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Market-average order · Green ↑ shortening · Red ↓ drifting

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See what today’s price moves mean.

LIVE · Updated 21:07:06
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Aintree 🔒Galway 🔒Market Rasen ✓Wexford 🔒
Next off intelligence
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Next-Off Market Intelligence

The strongest horse and trainer evidence from the races coming up next.

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Shared live snapshot 21:07:09
Market overview
Runners Today
44
Shown After Filters
27
Active Signals (15%+)
31
01 · Strongest support
Racing silks
Minella Buoy
13:35 Market Rasen
+18.70pp
True move after NR adjustment · 7/1 → 9/4
02 · Repeat evidence
No repeat signal active
No upcoming runner currently matches a previous successful market pattern.
03 · Weak favourite
Racing silks
Don Dandy
13:35 Market Rasen
-15.13pp
True move after NR adjustment · 1/3 → 4/6
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
13:00Market Rasen • Hurdle • 2m0f125y • Class 4 • Going: Good To Soft
9 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

13:00Market Rasen
Trainer: Dan Skelton
Jockey: Tristan Durrell
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run302 days ago · 27 Dec 2025
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 33.7% • -8.40 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Chepstow, 27 Dec 2025 — 3rd • open 17/2 → final market price 9/1 (-0.53pp).

Opened 2/1Market avg 3/1Implied win: 24.9% · Loss: 75.1%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-8.40pp(-33.7%)
3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↓ 11/4 ↑ 3/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/3 4.33 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 10/3Betfred 10/3Quinn Bet 10/310 Bet 3/1Bet Victor 3/1BetTom 3/1BetWright 3/1Betano 3/1Boyle Sports 3/1Coral 3/1Hollywood Bets 3/1Ladbrokes 3/1LiveScore Bet 3/1Midnite 3/1SportingIndex 3/1Spreadex 3/1Star Sports 3/1Unibet 3/1Virgin Bet 3/1William Hill 3/1Betfair Sportsbook 3/1Paddy Power 3/17Bet 11/4BetMGM 11/4Dragon Bet 11/4
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners2/1+2.38ppOpen → 10am7/4-10.78pp10am → now; SP pending3/1Current; SP pendingPending-8.40pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
SIGNIFICANT MARKET DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-8.40ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-10.78pp since 10am, as of 12:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 1 · ↓ Class drop
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Despite dropping from Class 1 to Class 4, the market is still weakening. Today’s move: Kaldoun des Rocs has moved from 2/1 to 3/1, a significant drift (-8.40pp).

Shortened by 2.38pp by 10am. Drifted by 10.78pp since 10am. As of 12:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 7/4 (2.80 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 13/8 (2.61 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 72/171 (42.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 23.7%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
13:00Market Rasen
Trainer: Seamus Mullins
Jockey: Benjamin Macey(5)
🟢 Needs Support (13%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run169 days ago · 9 May 2026
Distance changeUp 0.9f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP11/21 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 19.3% • -4.31 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final market drift in the recorded sample.

Opened 11/4Market avg 7/2Implied win: 22.4% · Loss: 77.6%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-4.31pp(-19.3%)
7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 4/1SportingIndex 4/1Spreadex 4/110 Bet 7/27Bet 7/2Bet Victor 7/2BetTom 7/2BetWright 7/2Betano 7/2Betfred 7/2Boyle Sports 7/2Dragon Bet 7/2Hollywood Bets 7/2Midnite 7/2Unibet 7/2William Hill 7/2BetMGM 10/3Coral 10/3Ladbrokes 10/3LiveScore Bet 10/3Quinn Bet 10/3Star Sports 10/3Virgin Bet 10/3Betfair Sportsbook 3/1Paddy Power 3/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners11/4+6.67ppOpen → 10am2/1-10.97pp10am → now; SP pending7/2Current; SP pendingPending-4.31pp
MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-4.31ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-10.97pp since 10am, as of 12:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 3 · ↓ Class drop
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Despite dropping from Class 3 to Class 4, the market is still weakening. Today’s move: Running Happy has moved from 11/4 to 7/2, a developing drift (-4.31pp).

Shortened by 6.67pp by 10am. Drifted by 10.97pp since 10am. As of 12:57; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 6pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 3/8 (37.5%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Haydock · 09 May 2026 · 2nd · 0/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Market Rasen · previous Haydock×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 125y · previous 1m 7f 144y×Ground: Today Good To Soft · previous Good×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 3
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 2/1 (3.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/4 (3.16 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 5/23 (21.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.5%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
13:00Market Rasen
Trainer: Sam England
Jockey: Jonathan England
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run18 days ago · 7 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Sedgefield on 07 Oct 2026 (-10.24pp); and finished 3rd at Southwell (AW) on 30 Jan 2026 (-8.68pp).
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 58.3% • -6.14 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Sedgefield, 07 Oct 2026 — 2nd • open 2/1 → final market price 10/3 (-10.24pp).

Opened 5/1Market avg 17/2Implied win: 10.5% · Loss: 89.5%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-6.14pp(-58.3%)
8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 10/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal 10 Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
10 Bet 10/1Bet Victor 10/1BetWright 10/1Hollywood Bets 10/1SportingIndex 10/1Spreadex 10/1Unibet 10/1William Hill 10/1Bet365 9/1BetTom 9/1Dragon Bet 9/1Midnite 9/1Star Sports 9/1Betano 17/2Betfred 8/1Boyle Sports 8/1LiveScore Bet 8/1Quinn Bet 8/1Virgin Bet 8/17Bet 15/2Paddy Power 15/2BetMGM 7/1Betfair Sportsbook 6/1Coral 11/2Ladbrokes 11/2
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners5/1-2.38ppOpen → 10am6/1-3.76pp10am → now; SP pending17/2Current; SP pendingPending-6.14pp
MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-6.14ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse history1/2 top 2Displayed comparable drift runs: 1 first/second finishes in 2 completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.76pp since 10am, as of 12:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

2 of 4 previous runs showed a larger drift, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse against its previous Open → final market price moves. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Military Cross has moved from 5/1 to 17/2, a developing drift (-6.14pp).

Drifted by 2.38pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.76pp more since 10am. As of 12:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Sedgefield · 07 Oct 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Market Rasen · previous Sedgefield✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 125y×Ground: Today Good To Soft · previous Good✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 6/1 (7.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 7/2 (4.62 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 17/58 (29.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 14.1%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
13:00Market Rasen
Trainer: Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith
Jockey: Danny McMenamin
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run163 days ago · 15 May 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.8% • -0.02 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final market drift in the recorded sample.

Opened 50/1Market avg 50/1Implied win: 1.9% · Loss: 98.1%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-0.02pp(-0.8%)
50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 71 decimal 7Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
7Bet 66/1Bet365 66/1Midnite 66/1SportingIndex 66/1Spreadex 66/110 Bet 50/1Bet Victor 50/1BetMGM 50/1BetTom 50/1BetWright 50/1Betano 50/1Betfred 50/1Boyle Sports 50/1Dragon Bet 50/1Hollywood Bets 50/1Quinn Bet 50/1Unibet 50/1William Hill 50/1Paddy Power 50/1LiveScore Bet 40/1Star Sports 40/1Virgin Bet 40/1Betfair Sportsbook 40/1Coral 33/1Ladbrokes 33/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners50/1+0.48ppOpen → 10am40/1-0.49pp10am → now; SP pending50/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.02pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amHolding-0.49pp since 10am, as of 12:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Silver Salver is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.48pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.49pp since 10am. As of 12:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 40/1 (41.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 14/1 (14.37 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 10/40 (25%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 13%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
13:00Market Rasen
Trainer: Dan Skelton
Jockey: Liam Harrison
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run18 days ago · 7 Oct 2026
Distance changeUp 0.6f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 65.2% • -1.10 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Worcester, 07 Oct 2026 — finish unavailable • open 20/1 → final market price 33/1 (-1.82pp).

Opened 33/1Market avg 66/1Implied win: 1.7% · Loss: 98.3%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-1.10pp(-65.2%)
50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 → 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
80/1 81 decimal LiveScore Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
LiveScore Bet 80/1Quinn Bet 80/1SportingIndex 80/1Spreadex 80/1Virgin Bet 80/1Paddy Power 80/17Bet 66/1Betfair Sportsbook 66/1Bet365 66/1BetWright 66/1Dragon Bet 66/110 Bet 50/1Bet Victor 50/1BetMGM 50/1BetTom 50/1Betano 50/1Betfred 50/1Boyle Sports 50/1Hollywood Bets 50/1Midnite 50/1Unibet 50/1William Hill 50/1Star Sports 40/1Coral 33/1Ladbrokes 33/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners33/1+0.67ppOpen → 10am28/1-1.77pp10am → now; SP pending66/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.10pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.77pp since 10am, as of 12:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Mags Ocean is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.67pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.77pp since 10am. As of 12:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 28/1 (29.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 12/1 (12.86 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 72/171 (42.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 23.7%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
13:00Market Rasen
Trainer: Tom Ellis
Jockey: Jack Andrews
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run16 days ago · 9 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 101.2% • -1.40 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final market drift in the recorded sample.

Opened 33/1Market avg 66/1Implied win: 1.4% · Loss: 98.6%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-1.40pp(-101.2%)
66/1 → 66/1 ↑ 80/1 ↓ 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 80/1 → 80/1 ↓ 66/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 101 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 100/1Midnite 100/1SportingIndex 100/1Spreadex 100/17Bet 80/1Bet Victor 80/1Betano 80/1LiveScore Bet 80/1Quinn Bet 80/1Virgin Bet 80/1Paddy Power 80/110 Bet 66/1BetMGM 66/1BetTom 66/1BetWright 66/1Betfred 66/1Boyle Sports 66/1Dragon Bet 66/1Hollywood Bets 66/1William Hill 66/1Betfair Sportsbook 66/1Star Sports 50/1Unibet 50/1Coral 33/1Ladbrokes 33/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners33/1+0.67ppOpen → 10am28/1-2.07pp10am → now; SP pending66/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.40pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.07pp since 10am, as of 12:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Lady Bam is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.67pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.07pp since 10am. As of 12:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 28/1 (29.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 12/1 (12.86 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 3/5 (60%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 25%. Small sample.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
13:00Market Rasen
Trainer: Dan Skelton
Jockey: Billy Marshall(7)
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run14 days ago · 11 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 170.1% • -1.23 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final market drift in the recorded sample.

Opened 50/1Market avg 100/1Implied win: 0.7% · Loss: 99.3%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-1.23pp(-170.1%)
80/1 → 80/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↓ 80/1 ↓ 66/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 80/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 80/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 251 decimal Betano
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Betano 100/1Midnite 100/1William Hill 100/1Paddy Power 100/1LiveScore Bet 100/1Quinn Bet 100/1Virgin Bet 100/1Betfair Sportsbook 100/1SportingIndex 100/1Spreadex 100/1Unibet 100/1Bet365 100/17Bet 100/1BetWright 100/1Dragon Bet 100/110 Bet 80/1Bet Victor 80/1BetTom 80/1Betfred 80/1Boyle Sports 80/1Hollywood Bets 80/1BetMGM 66/1Coral 66/1Ladbrokes 66/1Star Sports 66/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners50/1+0.48ppOpen → 10am40/1-1.71pp10am → now; SP pending100/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.23pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.71pp since 10am, as of 12:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 3 · ↓ Class drop
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The horse drops from Class 3 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Skibidirizz is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.48pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.71pp since 10am. As of 12:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 40/1 (41.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 14/1 (14.37 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 72/171 (42.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 23.7%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
13:00Market Rasen
Trainer: Michael Keady
Jockey: Nathan Moscrop
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Market Rasen · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 66/1 · 190% bigger today
Last run8 days ago · 17 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP7/12 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
29th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE29th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 7 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 28.7% • -0.15 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Kempton (AW), 06 Apr 2026 — 2nd • open 5/2 → final market price 11/2 (-13.19pp).

Opened 100/1Market avg 100/1Implied win: 0.5% · Loss: 99.5%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-0.15pp(-28.7%)
100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 301 decimal Bet365
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Bet365 100/1LiveScore Bet 100/1Midnite 100/1Virgin Bet 100/110 Bet 100/17Bet 100/1Bet Victor 100/1BetMGM 100/1BetTom 100/1BetWright 100/1Betano 100/1Betfred 100/1Boyle Sports 100/1Dragon Bet 100/1Hollywood Bets 100/1Quinn Bet 100/1Unibet 100/1William Hill 100/1Betfair Sportsbook 100/1Paddy Power 100/1SportingIndex 100/1Spreadex 100/1Star Sports 100/1Coral 66/1Ladbrokes 66/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners100/1+1.30ppOpen → 10am50/1-1.45pp10am → now; SP pending100/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.15pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.45pp since 10am, as of 12:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 7 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Mio Amico is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.30pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.45pp since 10am. As of 12:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Kempton (AW) · 06 Apr 2026 · 2nd · 0/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Market Rasen · previous Kempton (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 125y · previous 1m 7f 218y×Ground: Today Good To Soft · previous Standard To Slow×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 50/1 (51.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 16/1 (17.66 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 5/14 (35.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 5.7%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
13:00Market Rasen
Trainer: Charlie Longsdon
Jockey: Richie McLernon
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run18 days ago · 7 Oct 2026
Distance changeUp 0.6f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 47.7% • -0.21 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Worcester, 10 Sep 2026 — finish unavailable • open 4/1 → final market price 10/1 (-10.91pp).

Opened 100/1Market avg 100/1Implied win: 0.4% · Loss: 99.6%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-0.21pp(-47.7%)
100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 401 decimal Paddy Power
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Paddy Power 100/1LiveScore Bet 100/1Quinn Bet 100/1Virgin Bet 100/1Betfair Sportsbook 100/1Bet365 100/1Midnite 100/1Unibet 100/110 Bet 100/17Bet 100/1Bet Victor 100/1BetMGM 100/1BetTom 100/1BetWright 100/1Betano 100/1Betfred 100/1Boyle Sports 100/1Coral 100/1Dragon Bet 100/1Hollywood Bets 100/1Ladbrokes 100/1William Hill 100/1Star Sports 100/1SportingIndex 100/1Spreadex 100/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners100/1+1.30ppOpen → 10am50/1-1.51pp10am → now; SP pending100/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.21pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.51pp since 10am, as of 12:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Action Replay is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.30pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.51pp since 10am. As of 12:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 50/1 (51.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 16/1 (17.66 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 8/30 (26.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.9%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
N/A
Race market overview as at 21:08
  • Supported1 of 11 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Moore Brion +10.50pp
  • Drifting3 of 11 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Kaldoun des Rocs -8.40pp
  • Last 15 minNo gain or drift recorded
  • Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min
15-minute snapshot 21:07 · no additional market query
13:35Market Rasen • Hurdle • 2m0f125y • Class 4 • Going: Good To Soft
6 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

13:35Market Rasen
Trainer: Olly Murphy
Jockey: Sean Bowen
PRO RACECARD ↗
Last runNot recorded
Distance changeNot recorded
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 25.2% • -15.13 probability points
Opened 1/3Market avg 4/6Implied win: 60.1% · Loss: 39.9%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-15.13pp(-25.2%)
4/6 → 4/6 ↑ 8/11 → 8/11 ↓ 4/6 → 4/6 → 4/6 ↑ 8/11 ↓ 4/6 → 4/6
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/6 1.83 decimal LiveScore Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
LiveScore Bet 5/6Virgin Bet 5/6Bet Victor 8/11BetWright 8/11Betano 8/11Hollywood Bets 8/1110 Bet 4/67Bet 4/6Bet365 4/6BetMGM 4/6BetTom 4/6Betfred 4/6Boyle Sports 4/6Dragon Bet 4/6Midnite 4/6Quinn Bet 4/6Star Sports 4/6Unibet 4/6Paddy Power 4/6SportingIndex 8/13Spreadex 8/13Betfair Sportsbook 8/13William Hill 8/15Coral 4/9Ladbrokes 4/9
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 7 runners1/3-15.31ppOpen → 10am4/6+0.18pp10am → now; SP pending4/6Current; SP pendingPending-15.13pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
SIGNIFICANT MARKET DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-15.13ppMarket weakness from the opening price.Trainer19.9% → 0%Open → 10am · drifted 15pp+Baseline → matching strike rate; 8 runners, Open → 10am · drifted 15pp+. Historical sample requires opening, 10am and official SP prices. Popup uses opening → final market price and a broader results baseline.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amHolding+0.18pp since 10am, as of 13:31. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: class not recorded
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The trainer’s drift record adds context: When this trainer's runners had drifted by 15pp+ by 10am, 0/8 won (0%), compared with the yard's normal 19.9% strike rate. Today’s move: Don Dandy has moved from 1/3 to 4/6, a significant drift (-15.13pp).

Drifted by 15.31pp by 10am. Shortened by 0.18pp since 10am. As of 13:31; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 4/6 (1.67 decimal).

10am price recovered — watch whether it holds.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 1/4 (1.25 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 47/130 (36.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.9%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: 10am was biggest
Easing off
13:35Market Rasen
Trainer: Max Comley
Jockey: David Bass
🟢 Needs Support (14%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run128 days ago · 19 Jun 2026
Distance changeUp 8.6f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 12.9% • -1.76 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Goodwood, 19 Jun 2026 — 8th • open 6/1 → final market price 13/2 (-0.95pp).

Opened 11/2Market avg 13/2Implied win: 13.6% · Loss: 86.4%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-1.76pp(-12.9%)
7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↓ 11/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Coral
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Coral 8/1Ladbrokes 8/1Betfred 15/2Bet365 7/1Boyle Sports 7/1LiveScore Bet 7/1Virgin Bet 7/1Bet Victor 13/2BetMGM 13/2SportingIndex 13/2Spreadex 13/2Star Sports 13/2William Hill 13/2Paddy Power 13/27Bet 6/1BetTom 6/110 Bet 11/2BetWright 11/2Betano 11/2Dragon Bet 11/2Hollywood Bets 11/2Midnite 11/2Quinn Bet 11/2Unibet 11/2Betfair Sportsbook 11/2
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 7 runners11/2+6.84ppOpen → 10am7/2-8.60pp10am → now; SP pending13/2Current; SP pendingPending-1.76pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-8.60pp since 10am, as of 13:31. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: See Blue is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 6.84pp by 10am. Drifted by 8.60pp since 10am. As of 13:31; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 6pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 1/5 (20%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Haydock · 25 Apr 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Market Rasen · previous Haydock×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 125y · previous 1m 37y×Ground: Today Good To Soft · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 7/2 (4.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Horse support level

Support of +3.90pp · around 4/1 (5.19 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd with this much support or more (100%).

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 4/1 (4.91 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 6/23 (26.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.3%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Easing off
13:35Market Rasen
Trainer: Rebecca Menzies
Jockey: Jamie Hamilton
PRO RACECARD ↗
SURFACE SWITCHAW → Turf
Last run198 days ago · 10 Apr 2026
Distance changeUp 5.9f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 133.6% • -3.81 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Dundalk (AW) (IRE), 10 Apr 2026 — 5th • open 9/4 → final market price 7/2 (-8.55pp).

Opened 14/1Market avg 33/1Implied win: 2.9% · Loss: 97.1%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-3.81pp(-133.6%)
33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal 10 Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
10 Bet 40/17Bet 40/1Bet Victor 40/1Betano 40/1Betfred 40/1Dragon Bet 40/1Hollywood Bets 40/1LiveScore Bet 40/1Quinn Bet 40/1SportingIndex 40/1Spreadex 40/1Star Sports 40/1Unibet 40/1Virgin Bet 40/1Bet365 33/1BetMGM 33/1BetWright 33/1Boyle Sports 33/1Midnite 33/1BetTom 28/1Paddy Power 28/1William Hill 22/1Betfair Sportsbook 22/1Coral 12/1Ladbrokes 12/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 7 runners14/1-1.40ppOpen → 10am18/1-2.41pp10am → now; SP pending33/1Current; SP pendingPending-3.81pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.41pp since 10am, as of 13:31. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: class not recorded
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Elm Creek is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 1.40pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.41pp more since 10am. As of 13:31; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 18/1 (19.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 15/2 (8.57 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 10/37 (27%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 7.5%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Easing off
13:35Market Rasen
Trainer: Harry Derham
Jockey: Paul O'Brien
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run33 days ago · 22 Sep 2026
Distance changeDown 1.2f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 109.2% • -3.07 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Fontwell, 22 Sep 2026 — 4th • open 5/2 → final market price 11/4 (-1.90pp).

Opened 16/1Market avg 33/1Implied win: 2.8% · Loss: 97.2%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-3.07pp(-109.2%)
33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↓ 33/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal Bet Victor
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Bet Victor 40/1Bet365 40/1Betano 40/1SportingIndex 40/1Spreadex 40/17Bet 33/1Paddy Power 33/110 Bet 33/1BetMGM 33/1BetTom 33/1BetWright 33/1Betfred 33/1Boyle Sports 33/1Coral 33/1Dragon Bet 33/1Hollywood Bets 33/1Ladbrokes 33/1LiveScore Bet 33/1Midnite 33/1Quinn Bet 33/1Star Sports 33/1Unibet 33/1Virgin Bet 33/1William Hill 33/1Betfair Sportsbook 33/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 7 runners16/1-2.04ppOpen → 10am25/1-1.03pp10am → now; SP pending33/1Current; SP pendingPending-3.07pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.03pp since 10am, as of 13:31. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Ollierob is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 2.04pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.03pp more since 10am. As of 13:31; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 25/1 (26.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 8/1 (9.19 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 13/46 (28.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 17.2%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Easing off
13:35Market Rasen
Trainer: Dan Skelton
Jockey: Tristan Durrell
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run15 days ago · 10 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 15.5% • -0.33 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Leopardstown (IRE), 18 Jun 2026 — 10th • open 66/1 → final market price 100/1 (-0.50pp).

Opened 40/1Market avg 50/1Implied win: 2.1% · Loss: 97.9%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-0.33pp(-15.5%)
50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
66/1 67 decimal Bet365
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Bet365 66/110 Bet 50/17Bet 50/1Bet Victor 50/1BetMGM 50/1BetTom 50/1BetWright 50/1Betano 50/1Betfred 50/1Boyle Sports 50/1Dragon Bet 50/1Hollywood Bets 50/1LiveScore Bet 50/1Midnite 50/1Quinn Bet 50/1SportingIndex 50/1Spreadex 50/1Star Sports 50/1Unibet 50/1Virgin Bet 50/1Paddy Power 40/1Betfair Sportsbook 33/1William Hill 28/1Coral 20/1Ladbrokes 20/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 7 runners40/1+0.50ppOpen → 10am33/1-0.83pp10am → now; SP pending50/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.33pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-0.83pp since 10am, as of 13:31. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Solar Jet is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.50pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.83pp since 10am. As of 13:31; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 33/1 (34.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 12/1 (13.44 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 72/171 (42.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 23.7%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Easing off
13:35Market Rasen
Trainer: Mike Sowersby
Jockey: Charlie Maggs
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬆ CLASS RISE
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run137 days ago · 10 Jun 2026
Distance changeUp 8.6f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 6 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 31.3% • -0.16 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Beverley, 23 Apr 2026 — 6th • open 14/1 → final market price 50/1 (-4.71pp).

Opened 100/1Market avg 100/1Implied win: 0.5% · Loss: 99.5%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-0.16pp(-31.3%)
100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 301 decimal Paddy Power
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Paddy Power 100/1Bet365 100/1BetTom 100/1Midnite 100/1William Hill 100/1Betfair Sportsbook 100/110 Bet 100/17Bet 100/1Bet Victor 100/1BetMGM 100/1BetWright 100/1Betano 100/1Betfred 100/1Boyle Sports 100/1Dragon Bet 100/1Hollywood Bets 100/1LiveScore Bet 100/1Quinn Bet 100/1Star Sports 100/1Unibet 100/1Virgin Bet 100/1SportingIndex 100/1Spreadex 100/1Coral 66/1Ladbrokes 66/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 7 runners100/1+0.33ppOpen → 10am100/1-0.49pp10am → now; SP pending100/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.16pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amHolding-0.49pp since 10am, as of 13:31. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 6 · ↑ Class rise
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 6 previous Open → final market price moves. It is also stepping up from Class 6 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Contemplation is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.33pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.49pp since 10am. As of 13:31; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 100/1 (101.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Easing off
Race market overview as at 21:08
  • Supported1 of 7 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Minella Buoy +18.70pp
  • Drifting1 of 7 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Don Dandy -15.13pp
  • Last 15 minNo gain or drift recorded
  • Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min
15-minute snapshot 21:07 · no additional market query
14:10Market Rasen • Chase • 2m5f89y • Class 2 • Going: Good To Soft
3 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

14:10Market Rasen
Trainer: Ann Hamilton
Jockey: Danny McMenamin
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run21 days ago · 4 Oct 2026
Distance changeUp 4.3f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP6/41 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 6 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 0.5% • -0.12 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Musselburgh, 31 Jan 2026 — 2nd • open 13/2 → final market price 10/1 (-4.24pp).

Opened 3/1Market avg 3/1Implied win: 24.9% · Loss: 75.1%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-0.12pp(-0.5%)
3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/3 4.33 decimal BetTom
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BetTom 10/3BetWright 10/3Hollywood Bets 10/310 Bet 3/17Bet 3/1Bet Victor 3/1Bet365 3/1BetMGM 3/1Betano 3/1Betfred 3/1Boyle Sports 3/1Coral 3/1Dragon Bet 3/1Ladbrokes 3/1LiveScore Bet 3/1Midnite 3/1Quinn Bet 3/1SportingIndex 3/1Spreadex 3/1Star Sports 3/1Unibet 3/1Virgin Bet 3/1William Hill 3/1Betfair Sportsbook 11/4Paddy Power 11/4
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 5f 89y · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 5 runners3/1+0.00ppOpen → 10am3/1-0.12pp10am → now; SP pending3/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.12pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amHolding-0.12pp since 10am, as of 14:08. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 2 · Last run: Class 2 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 6 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Tommy's Oscar is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

No net move by 10am. Drifted by 0.12pp since 10am. As of 14:08; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Carlisle · 08 Mar 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Market Rasen · previous Carlisle×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 5f 89y · previous 3m 110y✓Ground: Good To Soft✓Class: Class 2
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 3/1 (4.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/4 (3.33 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 2/7 (28.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.3%. Small sample.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
14:10Market Rasen
Trainer: Jamie Snowden
Jockey: Isabelle Ryder(5)
PRO RACECARD ↗
Last runNot recorded
Distance changeNot recorded
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 30.7% • -5.22 probability points
Opened 7/2Market avg 5/1Implied win: 17.0% · Loss: 83.0%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-5.22pp(-30.7%)
5/1 → 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal 10 Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
10 Bet 5/1Bet Victor 5/1Bet365 5/1BetTom 5/1Betano 5/1Betfred 5/1Boyle Sports 5/1Coral 5/1Hollywood Bets 5/1Ladbrokes 5/1LiveScore Bet 5/1Midnite 5/1Quinn Bet 5/1Star Sports 5/1Unibet 5/1Virgin Bet 5/1William Hill 5/1Betfair Sportsbook 5/1Paddy Power 5/17Bet 9/2BetMGM 9/2BetWright 9/2Dragon Bet 9/2SportingIndex 9/2Spreadex 9/2
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 5f 89y · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 5 runners7/2-2.22ppOpen → 10am4/1-2.99pp10am → now; SP pending5/1Current; SP pendingPending-5.22pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-5.22ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.99pp since 10am, as of 14:08. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 2 · Last run: class not recorded
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Ga Law has moved from 7/2 to 5/1, a developing drift (-5.22pp).

Drifted by 2.22pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.99pp more since 10am. As of 14:08; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 4/1 (5.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/4 (3.67 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 26/65 (40%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 22.1%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
14:10Market Rasen
Trainer: Sarah Humphrey
Jockey: Tabitha Worsley
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run155 days ago · 23 May 2026
Distance changeDown 2.7f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 96.2% • -2.33 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Bangor-on-Dee, 23 May 2026 — 6th • open 15/2 → final market price 18/1 (-6.50pp).

Opened 20/1Market avg 40/1Implied win: 2.4% · Loss: 97.6%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-2.33pp(-96.2%)
40/1 → 40/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↑ 50/1 → 50/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 50/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal 10 Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
10 Bet 50/1Bet Victor 50/1Bet365 50/1Betano 50/1Midnite 50/1Star Sports 50/1Betfred 40/1Boyle Sports 40/1Coral 40/1Ladbrokes 40/1LiveScore Bet 40/1Quinn Bet 40/1SportingIndex 40/1Spreadex 40/1Unibet 40/1Virgin Bet 40/1William Hill 40/1Betfair Sportsbook 40/1Paddy Power 40/17Bet 33/1BetMGM 33/1Dragon Bet 33/1BetTom 28/1BetWright 28/1Hollywood Bets 28/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 5f 89y · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 5 runners20/1-0.92ppOpen → 10am25/1-1.42pp10am → now; SP pending40/1Current; SP pendingPending-2.33pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.42pp since 10am, as of 14:08. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 2 · Last run: Class 2 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Mars Harper is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 0.92pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.42pp more since 10am. As of 14:08; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 25/1 (26.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Race market overview as at 21:08
  • Supported0 of 5 runners at +4pp or more
  • Drifting1 of 5 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Ga Law -5.22pp
  • Last 15 minNo gain or drift recorded
  • Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min
15-minute snapshot 21:07 · no additional market query
14:41Market Rasen • Chase • 3m3f123y • Class 3 • Going: Good To Soft
3 runners
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14:41Market Rasen
Trainer: Philip Hobbs & Johnson White
Jockey: Sean Bowen
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run183 days ago · 25 Apr 2026
Distance changeDown 1.1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 1.1% • -0.32 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Exeter, 22 Mar 2026 — 2nd • open 5/2 → final market price 7/2 (-6.35pp).

Opened 5/2Market avg 5/2Implied win: 28.2% · Loss: 71.8%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-0.32pp(-1.1%)
5/2 → 5/2 ↑ 11/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 9/4 ↑ 11/4 → 11/4 ↓ 5/2 → 5/2 ↓ 9/4
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/4 3.75 decimal Bet365
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Bet365 11/4BetMGM 11/4Betano 11/4LiveScore Bet 11/4Midnite 11/4SportingIndex 11/4Spreadex 11/4Star Sports 11/4Virgin Bet 11/4William Hill 11/47Bet 5/2Bet Victor 5/2Betfred 5/2Boyle Sports 5/2Coral 5/2Dragon Bet 5/2Ladbrokes 5/2Quinn Bet 5/2Betfair Sportsbook 5/2Paddy Power 5/210 Bet 9/4BetTom 9/4Hollywood Bets 9/4Unibet 9/4BetWright 2/1
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday3m 3f 123y · Class 3 · Good To Soft · 4 runners5/2+2.20ppOpen → 10am9/4-2.52pp10am → now; SP pending5/2Current; SP pendingPending-0.32pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.52pp since 10am, as of 14:40. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: Class 1 · ↓ Class drop
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

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AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves. The horse drops from Class 1 to Class 3, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Livin On Luco is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 2.20pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.52pp since 10am. As of 14:40; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Exeter · 22 Mar 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Market Rasen · previous Exeter×Trip (within ½f): Today 3m 3f 123y · previous 3m 6f 153y×Ground: Today Good To Soft · previous Good✓Class: Class 3
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 9/4 (3.25 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 2/1 (2.98 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 11/41 (26.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 15.7%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
14:41Market Rasen
Trainer: Joe Tizzard
Jockey: Brendan Powell
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run202 days ago · 6 Apr 2026
Distance changeDown 0.9f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP2/12 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Largest drift recorded across 5 previous runs.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 58.9% • -12.35 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Plumpton, 06 Apr 2026 — 8th • open 5/1 → final market price 17/2 (-6.14pp).

Opened 2/1Market avg 4/1Implied win: 21.0% · Loss: 79.0%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-12.35pp(-58.9%)
4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 7/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal 7Bet
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7Bet 4/1Bet Victor 4/1Betano 4/1Betfred 4/1Boyle Sports 4/1Coral 4/1Hollywood Bets 4/1Ladbrokes 4/1Midnite 4/1Quinn Bet 4/1SportingIndex 4/1Spreadex 4/1Star Sports 4/1Paddy Power 4/110 Bet 7/2Bet365 7/2BetMGM 7/2BetTom 7/2BetWright 7/2Dragon Bet 7/2Unibet 7/2William Hill 7/2Betfair Sportsbook 7/2LiveScore Bet 10/3Virgin Bet 10/3
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday3m 3f 123y · Class 3 · Good To Soft · 4 runners2/1-8.33ppOpen → 10am3/1-4.02pp10am → now; SP pending4/1Current; SP pendingPending-12.35pp
THIS IS THE HORSE’S LARGEST RECORDED DRIFTMarket-12.35ppMarket weakness from the opening price.Trainer14.1% → 12.5%Open → 10am · drifted 5pp+Baseline → matching strike rate; 32 runners, Open → 10am · drifted 5pp+. Historical sample requires opening, 10am and official SP prices. Popup uses opening → final market price and a broader results baseline.Horse historyLargest recorded driftLargest recorded drift across 5 previous runs. This flags unusual market weakness; it does not claim a finishing record.Since 10amWeakening-4.02pp since 10am, as of 14:40. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: Class 2 · ↓ Class drop
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

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AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Across 5 previous runs, this is the horse’s largest recorded drift compared with its previous Open → final market price moves. The trainer’s drift record adds context: When this trainer's runners had drifted by 5pp+ by 10am, 4/32 won (12.5%), compared with the yard's normal 14.1% strike rate. Despite dropping from Class 2 to Class 3, the market is still weakening. Today’s move: Rivers Corner has moved from 2/1 to 4/1, a significant drift (-12.35pp).

Drifted by 8.33pp by 10am. Drifted by 4.02pp more since 10am. As of 14:40; SP pending. If it keeps drifting into SP: this trainer’s runners with 5pp+ drift by 10am that kept drifting from 10am to SP won 1/12 (8.3%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Exeter · 22 Mar 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Market Rasen · previous Exeter×Trip (within ½f): Today 3m 3f 123y · previous 3m 6f 153y×Ground: Today Good To Soft · previous Good✓Class: Class 3
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 3/1 (4.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 13/8 (2.61 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 19/60 (31.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 14.1%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
14:41Market Rasen
Trainer: Nick Scholfield
Jockey: Tom Cannon
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run176 days ago · 2 May 2026
Distance changeUp 3.1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP5/41 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 10.4% • -1.88 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Kempton, 21 Feb 2026 — 2nd • open 7/1 → final market price 12/1 (-4.81pp).

Opened 4/1Market avg 9/2Implied win: 18.1% · Loss: 81.9%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-1.88pp(-10.4%)
9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 → 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/1 6 decimal 10 Bet
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10 Bet 5/1BetTom 5/1BetWright 5/1Hollywood Bets 5/1Unibet 5/17Bet 9/2Bet Victor 9/2Bet365 9/2BetMGM 9/2Betano 9/2Betfred 9/2Boyle Sports 9/2Coral 9/2Dragon Bet 9/2Ladbrokes 9/2Midnite 9/2Quinn Bet 9/2SportingIndex 9/2Spreadex 9/2Star Sports 9/2Paddy Power 9/2LiveScore Bet 4/1Virgin Bet 4/1William Hill 4/1Betfair Sportsbook 4/1
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday3m 3f 123y · Class 3 · Good To Soft · 4 runners4/1+2.22ppOpen → 10am7/2-4.11pp10am → now; SP pending9/2Current; SP pendingPending-1.88pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-4.11pp since 10am, as of 14:40. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: class not recorded
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

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AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: The Doyen Chief is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 2.22pp by 10am. Drifted by 4.11pp since 10am. As of 14:40; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Kempton · 21 Feb 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Market Rasen · previous Kempton×Trip (within ½f): Today 3m 3f 123y · previous 3m✓Ground: Good To Soft×Class: Today Class 3 · previous Class 1
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 7/2 (4.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 3/1 (4.00 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 13/48 (27.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 15.3%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Race market overview as at 21:08
  • Supported1 of 4 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Paper Mill +10.69pp
  • Drifting1 of 4 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Rivers Corner -12.35pp
  • Last 15 minNo gain or drift recorded
  • Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min
15-minute snapshot 21:07 · no additional market query
15:13Market Rasen • Chase • 2m3f34y • Class 5 • Going: Good To Soft
3 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

15:13Market Rasen
Trainer: Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith
Jockey: Danny McMenamin
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Market Rasen · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 7/2 · 40% shorter today
Last run17 days ago · 8 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 8.9% • -3.26 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final market drift in the recorded sample.

Opened 6/4Market avg 7/4Implied win: 36.7% · Loss: 63.3%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-3.26pp(-8.9%)
7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 ↑ 15/8 ↓ 7/4
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/8 2.9 decimal 7Bet
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7Bet 15/8SportingIndex 15/8Spreadex 15/810 Bet 7/4Bet Victor 7/4Bet365 7/4BetMGM 7/4BetTom 7/4BetWright 7/4Betano 7/4Betfred 7/4Boyle Sports 7/4Dragon Bet 7/4Hollywood Bets 7/4Midnite 7/4Quinn Bet 7/4Star Sports 7/4Unibet 7/4William Hill 7/4Betfair Sportsbook 7/4Paddy Power 7/4LiveScore Bet 7/4Virgin Bet 7/4Coral 6/5Ladbrokes 6/5
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 3f 34y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 5 runners6/4+7.62ppOpen → 10am11/10-10.88pp10am → now; SP pending7/4Current; SP pendingPending-3.26pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-10.88pp since 10am, as of 15:12. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

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More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Walk In The Valley is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 7.62pp by 10am. Drifted by 10.88pp since 10am. As of 15:12; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 6pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 4/11 (36.4%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 11/10 (2.10 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 6/5 (2.22 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 10/40 (25%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 13%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
15:13Market Rasen
Trainer: Anthony Day
Jockey: Isabelle Ryder(5)
🟢 Needs Support (8%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run13 days ago · 12 Oct 2026
Distance changeDown 0.8f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP7/12 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Largest drift recorded across 4 previous runs.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 22% • -8.00 probability points
Built 09:17 → 09:25
Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final market drift in the recorded sample.

Opened 5/4Market avg 7/4Implied win: 36.4% · Loss: 63.6%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-8.00pp(-22.0%)
7/4 ↑ 15/8 → 15/8 ↓ 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4 ↑ 15/8 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 15/8
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/8 2.88 decimal 10 Bet
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10 Bet 15/8Bet Victor 15/8Betano 15/8Betfred 15/8Star Sports 15/8Unibet 15/87Bet 7/4Bet365 7/4BetMGM 7/4BetTom 7/4BetWright 7/4Boyle Sports 7/4Dragon Bet 7/4Hollywood Bets 7/4LiveScore Bet 7/4Midnite 7/4Quinn Bet 7/4SportingIndex 7/4Spreadex 7/4Virgin Bet 7/4William Hill 7/4Betfair Sportsbook 13/8Paddy Power 13/8Coral 11/8Ladbrokes 11/8
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 3f 34y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 5 runners5/4-2.78ppOpen → 10am11/8-5.22pp10am → now; SP pending7/4Current; SP pendingPending-8.00pp
THIS IS THE HORSE’S LARGEST RECORDED DRIFTMarket-8.00ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLargest recorded driftLargest recorded drift across 4 previous runs. This flags unusual market weakness; it does not claim a finishing record.Since 10amWeakening-5.22pp since 10am, as of 15:12. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Across 4 previous runs, this is the horse’s largest recorded drift compared with its previous Open → final market price moves. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Noble Recall has moved from 5/4 to 7/4, a significant drift (-8.00pp).

Drifted by 2.78pp by 10am. Drifted by 5.22pp more since 10am. As of 15:12; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Worcester · 12 Oct 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Market Rasen · previous Worcester×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 3f 34y · previous 2m 4f×Ground: Today Good To Soft · previous Good✓Class: Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 11/8 (2.40 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Horse support level

Support of +2.30pp · around 11/10 (2.14 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

2/3 finished 1st or 2nd with this much support or more (67%).

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: 11am was biggest
Weakening late
15:13Market Rasen
Trainer: Tom Gretton
Jockey: Conor O'Farrell
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run131 days ago · 16 Jun 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 10th at Southwell on 11 May 2026 (-5.17pp).
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 108.3% • -4.33 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Southwell, 11 May 2026 — 10th • open 14/1 → final market price 66/1 (-5.17pp).

Opened 11/1Market avg 25/1Implied win: 4.0% · Loss: 96.0%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-4.33pp(-108.3%)
25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Bet365
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Bet365 28/1Paddy Power 28/110 Bet 25/17Bet 25/1Bet Victor 25/1BetMGM 25/1BetTom 25/1BetWright 25/1Betano 25/1Betfred 25/1Boyle Sports 25/1Dragon Bet 25/1Hollywood Bets 25/1Midnite 25/1Quinn Bet 25/1Star Sports 25/1Unibet 25/1William Hill 25/1LiveScore Bet 25/1Virgin Bet 25/1SportingIndex 22/1Spreadex 22/1Betfair Sportsbook 22/1Coral 14/1Ladbrokes 14/1
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 3f 34y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 5 runners11/1+1.19ppOpen → 10am9/1-5.52pp10am → now; SP pending25/1Current; SP pendingPending-4.33pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-4.33ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-5.52pp since 10am, as of 15:12. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 4 · ↓ Class drop
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

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AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Just 1 of 3 previous runs showed a larger drift, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse against its previous Open → final market price moves. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Despite dropping from Class 4 to Class 5, the market is still weakening. Today’s move: McGrath From Clune has moved from 11/1 to 25/1, a developing drift (-4.33pp).

Shortened by 1.19pp by 10am. Drifted by 5.52pp since 10am. As of 15:12; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 9/1 (10.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 13/2 (7.50 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 3/11 (27.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 18.8%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Race market overview as at 21:08
  • Supported1 of 5 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Gambie Tiep +7.68pp
  • Drifting2 of 5 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Noble Recall -8.00pp
  • Last 15 minNo gain or drift recorded
  • Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min
15-minute snapshot 21:07 · no additional market query
15:48Market Rasen • Hurdle • 2m0f125y • Class 5 • Going: Good To Soft
2 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

15:48Market Rasen
Trainer: Mark Walford
Jockey: Tom Midgley
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
COURSE RECORD1/2 top 2Market RasenAverage course SP 14/1 · 73% shorter today
Last run18 days ago · 7 Oct 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -40.4% • -10.46pp
Measured NR price effect removed: +0.33pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 3/1 @ 11:30
NR @ 11:30: 3/1 → 3/1 (+0.33pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -10.78pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
93th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE93rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE
Only 1 of 15 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Fakenham on 13 Feb 2026 (-11.36pp).
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
When drifting like this: failed 4/5Historical Drift Profile

27 Jun 26 | Newcastle (AW) | Open: 25/1 → Final: 40/1 | SP: 50/1 | Fin: 9
13 Jun 26 | Hexham | Open: 10/3 → Final: 11/2 | SP: 4/1 | Fin: 4
07 Apr 26 | Pontefract | Open: 14/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 25/1 | Fin: 7
13 Feb 26 | Fakenham | Open: 7/4 → Final: 3/1 | SP: 4/1 | Fin: 3
16 Jan 26 | Market Rasen | Open: 9/1 → Final: 18/1 | SP: 20/1 | Fin: 2
When drifting like this: failed 4/5 — view runs
27 Jun 2026 · Newcastle (AW)
Open 25/1 → final 40/1 · SP 50/1 · 9th
13 Jun 2026 · Hexham
Open 10/3 → final 11/2 · SP 4/1 · 4th
07 Apr 2026 · Pontefract
Open 14/1 → final 33/1 · SP 25/1 · 7th
13 Feb 2026 · Fakenham
Open 7/4 → final 3/1 · SP 4/1 · 3rd
16 Jan 2026 · Market Rasen
Open 9/1 → final 18/1 · SP 20/1 · 2nd
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Fakenham, 13 Feb 2026 — 3rd • open 7/4 → final market price 3/1 (-11.36pp).

Opened 7/4Market avg 11/4Implied win: 25.9% · Loss: 74.1%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-10.78pp(-42.2%)
3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 11/4 → 11/4 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4 ↑ 3/1 ↓ 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/3 4.33 decimal Betfred
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Betfred 10/3SportingIndex 10/3Spreadex 10/3Bet365 3/1Boyle Sports 3/1LiveScore Bet 3/1Quinn Bet 3/1Virgin Bet 3/1Betfair Sportsbook 3/1Paddy Power 3/110 Bet 11/47Bet 11/4Bet Victor 11/4BetMGM 11/4BetWright 11/4Betano 11/4Coral 11/4Dragon Bet 11/4Ladbrokes 11/4Midnite 11/4Star Sports 11/4Unibet 11/4William Hill 11/4BetTom 5/2Hollywood Bets 9/4
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 6 runners7/4-11.36ppOpen → 10am3/1+0.58pp10am → now; SP pending11/4Current; SP pendingPending-10.78ppNR adjusted
SIGNIFICANT MARKET DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-10.78ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyMissed top 2: 4/5Displayed comparable drift runs: 1 first/second finishes in 5 completed runs.Since 10amStrengthening+0.58pp since 10am, as of 15:46. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Just 1 of 15 previous runs showed a larger drift, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse against its previous Open → final market price moves. The trainer’s drift record adds context: When this trainer's runners had drifted by 10pp+ by 10am, 0/2 won (0%), compared with the yard's normal 7.7% strike rate. Today’s move: Character Testing has moved from 7/4 to 11/4, a significant drift (-10.78pp).

Drifted by 11.36pp by 10am. Shortened by 0.58pp since 10am. As of 15:46; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Market Rasen · 16 Jan 2026 · 2nd · 4/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Market Rasen✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 125y✓Ground: Good To Soft✓Class: Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 3/1 (3.95 decimal).

10am price recovered — watch whether it holds.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/8 (2.40 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 9/47 (19.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 7.7%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: 10am was biggest
Weakening late
15:48Market Rasen
Trainer: Henry Oliver
Jockey: Paddy Hanlon
PRO RACECARD ↗
Last runNot recorded
Distance changeNot recorded
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -43.7% • -4.68pp
Measured NR price effect removed: +0.24pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 15/2 @ 11:30
NR @ 11:30: 15/2 → 15/2 (+0.24pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -4.92pp
Opened 11/2Market avg 17/2Implied win: 10.7% · Loss: 89.3%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-4.92pp(-47.0%)
17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Paddy Power
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Paddy Power 10/17Bet 9/1BetWright 9/1SportingIndex 9/1Spreadex 9/1Unibet 9/1Betfair Sportsbook 9/1Bet Victor 17/2BetTom 17/2Betano 17/2Boyle Sports 17/2Hollywood Bets 17/2Star Sports 17/2William Hill 17/210 Bet 8/1Bet365 8/1BetMGM 8/1Betfred 8/1Dragon Bet 8/1LiveScore Bet 8/1Midnite 8/1Quinn Bet 8/1Virgin Bet 8/1Coral 13/2Ladbrokes 13/2
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 6 runners11/2-2.88ppOpen → 10am7/1-2.04pp10am → now; SP pending17/2Current; SP pendingPending-4.92ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-4.92ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.04pp since 10am, as of 15:46. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: class not recorded
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Kourosh has moved from 11/2 to 17/2, a developing drift (-4.92pp).

Drifted by 2.88pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.04pp more since 10am. As of 15:46; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 7/1 (7.85 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 4/1 (4.85 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 2/11 (18.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 7.6%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Race market overview as at 21:08
  • Supported1 of 6 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Klapton Boy +7.26pp
  • Drifting2 of 6 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Character Testing -10.78pp
  • Last 15 minNo gain or drift recorded
  • Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min
15-minute snapshot 21:07 · no additional market query
16:23Market Rasen • NHF • 2m0f125y • Class 5 • Going: Good To Soft
1 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

16:23Market Rasen
Trainer: Archie Watson
Jockey: Miss Brodie Hampson
PRO RACECARD ↗
Last runNot recorded
Distance changeNot recorded
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -46.5% • -2.89pp
Measured NR price effect removed: +0.53pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 9/1 @ 14:27
NR @ 14:27: 10/1 → 9/1 (+0.53pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -3.42pp
Opened 10/1Market avg 16/1Implied win: 6.2% · Loss: 93.8%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-3.42pp(-60.4%)
14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
16/1 17 decimal 10 Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
10 Bet 16/17Bet 16/1Bet365 16/1BetMGM 16/1Betano 16/1Betfred 16/1Coral 16/1Dragon Bet 16/1Ladbrokes 16/1LiveScore Bet 16/1Midnite 16/1Quinn Bet 16/1SportingIndex 16/1Spreadex 16/1Star Sports 16/1Unibet 16/1Virgin Bet 16/1William Hill 16/1BetWright 14/1Boyle Sports 14/1Paddy Power 14/1Bet Victor 12/1BetTom 12/1Hollywood Bets 12/1Betfair Sportsbook 12/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 4 runners10/1+3.41ppOpen → 10am7/1-6.83pp10am → now; SP pending16/1Current; SP pendingPending-3.42ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-6.83pp since 10am, as of 16:22. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: class not recorded
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Ezenli is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 3.41pp by 10am. Drifted by 6.83pp since 10am. As of 16:22; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 13/2 (7.67 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 6/1 (6.84 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 12/45 (26.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12.4%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Race market overview as at 21:08
  • Supported2 of 4 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Beau De Maine +13.18pp
  • Drifting0 of 4 runners at −4pp or worse
  • Last 15 minNo gain or drift recorded
  • Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min
15-minute snapshot 21:07 · no additional market query
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