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13:00Market Rasen • Hurdle • 2m0f125y • Class 4 • Going: Good To Soft

2 runners

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Moore Brion

Trainer: Olly Murphy

Jockey: Sean Bowen

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬆ CLASS RISE

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run211 days ago · 28 Mar 2026

Distance changeUp 0.8f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP7/41 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 16.7% • +10.50 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Uttoxeter, 28 Mar 2026 — 1st • open 3/1 → final market price 6/4 (+15.00pp).

Opened 10/11Market avg 4/7

Price move+10.50pp(+16.7%)

8/13 ↓ 4/7 ↑ 8/13 → 8/13 → 8/13 ↓ 4/7 → 4/7 ↑ 8/13 → 8/13 ↓ 4/7

BEST FIXED ODDS

4/6 1.67 decimal Unibet

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Unibet 4/6Hollywood Bets 8/137Bet 8/13Bet Victor 8/13BetTom 8/13BetWright 8/13Betano 8/13Boyle Sports 8/13Dragon Bet 8/13LiveScore Bet 8/13Midnite 8/13Quinn Bet 8/13Star Sports 8/13Virgin Bet 8/13William Hill 8/1310 Bet 4/7Bet365 4/7BetMGM 4/7Betfred 4/7SportingIndex 4/7Spreadex 4/7Betfair Sportsbook 8/15Paddy Power 8/15Coral 4/9Ladbrokes 4/9

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners	10/11	+15.67ppOpen → 10am	4/9	-5.17pp10am → now; SP pending	4/7Current; SP pending	Pending	+10.50pp
Uttoxeter28 Mar 20261m 7f 168y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	3/1	+25.00ppOpen → 10am	EVS	-13.64pp10am → SP	7/4	1st	+11.36pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners	10/11	+15.67ppOpen → 10am	4/9	-5.17pp10am → now; SP pending	4/7Current; SP pending	Pending	+10.50pp
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TRAINER RECORD MAKES THIS SUPPORT SIGNIFICANTMarket+10.50ppGenuine support from the opening price.Trainer19.9% → 48.5%Open → SP · backed 10pp+Baseline → matching strike rate; 66 runners, Open → SP · backed 10pp+. Historical sample requires opening, 10am and official SP prices. Popup uses opening → final market price and a broader results baseline.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-5.17pp since 10am, as of 12:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 5 · ↑ Class rise

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

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AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Olly Murphy runners in the matching 10pp+ band have won 32/66 (a 48.5% Open→SP strike rate), compared with the trainer’s normal 19.9% strike rate. There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Moore Brion has shortened from 10/11 to 4/7, which is strong support (+10.50pp).

Shortened by 15.67pp by 10am. Drifted by 5.17pp since 10am. As of 12:57; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 15pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 6/11 (54.5%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Uttoxeter · 28 Mar 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Market Rasen · previous Uttoxeter×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 125y · previous 1m 7f 168y✓Ground: Good To Soft×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5

ACT NOW — DO NOT WAIT FOR ANOTHER 2PP

55% of Olly Murphy runners backed by at least 15pp by 10am continued to shorten from 10am to SP (11/20). Today’s live move of +10.50pp is supported by the horse or trainer evidence too. That continuation record is the reason to act now: waiting for another 2pp risks losing the available price.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +15.00pp · around 1/2 (1.48 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 16/36 (44.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.9%.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 8/11 (1.74 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

Trainer won 47/130 (36.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.9%.

Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 8/13 (1.60 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

Trainer won 32/66 (48.5%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.9%.

Risk of losing the price: 11/20 (55%) trainer runners backed by 15pp+ by 10am shortened further into SP.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Equi Libre

Trainer: Dan Skelton

Jockey: Robert Dunne

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run9 days ago · 16 Oct 2026

Distance changeUp 0.8f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.

Raw Open → Now price change: 31.2% • +0.45 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Stratford, 09 Mar 2026 — 3rd • open 25/1 → final market price 16/1 (+2.04pp).

Opened 100/1Market avg 66/1

Price move+0.45pp(+31.2%)

50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

100/1 126 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 100/1LiveScore Bet 100/1Quinn Bet 100/1SportingIndex 100/1Spreadex 100/1Virgin Bet 100/1Paddy Power 100/1Unibet 80/1Betfair Sportsbook 80/17Bet 66/1BetMGM 66/1BetWright 66/1Dragon Bet 66/110 Bet 50/1Bet Victor 50/1BetTom 50/1Betano 50/1Betfred 50/1Boyle Sports 50/1Hollywood Bets 50/1Midnite 50/1William Hill 50/1Coral 40/1Ladbrokes 40/1Star Sports 40/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners	100/1	+1.95ppOpen → 10am	33/1	-1.50pp10am → now; SP pending	66/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.45pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners	100/1	+1.95ppOpen → 10am	33/1	-1.50pp10am → now; SP pending	66/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.45pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.50pp since 10am, as of 12:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

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AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Equi Libre is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.95pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.50pp since 10am. As of 12:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 16/1 (16.69 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 72/171 (42.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 23.7%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

N/A

Race market overview as at 21:09

Supported1 of 11 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Moore Brion +10.50pp
Drifting3 of 11 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Kaldoun des Rocs -8.40pp
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

13:35Market Rasen • Hurdle • 2m0f125y • Class 4 • Going: Good To Soft

1 runners

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Minella Buoy

Trainer: Gary Hanmer

Jockey: Danny McMenamin

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run35 days ago · 20 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 0.6f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Strongest support recorded across 6 previous runs.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.

Raw Open → Now price change: 59.9% • +18.70 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Gowran Park (IRE), 01 Jun 2026 — 6th • open 20/1 → final market price 5/1 (+11.90pp).

Opened 7/1Market avg 9/4

Price move+18.70pp(+59.9%)

9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 2/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

5/2 3.5 decimal 7Bet

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7Bet 5/2BetTom 5/2William Hill 5/2Bet Victor 9/4Bet365 9/4BetMGM 9/4Betano 9/4Betfred 9/4Boyle Sports 9/4Dragon Bet 9/4LiveScore Bet 9/4Midnite 9/4Quinn Bet 9/4SportingIndex 9/4Spreadex 9/4Star Sports 9/4Virgin Bet 9/4Unibet 9/410 Bet 2/1BetWright 2/1Coral 2/1Hollywood Bets 2/1Ladbrokes 2/1Betfair Sportsbook 2/1Paddy Power 2/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 7 runners	7/1	+27.50ppOpen → 10am	6/4	-8.80pp10am → now; SP pending	9/4Current; SP pending	Pending	+18.70pp
Killarney (IRE)20 Aug 20262m 1f · Class — · Good · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/4	-0.48ppOpen → 10am	9/4	-4.10pp10am → SP	11/4	2nd	-4.58pp
Post-race comment
Ballinrobe (IRE)10 Aug 20262m 109y · Class — · Good · 13 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/3	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	10/3	+10.24pp10am → SP	2/1	2nd	+10.24pp
Post-race comment
Killarney (IRE)17 Jul 20262m 1f · Class — · Good · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	8/1	-6.35ppOpen → 10am	20/1	+8.57pp10am → SP	13/2	2nd	+2.22pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 7 runners	7/1	+27.50ppOpen → 10am	6/4	-8.80pp10am → now; SP pending	9/4Current; SP pending	Pending	+18.70pp
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THIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORTMarket+18.70ppGenuine support from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-8.80pp since 10am, as of 13:31. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: class not recorded

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

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AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Across 6 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support compared with its previous Open → final market price moves. The trainer evidence is important here: At 15pp+: Open→SP 1/3 won (33.3%), compared with the yard’s normal 8.2% strike rate. Today’s move: Minella Buoy has shortened from 7/1 to 9/4, which is exceptional support (+18.70pp).

Shortened by 27.50pp by 10am. Drifted by 8.80pp since 10am. As of 13:31; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Killarney (IRE) · 20 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 1/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Market Rasen · previous Killarney (IRE)✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 125y×Ground: Today Good To Soft · previous Good?Class: Data missing

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 7/2 (4.44 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

Trainer won 3/11 (27.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 8.2%.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/2 (5.71 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

Trainer won 5/20 (25%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 8.2%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

Easing off

Race market overview as at 21:09

Supported1 of 7 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Minella Buoy +18.70pp
Drifting1 of 7 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Don Dandy -15.13pp
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

14:10Market Rasen • Chase • 2m5f89y • Class 2 • Going: Good To Soft

2 runners

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Triple Trade

Trainer: Joe Tizzard

Jockey: Brendan Powell

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run193 days ago · 15 Apr 2026

Distance changeUp 1.5f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP5/21 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 5 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.2% • +0.43 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Haydock, 04 Apr 2026 — finish unavailable • open 11/1 → final market price 5/1 (+8.33pp).

Opened 15/8Market avg 15/8

Price move+0.43pp(+1.2%)

15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 ↓ 7/4 → 7/4 ↑ 15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 ↑ 15/8 ↓ 15/8

BEST FIXED ODDS

2/1 3 decimal Quinn Bet

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Quinn Bet 2/1Virgin Bet 2/1Paddy Power 2/17Bet 15/810 Bet 15/8Bet Victor 15/8Bet365 15/8BetMGM 15/8Betano 15/8Betfred 15/8Boyle Sports 15/8Coral 15/8Dragon Bet 15/8Ladbrokes 15/8LiveScore Bet 15/8Midnite 15/8Star Sports 15/8Unibet 15/8William Hill 15/8BetTom 7/4BetWright 7/4Hollywood Bets 7/4SportingIndex 7/4Spreadex 7/4Betfair Sportsbook 7/4

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 5f 89y · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 5 runners	15/8	+1.88ppOpen → 10am	7/4	-1.45pp10am → now; SP pending	15/8Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.43pp
Sandown03 Jan 20262m 4f 15y · Class 3 · Good · 4 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	4/1	+8.57pp10am → SP	5/2	1st	+8.57pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 5f 89y · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 5 runners	15/8	+1.88ppOpen → 10am	7/4	-1.45pp10am → now; SP pending	15/8Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.43pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.45pp since 10am, as of 14:08. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 2 · Last run: Class 1 · ↓ Class drop

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

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AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 5 previous Open → final market price moves. The horse drops from Class 1 to Class 2, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Triple Trade is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.88pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.45pp since 10am. As of 14:08; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Sandown · 03 Jan 2026 · 1st · 0/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Market Rasen · previous Sandown×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 5f 89y · previous 2m 4f 15y×Ground: Today Good To Soft · previous Good×Class: Today Class 2 · previous Class 3

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 6/4 (2.53 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 19/60 (31.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 14.1%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

Sure Touch

Trainer: Olly Murphy

Jockey: Sean Bowen

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬆ CLASS RISE

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Market Rasen · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 10/3 · 26% shorter today

Last run29 days ago · 26 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 8.6% • +2.68 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final market support in the recorded sample.

Opened 5/2Market avg 9/4

Price move+2.68pp(+8.6%)

9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 ↓ 2/1 ↑ 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4 → 9/4

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/4 3.25 decimal 10 Bet

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10 Bet 9/47Bet 9/4Bet Victor 9/4Bet365 9/4BetMGM 9/4BetTom 9/4Betano 9/4Betfred 9/4Boyle Sports 9/4Coral 9/4Hollywood Bets 9/4Ladbrokes 9/4LiveScore Bet 9/4Quinn Bet 9/4SportingIndex 9/4Spreadex 9/4Star Sports 9/4Unibet 9/4Virgin Bet 9/4William Hill 9/4BetWright 2/1Dragon Bet 2/1Midnite 2/1Betfair Sportsbook 2/1Paddy Power 2/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 5f 89y · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 5 runners	5/2	+6.15ppOpen → 10am	15/8	-3.47pp10am → now; SP pending	9/4Current; SP pending	Pending	+2.68pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 5f 89y · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 5 runners	5/2	+6.15ppOpen → 10am	15/8	-3.47pp10am → now; SP pending	9/4Current; SP pending	Pending	+2.68pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.47pp since 10am, as of 14:08. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 2 · Last run: Class 3 · ↑ Class rise

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

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More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves. It is also stepping up from Class 3 to Class 2, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Sure Touch is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 6.15pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.47pp since 10am. As of 14:08; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 6pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 18/38 (47.4%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 2/1 (2.98 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 47/130 (36.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.9%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

Race market overview as at 21:09

Supported0 of 5 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting1 of 5 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Ga Law -5.22pp
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

14:41Market Rasen • Chase • 3m3f123y • Class 3 • Going: Good To Soft

1 runners

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Full field shown.

Paper Mill

Trainer: Stuart Edmunds

Jockey: Charlie Hammond

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬆ CLASS RISE

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run24 days ago · 1 Oct 2026

Distance changeUp 3.3f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP6/41 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Strongest support recorded across 4 previous runs.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.

Raw Open → Now price change: 25.8% • +10.69 probability points

Built 14:27 → 14:39

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Southwell, 01 Oct 2026 — 1st • open 2/1 → final market price 6/4 (+6.67pp).

Opened 9/4Market avg 11/8

Price move+10.69pp(+25.8%)

11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8 ↑ 6/4 → 6/4 ↓ 11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8 ↑ 6/4 → 6/4

BEST FIXED ODDS

7/4 2.75 decimal LiveScore Bet

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LiveScore Bet 7/4Virgin Bet 7/4Unibet 13/810 Bet 6/47Bet 6/4BetTom 6/4BetWright 6/4Bet Victor 11/8Bet365 11/8BetMGM 11/8Betano 11/8Betfred 11/8Boyle Sports 11/8Coral 11/8Hollywood Bets 11/8Ladbrokes 11/8Quinn Bet 11/8Paddy Power 11/8Dragon Bet 11/8Star Sports 11/8Midnite 5/4SportingIndex 5/4Spreadex 5/4William Hill 5/4Betfair Sportsbook 5/4

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday3m 3f 123y · Class 3 · Good To Soft · 4 runners	9/4	+13.68ppOpen → 10am	5/4	-2.99pp10am → now; SP pending	11/8Current; SP pending	Pending	+10.69pp
Southwell01 Oct 20263m 60y · Class 4 · Good · 4 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	2/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	2/1	+6.67pp10am → SP	6/4	1st	+6.67pp
Post-race comment
Uttoxeter07 Jul 20263m 10y · Class 4 · Good · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	-3.33ppOpen → 10am	5/1	+3.33pp10am → SP	4/1	2nd	+0.00pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday3m 3f 123y · Class 3 · Good To Soft · 4 runners	9/4	+13.68ppOpen → 10am	5/4	-2.99pp10am → now; SP pending	11/8Current; SP pending	Pending	+10.69pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

TRAINER RECORD MAKES THIS SUPPORT SIGNIFICANTMarket+10.69ppGenuine support from the opening price.Trainer14.7% → 25%Open → SP · backed 10pp+Baseline → matching strike rate; 12 runners, Open → SP · backed 10pp+. Historical sample requires opening, 10am and official SP prices. Popup uses opening → final market price and a broader results baseline.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.99pp since 10am, as of 14:40. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: Class 4 · ↑ Class rise

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

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More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Stuart Edmunds runners in the matching 10pp+ band have won 3/12 (a 25% Open→SP strike rate), compared with the trainer’s normal 14.7% strike rate. Across 4 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support compared with its previous Open → final market price moves. It is also stepping up from Class 4 to Class 3, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Paper Mill has shortened from 9/4 to 11/8, which is strong support (+10.69pp).

Shortened by 13.68pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.99pp since 10am. As of 14:40; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell · 01 Oct 2026 · 1st · 0/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Market Rasen · previous Southwell×Trip (within ½f): Today 3m 3f 123y · previous 3m 60y×Ground: Today Good To Soft · previous Good×Class: Today Class 3 · previous Class 4

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 6/4 (2.45 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

Trainer won 3/12 (25%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 14.7%.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 7/4 (2.80 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

Trainer won 9/33 (27.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 14.7%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

Race market overview as at 21:09

Supported1 of 4 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Paper Mill +10.69pp
Drifting1 of 4 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Rivers Corner -12.35pp
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

15:13Market Rasen • Chase • 2m3f34y • Class 5 • Going: Good To Soft

2 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Gambie Tiep

Trainer: Olly Murphy

Jockey: Sean Bowen

PRO RACECARD ↗

Last runNot recorded

Distance changeNot recorded

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 27.7% • +7.68 probability points

Opened 4/1Market avg 5/2

Price move+7.68pp(+27.7%)

11/4 → 11/4 ↓ 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 → 5/2 ↑ 11/4 ↓ 5/2 ↑ 11/4 ↓ 5/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/3 4.33 decimal Paddy Power

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Paddy Power 10/3Betfair Sportsbook 3/17Bet 11/4Bet365 11/4Betfred 11/4Boyle Sports 11/4LiveScore Bet 11/4Midnite 11/4Quinn Bet 11/4SportingIndex 11/4Spreadex 11/4Virgin Bet 11/410 Bet 5/2Bet Victor 5/2BetMGM 5/2BetTom 5/2BetWright 5/2Betano 5/2Dragon Bet 5/2Hollywood Bets 5/2Star Sports 5/2Unibet 5/2William Hill 5/2Coral 2/1Ladbrokes 2/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 3f 34y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 5 runners	4/1	+16.36ppOpen → 10am	7/4	-8.69pp10am → now; SP pending	5/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+7.68pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 3f 34y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 5 runners	4/1	+16.36ppOpen → 10am	7/4	-8.69pp10am → now; SP pending	5/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+7.68pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

TRAINER RECORD MAKES THIS SUPPORT SIGNIFICANTMarket+7.68ppGenuine support from the opening price.Trainer19.9% → 36.2%Open → SP · backed 5pp+Baseline → matching strike rate; 130 runners, Open → SP · backed 5pp+. Historical sample requires opening, 10am and official SP prices. Popup uses opening → final market price and a broader results baseline.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-8.69pp since 10am, as of 15:12. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: class not recorded

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

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More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Olly Murphy runners in the matching 5pp+ band have won 47/130 (a 36.2% Open→SP strike rate), compared with the trainer’s normal 19.9% strike rate. There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Gambie Tiep has shortened from 4/1 to 5/2, which is support (+7.68pp).

Shortened by 16.36pp by 10am. Drifted by 8.69pp since 10am. As of 15:12; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 15pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 6/11 (54.5%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

ACT NOW — DO NOT WAIT FOR ANOTHER 2PP

55% of Olly Murphy runners backed by at least 15pp by 10am continued to shorten from 10am to SP (11/20). Today’s live move of +7.68pp is supported by the horse or trainer evidence too. That continuation record is the reason to act now: waiting for another 2pp risks losing the available price.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 9/4 (3.33 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 32/66 (48.5%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.9%.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 3/1 (4.00 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

Trainer won 47/130 (36.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.9%.

Risk of losing the price: 11/20 (55%) trainer runners backed by 15pp+ by 10am shortened further into SP.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

Walkinthewoods

Trainer: Mrs C. Williams

Jockey: Adam Wedge

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run202 days ago · 6 Apr 2026

Distance changeDown 6f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.

Raw Open → Now price change: 19.5% • +1.43 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Ffos Las, 16 Mar 2026 — finish unavailable • open 10/1 → final market price 15/2 (+2.67pp).

Opened 16/1Market avg 12/1

Price move+1.43pp(+19.5%)

12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 12/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 20/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

20/1 21 decimal 10 Bet

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10 Bet 20/1Bet Victor 18/1BetTom 18/1BetWright 18/1Hollywood Bets 18/1Unibet 18/1Betano 16/1Dragon Bet 16/1Star Sports 16/1Midnite 14/17Bet 12/1Bet365 12/1Betfred 12/1Boyle Sports 12/1William Hill 12/1LiveScore Bet 10/1Quinn Bet 10/1Virgin Bet 10/1Paddy Power 9/1BetMGM 8/1SportingIndex 8/1Spreadex 8/1Betfair Sportsbook 8/1Coral 7/1Ladbrokes 7/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 3f 34y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 5 runners	16/1	+3.64ppOpen → 10am	9/1	-2.21pp10am → now; SP pending	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.43pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 3f 34y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 5 runners	16/1	+3.64ppOpen → 10am	9/1	-2.21pp10am → now; SP pending	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.43pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.21pp since 10am, as of 15:12. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

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More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Walkinthewoods is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 3.64pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.21pp since 10am. As of 15:12; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 8/1 (9.19 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 2/5 (40%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 4.8%. Small sample.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

Race market overview as at 21:09

Supported1 of 5 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Gambie Tiep +7.68pp
Drifting2 of 5 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Noble Recall -8.00pp
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

15:48Market Rasen • Hurdle • 2m0f125y • Class 5 • Going: Good To Soft

4 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Lightning Flash

Trainer: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies

Jockey: James Turner(3)

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run27 days ago · 28 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: +4.5% • +1.58pp

Measured NR price effect removed: -0.88pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 9/4 @ 11:30

NR @ 11:30: 9/4 → 9/4 (-0.88pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +2.46pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Doncaster, 13 Mar 2026 — 3rd • open 9/2 → final market price 15/8 (+16.54pp).

Opened 2/1Market avg 15/8

Price move+2.46pp(+6.9%)

15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 ↑ 2/1 → 2/1 ↓ 15/8 → 15/8 → 15/8 ↑ 15/8 ↓ 15/8

BEST FIXED ODDS

2/1 3 decimal BetTom

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BetTom 2/1BetWright 2/1Unibet 2/1LiveScore Bet 2/1Virgin Bet 2/17Bet 15/810 Bet 15/8Bet Victor 15/8Bet365 15/8BetMGM 15/8Betano 15/8Betfred 15/8Boyle Sports 15/8Hollywood Bets 15/8Midnite 15/8Quinn Bet 15/8SportingIndex 15/8Spreadex 15/8Star Sports 15/8William Hill 15/8Dragon Bet 15/8Betfair Sportsbook 7/4Paddy Power 7/4Coral 6/4Ladbrokes 6/4

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 6 runners	2/1	+1.39ppOpen → 10am	15/8	+1.07pp10am → now; SP pending	15/8Current; SP pending	Pending	+2.46ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 6 runners	2/1	+1.39ppOpen → 10am	15/8	+1.07pp10am → now; SP pending	15/8Current; SP pending	Pending	+2.46ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amStrengthening+1.07pp since 10am, as of 15:46. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Lightning Flash is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.39pp by 10am. Shortened by 1.07pp more since 10am. As of 15:46; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 13/8 (2.67 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 13/58 (22.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 14.1%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

Justus

Trainer: Micky Hammond

Jockey: Joshua Thompson(3)

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

Last run143 days ago · 4 Jun 2026

Distance changeUp 0.8f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: +1.8% • +0.42pp

Measured NR price effect removed: -0.08pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 4/1 @ 11:30

NR @ 11:30: 4/1 → 4/1 (-0.08pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +0.50pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 6 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Hexham, 19 May 2026 — 2nd • open 14/1 → final market price 7/1 (+5.83pp).

Opened 10/3Market avg 10/3

Price move+0.50pp(+2.1%)

7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3

BEST FIXED ODDS

7/2 4.5 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 7/2BetMGM 7/2BetTom 7/2Boyle Sports 7/2Hollywood Bets 7/2Midnite 7/2LiveScore Bet 7/2Virgin Bet 7/210 Bet 10/3Bet Victor 10/3Betano 10/3Betfred 10/3Coral 10/3Ladbrokes 10/3Quinn Bet 10/3Star Sports 10/3Unibet 10/3William Hill 10/37Bet 3/1BetWright 3/1Dragon Bet 3/1SportingIndex 11/4Spreadex 11/4Betfair Sportsbook 11/4Paddy Power 11/4

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 6 runners	10/3	-0.87ppOpen → 10am	7/2	+1.38pp10am → now; SP pending	10/3Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.50ppNR adjusted
Hexham19 May 20262m 48y · Class 5 · Good · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	14/1	+7.62ppOpen → 10am	6/1	+0.00pp10am → SP	6/1	2nd	+7.62pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 6 runners	10/3	-0.87ppOpen → 10am	7/2	+1.38pp10am → now; SP pending	10/3Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.50ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amStrengthening+1.38pp since 10am, as of 15:46. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 6 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Justus is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 0.87pp by 10am. Shortened by 1.38pp since 10am. As of 15:46; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Hexham · 19 May 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Market Rasen · previous Hexham✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 125y×Ground: Today Good To Soft · previous Good✓Class: Class 5

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 5/2 (3.57 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 6/36 (16.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.1%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: 10am was biggest

Weakening late

Klapton Boy

Trainer: Nick Kent

Jockey: Tom Broughton

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Market Rasen · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 22/1 · 73% shorter today

Last run170 days ago · 8 May 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: +51.5% • +8.18pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +0.92pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 4/1 @ 11:30

NR @ 11:30: 4/1 → 4/1 (+0.92pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +7.26pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Strongest support recorded across 3 previous runs.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final market support in the recorded sample.

Opened 12/1Market avg 11/2

Price move+7.26pp(+48.6%)

11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

6/1 7 decimal 10 Bet

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10 Bet 6/1Bet Victor 6/1Betano 6/1Betfred 6/1Dragon Bet 6/1Star Sports 6/17Bet 11/2Bet365 11/2BetTom 11/2BetWright 11/2Boyle Sports 11/2Hollywood Bets 11/2Midnite 11/2Quinn Bet 11/2Unibet 11/2William Hill 11/2Paddy Power 11/2BetMGM 5/1Betfair Sportsbook 5/1Coral 9/2Ladbrokes 9/2SportingIndex 9/2Spreadex 9/2LiveScore Bet 4/1Virgin Bet 4/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 6 runners	12/1	+14.53ppOpen → 10am	7/2	-7.27pp10am → now; SP pending	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+7.26ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 6 runners	12/1	+14.53ppOpen → 10am	7/2	-7.27pp10am → now; SP pending	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+7.26ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

THIS IS THE HORSE’S STRONGEST RECORDED SUPPORTMarket+7.26ppGenuine support from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-7.27pp since 10am, as of 15:46. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Across 3 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support compared with its previous Open → final market price moves. The trainer evidence is important here: At 5pp+: Open→SP 1/1 won (100%), compared with the yard’s normal 2.2% strike rate. Today’s move: Klapton Boy has shortened from 12/1 to 11/2, which is support (+7.26pp).

Shortened by 14.53pp by 10am. Drifted by 7.27pp since 10am. As of 15:46; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

No evidence-backed price trigger for this runner yet. Use Notify Me to monitor it; the current records do not justify a target price.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

Battle Stride

Trainer: Richard Armson

Jockey: Philip Armson

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf

COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Market Rasen · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 100/1 · 73% shorter today

Last run18 days ago · 7 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: +20.9% • +0.52pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +0.05pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 50/1 @ 11:30

NR @ 11:30: 50/1 → 50/1 (+0.05pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +0.47pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final market support in the recorded sample.

Opened 50/1Market avg 40/1

Price move+0.47pp(+19.3%)

40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

50/1 51 decimal BetTom

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BetTom 50/1Hollywood Bets 50/1SportingIndex 50/1Spreadex 50/1LiveScore Bet 50/1Virgin Bet 50/110 Bet 40/1Bet Victor 40/1Bet365 40/1Betano 40/1Betfred 40/1Boyle Sports 40/1Midnite 40/1Quinn Bet 40/1Star Sports 40/1Unibet 40/1William Hill 40/17Bet 33/1Betfair Sportsbook 33/1Paddy Power 33/1BetMGM 33/1BetWright 33/1Dragon Bet 33/1Coral 20/1Ladbrokes 20/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 6 runners	50/1	+0.48ppOpen → 10am	40/1	-0.01pp10am → now; SP pending	40/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.47ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 6 runners	50/1	+0.48ppOpen → 10am	40/1	-0.01pp10am → now; SP pending	40/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.47ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amHolding-0.01pp since 10am, as of 15:46. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Battle Stride is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.48pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.01pp since 10am. As of 15:46; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

No evidence-backed price trigger for this runner yet. Use Notify Me to monitor it; the current records do not justify a target price.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

Race market overview as at 21:09

Supported1 of 6 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Klapton Boy +7.26pp
Drifting2 of 6 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Character Testing -10.78pp
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

16:23Market Rasen • NHF • 2m0f125y • Class 5 • Going: Good To Soft

3 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Clos Du Mouche

Trainer: Olly Murphy

Jockey: Sean Bowen

PRO RACECARD ↗

Last runNot recorded

Distance changeNot recorded

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: +13.7% • +7.23pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +1.94pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 6/5 @ 14:27

NR @ 14:27: 5/4 → 6/5 (+1.94pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +5.29pp

Opened 6/5Market avg 10/11

Price move+5.29pp(+10.4%)

10/11 → 10/11 → 10/11 → 10/11 → 10/11 ↓ 5/6 ↑ 10/11 → 10/11 → 10/11 → 10/11

BEST FIXED ODDS

EVS 2 decimal Hollywood Bets

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Hollywood Bets EVS10 Bet 10/117Bet 10/11Bet Victor 10/11Bet365 10/11BetTom 10/11BetWright 10/11Betano 10/11Betfred 10/11Boyle Sports 10/11Coral 10/11Dragon Bet 10/11Ladbrokes 10/11LiveScore Bet 10/11Midnite 10/11Quinn Bet 10/11Star Sports 10/11Unibet 10/11Virgin Bet 10/11William Hill 10/11BetMGM 5/6SportingIndex 5/6Spreadex 5/6Betfair Sportsbook 5/6Paddy Power 5/6

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 4 runners	6/5	+6.90ppOpen → 10am	10/11	-1.61pp10am → now; SP pending	10/11Current; SP pending	Pending	+5.29ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 4 runners	6/5	+6.90ppOpen → 10am	10/11	-1.61pp10am → now; SP pending	10/11Current; SP pending	Pending	+5.29ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

TRAINER RECORD MAKES THIS SUPPORT SIGNIFICANTMarket+5.29ppGenuine support from the opening price.Trainer19.9% → 36.2%Open → SP · backed 5pp+Baseline → matching strike rate; 130 runners, Open → SP · backed 5pp+. Historical sample requires opening, 10am and official SP prices. Popup uses opening → final market price and a broader results baseline.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.61pp since 10am, as of 16:22. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: class not recorded

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Olly Murphy runners in the matching 5pp+ band have won 47/130 (a 36.2% Open→SP strike rate), compared with the trainer’s normal 19.9% strike rate. There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Clos Du Mouche has shortened from 6/5 to 10/11, which is support (+5.29pp).

Shortened by 6.90pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.61pp since 10am. As of 16:22; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 6pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 18/38 (47.4%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

ACT NOW — DO NOT WAIT FOR ANOTHER 2PP

45.2% of Olly Murphy runners backed by at least 6pp by 10am continued to shorten from 10am to SP (38/84). Today’s live move of +5.29pp is supported by the horse or trainer evidence too. That continuation record is the reason to act now: waiting for another 2pp risks losing the available price.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 8/11 (1.74 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 32/66 (48.5%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.9%.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 10/11 (1.91 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

Trainer won 47/130 (36.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 19.9%.

Risk of losing the price: 38/84 (45.2%) trainer runners backed by 6pp+ by 10am shortened further into SP.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Late money still arriving

Beau De Maine

Trainer: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies

Jockey: Toby McCain-Mitchell(3)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Last runNot recorded

Distance changeNot recorded

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: +41.3% • +15.64pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +2.46pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 11/8 @ 14:27

NR @ 14:27: 6/4 → 11/8 (+2.46pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +13.18pp

Opened 7/2Market avg 13/8

Price move+13.18pp(+37.2%)

13/8 ↑ 7/4 → 7/4 ↓ 6/4 → 6/4 ↑ 13/8 → 13/8 ↑ 7/4 → 7/4 → 7/4

BEST FIXED ODDS

7/4 2.75 decimal 10 Bet

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10 Bet 7/47Bet 7/4Bet Victor 7/4Betano 7/4Betfred 7/4Dragon Bet 7/4Midnite 7/4Star Sports 7/4Unibet 7/4William Hill 7/4Bet365 13/8BetMGM 13/8Boyle Sports 13/8LiveScore Bet 13/8Virgin Bet 13/8Betfair Sportsbook 13/8Paddy Power 13/8Quinn Bet 13/8BetTom 6/4BetWright 6/4Coral 6/4Hollywood Bets 6/4Ladbrokes 6/4SportingIndex 6/4Spreadex 6/4

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 4 runners	7/2	+9.03ppOpen → 10am	9/4	+4.15pp10am → now; SP pending	13/8Current; SP pending	Pending	+13.18ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 4 runners	7/2	+9.03ppOpen → 10am	9/4	+4.15pp10am → now; SP pending	13/8Current; SP pending	Pending	+13.18ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

STRONG BOOKMAKER SUPPORT DETECTEDMarket+13.18ppGenuine support from the opening price.Trainer14.1% → 12%Open → SP · backed 10pp+Baseline → matching strike rate; 25 runners, Open → SP · backed 10pp+. Historical sample requires opening, 10am and official SP prices. Popup uses opening → final market price and a broader results baseline.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amStrengthening+4.15pp since 10am, as of 16:22. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: class not recorded

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The trainer evidence is important here: At 10pp+: Open→SP 3/25 won (12%), compared with the yard’s normal 14.1% strike rate. Today’s move: Beau De Maine has shortened from 7/2 to 13/8, which is strong support (+13.18pp).

Shortened by 9.03pp by 10am. Shortened by 4.15pp more since 10am. As of 16:22; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 8pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 1/8 (12.5%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +20.00pp · around 5/4 (2.24 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 2/5 (40%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 14.1%. Small sample.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/4 (3.37 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

Trainer won 13/58 (22.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 14.1%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

Soviet Sailor

Trainer: Seamus Mullins

Jockey: Daniel Sansom(3)

PRO RACECARD ↗

Last runNot recorded

Distance changeNot recorded

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: +27.6% • +3.47pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +0.46pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 9/1 @ 14:27

NR @ 14:27: 9/1 → 9/1 (+0.46pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +3.02pp

Opened 10/1Market avg 7/1

Price move+3.02pp(+24.9%)

7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

17/2 9.5 decimal Hollywood Bets

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Hollywood Bets 17/2BetTom 8/1BetMGM 15/210 Bet 7/1Bet Victor 7/1Bet365 7/1BetWright 7/1Betano 7/1Betfred 7/1Boyle Sports 7/1Coral 7/1Dragon Bet 7/1Ladbrokes 7/1LiveScore Bet 7/1Midnite 7/1Quinn Bet 7/1SportingIndex 7/1Spreadex 7/1Star Sports 7/1Unibet 7/1Virgin Bet 7/17Bet 13/2William Hill 13/2Paddy Power 6/1Betfair Sportsbook 5/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 4 runners	10/1	+3.41ppOpen → 10am	7/1	-0.39pp10am → now; SP pending	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+3.02ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Market RasenToday2m 125y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 4 runners	10/1	+3.41ppOpen → 10am	7/1	-0.39pp10am → now; SP pending	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+3.02ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amHolding-0.39pp since 10am, as of 16:22. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: class not recorded

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Soviet Sailor is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 3.41pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.39pp since 10am. As of 16:22; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 6/1 (6.87 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 5/23 (21.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.5%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Late money still arriving

Race market overview as at 21:09

Supported2 of 4 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Beau De Maine +13.18pp
Drifting0 of 4 runners at −4pp or worse
Last 15 minFresh 15-minute data is not available yet.
Market surgesAwaiting a fresh 15-minute snapshot.

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