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Market-average order · Green ↑ shortening · Red ↓ drifting

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See what today’s price moves mean.

LIVE · Updated 19:31:40
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Bangor-on-Dee ✓Catterick 🔒Galway 🔒Newcastle 🔒Wolverhampton (AW) 🔒
Next off intelligence
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Next-Off Market Intelligence

The strongest horse and trainer evidence from the races coming up next.

Next-race market pulse Tracking the next race
Shared live snapshot 19:33:05
Market overview
Runners Today
66
Shown After Filters
40
Active Signals (15%+)
54
01 · Strongest support
Racing silks
Rattlin Home
74
14:16 Bangor-on-Dee
+19.10pp
True move after NR adjustment · 4/5 → 1/3
02 · Repeat evidence
No repeat signal active
No upcoming runner currently matches a previous successful market pattern.
03 · Weak favourite
Racing silks
Just Golden
45
15:16 Bangor-on-Dee
-9.95pp
True move after NR adjustment · 7/2 → 15/2
Runner
Bookmaker move
Evidence
What to do next
13:46Bangor-on-Dee • Hurdle • 2m7f32y • Class 4 • Going: Good
6 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

13:46Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Martin Keighley
Jockey: Freddie Keighley
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬆ CLASS RISE
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run24 days ago · 3 Oct 2026
Distance changeUp 1.4f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP11/41 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 2.7% • -0.74 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final market drift in the recorded sample.

Opened 5/2Market avg 11/4Implied win: 27.5% · Loss: 72.5%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-0.74pp(-2.7%)
11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↓ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↑ 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 → 11/4 ↓ 5/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/4 3.75 decimal 7Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
7Bet 11/4Bet Victor 11/4Bet365 11/4BetMGM 11/4Betano 11/4Betfred 11/4Boyle Sports 11/4Dragon Bet 11/4LiveScore Bet 11/4Midnite 11/4Quinn Bet 11/4Star Sports 11/4Unibet 11/4Virgin Bet 11/4Betfair Sportsbook 11/4Paddy Power 11/410 Bet 5/2BetWright 5/2Hollywood Bets 5/2SportingIndex 5/2Spreadex 5/2William Hill 5/2Coral 5/2Ladbrokes 5/2BetTom 9/4
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 7f 32y · Class 4 · Good · 9 runners5/2+8.16ppOpen → 10am7/4-8.91pp10am → now; SP pending11/4Current; SP pendingPending-0.74pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-8.91pp since 10am, as of 13:42. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 5 · ↑ Class rise
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Glance of Glory is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 8.16pp by 10am. Drifted by 8.91pp since 10am. As of 13:42; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Fontwell · 03 Oct 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Bangor-on-Dee · previous Fontwell×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 7f 32y · previous 2m 5f 164y✓Ground: Good×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 7/4 (2.75 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 2/1 (3.01 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 5/25 (20%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 13%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Easing off
13:46Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero
Jockey: Ben Smith(6)
🟢 Needs Support (24%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
COURSE RECORD1/2 top 2Bangor-on-DeeAverage course SP 11/4 · 60% bigger today
Last run42 days ago · 15 Sep 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP9/21 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse had no recorded finishing position at Uttoxeter on 24 Jul 2026 (-9.85pp).
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 34.7% • -5.71 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Uttoxeter, 24 Jul 2026 — finish unavailable • open 9/2 → final market price 11/1 (-9.85pp).

Opened 7/2Market avg 5/1Implied win: 16.4% · Loss: 83.6%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-5.71pp(-34.7%)
5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 9/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/2 6.5 decimal 7Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
7Bet 11/2Bet Victor 11/2BetTom 11/2BetWright 11/2Betano 11/2Hollywood Bets 11/2Star Sports 11/2Unibet 11/2William Hill 11/2Bet365 5/1BetMGM 5/1Betfred 5/1Boyle Sports 5/1Dragon Bet 5/1LiveScore Bet 5/1Midnite 5/1Quinn Bet 5/1SportingIndex 5/1Spreadex 5/1Virgin Bet 5/1Betfair Sportsbook 5/1Paddy Power 5/110 Bet 9/2Coral 4/1Ladbrokes 4/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 7f 32y · Class 4 · Good · 9 runners7/2-5.49ppOpen → 10am5/1-0.22pp10am → now; SP pending5/1Current; SP pendingPending-5.71pp
MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-5.71ppMarket weakness from the opening price.Trainer11.3% → 6.8%Open → 10am · drifted 5pp+Baseline → matching strike rate; 44 runners, Open → 10am · drifted 5pp+. Historical sample requires opening, 10am and official SP prices. Popup uses opening → final market price and a broader results baseline.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amHolding-0.22pp since 10am, as of 13:42. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

Just 1 of 4 previous runs showed a larger drift, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse against its previous Open → final market price moves. The trainer’s drift record adds context: When this trainer's runners had drifted by 5pp+ by 10am, 3/44 won (6.8%), compared with the yard's normal 11.3% strike rate. Today’s move: Crystal Glance has moved from 7/2 to 5/1, a developing drift (-5.71pp).

Drifted by 5.49pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.22pp more since 10am. As of 13:42; SP pending. If it keeps drifting into SP: this trainer’s runners with 5pp+ drift by 10am that kept drifting from 10am to SP won 2/23 (8.7%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Uttoxeter · 15 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Bangor-on-Dee · previous Uttoxeter✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 7f 32y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 5/1 (6.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/4 (3.68 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 12/53 (22.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.3%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Easing off
13:46Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies
Jockey: Toby McCain-Mitchell(3)
PRO RACECARD ↗
Last runNot recorded
Distance changeNot recorded
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 29.3% • -3.66 probability points
Opened 5/1Market avg 7/1Implied win: 12.5% · Loss: 87.5%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-3.66pp(-29.3%)
7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal William Hill
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
William Hill 8/110 Bet 15/2Bet Victor 15/2BetTom 15/2Hollywood Bets 15/2Star Sports 15/27Bet 7/1Bet365 7/1BetMGM 7/1BetWright 7/1Betano 7/1Betfred 7/1Boyle Sports 7/1Dragon Bet 7/1LiveScore Bet 7/1Midnite 7/1Quinn Bet 7/1SportingIndex 7/1Spreadex 7/1Unibet 7/1Virgin Bet 7/1Paddy Power 7/1Betfair Sportsbook 13/2Coral 11/2Ladbrokes 11/2
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 7f 32y · Class 4 · Good · 9 runners5/1-1.87ppOpen → 10am6/1-1.79pp10am → now; SP pending7/1Current; SP pendingPending-3.66pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.79pp since 10am, as of 13:42. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: class not recorded
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Mr Mackay is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 1.87pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.79pp more since 10am. As of 13:42; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 6/1 (7.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 7/2 (4.73 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 13/59 (22%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 14.2%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: 11am was biggest
Easing off
13:46Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Mark Walford
Jockey: Tom Midgley
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run224 days ago · 17 Mar 2026
Distance changeDown 1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 28.5% • -2.26 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final market drift in the recorded sample.

Opened 9/1Market avg 12/1Implied win: 7.9% · Loss: 92.1%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-2.26pp(-28.5%)
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal 7Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
7Bet 12/1Bet Victor 12/1Bet365 12/1BetMGM 12/1BetWright 12/1Betano 12/1Betfred 12/1Boyle Sports 12/1Dragon Bet 12/1Hollywood Bets 12/1LiveScore Bet 12/1Midnite 12/1Quinn Bet 12/1SportingIndex 12/1Spreadex 12/1Star Sports 12/1Unibet 12/1Virgin Bet 12/1Betfair Sportsbook 12/1Paddy Power 12/110 Bet 11/1BetTom 11/1William Hill 11/1Coral 9/1Ladbrokes 9/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 7f 32y · Class 4 · Good · 9 runners9/1+3.16ppOpen → 10am13/2-5.42pp10am → now; SP pending12/1Current; SP pendingPending-2.26pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-5.42pp since 10am, as of 13:42. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Buzz Iceclear is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 3.16pp by 10am. Drifted by 5.42pp since 10am. As of 13:42; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 13/2 (7.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/2 (6.59 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 9/47 (19.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 7.7%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Easing off
13:46Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Stuart Edmunds
Jockey: Murray Dodd
PRO RACECARD ↗
Last runNot recorded
Distance changeNot recorded
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 38.5% • -2.69 probability points
Opened 9/1Market avg 14/1Implied win: 7.0% · Loss: 93.0%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-2.69pp(-38.5%)
14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 11/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal 7Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
7Bet 14/1Bet Victor 14/1Bet365 14/1BetMGM 14/1Betano 14/1Betfred 14/1Boyle Sports 14/1Dragon Bet 14/1Hollywood Bets 14/1LiveScore Bet 14/1Midnite 14/1Quinn Bet 14/1SportingIndex 14/1Spreadex 14/1Star Sports 14/1Unibet 14/1Virgin Bet 14/1Betfair Sportsbook 14/1Paddy Power 14/1BetTom 12/1BetWright 12/110 Bet 11/1William Hill 11/1Coral 10/1Ladbrokes 10/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 7f 32y · Class 4 · Good · 9 runners9/1-1.36ppOpen → 10am11/1-1.33pp10am → now; SP pending14/1Current; SP pendingPending-2.69pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.33pp since 10am, as of 13:42. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: class not recorded
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Court Cian is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 1.36pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.33pp more since 10am. As of 13:42; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 11/1 (12.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 6/1 (6.80 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 10/34 (29.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 15.3%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Easing off
13:46Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Dan Skelton
Jockey: Harry Atkins(3)
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run18 days ago · 9 Oct 2026
Distance changeUp 3.7f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 265.7% • -8.78 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Chepstow, 09 Oct 2026 — 13th • open 7/1 → final market price 16/1 (-6.62pp).

Opened 15/2Market avg 28/1Implied win: 3.3% · Loss: 96.7%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-8.78pp(-265.7%)
33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 33/1BetMGM 33/1Betano 33/1Betfred 33/1Boyle Sports 33/1Dragon Bet 33/1LiveScore Bet 33/1Quinn Bet 33/1SportingIndex 33/1Spreadex 33/1Virgin Bet 33/1Paddy Power 33/17Bet 28/1Betfair Sportsbook 28/1Bet Victor 28/1Hollywood Bets 28/1Midnite 28/1Star Sports 28/1Unibet 28/110 Bet 25/1BetTom 25/1BetWright 25/1William Hill 25/1Coral 18/1Ladbrokes 18/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 7f 32y · Class 4 · Good · 9 runners15/2-4.39ppOpen → 10am12/1-4.39pp10am → now; SP pending28/1Current; SP pendingPending-8.78pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
SIGNIFICANT MARKET DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-8.78ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-4.39pp since 10am, as of 13:42. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Mostly Sunny has moved from 15/2 to 28/1, a significant drift (-8.78pp).

Drifted by 4.39pp by 10am. Drifted by 4.39pp more since 10am. As of 13:42; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 12/1 (13.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 5/1 (5.86 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 72/171 (42.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 23.5%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Easing off
Race market overview as at 19:34
  • Supported1 of 9 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Aire Spray +8.35pp
  • Drifting2 of 9 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Mostly Sunny -8.78pp
  • Last 15 minNo gain or drift recorded
  • Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min
15-minute snapshot 19:33 · no additional market query
14:16Bangor-on-Dee • Hurdle • 2m145y • Class 3 • Going: Good
9 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

14:16Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Philip Hobbs & Johnson White
Jockey: Sean Houlihan
PRO RACECARD ↗
Last runNot recorded
Distance changeNot recorded
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 14.1% • -2.00 probability points
Opened 5/1Market avg 6/1Implied win: 14.2% · Loss: 85.8%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-2.00pp(-14.1%)
6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
7/1 8 decimal SportingIndex
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
SportingIndex 7/1Spreadex 7/1Bet365 13/2Coral 13/2Ladbrokes 13/210 Bet 6/17Bet 6/1Bet Victor 6/1BetMGM 6/1BetWright 6/1Betano 6/1Betfred 6/1Boyle Sports 6/1Dragon Bet 6/1Hollywood Bets 6/1LiveScore Bet 6/1Midnite 6/1Quinn Bet 6/1Star Sports 6/1Virgin Bet 6/1William Hill 6/1BetTom 11/2Unibet 11/2Paddy Power 11/2Betfair Sportsbook 5/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 145y · Class 3 · Good · 11 runners5/1+3.80ppOpen → 10am4/1-5.80pp10am → now; SP pending6/1Current; SP pendingPending-2.00pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-5.80pp since 10am, as of 14:15. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: class not recorded
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Sittin Ona Fortune is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 3.80pp by 10am. Drifted by 5.80pp since 10am. As of 14:15; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 4/1 (5.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 7/2 (4.72 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 11/41 (26.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 15.6%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
14:16Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Tom Ellis
Jockey: Jack Andrews
PRO RACECARD ↗
Last runNot recorded
Distance changeNot recorded
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 47.5% • -5.07 probability points
Opened 11/2Market avg 17/2Implied win: 10.7% · Loss: 89.3%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-5.07pp(-47.5%)
17/2 → 17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 15/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal William Hill
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
William Hill 11/1Bet365 9/1Hollywood Bets 9/1Midnite 9/1SportingIndex 9/1Spreadex 9/17Bet 17/2Bet Victor 17/2BetTom 17/2Betano 17/2Betfred 17/2Boyle Sports 17/2Dragon Bet 17/2LiveScore Bet 17/2Quinn Bet 17/2Star Sports 17/2Unibet 17/2Virgin Bet 17/2Paddy Power 17/2BetMGM 8/1BetWright 8/1Betfair Sportsbook 8/110 Bet 15/2Coral 11/2Ladbrokes 11/2
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 145y · Class 3 · Good · 11 runners11/2-0.37ppOpen → 10am11/2-4.70pp10am → now; SP pending17/2Current; SP pendingPending-5.07pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-5.07ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-4.70pp since 10am, as of 14:15. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: class not recorded
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Back To Sea has moved from 11/2 to 17/2, a developing drift (-5.07pp).

Drifted by 0.37pp by 10am. Drifted by 4.70pp more since 10am. As of 14:15; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 11/2 (6.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 4/1 (4.82 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 3/5 (60%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 23.5%. Small sample.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
14:16Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Ben Pauling
Jockey: Ben Jones
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬆ CLASS RISE
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run171 days ago · 9 May 2026
Distance changeUp 0.7f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 91.5% • -7.70 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Warwick, 09 May 2026 — 3rd • open 4/6 → final market price 4/5 (-4.32pp).

Opened 5/1Market avg 11/1Implied win: 8.4% · Loss: 91.6%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-7.70pp(-91.5%)
11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 16 decimal William Hill
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
William Hill 14/1Bet365 12/1BetTom 12/1Hollywood Bets 12/110 Bet 11/17Bet 11/1Bet Victor 11/1BetMGM 11/1BetWright 11/1Betano 11/1Betfred 11/1Boyle Sports 11/1Dragon Bet 11/1LiveScore Bet 11/1Midnite 11/1Quinn Bet 11/1SportingIndex 11/1Spreadex 11/1Star Sports 11/1Unibet 11/1Virgin Bet 11/1Paddy Power 10/1Betfair Sportsbook 9/1Coral 15/2Ladbrokes 15/2
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 145y · Class 3 · Good · 11 runners5/1-5.01ppOpen → 10am8/1-2.69pp10am → now; SP pending11/1Current; SP pendingPending-7.70pp
MARKET DRIFT DETECTED — TRAINER IMPACT IS LIMITEDMarket-7.70ppMarket weakness from the opening price.Trainer17.1% → 16.1%Open → 10am · drifted 5pp+Baseline → matching strike rate; 31 runners, Open → 10am · drifted 5pp+. Historical sample requires opening, 10am and official SP prices. Popup uses opening → final market price and a broader results baseline.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.69pp since 10am, as of 14:15. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: Class 5 · ↑ Class rise
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The trainer’s drift record adds context: When this trainer's runners had drifted by 5pp+ by 10am, 5/31 won (16.1%), compared with the yard's normal 17.1% strike rate. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 3, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Legend d'Airy has moved from 5/1 to 11/1, a developing drift (-7.70pp).

Drifted by 5.01pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.69pp more since 10am. As of 14:15; SP pending. If it keeps drifting into SP: this trainer’s runners with 5pp+ drift by 10am that kept drifting from 10am to SP won 0/12 (0%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Hereford · 25 Mar 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Bangor-on-Dee · previous Hereford✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 145y✓Ground: Good×Class: Today Class 3 · previous Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 8/1 (9.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 7/2 (4.74 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 20/75 (26.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 17.1%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
14:16Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Donald McCain
Jockey: Theo Gillard
PRO RACECARD ↗
Last runNot recorded
Distance changeNot recorded
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 36.5% • -2.99 probability points
Opened 8/1Market avg 11/1Implied win: 8.2% · Loss: 91.8%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-2.99pp(-36.5%)
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal 7Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
7Bet 12/1Bet Victor 12/1Bet365 12/1Betano 12/1Betfred 12/1Boyle Sports 12/1Dragon Bet 12/1LiveScore Bet 12/1Midnite 12/1Quinn Bet 12/1SportingIndex 12/1Spreadex 12/1Star Sports 12/1Unibet 12/1Virgin Bet 12/110 Bet 11/1BetMGM 11/1BetWright 11/1Hollywood Bets 11/1William Hill 11/1BetTom 10/1Paddy Power 10/1Betfair Sportsbook 9/1Coral 8/1Ladbrokes 8/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 145y · Class 3 · Good · 11 runners8/1+2.15ppOpen → 10am13/2-5.14pp10am → now; SP pending11/1Current; SP pendingPending-2.99pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-5.14pp since 10am, as of 14:15. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: class not recorded
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Godfrey Bouillon is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 2.15pp by 10am. Drifted by 5.14pp since 10am. As of 14:15; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 13/2 (7.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 5/1 (6.18 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 15/61 (24.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.4%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
14:16Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Dan Skelton
Jockey: Tristan Durrell
PRO RACECARD ↗
Last runNot recorded
Distance changeNot recorded
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 90.5% • -2.56 probability points
Opened 18/1Market avg 33/1Implied win: 2.8% · Loss: 97.2%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-2.56pp(-90.5%)
40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
40/1 41 decimal 10 Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
10 Bet 40/1Bet Victor 40/1Bet365 40/1Betano 40/1Boyle Sports 40/1Dragon Bet 40/1Midnite 40/1SportingIndex 40/1Spreadex 40/1Star Sports 40/1Unibet 40/17Bet 33/1BetMGM 33/1BetWright 33/1Betfred 33/1LiveScore Bet 33/1Quinn Bet 33/1Virgin Bet 33/1William Hill 33/1Betfair Sportsbook 33/1Paddy Power 33/1BetTom 28/1Hollywood Bets 28/1Coral 16/1Ladbrokes 16/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 145y · Class 3 · Good · 11 runners18/1+0.50ppOpen → 10am16/1-3.06pp10am → now; SP pending33/1Current; SP pendingPending-2.56pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.06pp since 10am, as of 14:15. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: class not recorded
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: He's A Terror is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.50pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.06pp since 10am. As of 14:15; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 16/1 (17.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 17/2 (9.63 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 72/171 (42.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 23.5%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
14:16Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero
Jockey: Jack Tudor
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬆ CLASS RISE
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Bangor-on-Dee · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 18/1 · 287% bigger today
Last run192 days ago · 18 Apr 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 177.3% • -2.41 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Bangor-on-Dee, 18 Apr 2026 — 5th • open 12/1 → final market price 14/1 (-1.03pp).

Opened 25/1Market avg 66/1Implied win: 1.4% · Loss: 98.6%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-2.41pp(-177.3%)
80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 ↓ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↑ 80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1 → 80/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
80/1 81 decimal 10 Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
10 Bet 80/17Bet 80/1Bet Victor 80/1Bet365 80/1Betano 80/1Betfred 80/1Boyle Sports 80/1Dragon Bet 80/1LiveScore Bet 80/1Midnite 80/1Quinn Bet 80/1SportingIndex 80/1Spreadex 80/1Star Sports 80/1Unibet 80/1Virgin Bet 80/1William Hill 80/1Betfair Sportsbook 66/1Paddy Power 66/1BetMGM 66/1BetWright 66/1BetTom 50/1Hollywood Bets 50/1Coral 40/1Ladbrokes 40/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 145y · Class 3 · Good · 11 runners25/1-1.33ppOpen → 10am40/1-1.08pp10am → now; SP pending66/1Current; SP pendingPending-2.41pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.08pp since 10am, as of 14:15. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: Class 4 · ↑ Class rise
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. It is also stepping up from Class 4 to Class 3, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Emral Bridge is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 1.33pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.08pp more since 10am. As of 14:15; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 40/1 (41.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 10/1 (11.40 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 12/53 (22.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.3%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
14:16Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero
Jockey: Toby Wynne
PRO RACECARD ↗
Last runNot recorded
Distance changeNot recorded
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 492.2% • -3.43 probability points
Opened 22/1Market avg 100/1Implied win: 0.7% · Loss: 99.3%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-3.43pp(-492.2%)
100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 251 decimal Hollywood Bets
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Hollywood Bets 100/1BetTom 100/1Midnite 100/1Paddy Power 100/110 Bet 100/17Bet 100/1Bet Victor 100/1Bet365 100/1BetWright 100/1Betano 100/1Betfred 100/1Boyle Sports 100/1Dragon Bet 100/1LiveScore Bet 100/1Quinn Bet 100/1Star Sports 100/1Unibet 100/1Virgin Bet 100/1William Hill 100/1Betfair Sportsbook 100/1BetMGM 100/1SportingIndex 50/1Spreadex 50/1Coral 40/1Ladbrokes 40/1
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 145y · Class 3 · Good · 11 runners22/1-1.68ppOpen → 10am40/1-1.74pp10am → now; SP pending100/1Current; SP pendingPending-3.43pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.74pp since 10am, as of 14:15. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: class not recorded
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Get Busy Jumping is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 1.68pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.74pp more since 10am. As of 14:15; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 40/1 (41.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 10/1 (10.96 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 12/53 (22.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.3%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
14:16Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Dan Skelton
Jockey: Charlie Todd
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬆ CLASS RISE
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run20 days ago · 7 Oct 2026
Distance changeUp 0.7f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 112.6% • -0.63 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Worcester, 07 Oct 2026 — 10th • open 16/1 → final market price 50/1 (-3.92pp).

Opened 80/1Market avg 100/1Implied win: 0.6% · Loss: 99.4%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-0.63pp(-112.6%)
100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 301 decimal Paddy Power
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Paddy Power 100/1Midnite 100/1Betfair Sportsbook 100/110 Bet 100/17Bet 100/1Bet Victor 100/1Bet365 100/1BetWright 100/1Betano 100/1Betfred 100/1Boyle Sports 100/1Dragon Bet 100/1LiveScore Bet 100/1Quinn Bet 100/1Star Sports 100/1Unibet 100/1Virgin Bet 100/1BetMGM 100/1SportingIndex 100/1Spreadex 100/1Hollywood Bets 100/1BetTom 100/1William Hill 66/1Coral 40/1Ladbrokes 40/1
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 145y · Class 3 · Good · 11 runners80/1+0.77ppOpen → 10am50/1-1.40pp10am → now; SP pending100/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.63pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.40pp since 10am, as of 14:15. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: Class 4 · ↑ Class rise
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. It is also stepping up from Class 4 to Class 3, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Jimmy Jazz is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.77pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.40pp since 10am. As of 14:15; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 50/1 (51.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 16/1 (16.15 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 72/171 (42.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 23.5%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
14:16Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Christian Williams
Jockey: Ellis Collier(5)
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run16 days ago · 11 Oct 2026
Distance changeUp 0.6f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 51.2% • -0.26 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Chepstow, 11 Oct 2026 — 5th • open 66/1 → final market price 100/1 (-0.83pp).

Opened 100/1Market avg 100/1Implied win: 0.5% · Loss: 99.5%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-0.26pp(-51.2%)
100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
100/1 401 decimal Betfair Sportsbook
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Betfair Sportsbook 100/1Paddy Power 100/1Midnite 100/110 Bet 100/17Bet 100/1Bet Victor 100/1Bet365 100/1BetWright 100/1Betano 100/1Betfred 100/1Boyle Sports 100/1Dragon Bet 100/1LiveScore Bet 100/1Quinn Bet 100/1Star Sports 100/1Unibet 100/1Virgin Bet 100/1William Hill 100/1BetMGM 100/1SportingIndex 100/1Spreadex 100/1BetTom 100/1Coral 100/1Hollywood Bets 100/1Ladbrokes 100/1
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 145y · Class 3 · Good · 11 runners100/1+1.19ppOpen → 10am50/1-1.45pp10am → now; SP pending100/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.26pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.45pp since 10am, as of 14:15. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: Class 3 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: On Subs is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.19pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.45pp since 10am. As of 14:15; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 50/1 (51.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 16/1 (17.34 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 9/25 (36%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Race market overview as at 19:34
  • Supported1 of 11 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Rattlin Home +19.10pp
  • Drifting2 of 11 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Legend d'Airy -7.70pp
  • Last 15 minNo gain or drift recorded
  • Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min
15-minute snapshot 19:33 · no additional market query
14:46Bangor-on-Dee • Hurdle • 2m3f123y • Class 4 • Going: Good
6 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

14:46Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Dan Skelton
Jockey: Harry Skelton
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run185 days ago · 25 Apr 2026
Distance changeUp 3.6f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP20/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 4th at Ludlow on 19 Mar 2026 (-7.25pp).
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 20.6% • -6.62 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Ludlow, 19 Mar 2026 — 4th • open 13/8 → final market price 9/4 (-7.25pp).

Opened 13/8Market avg 2/1Implied win: 32.2% · Loss: 67.8%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-6.62pp(-20.6%)
9/4 ↓ 2/1 → 2/1 ↑ 9/4 → 9/4 ↑ 5/2 ↓ 9/4 ↓ 2/1 → 2/1 ↑ 9/4
BEST FIXED ODDS
5/2 3.4 decimal BetMGM
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BetMGM 5/210 Bet 9/4Bet365 9/4BetTom 9/4BetWright 9/4Boyle Sports 9/4Hollywood Bets 9/4LiveScore Bet 9/4Quinn Bet 9/4Unibet 9/4Virgin Bet 9/4Betfair Sportsbook 9/4Paddy Power 9/47Bet 2/1Bet Victor 2/1Betano 2/1Betfred 2/1Dragon Bet 2/1Midnite 2/1SportingIndex 2/1Spreadex 2/1Star Sports 2/1William Hill 15/8Coral 7/4Ladbrokes 7/4
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 3f 123y · Class 4 · Good · 10 runners13/8-0.78ppOpen → 10am13/8-5.84pp10am → now; SP pending2/1Current; SP pendingPending-6.62pp
MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-6.62ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-5.84pp since 10am, as of 14:45. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 1 · ↓ Class drop
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Just 1 of 4 previous runs showed a larger drift, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse against its previous Open → final market price moves. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Despite dropping from Class 1 to Class 4, the market is still weakening. Today’s move: Queen Maeve has moved from 13/8 to 2/1, a developing drift (-6.62pp).

Drifted by 0.78pp by 10am. Drifted by 5.84pp more since 10am. As of 14:45; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Sandown · 25 Apr 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Bangor-on-Dee · previous Sandown×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 3f 123y · previous 1m 7f 216y✓Ground: Good×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 1
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 13/8 (2.63 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 5/4 (2.28 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 72/171 (42.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 23.5%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: 1pm was biggest
Weakening late
14:46Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Ben Pauling
Jockey: Beau Morgan(5)
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run191 days ago · 19 Apr 2026
Distance changeUp 3.2f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP11/101 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Largest drift recorded across 3 previous runs.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 56.7% • -6.29 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final market drift in the recorded sample.

Opened 5/1Market avg 8/1Implied win: 11.1% · Loss: 88.9%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-6.29pp(-56.7%)
17/2 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↓ 15/2 ↓ 7/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Bet365
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Bet365 9/1BetMGM 9/1LiveScore Bet 9/1Quinn Bet 9/1SportingIndex 9/1Spreadex 9/1Virgin Bet 9/1Paddy Power 9/1Bet Victor 17/2Boyle Sports 17/2Betfair Sportsbook 17/2Betano 8/1Dragon Bet 8/1Star Sports 8/17Bet 15/2Betfred 15/2Hollywood Bets 15/2Midnite 15/2Unibet 15/2William Hill 15/210 Bet 7/1BetTom 7/1BetWright 7/1Coral 13/2Ladbrokes 13/2
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 3f 123y · Class 4 · Good · 10 runners5/1-3.09ppOpen → 10am6/1-3.20pp10am → now; SP pending8/1Current; SP pendingPending-6.29pp
THIS IS THE HORSE’S LARGEST RECORDED DRIFTMarket-6.29ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLargest recorded driftLargest recorded drift across 3 previous runs. This flags unusual market weakness; it does not claim a finishing record.Since 10amWeakening-3.20pp since 10am, as of 14:45. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Across 3 previous runs, this is the horse’s largest recorded drift compared with its previous Open → final market price moves. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Hornica has moved from 5/1 to 8/1, a developing drift (-6.29pp).

Drifted by 3.09pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.20pp more since 10am. As of 14:45; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Stratford · 19 Apr 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Bangor-on-Dee · previous Stratford×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 3f 123y · previous 2m 70y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 6/1 (7.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 7/2 (4.47 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 20/75 (26.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 17.1%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
14:46Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Ben Pauling
Jockey: Ben Jones
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run220 days ago · 21 Mar 2026
Distance changeDown 1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 50.2% • -3.97 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Warwick, 23 Jan 2026 — 2nd • open 9/2 → final market price 11/2 (-2.80pp).

Opened 15/2Market avg 12/1Implied win: 7.9% · Loss: 92.1%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-3.97pp(-50.2%)
12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal 10 Bet
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10 Bet 12/17Bet 12/1Bet Victor 12/1Bet365 12/1BetMGM 12/1Betano 12/1Betfred 12/1Boyle Sports 12/1Dragon Bet 12/1Hollywood Bets 12/1Midnite 12/1Quinn Bet 12/1SportingIndex 12/1Spreadex 12/1Star Sports 12/1Unibet 12/1William Hill 12/1Paddy Power 12/1LiveScore Bet 12/1Virgin Bet 12/1BetTom 11/1BetWright 11/1Betfair Sportsbook 11/1Coral 9/1Ladbrokes 9/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 3f 123y · Class 4 · Good · 10 runners15/2+2.40ppOpen → 10am6/1-6.37pp10am → now; SP pending12/1Current; SP pendingPending-3.97pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-6.37pp since 10am, as of 14:45. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 1 · ↓ Class drop
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The horse drops from Class 1 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Betty's Daisy is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 2.40pp by 10am. Drifted by 6.37pp since 10am. As of 14:45; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Warwick · 23 Jan 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Bangor-on-Dee · previous Warwick×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 3f 123y · previous 2m 3f×Ground: Today Good · previous Good To Soft✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 6/1 (7.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 5/1 (5.92 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 20/75 (26.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 17.1%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
14:46Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Fergal O'Brien
Jockey: Jack Hogan
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run220 days ago · 21 Mar 2026
Distance changeDown 1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP5/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
When drifting like this: failed 3/4Historical Drift Profile

21 Mar 26 | Newbury | Open: 22/1 → Final: 33/1 | SP: 33/1 | Fin: 8
02 Mar 26 | Southwell | Open: 2/1 → Final: 10/3 | SP: 5/1 | Fin: 1
17 Feb 26 | Market Rasen | Open: 8/1 → Final: 11/1 | SP: 7/1 | Fin: 6
23 Jan 26 | Warwick | Open: 12/1 → Final: 20/1 | SP: 20/1 | Fin: 3
When drifting like this: failed 3/4 — view runs
21 Mar 2026 · Newbury
Open 22/1 → final 33/1 · SP 33/1 · 8th
02 Mar 2026 · Southwell
Open 2/1 → final 10/3 · SP 5/1 · 1st
17 Feb 2026 · Market Rasen
Open 8/1 → final 11/1 · SP 7/1 · 6th
23 Jan 2026 · Warwick
Open 12/1 → final 20/1 · SP 20/1 · 3rd
Raw Open → Now price change: 48.3% • -2.89 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Southwell, 02 Mar 2026 — 1st • open 2/1 → final market price 10/3 (-10.24pp).

Opened 10/1Market avg 16/1Implied win: 6.0% · Loss: 94.0%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-2.89pp(-48.3%)
16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
18/1 19 decimal SportingIndex
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SportingIndex 18/1Spreadex 18/110 Bet 16/17Bet 16/1Bet Victor 16/1Bet365 16/1BetMGM 16/1BetTom 16/1BetWright 16/1Betano 16/1Betfred 16/1Boyle Sports 16/1Dragon Bet 16/1Hollywood Bets 16/1Midnite 16/1Quinn Bet 16/1Star Sports 16/1Unibet 16/1Paddy Power 16/1LiveScore Bet 16/1Virgin Bet 16/1William Hill 14/1Betfair Sportsbook 14/1Coral 12/1Ladbrokes 12/1
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 3f 123y · Class 4 · Good · 10 runners10/1+1.13ppOpen → 10am9/1-4.02pp10am → now; SP pending16/1Current; SP pendingPending-2.89pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-4.02pp since 10am, as of 14:45. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 1 · ↓ Class drop
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves. The horse drops from Class 1 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Edith Pelham is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.13pp by 10am. Drifted by 4.02pp since 10am. As of 14:45; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell · 02 Mar 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Bangor-on-Dee · previous Southwell×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 3f 123y · previous 2m 4f 88y×Ground: Today Good · previous Soft✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 9/1 (10.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 6/1 (7.21 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 19/72 (26.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 13.1%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
14:46Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls
Jockey: Ciaran Gethings
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run299 days ago · 1 Jan 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 83.5% • -4.29 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final market drift in the recorded sample.

Opened 10/1Market avg 18/1Implied win: 5.1% · Loss: 94.9%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-4.29pp(-83.5%)
20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
22/1 23 decimal SportingIndex
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SportingIndex 22/1Spreadex 22/17Bet 20/1Bet Victor 20/1Betano 20/1Boyle Sports 20/1Dragon Bet 20/1Midnite 20/1Star Sports 20/1William Hill 20/110 Bet 18/1Bet365 18/1BetMGM 18/1BetTom 18/1BetWright 18/1Betfred 18/1Hollywood Bets 18/1LiveScore Bet 18/1Quinn Bet 18/1Unibet 18/1Virgin Bet 18/1Paddy Power 18/1Betfair Sportsbook 16/1Coral 12/1Ladbrokes 12/1
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 3f 123y · Class 4 · Good · 10 runners10/1-2.75ppOpen → 10am14/1-1.53pp10am → now; SP pending18/1Current; SP pendingPending-4.29pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-4.29ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.53pp since 10am, as of 14:45. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: I Spy A Diva has moved from 10/1 to 18/1, a developing drift (-4.29pp).

Drifted by 2.75pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.53pp more since 10am. As of 14:45; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 14/1 (15.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 4/1 (5.15 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 3/11 (27.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 18.2%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
14:46Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith
Jockey: Peter Kavanagh
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run243 days ago · 26 Feb 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 43.3% • -1.10 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Wetherby, 26 Feb 2026 — 5th • open 7/2 → final market price 6/1 (-7.94pp).

Opened 25/1Market avg 40/1Implied win: 2.5% · Loss: 97.5%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-1.10pp(-43.3%)
40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 → 40/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 50/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal 10 Bet
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10 Bet 50/1SportingIndex 50/1Spreadex 50/1Bet Victor 40/1Bet365 40/1BetTom 40/1BetWright 40/1Betano 40/1Betfred 40/1Boyle Sports 40/1Hollywood Bets 40/1Midnite 40/1Quinn Bet 40/1Star Sports 40/1Unibet 40/1Betfair Sportsbook 40/1Paddy Power 40/1LiveScore Bet 40/1Virgin Bet 40/17Bet 33/1BetMGM 33/1Dragon Bet 33/1William Hill 25/1Coral 22/1Ladbrokes 22/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 3f 123y · Class 4 · Good · 10 runners25/1+1.63ppOpen → 10am18/1-2.73pp10am → now; SP pending40/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.10pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.73pp since 10am, as of 14:45. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Laysoft is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.63pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.73pp since 10am. As of 14:45; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Doncaster · 29 Dec 2025 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Bangor-on-Dee · previous Doncaster×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 3f 123y · previous 2m 128y✓Ground: Good✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 18/1 (19.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/1 (11.58 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 10/40 (25%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 13.5%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Race market overview as at 19:34
  • Supported1 of 10 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Crystal Spring +9.66pp
  • Drifting3 of 10 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Queen Maeve -6.62pp
  • Last 15 minNo gain or drift recorded
  • Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min
15-minute snapshot 19:33 · no additional market query
15:16Bangor-on-Dee • Chase • 2m4f72y • Class 4 • Going: Good To Soft
9 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

15:16Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Dan Skelton
Jockey: Harry Skelton
🟢 Needs Support (25%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run227 days ago · 14 Mar 2026
Distance changeDown 3f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP6/51 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -84.6% • -10.16pp
Measured NR price effect removed: -0.21pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 15/2 @ 15:22
NR @ 15:22: 15/2 → 15/2 (-0.21pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -9.95pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Largest drift recorded across 3 previous runs.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final market drift in the recorded sample.

Opened 7/2Market avg 15/2Implied win: 12.0% · Loss: 88.0%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-9.95pp(-81.3%)
15/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↓ 7/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
8/1 9 decimal Bet Victor
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Bet Victor 8/1Betano 8/1Dragon Bet 8/17Bet 15/2Bet365 15/2BetMGM 15/2Boyle Sports 15/2Coral 15/2Ladbrokes 15/2LiveScore Bet 15/2Midnite 15/2Quinn Bet 15/2Star Sports 15/2Virgin Bet 15/2Betfair Sportsbook 15/2Paddy Power 15/210 Bet 7/1BetWright 7/1Betfred 7/1William Hill 7/1SportingIndex 7/1Spreadex 7/1BetTom 13/2Hollywood Bets 13/2Unibet 13/2
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 4f 72y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 13 runners7/2-5.52ppOpen → 10am5/1-4.43pp10am → now; SP pending15/2Current; SP pendingPending-9.95ppNR adjusted
THIS IS THE HORSE’S LARGEST RECORDED DRIFTMarket-9.95ppMarket weakness from the opening price.Trainer23.5% → 23.8%Open → 10am · drifted 5pp+Baseline → matching strike rate; 160 runners, Open → 10am · drifted 5pp+. Historical sample requires opening, 10am and official SP prices. Popup uses opening → final market price and a broader results baseline.Horse historyLargest recorded driftLargest recorded drift across 3 previous runs. This flags unusual market weakness; it does not claim a finishing record.Since 10amWeakening-4.43pp since 10am, as of 15:15. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 2 · ↓ Class drop
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Across 3 previous runs, this is the horse’s largest recorded drift compared with its previous Open → final market price moves. The trainer’s drift record adds context: When this trainer's runners had drifted by 5pp+ by 10am, 38/160 won (23.8%), compared with the yard's normal 23.5% strike rate. Despite dropping from Class 2 to Class 4, the market is still weakening. Today’s move: Just Golden has moved from 7/2 to 15/2, a significant drift (-9.95pp).

Drifted by 5.52pp by 10am. Drifted by 4.43pp more since 10am. As of 15:15; SP pending. If it keeps drifting into SP: this trainer’s runners with 5pp+ drift by 10am that kept drifting from 10am to SP won 23/94 (24.5%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Warwick · 07 Feb 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Bangor-on-Dee · previous Warwick×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 4f 72y · previous 2m 3f×Ground: Today Good To Soft · previous Heavy✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 5/1 (6.08 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Horse support level

Support of +8.68pp · around 9/4 (3.26 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd with this much support or more (100%).

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/4 (3.71 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 72/171 (42.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 23.5%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
15:16Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Fergal O'Brien
Jockey: Liam Harrison
🟢 Needs Support (4%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run186 days ago · 24 Apr 2026
Distance changeDown 1.4f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP4/51 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -35.0% • -3.21pp
Measured NR price effect removed: +0.47pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 9/1 @ 15:22
NR @ 15:22: 10/1 → 9/1 (+0.47pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -3.68pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Fontwell, 24 Apr 2026 — 1st • open 10/11 → final market price EVS (-2.36pp).

Opened 7/1Market avg 10/1Implied win: 9.2% · Loss: 90.8%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-3.68pp(-42.4%)
11/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 17/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 9/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
11/1 12 decimal 7Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
7Bet 11/1Bet Victor 11/1Bet365 11/1BetMGM 11/1Betano 11/1Boyle Sports 11/1Coral 11/1Dragon Bet 11/1Ladbrokes 11/1Midnite 11/1Quinn Bet 11/1Star Sports 11/1Betfair Sportsbook 11/1Paddy Power 11/1SportingIndex 10/1Spreadex 10/110 Bet 9/1William Hill 9/1BetWright 17/2Betfred 17/2Unibet 17/2LiveScore Bet 17/2Virgin Bet 17/2BetTom 7/1Hollywood Bets 13/2
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 4f 72y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 13 runners7/1+3.02ppOpen → 10am11/2-6.70pp10am → now; SP pending10/1Current; SP pendingPending-3.68ppNR adjusted
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-6.70pp since 10am, as of 15:15. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Strong Run is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 3.02pp by 10am. Drifted by 6.70pp since 10am. As of 15:15; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Fontwell · 24 Apr 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Bangor-on-Dee · previous Fontwell×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 4f 72y · previous 2m 5f 163y✓Ground: Good To Soft✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 11/2 (6.31 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/2 (5.61 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 19/72 (26.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 13.1%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
15:16Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Donald McCain
Jockey: Theo Gillard
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
COURSE RECORD1/1 top 2Bangor-on-Dee · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 11/4 · 266% bigger today
Last run192 days ago · 18 Apr 2026
Distance changeUp 0.8f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP5/22 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -77.5% • -5.65pp
Measured NR price effect removed: +0.48pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 12/1 @ 15:22
NR @ 15:22: 12/1 → 12/1 (+0.48pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -6.13pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 1st at Kelso on 29 Dec 2025 (-10.24pp).
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Kelso, 29 Dec 2025 — 1st • open 2/1 → final market price 10/3 (-10.24pp).

Opened 13/2Market avg 12/1Implied win: 7.3% · Loss: 92.7%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-6.13pp(-90.1%)
14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
14/1 15 decimal Bet365
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Bet365 14/1BetMGM 14/1Boyle Sports 14/1Coral 14/1Dragon Bet 14/1Ladbrokes 14/1LiveScore Bet 14/1Quinn Bet 14/1Virgin Bet 14/1Paddy Power 14/110 Bet 12/17Bet 12/1Bet Victor 12/1BetTom 12/1BetWright 12/1Betano 12/1Betfred 12/1Hollywood Bets 12/1Midnite 12/1Star Sports 12/1Unibet 12/1William Hill 12/1Betfair Sportsbook 12/1SportingIndex 11/1Spreadex 11/1
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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 4f 72y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 13 runners13/2-1.83ppOpen → 10am8/1-4.30pp10am → now; SP pending12/1Current; SP pendingPending-6.13ppNR adjusted
MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-6.13ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-4.30pp since 10am, as of 15:15. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Just 1 of 4 previous runs showed a larger drift, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse against its previous Open → final market price moves. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: They Want Me has moved from 13/2 to 12/1, a developing drift (-6.13pp).

Drifted by 1.83pp by 10am. Drifted by 4.30pp more since 10am. As of 15:15; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Bangor-on-Dee · 18 Apr 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Bangor-on-Dee×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 4f 72y · previous 2m 3f 123y×Ground: Today Good To Soft · previous Good✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 15/2 (8.63 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/2 (5.43 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 15/61 (24.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.4%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
15:16Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Ben Pauling
Jockey: Ben Jones
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run214 days ago · 27 Mar 2026
Distance changeDown 0.9f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP5/61 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -16.6% • -0.92pp
Measured NR price effect removed: +0.37pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 16/1 @ 15:22
NR @ 15:22: 18/1 → 16/1 (+0.37pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -1.29pp
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Wetherby, 27 Mar 2026 — 14th • open 8/1 → final market price 11/1 (-2.78pp).

Opened 14/1Market avg 16/1Implied win: 5.6% · Loss: 94.4%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-1.29pp(-24.9%)
18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 16/1 → 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
20/1 21 decimal Hollywood Bets
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Hollywood Bets 20/17Bet 18/1Bet Victor 18/1Bet365 18/1BetMGM 18/1Betano 18/1Boyle Sports 18/1Dragon Bet 18/1Midnite 18/1Quinn Bet 18/1Star Sports 18/110 Bet 16/1BetTom 16/1BetWright 16/1Betfred 16/1Coral 16/1Ladbrokes 16/1Unibet 16/1William Hill 16/1Betfair Sportsbook 16/1Paddy Power 16/1LiveScore Bet 16/1SportingIndex 16/1Spreadex 16/1Virgin Bet 16/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 4f 72y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 13 runners14/1+1.20ppOpen → 10am12/1-2.49pp10am → now; SP pending16/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.29ppNR adjusted
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.49pp since 10am, as of 15:15. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Jhentong Enki is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.20pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.49pp since 10am. As of 15:15; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Leicester · 28 Dec 2025 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Bangor-on-Dee · previous Leicester✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 4f 72y×Ground: Today Good To Soft · previous Soft×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 11/1 (12.40 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 15/2 (8.43 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 20/75 (26.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 17.1%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
15:16Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Charlie Longsdon
Jockey: Sam Twiston-Davies
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run242 days ago · 27 Feb 2026
Distance changeUp 1.2f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -147.1% • -5.69pp
Measured NR price effect removed: -0.03pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 25/1 @ 15:22
NR @ 15:22: 25/1 → 25/1 (-0.03pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -5.66pp
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Doncaster, 27 Feb 2026 — finish unavailable • open 2/1 → final market price 3/1 (-8.33pp).

Opened 9/1Market avg 25/1Implied win: 3.9% · Loss: 96.1%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-5.66pp(-145.3%)
25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
33/1 34 decimal Hollywood Bets
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Hollywood Bets 33/1Coral 28/1Ladbrokes 28/1Star Sports 28/110 Bet 25/17Bet 25/1Bet Victor 25/1Bet365 25/1BetTom 25/1BetWright 25/1Betano 25/1Betfred 25/1Boyle Sports 25/1Quinn Bet 25/1Unibet 25/1William Hill 25/1LiveScore Bet 25/1SportingIndex 25/1Spreadex 25/1Virgin Bet 25/1Dragon Bet 22/1Midnite 22/1BetMGM 20/1Betfair Sportsbook 20/1Paddy Power 20/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 4f 72y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 13 runners9/1-3.68ppOpen → 10am16/1-1.98pp10am → now; SP pending25/1Current; SP pendingPending-5.66ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-5.66ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.98pp since 10am, as of 15:15. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Sign Again has moved from 9/1 to 25/1, a developing drift (-5.66pp).

Drifted by 3.68pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.98pp more since 10am. As of 15:15; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 16/1 (17.08 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 6/1 (6.88 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 8/30 (26.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.9%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
15:16Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith
Jockey: Peter Kavanagh
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run220 days ago · 21 Mar 2026
Distance changeDown 1.3f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -71.5% • -2.72pp
Measured NR price effect removed: +0.04pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 25/1 @ 15:22
NR @ 15:22: 25/1 → 25/1 (+0.04pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -2.76pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Sedgefield, 19 Feb 2026 — 4th • open 3/1 → final market price 11/2 (-9.62pp).

Opened 14/1Market avg 25/1Implied win: 3.8% · Loss: 96.2%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-2.76pp(-73.2%)
25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Dragon Bet
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Dragon Bet 28/1Hollywood Bets 28/110 Bet 25/17Bet 25/1Bet Victor 25/1Bet365 25/1BetMGM 25/1BetTom 25/1BetWright 25/1Betano 25/1Betfred 25/1Boyle Sports 25/1Coral 25/1Ladbrokes 25/1LiveScore Bet 25/1Midnite 25/1Quinn Bet 25/1Star Sports 25/1Unibet 25/1Virgin Bet 25/1William Hill 25/1Betfair Sportsbook 25/1Paddy Power 25/1SportingIndex 25/1Spreadex 25/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 4f 72y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 13 runners14/1-1.27ppOpen → 10am18/1-1.49pp10am → now; SP pending25/1Current; SP pendingPending-2.76ppNR adjusted
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.49pp since 10am, as of 15:15. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 2 · ↓ Class drop
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves. The horse drops from Class 2 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Glen Road is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 1.27pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.49pp more since 10am. As of 15:15; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Sandown · 07 Mar 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Bangor-on-Dee · previous Sandown✓Trip (within ½f): 2m 4f 72y×Ground: Today Good To Soft · previous Soft×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 3
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 18/1 (18.86 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 15/2 (8.64 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 10/40 (25%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 13.5%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
15:16Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Venetia Williams
Jockey: Charlie Deutsch
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run247 days ago · 22 Feb 2026
Distance changeUp 2.6f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -182.1% • -6.85pp
Measured NR price effect removed: +0.06pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 25/1 @ 15:22
NR @ 15:22: 25/1 → 25/1 (+0.06pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -6.91pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)
EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE
Largest drift recorded across 3 previous runs.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Fontwell, 22 Feb 2026 — 2nd • open 5/1 → final market price 11/2 (-1.28pp).

Opened 17/2Market avg 25/1Implied win: 3.8% · Loss: 96.2%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-6.91pp(-186.9%)
28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 31 decimal 7Bet
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7Bet 28/1Paddy Power 28/1Bet Victor 28/1Bet365 28/1Betano 28/1Boyle Sports 28/1Dragon Bet 28/1Midnite 28/1Quinn Bet 28/1Star Sports 28/1Betfair Sportsbook 28/1SportingIndex 28/1Spreadex 28/110 Bet 25/1BetMGM 25/1BetWright 25/1Betfred 25/1LiveScore Bet 25/1Virgin Bet 25/1Coral 22/1Ladbrokes 22/1Unibet 22/1William Hill 22/1BetTom 18/1Hollywood Bets 16/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 4f 72y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 13 runners17/2-1.51ppOpen → 10am10/1-5.39pp10am → now; SP pending25/1Current; SP pendingPending-6.91ppNR adjusted
THIS IS THE HORSE’S LARGEST RECORDED DRIFTMarket-6.91ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLargest recorded driftLargest recorded drift across 3 previous runs. This flags unusual market weakness; it does not claim a finishing record.Since 10amWeakening-5.39pp since 10am, as of 15:15. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

Across 3 previous runs, this is the horse’s largest recorded drift compared with its previous Open → final market price moves. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Col du Pre' has moved from 17/2 to 25/1, a developing drift (-6.91pp).

Drifted by 1.51pp by 10am. Drifted by 5.39pp more since 10am. As of 15:15; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Fontwell · 22 Feb 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Bangor-on-Dee · previous Fontwell×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 4f 72y · previous 2m 1f 162y×Ground: Today Good To Soft · previous Heavy✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 10/1 (10.93 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/2 (6.38 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 2/13 (15.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 6.8%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
15:16Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Dan Skelton
Jockey: Tristan Durrell
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run15 days ago · 12 Oct 2026
Distance changeDown 2.7f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP3/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -142.0% • -3.10pp
Measured NR price effect removed: -0.24pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 50/1 @ 15:22
NR @ 15:22: 40/1 → 50/1 (-0.24pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -2.86pp
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 5 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Market Rasen, 15 Mar 2026 — 2nd • open 10/3 → final market price 7/1 (-10.59pp).

Opened 18/1Market avg 40/1Implied win: 2.2% · Loss: 97.8%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-2.86pp(-118.0%)
50/1 ↓ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1 ↑ 50/1 ↓ 40/1 → 40/1 → 40/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
50/1 51 decimal Bet365
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Bet365 50/1Boyle Sports 50/1Coral 50/1Dragon Bet 50/1Ladbrokes 50/1LiveScore Bet 50/1Midnite 50/1Quinn Bet 50/1Virgin Bet 50/1Betfair Sportsbook 50/1Paddy Power 50/1SportingIndex 50/1Spreadex 50/110 Bet 40/17Bet 40/1Bet Victor 40/1BetMGM 40/1BetTom 40/1BetWright 40/1Betano 40/1Betfred 40/1Star Sports 40/1Unibet 40/1Hollywood Bets 40/1William Hill 33/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 4f 72y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 13 runners18/1-1.83ppOpen → 10am28/1-1.03pp10am → now; SP pending40/1Current; SP pendingPending-2.86ppNR adjusted
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.03pp since 10am, as of 15:15. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 5 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Top Guy is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 1.83pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.03pp more since 10am. As of 15:15; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Market Rasen · 15 Mar 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Bangor-on-Dee · previous Market Rasen×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 4f 72y · previous 2m 7f 15y✓Ground: Good To Soft✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 28/1 (31.17 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/1 (9.97 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 72/171 (42.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 23.5%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
15:16Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Mel Rowley
Jockey: Toby Wynne
PRO RACECARD ↗
Last runNot recorded
Distance changeNot recorded
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
NR adjusted
Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.
Raw Open → Now: -209.8% • -3.25pp
Measured NR price effect removed: -0.06pp
Latest confirmed post-NR price: 66/1 @ 15:22
NR @ 15:22: 66/1 → 66/1 (-0.06pp removed)
GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -3.19pp
Opened 20/1Market avg 66/1Implied win: 1.5% · Loss: 98.5%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-3.19pp(-197.8%)
66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 ↓ 50/1 ↑ 66/1 → 66/1 ↑ 80/1 ↓ 66/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
80/1 81 decimal 7Bet
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7Bet 80/1Midnite 80/110 Bet 66/1Bet Victor 66/1Bet365 66/1BetTom 66/1BetWright 66/1Betano 66/1Betfred 66/1Boyle Sports 66/1Coral 66/1Dragon Bet 66/1Hollywood Bets 66/1Ladbrokes 66/1LiveScore Bet 66/1Quinn Bet 66/1Star Sports 66/1Virgin Bet 66/1SportingIndex 66/1Spreadex 66/1BetMGM 50/1William Hill 50/1Betfair Sportsbook 50/1Paddy Power 50/1Unibet 40/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 4f 72y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 13 runners20/1-1.86ppOpen → 10am33/1-1.33pp10am → now; SP pending66/1Current; SP pendingPending-3.19ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.33pp since 10am, as of 15:15. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: class not recorded
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Mahland is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 1.86pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.33pp more since 10am. As of 15:15; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 33/1 (34.74 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/1 (10.27 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 5/24 (20.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 8.7%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Race market overview as at 19:34
  • Supported2 of 13 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Kel du Large +12.43pp
  • Drifting4 of 13 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Just Golden -9.95pp
  • Last 15 minNo gain or drift recorded
  • Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min
15-minute snapshot 19:33 · no additional market query
15:46Bangor-on-Dee • Chase • 2m1f77y • Class 5 • Going: Good To Soft
5 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

15:46Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Donald McCain
Jockey: Harry Brown(7)
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run23 days ago · 4 Oct 2026
Distance changeUp 1.4f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP18/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE40th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 5 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 6.9% • -1.72 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Catterick, 24 Feb 2026 — 5th • open 5/1 → final market price 16/1 (-10.78pp).

Opened 11/4Market avg 3/1Implied win: 24.8% · Loss: 75.2%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-1.72pp(-6.9%)
3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/3 4.33 decimal BetTom
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BetTom 10/3Betfred 10/3Hollywood Bets 10/3William Hill 10/310 Bet 3/17Bet 3/1Bet Victor 3/1Bet365 3/1BetMGM 3/1BetWright 3/1Betano 3/1Boyle Sports 3/1Dragon Bet 3/1LiveScore Bet 3/1Midnite 3/1Quinn Bet 3/1SportingIndex 3/1Spreadex 3/1Star Sports 3/1Unibet 3/1Virgin Bet 3/1Betfair Sportsbook 3/1Paddy Power 3/1Coral 11/4Ladbrokes 11/4
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 1f 77y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 9 runners11/4+4.25ppOpen → 10am9/4-5.97pp10am → now; SP pending3/1Current; SP pendingPending-1.72pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-5.97pp since 10am, as of 15:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 5 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Inedit d'Amour is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 4.25pp by 10am. Drifted by 5.97pp since 10am. As of 15:43; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 4pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 7/15 (46.7%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Uttoxeter · 04 Oct 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Bangor-on-Dee · previous Uttoxeter×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 1f 77y · previous 1m 7f 214y×Ground: Today Good To Soft · previous Good✓Class: Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 9/4 (3.25 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/4 (3.17 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 15/61 (24.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.4%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
15:46Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Venetia Williams
Jockey: Charlie Deutsch
🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run227 days ago · 14 Mar 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP11/82 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 2nd at Fontwell on 14 Mar 2026 (-15.35pp); and finished 1st at Leicester on 06 Mar 2026 (-19.23pp).
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 51.7% • -7.63 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Leicester, 06 Mar 2026 — 1st • open EVS → final market price 9/4 (-19.23pp).

Opened 7/2Market avg 6/1Implied win: 14.7% · Loss: 85.3%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-7.63pp(-51.7%)
6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
6/1 7 decimal 10 Bet
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10 Bet 6/17Bet 6/1Bet Victor 6/1Bet365 6/1BetTom 6/1BetWright 6/1Betano 6/1Betfred 6/1Boyle Sports 6/1Coral 6/1Dragon Bet 6/1Ladbrokes 6/1Midnite 6/1Quinn Bet 6/1Star Sports 6/1Unibet 6/1Paddy Power 6/1BetMGM 11/2Hollywood Bets 11/2LiveScore Bet 11/2Virgin Bet 11/2Betfair Sportsbook 11/2SportingIndex 5/1Spreadex 5/1William Hill 5/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 1f 77y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 9 runners7/2-2.38ppOpen → 10am4/1-5.25pp10am → now; SP pending6/1Current; SP pendingPending-7.63pp
MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-7.63ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse history2/2 top 2Displayed comparable drift runs: 2 first/second finishes in 2 completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-5.25pp since 10am, as of 15:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 4 · ↓ Class drop
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

2 of 4 previous runs showed a larger drift, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse against its previous Open → final market price moves. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Despite dropping from Class 4 to Class 5, the market is still weakening. Today’s move: Falco des Pins has moved from 7/2 to 6/1, a developing drift (-7.63pp).

Drifted by 2.38pp by 10am. Drifted by 5.25pp more since 10am. As of 15:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Leicester · 06 Mar 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Bangor-on-Dee · previous Leicester×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 1f 77y · previous 1m 7f 201y✓Ground: Good To Soft✓Class: Class 5
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 4/1 (5.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/4 (3.65 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 2/13 (15.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 6.8%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
15:46Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Seamus Mullins
Jockey: Paul O'Brien
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run189 days ago · 21 Apr 2026
Distance changeDown 6.5f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 8.2% • -0.91 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final market drift in the recorded sample.

Opened 15/2Market avg 8/1Implied win: 11.1% · Loss: 88.9%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-0.91pp(-8.2%)
8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
9/1 10 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 9/1SportingIndex 9/1Spreadex 9/110 Bet 8/17Bet 8/1Bet Victor 8/1BetMGM 8/1BetTom 8/1Betano 8/1Betfred 8/1Boyle Sports 8/1Dragon Bet 8/1Hollywood Bets 8/1LiveScore Bet 8/1Midnite 8/1Quinn Bet 8/1Star Sports 8/1Unibet 8/1Virgin Bet 8/1William Hill 8/1Betfair Sportsbook 8/1Paddy Power 8/1BetWright 15/2Coral 7/1Ladbrokes 7/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 1f 77y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 9 runners15/2+1.34ppOpen → 10am13/2-2.25pp10am → now; SP pending8/1Current; SP pendingPending-0.91pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.25pp since 10am, as of 15:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Air Apparent is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.34pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.25pp since 10am. As of 15:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 13/2 (7.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 5/1 (5.88 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 5/24 (20.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
15:46Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Billy Aprahamian
Jockey: Benjamin Macey(5)
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run166 days ago · 14 May 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
2 of 4 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Fontwell on 14 May 2026 (-13.33pp); and finished 4th at Market Rasen on 15 Mar 2026 (-8.33pp).
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 74.1% • -7.64 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Fontwell, 14 May 2026 — 3rd • open 2/1 → final market price 4/1 (-13.33pp).

Opened 9/2Market avg 17/2Implied win: 10.3% · Loss: 89.7%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-7.64pp(-74.1%)
9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 10/110 Bet 9/17Bet 9/1Bet Victor 9/1BetWright 9/1Betano 9/1Boyle Sports 9/1Coral 9/1Dragon Bet 9/1Hollywood Bets 9/1Ladbrokes 9/1LiveScore Bet 9/1Midnite 9/1Quinn Bet 9/1Star Sports 9/1Virgin Bet 9/1William Hill 9/1Paddy Power 9/1BetTom 17/2Betfred 17/2Betfair Sportsbook 17/2BetMGM 8/1Unibet 8/1SportingIndex 13/2Spreadex 13/2
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 1f 77y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 9 runners9/2-3.66ppOpen → 10am6/1-3.98pp10am → now; SP pending17/2Current; SP pendingPending-7.64pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-7.64ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyMissed top 2: 2/2Displayed comparable drift runs: 0 first/second finishes in 2 completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.98pp since 10am, as of 15:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

2 of 4 previous runs showed a larger drift, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse against its previous Open → final market price moves. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Grain Trade has moved from 9/2 to 17/2, a developing drift (-7.64pp).

Drifted by 3.66pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.98pp more since 10am. As of 15:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 6/1 (7.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
15:46Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill
Jockey: Jonjo O'Neill Jr.
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run174 days ago · 6 May 2026
Distance changeUp 0.6f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP4/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 25.2% • -2.14 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Newton Abbot, 06 May 2026 — finish unavailable • open 7/1 → final market price 17/2 (-1.97pp).

Opened 17/2Market avg 11/1Implied win: 8.5% · Loss: 91.5%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-2.14pp(-25.2%)
11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 → 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 → 11/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 12/1SportingIndex 12/1Spreadex 12/1Paddy Power 12/110 Bet 11/17Bet 11/1Bet Victor 11/1BetMGM 11/1Betano 11/1Boyle Sports 11/1Dragon Bet 11/1Hollywood Bets 11/1LiveScore Bet 11/1Midnite 11/1Quinn Bet 11/1Star Sports 11/1Virgin Bet 11/1William Hill 11/1Betfair Sportsbook 11/1BetTom 10/1BetWright 10/1Betfred 10/1Unibet 10/1Coral 8/1Ladbrokes 8/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday2m 1f 77y · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 9 runners17/2-0.12ppOpen → 10am17/2-2.02pp10am → now; SP pending11/1Current; SP pendingPending-2.14pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.02pp since 10am, as of 15:43. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

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More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Riviera Walk is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 0.12pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.02pp more since 10am. As of 15:43; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Catterick · 04 Mar 2026 · 1st · 0/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Bangor-on-Dee · previous Catterick×Trip (within ½f): Today 2m 1f 77y · previous 1m 7f 156y×Ground: Today Good To Soft · previous Good×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 17/2 (9.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/2 (6.39 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 6/20 (30%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 20%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Race market overview as at 19:34
  • Supported1 of 9 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Laristote +7.43pp
  • Drifting2 of 9 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Grain Trade -7.64pp
  • Last 15 minNo gain or drift recorded
  • Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min
15-minute snapshot 19:33 · no additional market query
16:16Bangor-on-Dee • Chase • 3m30y • Class 4 • Going: Good To Soft
5 runners
Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

16:16Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Dan Skelton
Jockey: Harry Skelton
🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
COURSE RECORD1/1 top 2Bangor-on-Dee · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 9/4 · 46% bigger today
Last run192 days ago · 18 Apr 2026
Distance changeSimilar trip to last run
More evidence
Average winning SP6/12 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE
Only 1 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 1st at Newcastle on 27 Jan 2026 (-16.48pp).
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 44.2% • -9.34 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Newcastle, 27 Jan 2026 — 1st • open 9/4 → final market price 6/1 (-16.48pp).

Opened 9/4Market avg 7/2Implied win: 21.1% · Loss: 78.9%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-9.34pp(-44.2%)
7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
4/1 5 decimal 7Bet
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7Bet 4/1BetTom 4/1BetWright 4/1Betfred 4/1Dragon Bet 4/1Hollywood Bets 4/1Midnite 4/1Quinn Bet 4/1SportingIndex 4/1Spreadex 4/1Unibet 4/1William Hill 4/1Coral 7/2Ladbrokes 7/210 Bet 7/2Bet365 7/2BetMGM 7/2Boyle Sports 7/2LiveScore Bet 7/2Star Sports 7/2Virgin Bet 7/2Betfair Sportsbook 7/2Paddy Power 7/2Bet Victor 10/3Betano 10/3
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday3m 30y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 13 runners9/4-1.89ppOpen → 10am5/2-7.45pp10am → now; SP pending7/2Current; SP pendingPending-9.34pp
DRIFT DETECTED — BUT THIS HORSE HAS DEFIED IT BEFOREMarket-9.34ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-7.45pp since 10am, as of 16:12. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 2 · ↓ Class drop
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Just 1 of 3 previous runs showed a larger drift, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse against its previous Open → final market price moves. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Importantly, this horse has previously won or placed despite drifting, so market weakness has not automatically prevented it from performing. Despite dropping from Class 2 to Class 4, the market is still weakening. Today’s move: Twistthenightaway has moved from 9/4 to 7/2, a significant drift (-9.34pp).

Drifted by 1.89pp by 10am. Drifted by 7.45pp more since 10am. As of 16:12; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Bangor-on-Dee · 25 Feb 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match
✓Track: Bangor-on-Dee×Trip (within ½f): Today 3m 30y · previous 2m 7f 32y×Ground: Today Good To Soft · previous Soft✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 5/2 (3.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 15/8 (2.82 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 72/171 (42.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 23.5%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
16:16Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Rebecca Curtis
Jockey: Sean Bowen
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run225 days ago · 16 Mar 2026
Distance changeUp 4.1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 22.6% • -2.82 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final market drift in the recorded sample.

Opened 11/2Market avg 7/1Implied win: 12.5% · Loss: 87.5%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-2.82pp(-22.6%)
7/1 → 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1 → 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
15/2 8.5 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 15/2Dragon Bet 15/2Midnite 15/2Unibet 15/2William Hill 15/210 Bet 7/17Bet 7/1BetMGM 7/1BetTom 7/1BetWright 7/1Betfred 7/1Boyle Sports 7/1Hollywood Bets 7/1LiveScore Bet 7/1Quinn Bet 7/1SportingIndex 7/1Spreadex 7/1Star Sports 7/1Virgin Bet 7/1Betfair Sportsbook 7/1Paddy Power 7/1Bet Victor 13/2Betano 13/2Coral 13/2Ladbrokes 13/2
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday3m 30y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 13 runners11/2-2.79ppOpen → 10am7/1-0.03pp10am → now; SP pending7/1Current; SP pendingPending-2.82pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amHolding-0.03pp since 10am, as of 16:12. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Soldier For Glory is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 2.79pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.03pp more since 10am. As of 16:12; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 7/1 (8.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 4/1 (4.93 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 6/14 (42.9%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 17.8%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: 11am was biggest
Weakening late
16:16Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero
Jockey: Jack Tudor
PRO RACECARD ↗
↔ SAME CLASS
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Bangor-on-Dee · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 8/1 · 12% bigger today
Last run210 days ago · 31 Mar 2026
Distance changeUp 1f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price
75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE
NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET
No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves.
Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.
Raw Open → Now price change: 34.1% • -3.37 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Catterick, 09 Feb 2026 — finish unavailable • open 6/1 → final market price 12/1 (-6.59pp).

Opened 13/2Market avg 9/1Implied win: 9.9% · Loss: 90.1%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-3.37pp(-34.1%)
9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 15/2
BEST FIXED ODDS
10/1 11 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 10/1Betfred 10/1Coral 10/1Ladbrokes 10/1Midnite 10/1SportingIndex 10/1Spreadex 10/1William Hill 10/17Bet 9/1BetMGM 9/1BetTom 9/1BetWright 9/1Boyle Sports 9/1Dragon Bet 9/1LiveScore Bet 9/1Quinn Bet 9/1Star Sports 9/1Unibet 9/1Virgin Bet 9/1Hollywood Bets 17/2Betfair Sportsbook 17/2Paddy Power 17/2Bet Victor 8/1Betano 8/110 Bet 15/2
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday3m 30y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 13 runners13/2+1.04ppOpen → 10am6/1-4.40pp10am → now; SP pending9/1Current; SP pendingPending-3.37pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-4.40pp since 10am, as of 16:12. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Daly Boy is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.04pp by 10am. Drifted by 4.40pp since 10am. As of 16:12; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 6/1 (7.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/2 (5.48 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 12/53 (22.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.3%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
16:16Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith
Jockey: Peter Kavanagh
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run273 days ago · 27 Jan 2026
Distance changeUp 0.7f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 96.8% • -7.56 probability points
Previous market evidence

No previous open-to-final market drift in the recorded sample.

Opened 11/2Market avg 12/1Implied win: 7.8% · Loss: 92.2%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-7.56pp(-96.8%)
12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
12/1 13 decimal 10 Bet
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
10 Bet 12/17Bet 12/1Bet365 12/1BetMGM 12/1BetTom 12/1BetWright 12/1Betfred 12/1Boyle Sports 12/1Coral 12/1Dragon Bet 12/1Hollywood Bets 12/1Ladbrokes 12/1LiveScore Bet 12/1Midnite 12/1Quinn Bet 12/1SportingIndex 12/1Spreadex 12/1Star Sports 12/1Unibet 12/1Virgin Bet 12/1William Hill 12/1Paddy Power 12/1Betfair Sportsbook 11/1Bet Victor 10/1Betano 10/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday3m 30y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 13 runners11/2-4.26ppOpen → 10am8/1-3.30pp10am → now; SP pending12/1Current; SP pendingPending-7.56pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.
MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-7.56ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.30pp since 10am, as of 16:12. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 3 · ↓ Class drop
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Despite dropping from Class 3 to Class 4, the market is still weakening. Today’s move: The Big Breac has moved from 11/2 to 12/1, a developing drift (-7.56pp).

Drifted by 4.26pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.30pp more since 10am. As of 16:12; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 8/1 (9.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 4/1 (4.91 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 10/40 (25%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 13.5%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
16:16Bangor-on-Dee
Trainer: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero
Jockey: Charlie Todd
PRO RACECARD ↗
⬇ CLASS DROP
SURFACE SWITCHStays on Turf
Last run227 days ago · 14 Mar 2026
Distance changeUp 0.7f from last run
More evidence
Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample
Raw Open → Now price change: 102.8% • -3.90 probability points
Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Musselburgh, 15 Feb 2026 — 2nd • open 15/2 → final market price 14/1 (-5.10pp).

Opened 12/1Market avg 25/1Implied win: 3.8% · Loss: 96.2%Calculated as 100 ÷ decimal market average odds. For example, 9/2 = 5.5 decimal = 18.2% win, 81.8% loss. Uses the underlying average before fractional rounding. Includes bookmaker margin; this is implied probability, not a forecast or guarantee.
Price move-3.90pp(-102.8%)
25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1
BEST FIXED ODDS
28/1 29 decimal Bet365
● Live bookmakers30s refresh
Bet365 28/1Coral 28/1Hollywood Bets 28/1Ladbrokes 28/1William Hill 28/110 Bet 25/17Bet 25/1BetMGM 25/1BetTom 25/1BetWright 25/1Betfred 25/1Boyle Sports 25/1Dragon Bet 25/1LiveScore Bet 25/1Midnite 25/1Quinn Bet 25/1SportingIndex 25/1Spreadex 25/1Star Sports 25/1Unibet 25/1Virgin Bet 25/1Betfair Sportsbook 25/1Paddy Power 25/1Bet Victor 22/1Betano 22/1
25 bookmakers · scroll for all
What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

RacecourseOpenOpen → 10am10am10am → SP/NowSP / currentFinishOpen → SP/Now
Bangor-on-DeeToday3m 30y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 13 runners12/1-1.44ppOpen → 10am14/1-2.46pp10am → now; SP pending25/1Current; SP pendingPending-3.90pp
NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.46pp since 10am, as of 16:12. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read
CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 3 · ↓ Class drop
IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence
AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The horse drops from Class 3 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Finn Lough is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 1.44pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.46pp more since 10am. As of 16:12; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Musselburgh · 15 Feb 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match
×Track: Today Bangor-on-Dee · previous Musselburgh×Trip (within ½f): Today 3m 30y · previous 2m 7f 138y×Ground: Today Good To Soft · previous Soft✓Class: Class 4
WHAT TO WATCH NOW
Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 14/1 (16.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 7/1 (7.88 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 12/53 (22.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.3%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.
TIMING & CONTEXT
EARLY BETTING MARKET
Previous evening · average odds · UK time
Open this section to load the evening prices.
Best time: Now was biggest
Weakening late
Race market overview as at 19:34
  • Supported1 of 13 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Cahier's Den +4.99pp
  • Drifting2 of 13 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Twistthenightaway -9.34pp
  • Last 15 minNo gain or drift recorded
  • Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min
15-minute snapshot 19:33 · no additional market query
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