SP · backed 10pp+. Historical sample requires opening, 10am and official SP prices. Popup uses opening → final market price and a broader results baseline.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.99pp since 10am, as of 14:40. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: Class 4 · ↑ Class rise

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Stuart Edmunds runners in the matching 10pp+ band have won 3/12 (a 25% Open→SP strike rate), compared with the trainer’s normal 14.7% strike rate. Across 4 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support compared with its previous Open → final market price moves. It is also stepping up from Class 4 to Class 3, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Paper Mill has shortened from 9/4 to 11/8, which is strong support (+10.69pp).

Shortened by 13.68pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.99pp since 10am. As of 14:40; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell · 01 Oct 2026 · 1st · 0/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Market Rasen · previous Southwell×Trip (within ½f): Today 3m 3f 123y · previous 3m 60y×Ground: Today Good To Soft · previous Good×Class: Today Class 3 · previous Class 4

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 6/4 (2.45 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

Trainer won 3/12 (25%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 14.7%.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 7/4 (2.80 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

Trainer won 9/33 (27.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 14.7%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

Livin On Luco

Trainer: Philip Hobbs & Johnson White

Jockey: Sean Bowen

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run183 days ago · 25 Apr 2026

Distance changeDown 1.1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.1% • -0.32 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Exeter, 22 Mar 2026 — 2nd • open 5/2 → final market price 7/2 (-6.35pp).

Opened 5/2Market avg 5/2

Price move-0.32pp(-1.1%)

5/2 → 5/2 ↑ 11/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 9/4 ↑ 11/4 → 11/4 ↓ 5/2 → 5/2 ↓ 9/4

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/4 3.75 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 11/4BetMGM 11/4Betano 11/4LiveScore Bet 11/4Midnite 11/4SportingIndex 11/4Spreadex 11/4Star Sports 11/4Virgin Bet 11/4William Hill 11/47Bet 5/2Bet Victor 5/2Betfred 5/2Boyle Sports 5/2Coral 5/2Dragon Bet 5/2Ladbrokes 5/2Quinn Bet 5/2Betfair Sportsbook 5/2Paddy Power 5/210 Bet 9/4BetTom 9/4Hollywood Bets 9/4Unibet 9/4BetWright 2/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday3m 3f 123y · Class 3 · Good To Soft · 4 runners	5/2	+2.20ppOpen → 10am	9/4	-2.52pp10am → now; SP pending	5/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.32pp
Exeter22 Mar 20263m 6f 153y · Class 3 · Good · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/2	-6.35ppOpen → 10am	7/2	-5.56pp10am → SP	5/1	2nd	-11.90pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday3m 3f 123y · Class 3 · Good To Soft · 4 runners	5/2	+2.20ppOpen → 10am	9/4	-2.52pp10am → now; SP pending	5/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.32pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.52pp since 10am, as of 14:40. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: Class 1 · ↓ Class drop

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

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More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves. The horse drops from Class 1 to Class 3, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Livin On Luco is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 2.20pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.52pp since 10am. As of 14:40; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Exeter · 22 Mar 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Market Rasen · previous Exeter×Trip (within ½f): Today 3m 3f 123y · previous 3m 6f 153y×Ground: Today Good To Soft · previous Good✓Class: Class 3

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 9/4 (3.25 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 2/1 (2.98 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 11/41 (26.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 15.7%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Rivers Corner

Trainer: Joe Tizzard

Jockey: Brendan Powell

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run202 days ago · 6 Apr 2026

Distance changeDown 0.9f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP2/12 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Largest drift recorded across 5 previous runs.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 58.9% • -12.35 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Plumpton, 06 Apr 2026 — 8th • open 5/1 → final market price 17/2 (-6.14pp).

Opened 2/1Market avg 4/1

Price move-12.35pp(-58.9%)

4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 7/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

4/1 5 decimal 7Bet

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7Bet 4/1Bet Victor 4/1Betano 4/1Betfred 4/1Boyle Sports 4/1Coral 4/1Hollywood Bets 4/1Ladbrokes 4/1Midnite 4/1Quinn Bet 4/1SportingIndex 4/1Spreadex 4/1Star Sports 4/1Paddy Power 4/110 Bet 7/2Bet365 7/2BetMGM 7/2BetTom 7/2BetWright 7/2Dragon Bet 7/2Unibet 7/2William Hill 7/2Betfair Sportsbook 7/2LiveScore Bet 10/3Virgin Bet 10/3

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday3m 3f 123y · Class 3 · Good To Soft · 4 runners	2/1	-8.33ppOpen → 10am	3/1	-4.02pp10am → now; SP pending	4/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-12.35pp
Exeter22 Mar 20263m 6f 153y · Class 3 · Good · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/2	+8.48ppOpen → 10am	11/4	+13.33pp10am → SP	6/4	1st	+21.82pp
Post-race comment
Wincanton15 Jan 20263m 2f 161y · Class 3 · Heavy · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/4	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	11/4	+0.00pp10am → SP	11/4	1st	+0.00pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday3m 3f 123y · Class 3 · Good To Soft · 4 runners	2/1	-8.33ppOpen → 10am	3/1	-4.02pp10am → now; SP pending	4/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-12.35pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

THIS IS THE HORSE’S LARGEST RECORDED DRIFTMarket-12.35ppMarket weakness from the opening price.Trainer14.1% → 12.5%Open → 10am · drifted 5pp+Baseline → matching strike rate; 32 runners, Open → 10am · drifted 5pp+. Historical sample requires opening, 10am and official SP prices. Popup uses opening → final market price and a broader results baseline.Horse historyLargest recorded driftLargest recorded drift across 5 previous runs. This flags unusual market weakness; it does not claim a finishing record.Since 10amWeakening-4.02pp since 10am, as of 14:40. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: Class 2 · ↓ Class drop

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Across 5 previous runs, this is the horse’s largest recorded drift compared with its previous Open → final market price moves. The trainer’s drift record adds context: When this trainer's runners had drifted by 5pp+ by 10am, 4/32 won (12.5%), compared with the yard's normal 14.1% strike rate. Despite dropping from Class 2 to Class 3, the market is still weakening. Today’s move: Rivers Corner has moved from 2/1 to 4/1, a significant drift (-12.35pp).

Drifted by 8.33pp by 10am. Drifted by 4.02pp more since 10am. As of 14:40; SP pending. If it keeps drifting into SP: this trainer’s runners with 5pp+ drift by 10am that kept drifting from 10am to SP won 1/12 (8.3%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Exeter · 22 Mar 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Market Rasen · previous Exeter×Trip (within ½f): Today 3m 3f 123y · previous 3m 6f 153y×Ground: Today Good To Soft · previous Good✓Class: Class 3

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 3/1 (4.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 13/8 (2.61 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 19/60 (31.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 14.1%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

The Doyen Chief

Trainer: Nick Scholfield

Jockey: Tom Cannon

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run176 days ago · 2 May 2026

Distance changeUp 3.1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP5/41 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 10.4% • -1.88 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Kempton, 21 Feb 2026 — 2nd • open 7/1 → final market price 12/1 (-4.81pp).

Opened 4/1Market avg 9/2

Price move-1.88pp(-10.4%)

9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

5/1 6 decimal 10 Bet

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10 Bet 5/1BetTom 5/1BetWright 5/1Hollywood Bets 5/1Unibet 5/17Bet 9/2Bet Victor 9/2Bet365 9/2BetMGM 9/2Betano 9/2Betfred 9/2Boyle Sports 9/2Coral 9/2Dragon Bet 9/2Ladbrokes 9/2Midnite 9/2Quinn Bet 9/2SportingIndex 9/2Spreadex 9/2Star Sports 9/2Paddy Power 9/2LiveScore Bet 4/1Virgin Bet 4/1William Hill 4/1Betfair Sportsbook 4/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday3m 3f 123y · Class 3 · Good To Soft · 4 runners	4/1	+2.22ppOpen → 10am	7/2	-4.11pp10am → now; SP pending	9/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.88pp
Kempton21 Feb 20263m · Class 1 · Good To Soft · 13 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	7/1	-5.83pp10am → SP	14/1	2nd	-5.83pp
Post-race comment
Kempton10 Jan 20263m · Class 2 · Good · 5 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	3/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	3/1	+19.44pp10am → SP	5/4	1st	+19.44pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday3m 3f 123y · Class 3 · Good To Soft · 4 runners	4/1	+2.22ppOpen → 10am	7/2	-4.11pp10am → now; SP pending	9/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.88pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-4.11pp since 10am, as of 14:40. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: class not recorded

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: The Doyen Chief is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 2.22pp by 10am. Drifted by 4.11pp since 10am. As of 14:40; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Kempton · 21 Feb 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Market Rasen · previous Kempton×Trip (within ½f): Today 3m 3f 123y · previous 3m✓Ground: Good To Soft×Class: Today Class 3 · previous Class 1

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 7/2 (4.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 3/1 (4.00 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 13/48 (27.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 15.3%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Race market overview as at 20:11

Supported1 of 4 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Paper Mill +10.69pp
Drifting1 of 4 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Rivers Corner -12.35pp
Last 15 minNo gain or drift recorded
Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min

15-minute snapshot 20:11 · no additional market query

15:13Market Rasen • Chase • 2m3f34y • Class 5 • Going: Good To Soft

5 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Walk In The Valley

Trainer: Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith

Jockey: Danny McMenamin

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Market Rasen · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 7/2 · 40% shorter today

Last run17 days ago · 8 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 8.9% • -3.26 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final market drift in the recorded sample.

Opened 6/4Market avg 7/4

Price move-3.26pp(-8.9%)

7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 ↑ 15/8 ↓ 7/4

BEST FIXED ODDS

15/8 2.9 decimal 7Bet

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7Bet 15/8SportingIndex 15/8Spreadex 15/810 Bet 7/4Bet Victor 7/4Bet365 7/4BetMGM 7/4BetTom 7/4BetWright 7/4Betano 7/4Betfred 7/4Boyle Sports 7/4Dragon Bet 7/4Hollywood Bets 7/4Midnite 7/4Quinn Bet 7/4Star Sports 7/4Unibet 7/4William Hill 7/4Betfair Sportsbook 7/4Paddy Power 7/4LiveScore Bet 7/4Virgin Bet 7/4Coral 6/5Ladbrokes 6/5

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 3f 34y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 5 runners	6/4	+7.62ppOpen → 10am	11/10	-10.88pp10am → now; SP pending	7/4Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.26pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 3f 34y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 5 runners	6/4	+7.62ppOpen → 10am	11/10	-10.88pp10am → now; SP pending	7/4Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.26pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-10.88pp since 10am, as of 15:12. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

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More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Walk In The Valley is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 7.62pp by 10am. Drifted by 10.88pp since 10am. As of 15:12; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 6pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 4/11 (36.4%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 11/10 (2.10 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 6/5 (2.22 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 10/40 (25%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 13%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Noble Recall

Trainer: Anthony Day

Jockey: Isabelle Ryder(5)

🟢 Needs Support (8%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run13 days ago · 12 Oct 2026

Distance changeDown 0.8f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP7/12 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Largest drift recorded across 4 previous runs.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 22% • -8.00 probability points

Built 09:17 → 09:25

Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final market drift in the recorded sample.

Opened 5/4Market avg 7/4

Price move-8.00pp(-22.0%)

7/4 ↑ 15/8 → 15/8 ↓ 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 ↑ 15/8 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 15/8

BEST FIXED ODDS

15/8 2.88 decimal 10 Bet

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10 Bet 15/8Bet Victor 15/8Betano 15/8Betfred 15/8Star Sports 15/8Unibet 15/87Bet 7/4Bet365 7/4BetMGM 7/4BetTom 7/4BetWright 7/4Boyle Sports 7/4Dragon Bet 7/4Hollywood Bets 7/4LiveScore Bet 7/4Midnite 7/4Quinn Bet 7/4SportingIndex 7/4Spreadex 7/4Virgin Bet 7/4William Hill 7/4Betfair Sportsbook 13/8Paddy Power 13/8Coral 11/8Ladbrokes 11/8

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 3f 34y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 5 runners	5/4	-2.78ppOpen → 10am	11/8	-5.22pp10am → now; SP pending	7/4Current; SP pending	Pending	-8.00pp
Worcester12 Oct 20262m 4f · Class 5 · Good · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/1	+5.38ppOpen → 10am	11/2	-1.10pp10am → SP	6/1	1st	+4.29pp
Post-race comment
Worcester10 Sep 20262m 4f · Class 5 · Good · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/1	+4.08ppOpen → 10am	6/1	-3.17pp10am → SP	8/1	1st	+0.91pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 3f 34y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 5 runners	5/4	-2.78ppOpen → 10am	11/8	-5.22pp10am → now; SP pending	7/4Current; SP pending	Pending	-8.00pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

THIS IS THE HORSE’S LARGEST RECORDED DRIFTMarket-8.00ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLargest recorded driftLargest recorded drift across 4 previous runs. This flags unusual market weakness; it does not claim a finishing record.Since 10amWeakening-5.22pp since 10am, as of 15:12. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Across 4 previous runs, this is the horse’s largest recorded drift compared with its previous Open → final market price moves. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Noble Recall has moved from 5/4 to 7/4, a significant drift (-8.00pp).

Drifted by 2.78pp by 10am. Drifted by 5.22pp more since 10am. As of 15:12; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Worcester · 12 Oct 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Market Rasen · previous Worcester×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 3f 34y · previous 2m 4f×Ground: Today Good To Soft · previous Good✓Class: Class 5

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 11/8 (2.40 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Horse support level

Support of +2.30pp · around 11/10 (2.14 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

2/3 finished 1st or 2nd with this much support or more (67%).

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: 11am was biggest

Weakening late

Gambie Tiep

Trainer: Olly Murphy

Jockey: Sean Bowen

PRO RACECARD ↗

Last runNot recorded

Distance changeNot recorded

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 27.7% • +7.68 probability points

Opened 4/1Market avg 5/2

Price move+7.68pp(+27.7%)

11/4 → 11/4 ↓ 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 ↑ 11/4 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4 ↓ 5/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/3 4.33 decimal Paddy Power

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Paddy Power 10/3Betfair Sportsbook 3/17Bet 11/4Bet365 11/4Betfred 11/4Boyle Sports 11/4LiveScore Bet 11/4Midnite 11/4Quinn Bet 11/4SportingIndex 11/4Spreadex 11/4Virgin Bet 11/410 Bet 5/2Bet Victor 5/2BetMGM 5/2BetTom 5/2BetWright 5/2Betano 5/2Dragon Bet 5/2Hollywood Bets 5/2Star Sports 5/2Unibet 5/2William Hill 5/2Coral 2/1Ladbrokes 2/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 3f 34y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 5 runners	4/1	+16.36ppOpen → 10am	7/4	-8.69pp10am → now; SP pending	5/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+7.68pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 3f 34y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 5 runners	4/1	+16.36ppOpen → 10am	7/4	-8.69pp10am → now; SP pending	5/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+7.68pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

TRAINER RECORD MAKES THIS SUPPORT SIGNIFICANTMarket+7.68ppGenuine support from the opening price.Trainer19.9% → 36.2%Open → SP · backed 5pp+Baseline → matching strike rate; 130 runners, Open → SP · backed 5pp+. Historical sample requires opening, 10am and official SP prices. Popup uses opening → final market price and a broader results baseline.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-8.69pp since 10am, as of 15:12. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: class not recorded

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Olly Murphy runners in the matching 5pp+ band have won 47/130 (a 36.2% Open→SP strike rate), compared with the trainer’s normal 19.9% strike rate. There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Gambie Tiep has shortened from 4/1 to 5/2, which is support (+7.68pp).

Shortened by 16.36pp by 10am. Drifted by 8.69pp since 10am. As of 15:12; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 15pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 6/11 (54.5%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

ACT NOW — DO NOT WAIT FOR ANOTHER 2PP

55% of Olly Murphy runners backed by at least 15pp by 10am continued to shorten from 10am to SP (11/20). Today’s live move of +7.68pp is supported by the horse or trainer evidence too. That continuation record is the reason to act now: waiting for another 2pp risks losing the available price.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 9/4 (3.33 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 32/66 (48.5%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.9%.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 3/1 (4.00 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

Trainer won 47/130 (36.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.9%.

Risk of losing the price: 11/20 (55%) trainer runners backed by 15pp+ by 10am shortened further into SP.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

Walkinthewoods

Trainer: Mrs C. Williams

Jockey: Adam Wedge

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run202 days ago · 6 Apr 2026

Distance changeDown 6f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.

Raw Open → Now price change: 19.5% • +1.43 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Ffos Las, 16 Mar 2026 — finish unavailable • open 10/1 → final market price 15/2 (+2.67pp).

Opened 16/1Market avg 12/1

Price move+1.43pp(+19.5%)

12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 12/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 20/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

20/1 21 decimal 10 Bet

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10 Bet 20/1Bet Victor 18/1BetTom 18/1BetWright 18/1Hollywood Bets 18/1Unibet 18/1Betano 16/1Dragon Bet 16/1Star Sports 16/1Midnite 14/17Bet 12/1Bet365 12/1Betfred 12/1Boyle Sports 12/1William Hill 12/1LiveScore Bet 10/1Quinn Bet 10/1Virgin Bet 10/1Paddy Power 9/1BetMGM 8/1SportingIndex 8/1Spreadex 8/1Betfair Sportsbook 8/1Coral 7/1Ladbrokes 7/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 3f 34y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 5 runners	16/1	+3.64ppOpen → 10am	9/1	-2.21pp10am → now; SP pending	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.43pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 3f 34y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 5 runners	16/1	+3.64ppOpen → 10am	9/1	-2.21pp10am → now; SP pending	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.43pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.21pp since 10am, as of 15:12. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Walkinthewoods is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 3.64pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.21pp since 10am. As of 15:12; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 8/1 (9.19 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 2/5 (40%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 4.8%. Small sample.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

McGrath From Clune

Trainer: Tom Gretton

Jockey: Conor O'Farrell

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run131 days ago · 16 Jun 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

Only 1 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 10th at Southwell on 11 May 2026 (-5.17pp).

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 108.3% • -4.33 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Southwell, 11 May 2026 — 10th • open 14/1 → final market price 66/1 (-5.17pp).

Opened 11/1Market avg 25/1

Price move-4.33pp(-108.3%)

25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

28/1 29 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 28/1Paddy Power 28/110 Bet 25/17Bet 25/1Bet Victor 25/1BetMGM 25/1BetTom 25/1BetWright 25/1Betano 25/1Betfred 25/1Boyle Sports 25/1Dragon Bet 25/1Hollywood Bets 25/1Midnite 25/1Quinn Bet 25/1Star Sports 25/1Unibet 25/1William Hill 25/1LiveScore Bet 25/1Virgin Bet 25/1SportingIndex 22/1Spreadex 22/1Betfair Sportsbook 22/1Coral 14/1Ladbrokes 14/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 3f 34y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 5 runners	11/1	+1.19ppOpen → 10am	9/1	-5.52pp10am → now; SP pending	25/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-4.33pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 3f 34y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 5 runners	11/1	+1.19ppOpen → 10am	9/1	-5.52pp10am → now; SP pending	25/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-4.33pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-4.33ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-5.52pp since 10am, as of 15:12. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 4 · ↓ Class drop

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

Just 1 of 3 previous runs showed a larger drift, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse against its previous Open → final market price moves. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Despite dropping from Class 4 to Class 5, the market is still weakening. Today’s move: McGrath From Clune has moved from 11/1 to 25/1, a developing drift (-4.33pp).

Shortened by 1.19pp by 10am. Drifted by 5.52pp since 10am. As of 15:12; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 9/1 (10.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 13/2 (7.50 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 3/11 (27.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 18.8%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Race market overview as at 20:11

Supported1 of 5 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Gambie Tiep +7.68pp
Drifting2 of 5 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Noble Recall -8.00pp
Last 15 minNo gain or drift recorded
Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min

15-minute snapshot 20:11 · no additional market query

15:48Market Rasen • Hurdle • 2m0f125y • Class 5 • Going: Good To Soft

7 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Lightning Flash

Trainer: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies

Jockey: James Turner(3)

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run27 days ago · 28 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: +4.5% • +1.58pp

Measured NR price effect removed: -0.88pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 9/4 @ 11:30

NR @ 11:30: 9/4 → 9/4 (-0.88pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +2.46pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Doncaster, 13 Mar 2026 — 3rd • open 9/2 → final market price 15/8 (+16.54pp).

Opened 2/1Market avg 15/8

Price move+2.46pp(+6.9%)

15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 ↑ 2/1 → 2/1 ↓ 15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 ↑ 15/8 ↓ 15/8

BEST FIXED ODDS

2/1 3 decimal BetTom

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BetTom 2/1BetWright 2/1Unibet 2/1LiveScore Bet 2/1Virgin Bet 2/17Bet 15/810 Bet 15/8Bet Victor 15/8Bet365 15/8BetMGM 15/8Betano 15/8Betfred 15/8Boyle Sports 15/8Hollywood Bets 15/8Midnite 15/8Quinn Bet 15/8SportingIndex 15/8Spreadex 15/8Star Sports 15/8William Hill 15/8Dragon Bet 15/8Betfair Sportsbook 7/4Paddy Power 7/4Coral 6/4Ladbrokes 6/4

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 6 runners	2/1	+1.39ppOpen → 10am	15/8	+1.07pp10am → now; SP pending	15/8Current; SP pending	Pending	+2.46ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 6 runners	2/1	+1.39ppOpen → 10am	15/8	+1.07pp10am → now; SP pending	15/8Current; SP pending	Pending	+2.46ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amStrengthening+1.07pp since 10am, as of 15:46. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Lightning Flash is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.39pp by 10am. Shortened by 1.07pp more since 10am. As of 15:46; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 13/8 (2.67 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 13/58 (22.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 14.1%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

Character Testing

Trainer: Mark Walford

Jockey: Tom Midgley

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

COURSE RECORD1/2 top 2Market RasenAverage course SP 14/1 · 73% shorter today

Last run18 days ago · 7 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -40.4% • -10.46pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +0.33pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 3/1 @ 11:30

NR @ 11:30: 3/1 → 3/1 (+0.33pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -10.78pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

93th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE93rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

Only 1 of 15 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Fakenham on 13 Feb 2026 (-11.36pp).

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

When drifting like this: failed 4/5

When drifting like this: failed 4/5 — view runs

27 Jun 2026 · Newcastle (AW)
Open 25/1 → final 40/1 · SP 50/1 · 9th

13 Jun 2026 · Hexham
Open 10/3 → final 11/2 · SP 4/1 · 4th

07 Apr 2026 · Pontefract
Open 14/1 → final 33/1 · SP 25/1 · 7th

13 Feb 2026 · Fakenham
Open 7/4 → final 3/1 · SP 4/1 · 3rd

16 Jan 2026 · Market Rasen
Open 9/1 → final 18/1 · SP 20/1 · 2nd

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Fakenham, 13 Feb 2026 — 3rd • open 7/4 → final market price 3/1 (-11.36pp).

Opened 7/4Market avg 11/4

Price move-10.78pp(-42.2%)

3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 11/4 → 11/4 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4 ↑ 3/1 ↓ 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/3 4.33 decimal Betfred

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Betfred 10/3SportingIndex 10/3Spreadex 10/3Bet365 3/1Boyle Sports 3/1LiveScore Bet 3/1Quinn Bet 3/1Virgin Bet 3/1Betfair Sportsbook 3/1Paddy Power 3/110 Bet 11/47Bet 11/4Bet Victor 11/4BetMGM 11/4BetWright 11/4Betano 11/4Coral 11/4Dragon Bet 11/4Ladbrokes 11/4Midnite 11/4Star Sports 11/4Unibet 11/4William Hill 11/4BetTom 5/2Hollywood Bets 9/4

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 6 runners	7/4	-11.36ppOpen → 10am	3/1	+0.58pp10am → now; SP pending	11/4Current; SP pending	Pending	-10.78ppNR adjusted
Sedgefield28 Aug 20262m 178y · Class 5 · Good · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	-2.38ppOpen → 10am	6/1	+3.90pp10am → SP	9/2	2nd	+1.52pp
Post-race comment
Beverley28 Jul 20261m 4f 23y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	10/1	+2.67pp10am → SP	15/2	2nd	+2.67pp
Post-race comment
Cartmel27 May 20262m 1f 46y · Class 5 · Good · 13 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/1	-4.12ppOpen → 10am	16/1	+3.21pp10am → SP	10/1	2nd	-0.91pp
Post-race comment
Market Rasen16 Jan 20262m 125y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/1	-2.31ppOpen → 10am	12/1	-2.93pp10am → SP	20/1	2nd	-5.24pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 6 runners	7/4	-11.36ppOpen → 10am	3/1	+0.58pp10am → now; SP pending	11/4Current; SP pending	Pending	-10.78ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

SIGNIFICANT MARKET DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-10.78ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyMissed top 2: 4/5Displayed comparable drift runs: 1 first/second finishes in 5 completed runs.Since 10amStrengthening+0.58pp since 10am, as of 15:46. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Just 1 of 15 previous runs showed a larger drift, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse against its previous Open → final market price moves. The trainer’s drift record adds context: When this trainer's runners had drifted by 10pp+ by 10am, 0/2 won (0%), compared with the yard's normal 7.7% strike rate. Today’s move: Character Testing has moved from 7/4 to 11/4, a significant drift (-10.78pp).

Drifted by 11.36pp by 10am. Shortened by 0.58pp since 10am. As of 15:46; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Market Rasen · 16 Jan 2026 · 2nd · 4/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Market Rasen✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 125y✓Ground: Good To Soft✓Class: Class 5

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 3/1 (3.95 decimal).

10am price recovered — watch whether it holds.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/8 (2.40 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 9/47 (19.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 7.7%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: 10am was biggest

Weakening late

Justus

Trainer: Micky Hammond

Jockey: Joshua Thompson(3)

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run143 days ago · 4 Jun 2026

Distance changeUp 0.8f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: +1.8% • +0.42pp

Measured NR price effect removed: -0.08pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 4/1 @ 11:30

NR @ 11:30: 4/1 → 4/1 (-0.08pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +0.50pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 6 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Hexham, 19 May 2026 — 2nd • open 14/1 → final market price 7/1 (+5.83pp).

Opened 10/3Market avg 10/3

Price move+0.50pp(+2.1%)

7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3

BEST FIXED ODDS

7/2 4.5 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 7/2BetMGM 7/2BetTom 7/2Boyle Sports 7/2Hollywood Bets 7/2Midnite 7/2LiveScore Bet 7/2Virgin Bet 7/210 Bet 10/3Bet Victor 10/3Betano 10/3Betfred 10/3Coral 10/3Ladbrokes 10/3Quinn Bet 10/3Star Sports 10/3Unibet 10/3William Hill 10/37Bet 3/1BetWright 3/1Dragon Bet 3/1SportingIndex 11/4Spreadex 11/4Betfair Sportsbook 11/4Paddy Power 11/4

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 6 runners	10/3	-0.87ppOpen → 10am	7/2	+1.38pp10am → now; SP pending	10/3Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.50ppNR adjusted
Hexham19 May 20262m 48y · Class 5 · Good · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	14/1	+7.62ppOpen → 10am	6/1	+0.00pp10am → SP	6/1	2nd	+7.62pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 6 runners	10/3	-0.87ppOpen → 10am	7/2	+1.38pp10am → now; SP pending	10/3Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.50ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amStrengthening+1.38pp since 10am, as of 15:46. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 6 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Justus is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 0.87pp by 10am. Shortened by 1.38pp since 10am. As of 15:46; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Hexham · 19 May 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Market Rasen · previous Hexham✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 125y×Ground: Today Good To Soft · previous Good✓Class: Class 5

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 5/2 (3.57 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 6/36 (16.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.1%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: 10am was biggest

Weakening late

Klapton Boy

Trainer: Nick Kent

Jockey: Tom Broughton

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Market Rasen · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 22/1 · 73% shorter today

Last run170 days ago · 8 May 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: +51.5% • +8.18pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +0.92pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 4/1 @ 11:30

NR @ 11:30: 4/1 → 4/1 (+0.92pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +7.26pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Strongest support recorded across 3 previous runs.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final market support in the recorded sample.

Opened 12/1Market avg 11/2

Price move+7.26pp(+48.6%)

11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

6/1 7 decimal 10 Bet

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10 Bet 6/1Bet Victor 6/1Betano 6/1Betfred 6/1Dragon Bet 6/1Star Sports 6/17Bet 11/2Bet365 11/2BetTom 11/2BetWright 11/2Boyle Sports 11/2Hollywood Bets 11/2Midnite 11/2Quinn Bet 11/2Unibet 11/2William Hill 11/2Paddy Power 11/2BetMGM 5/1Betfair Sportsbook 5/1Coral 9/2Ladbrokes 9/2SportingIndex 9/2Spreadex 9/2LiveScore Bet 4/1Virgin Bet 4/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 6 runners	12/1	+14.53ppOpen → 10am	7/2	-7.27pp10am → now; SP pending	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+7.26ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 6 runners	12/1	+14.53ppOpen → 10am	7/2	-7.27pp10am → now; SP pending	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+7.26ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

THIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORTMarket+7.26ppGenuine support from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-7.27pp since 10am, as of 15:46. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

Across 3 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support compared with its previous Open → final market price moves. The trainer evidence is important here: At 5pp+: Open→SP 1/1 won (100%), compared with the yard’s normal 2.2% strike rate. Today’s move: Klapton Boy has shortened from 12/1 to 11/2, which is support (+7.26pp).

Shortened by 14.53pp by 10am. Drifted by 7.27pp since 10am. As of 15:46; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

No evidence-backed price trigger for this runner yet. Use Notify Me to monitor it; the current records do not justify a target price.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

Kourosh

Trainer: Henry Oliver

Jockey: Paddy Hanlon

PRO RACECARD ↗

Last runNot recorded

Distance changeNot recorded

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -43.7% • -4.68pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +0.24pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 15/2 @ 11:30

NR @ 11:30: 15/2 → 15/2 (+0.24pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -4.92pp

Opened 11/2Market avg 17/2

Price move-4.92pp(-47.0%)

17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/1 11 decimal Paddy Power

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Paddy Power 10/17Bet 9/1BetWright 9/1SportingIndex 9/1Spreadex 9/1Unibet 9/1Betfair Sportsbook 9/1Bet Victor 17/2BetTom 17/2Betano 17/2Boyle Sports 17/2Hollywood Bets 17/2Star Sports 17/2William Hill 17/210 Bet 8/1Bet365 8/1BetMGM 8/1Betfred 8/1Dragon Bet 8/1LiveScore Bet 8/1Midnite 8/1Quinn Bet 8/1Virgin Bet 8/1Coral 13/2Ladbrokes 13/2

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 6 runners	11/2	-2.88ppOpen → 10am	7/1	-2.04pp10am → now; SP pending	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-4.92ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 6 runners	11/2	-2.88ppOpen → 10am	7/1	-2.04pp10am → now; SP pending	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-4.92ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-4.92ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.04pp since 10am, as of 15:46. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: class not recorded

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Kourosh has moved from 11/2 to 17/2, a developing drift (-4.92pp).

Drifted by 2.88pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.04pp more since 10am. As of 15:46; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 7/1 (7.85 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 4/1 (4.85 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 2/11 (18.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 7.6%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Battle Stride

Trainer: Richard Armson

Jockey: Philip Armson

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Market Rasen · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 100/1 · 73% shorter today

Last run18 days ago · 7 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: +20.9% • +0.52pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +0.05pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 50/1 @ 11:30

NR @ 11:30: 50/1 → 50/1 (+0.05pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +0.47pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final market support in the recorded sample.

Opened 50/1Market avg 40/1

Price move+0.47pp(+19.3%)

40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

50/1 51 decimal BetTom

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BetTom 50/1Hollywood Bets 50/1SportingIndex 50/1Spreadex 50/1LiveScore Bet 50/1Virgin Bet 50/110 Bet 40/1Bet Victor 40/1Bet365 40/1Betano 40/1Betfred 40/1Boyle Sports 40/1Midnite 40/1Quinn Bet 40/1Star Sports 40/1Unibet 40/1William Hill 40/17Bet 33/1Betfair Sportsbook 33/1Paddy Power 33/1BetMGM 33/1BetWright 33/1Dragon Bet 33/1Coral 20/1Ladbrokes 20/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 6 runners	50/1	+0.48ppOpen → 10am	40/1	-0.01pp10am → now; SP pending	40/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.47ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 6 runners	50/1	+0.48ppOpen → 10am	40/1	-0.01pp10am → now; SP pending	40/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.47ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amHolding-0.01pp since 10am, as of 15:46. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Battle Stride is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.48pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.01pp since 10am. As of 15:46; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

No evidence-backed price trigger for this runner yet. Use Notify Me to monitor it; the current records do not justify a target price.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

Steel Fixer

NON-RUNNERNR @ 11:30

Non-runner adjustment audit

NR recorded: 11:30:52 · recorded declaration time

Last recorded market average before NR: 12/1 (13.120) at 11:28:06

Implied probability: 7.62%

Snapshot 166 seconds before the recorded NR time.

The last captured price is shown, not an assumed exact withdrawal price. Adjustments below use each remaining horse’s measured pre/post-NR price change.

Remaining horse	Before NR / captured	Post-NR baseline	Effect removed
Lightning Flash	9/4 (3.160) 11:26:18	9/4 (3.250) Baseline reference 11:30:52	-0.88pp
Character Testing	3/1 (4.053) 11:26:18	3/1 (4.000) Baseline reference 11:30:52	+0.33pp
Justus	4/1 (4.980) 11:26:18	4/1 (5.000) Baseline reference 11:30:52	-0.08pp
Klapton Boy	4/1 (5.240) 11:26:18	4/1 (5.000) Baseline reference 11:30:52	+0.92pp
Kourosh	15/2 (8.680) 11:26:18	15/2 (8.500) Baseline reference 11:30:52	+0.24pp
Battle Stride	50/1 (52.280) 11:26:18	50/1 (51.000) Baseline reference 11:30:52	+0.05pp

Effect removed = (100 ÷ post-NR baseline) − (100 ÷ pre-NR price). True move = raw Open → Now move − total signed NR effects.

The post-NR baseline can be the median of captured bookmaker prices within five minutes after the NR, or the first available timeline price. Its reference time is not necessarily an individual price capture. Fractional prices are rounded; decimal prices are included for checking. Simultaneous withdrawals share one measured event.

Race market overview as at 20:11

Supported1 of 6 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Klapton Boy +7.26pp
Drifting2 of 6 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Character Testing -10.78pp
Last 15 minNo gain or drift recorded
Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min

15-minute snapshot 20:11 · no additional market query

16:23Market Rasen • NHF • 2m0f125y • Class 5 • Going: Good To Soft

5 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Clos Du Mouche

Trainer: Olly Murphy

Jockey: Sean Bowen

PRO RACECARD ↗

Last runNot recorded

Distance changeNot recorded

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: +13.7% • +7.23pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +1.94pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 6/5 @ 14:27

NR @ 14:27: 5/4 → 6/5 (+1.94pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +5.29pp

Opened 6/5Market avg 10/11

Price move+5.29pp(+10.4%)

10/11 → 10/11 → 10/11 → 10/11 → 10/11 ↓ 5/6 ↑ 10/11 → 10/11 → 10/11 → 10/11

BEST FIXED ODDS

EVS 2 decimal Hollywood Bets

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Hollywood Bets EVS10 Bet 10/117Bet 10/11Bet Victor 10/11Bet365 10/11BetTom 10/11BetWright 10/11Betano 10/11Betfred 10/11Boyle Sports 10/11Coral 10/11Dragon Bet 10/11Ladbrokes 10/11LiveScore Bet 10/11Midnite 10/11Quinn Bet 10/11Star Sports 10/11Unibet 10/11Virgin Bet 10/11William Hill 10/11BetMGM 5/6SportingIndex 5/6Spreadex 5/6Betfair Sportsbook 5/6Paddy Power 5/6

25 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 4 runners	6/5	+6.90ppOpen → 10am	10/11	-1.61pp10am → now; SP pending	10/11Current; SP pending	Pending	+5.29ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 4 runners	6/5	+6.90ppOpen → 10am	10/11	-1.61pp10am → now; SP pending	10/11Current; SP pending	Pending	+5.29ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

TRAINER RECORD MAKES THIS SUPPORT SIGNIFICANTMarket+5.29ppGenuine support from the opening price.Trainer19.9% → 36.2%Open → SP · backed 5pp+Baseline → matching strike rate; 130 runners, Open → SP · backed 5pp+. Historical sample requires opening, 10am and official SP prices. Popup uses opening → final market price and a broader results baseline.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.61pp since 10am, as of 16:22. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: class not recorded

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Olly Murphy runners in the matching 5pp+ band have won 47/130 (a 36.2% Open→SP strike rate), compared with the trainer’s normal 19.9% strike rate. There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Clos Du Mouche has shortened from 6/5 to 10/11, which is support (+5.29pp).

Shortened by 6.90pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.61pp since 10am. As of 16:22; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 6pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 18/38 (47.4%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

ACT NOW — DO NOT WAIT FOR ANOTHER 2PP

45.2% of Olly Murphy runners backed by at least 6pp by 10am continued to shorten from 10am to SP (38/84). Today’s live move of +5.29pp is supported by the horse or trainer evidence too. That continuation record is the reason to act now: waiting for another 2pp risks losing the available price.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 8/11 (1.74 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 32/66 (48.5%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.9%.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 10/11 (1.91 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

Trainer won 47/130 (36.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.9%.

Risk of losing the price: 38/84 (45.2%) trainer runners backed by 6pp+ by 10am shortened further into SP.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Late money still arriving

Beau De Maine

Trainer: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies

Jockey: Toby McCain-Mitchell(3)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Last runNot recorded

Distance changeNot recorded

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: +41.3% • +15.64pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +2.46pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 11/8 @ 14:27

NR @ 14:27: 6/4 → 11/8 (+2.46pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +13.18pp

Opened 7/2Market avg 13/8

Price move+13.18pp(+37.2%)

13/8 ↑ 7/4 → 7/4 ↓ 6/4 → 6/4 ↑ 13/8 → 13/8 ↑ 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4

BEST FIXED ODDS

7/4 2.75 decimal 10 Bet

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

10 Bet 7/47Bet 7/4Bet Victor 7/4Betano 7/4Betfred 7/4Dragon Bet 7/4Midnite 7/4Star Sports 7/4Unibet 7/4William Hill 7/4Bet365 13/8BetMGM 13/8Boyle Sports 13/8LiveScore Bet 13/8Virgin Bet 13/8Betfair Sportsbook 13/8Paddy Power 13/8Quinn Bet 13/8BetTom 6/4BetWright 6/4Coral 6/4Hollywood Bets 6/4Ladbrokes 6/4SportingIndex 6/4Spreadex 6/4

25 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 4 runners	7/2	+9.03ppOpen → 10am	9/4	+4.15pp10am → now; SP pending	13/8Current; SP pending	Pending	+13.18ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 4 runners	7/2	+9.03ppOpen → 10am	9/4	+4.15pp10am → now; SP pending	13/8Current; SP pending	Pending	+13.18ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

STRONG BOOKMAKER SUPPORT DETECTEDMarket+13.18ppGenuine support from the opening price.Trainer14.1% → 12%Open → SP · backed 10pp+Baseline → matching strike rate; 25 runners, Open → SP · backed 10pp+. Historical sample requires opening, 10am and official SP prices. Popup uses opening → final market price and a broader results baseline.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amStrengthening+4.15pp since 10am, as of 16:22. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: class not recorded

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The trainer evidence is important here: At 10pp+: Open→SP 3/25 won (12%), compared with the yard’s normal 14.1% strike rate. Today’s move: Beau De Maine has shortened from 7/2 to 13/8, which is strong support (+13.18pp).

Shortened by 9.03pp by 10am. Shortened by 4.15pp more since 10am. As of 16:22; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 8pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 1/8 (12.5%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +20.00pp · around 5/4 (2.24 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 2/5 (40%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 14.1%. Small sample.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/4 (3.37 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

Trainer won 13/58 (22.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 14.1%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

Soviet Sailor

Trainer: Seamus Mullins

Jockey: Daniel Sansom(3)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Last runNot recorded

Distance changeNot recorded

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: +27.6% • +3.47pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +0.46pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 9/1 @ 14:27

NR @ 14:27: 9/1 → 9/1 (+0.46pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +3.02pp

Opened 10/1Market avg 7/1

Price move+3.02pp(+24.9%)

7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

17/2 9.5 decimal Hollywood Bets

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Hollywood Bets 17/2BetTom 8/1BetMGM 15/210 Bet 7/1Bet Victor 7/1Bet365 7/1BetWright 7/1Betano 7/1Betfred 7/1Boyle Sports 7/1Coral 7/1Dragon Bet 7/1Ladbrokes 7/1LiveScore Bet 7/1Midnite 7/1Quinn Bet 7/1SportingIndex 7/1Spreadex 7/1Star Sports 7/1Unibet 7/1Virgin Bet 7/17Bet 13/2William Hill 13/2Paddy Power 6/1Betfair Sportsbook 5/1

25 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 4 runners	10/1	+3.41ppOpen → 10am	7/1	-0.39pp10am → now; SP pending	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+3.02ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 4 runners	10/1	+3.41ppOpen → 10am	7/1	-0.39pp10am → now; SP pending	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+3.02ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amHolding-0.39pp since 10am, as of 16:22. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: class not recorded

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Soviet Sailor is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 3.41pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.39pp since 10am. As of 16:22; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 6/1 (6.87 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 5/23 (21.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.5%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Late money still arriving

Ezenli

Trainer: Archie Watson

Jockey: Miss Brodie Hampson

PRO RACECARD ↗

Last runNot recorded

Distance changeNot recorded

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -46.5% • -2.89pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +0.53pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 9/1 @ 14:27

NR @ 14:27: 10/1 → 9/1 (+0.53pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -3.42pp

Opened 10/1Market avg 16/1

Price move-3.42pp(-60.4%)

14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

16/1 17 decimal 10 Bet

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

10 Bet 16/17Bet 16/1Bet365 16/1BetMGM 16/1Betano 16/1Betfred 16/1Coral 16/1Dragon Bet 16/1Ladbrokes 16/1LiveScore Bet 16/1Midnite 16/1Quinn Bet 16/1SportingIndex 16/1Spreadex 16/1Star Sports 16/1Unibet 16/1Virgin Bet 16/1William Hill 16/1BetWright 14/1Boyle Sports 14/1Paddy Power 14/1Bet Victor 12/1BetTom 12/1Hollywood Bets 12/1Betfair Sportsbook 12/1

25 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 4 runners	10/1	+3.41ppOpen → 10am	7/1	-6.83pp10am → now; SP pending	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.42ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 4 runners	10/1	+3.41ppOpen → 10am	7/1	-6.83pp10am → now; SP pending	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.42ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-6.83pp since 10am, as of 16:22. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: class not recorded

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Ezenli is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 3.41pp by 10am. Drifted by 6.83pp since 10am. As of 16:22; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 13/2 (7.67 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 6/1 (6.84 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 12/45 (26.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12.4%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Francisco Alvares

NON-RUNNERNR @ 14:27

Non-runner adjustment audit

NR recorded: 14:27:08 · recorded declaration time

Last recorded market average before NR: 7/2 (4.500) at 14:25:21

Implied probability: 22.22%

Snapshot 107 seconds before the recorded NR time.

The last captured price is shown, not an assumed exact withdrawal price. Adjustments below use each remaining horse’s measured pre/post-NR price change.

Remaining horse	Before NR / captured	Post-NR baseline	Effect removed
Clos Du Mouche	5/4 (2.298) 14:25:21	6/5 (2.200) Baseline reference 14:27:08	+1.94pp
Beau De Maine	6/4 (2.528) 14:25:21	11/8 (2.380) Baseline reference 14:27:08	+2.46pp
Soviet Sailor	9/1 (10.478) 14:25:21	9/1 (10.000) Baseline reference 14:27:08	+0.46pp
Ezenli	10/1 (10.565) 14:25:21	9/1 (10.000) Baseline reference 14:27:08	+0.53pp

Effect removed = (100 ÷ post-NR baseline) − (100 ÷ pre-NR price). True move = raw Open → Now move − total signed NR effects.

The post-NR baseline can be the median of captured bookmaker prices within five minutes after the NR, or the first available timeline price. Its reference time is not necessarily an individual price capture. Fractional prices are rounded; decimal prices are included for checking. Simultaneous withdrawals share one measured event.

Race market overview as at 20:11

Supported2 of 4 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Beau De Maine +13.18pp
Drifting0 of 4 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minNo gain or drift recorded
Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min

15-minute snapshot 20:11 · no additional market query

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