Live Market Form Terminal

16:24Southwell (AW) • Flat • 4f214y • Class 4 • Going: Standard

4 runners

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Bill The BullDraw 1

Trainer: Adam Kirby

Jockey: Robert Havlin

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

Last run23 days ago · 1 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP9/22 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

78th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE78th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 9 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 7% • +2.84 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Bath, 05 Jun 2026 — 1st • open 11/8 → final market price 4/6 (+17.86pp).

Opened 13/8Market avg 6/4

Price move+2.84pp(+7.0%)

11/8 ↑ 6/4 ↓ 11/8 → 11/8 → 11/8 ↓ 5/4 → 5/4 ↑ 11/8 → 11/8 ↑ 6/4

BEST FIXED ODDS

13/8 2.63 decimal LiveScore Bet

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LiveScore Bet 13/8Virgin Bet 13/810 Bet 6/4Betfred 6/4Coral 6/4Hollywood Bets 6/4Ladbrokes 6/4Midnite 6/4Quinn Bet 6/4Star Sports 6/4Unibet 6/4William Hill 6/4Betfair Sportsbook 6/4Paddy Power 6/47Bet 11/8Bet Victor 11/8BetTom 11/8BetWright 11/8Betano 11/8Boyle Sports 11/8Dragon Bet 11/8SportingIndex 11/8Spreadex 11/8Bet365 5/4BetMGM 5/4

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 4 runners	13/8	+0.15ppOpen → 10am	13/8	+2.70pp10am → now; SP pending	6/4Current; SP pending	Pending	+2.84pp
Newcastle (AW)01 Oct 20265f · Class 4 · Standard · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	15/2	+4.90ppOpen → 10am	5/1	-6.14pp10am → SP	17/2	1st	-1.24pp
Post-race comment
Bath05 Jun 20265f 160y · Class 2 · Good · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/8	+19.71ppOpen → 10am	8/13	+1.97pp10am → SP	4/7	1st	+21.68pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 4 runners	13/8	+0.15ppOpen → 10am	13/8	+2.70pp10am → now; SP pending	6/4Current; SP pending	Pending	+2.84pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amStrengthening+2.70pp since 10am, as of 16:22. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

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More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 9 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Bill The Bull is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.15pp by 10am. Shortened by 2.70pp more since 10am. As of 16:22; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newcastle (AW) · 01 Oct 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Newcastle (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 4f 214y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 4

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Horse support level

Support of +0.74pp · around 13/8 (2.58 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

2/7 finished 1st or 2nd with this much support or more (29%).

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/8 (2.32 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 8/28 (28.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12.3%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

Blake's MonarchDraw 2

Trainer: Ivan Furtado

Jockey: Jack Callan

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

Last run23 days ago · 1 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP11/81 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Largest drift recorded across 5 previous runs.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 21% • -7.71 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Chester, 30 May 2026 — 6th • open 6/1 → final market price 12/1 (-6.59pp).

Opened 5/4Market avg 7/4

Price move-7.71pp(-21.0%)

13/8 ↑ 7/4 ↓ 13/8 ↑ 7/4 ↓ 13/8 ↑ 7/4 ↑ 15/8 ↓ 13/8 ↑ 7/4 → 7/4

BEST FIXED ODDS

15/8 2.88 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 15/810 Bet 7/47Bet 7/4BetMGM 7/4BetWright 7/4Betfred 7/4Coral 7/4Dragon Bet 7/4Hollywood Bets 7/4Ladbrokes 7/4LiveScore Bet 7/4Quinn Bet 7/4SportingIndex 7/4Spreadex 7/4Star Sports 7/4Unibet 7/4Virgin Bet 7/4William Hill 7/4Bet Victor 13/8BetTom 13/8Betano 13/8Boyle Sports 13/8Midnite 13/8Betfair Sportsbook 13/8Paddy Power 13/8

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 4 runners	5/4	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	5/4	-7.71pp10am → now; SP pending	7/4Current; SP pending	Pending	-7.71pp
Newcastle (AW)01 Oct 20265f · Class 4 · Standard · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	-4.62ppOpen → 10am	11/2	+0.00pp10am → SP	11/2	2nd	-4.62pp
Post-race comment
Redcar15 Sep 20265f · Class 4 · Good · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/10	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	11/10	-5.60pp10am → SP	11/8	1st	-5.60pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)11 May 20266f 20y · Class 5 · Standard · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	16/1	-2.04ppOpen → 10am	25/1	+5.24pp10am → SP	10/1	2nd	+3.21pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 4 runners	5/4	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	5/4	-7.71pp10am → now; SP pending	7/4Current; SP pending	Pending	-7.71pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

THIS IS THE HORSE’S LARGEST RECORDED DRIFTMarket-7.71ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLargest recorded driftLargest recorded drift across 5 previous runs. This flags unusual market weakness; it does not claim a finishing record.Since 10amWeakening-7.71pp since 10am, as of 16:22. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

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More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Across 5 previous runs, this is the horse’s largest recorded drift compared with its previous Open → final market price moves. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Blake's Monarch has moved from 5/4 to 7/4, a developing drift (-7.71pp).

No net move by 10am. Drifted by 7.71pp since 10am. As of 16:22; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newcastle (AW) · 01 Oct 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Newcastle (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 4f 214y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 4

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 5/4 (2.25 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around EVS (2.02 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 10/62 (16.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 8.1%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Space DreamerDraw 4

Trainer: Ollie Sangster

Jockey: Callum Rodriguez

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬆ CLASS RISE

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

Last run34 days ago · 20 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP5/12 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

Only 1 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Windsor on 01 Jun 2026 (-5.64pp).

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 25.3% • -4.49 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Windsor, 01 Jun 2026 — 5th • open 13/2 → final market price 12/1 (-5.64pp).

Opened 7/2Market avg 9/2

Price move-4.49pp(-25.3%)

9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

5/1 6 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 5/1Coral 5/1Ladbrokes 5/1LiveScore Bet 5/1SportingIndex 5/1Spreadex 5/1Virgin Bet 5/1William Hill 5/110 Bet 9/27Bet 9/2Bet Victor 9/2BetMGM 9/2BetTom 9/2BetWright 9/2Betano 9/2Betfred 9/2Boyle Sports 9/2Dragon Bet 9/2Hollywood Bets 9/2Midnite 9/2Quinn Bet 9/2Star Sports 9/2Unibet 9/2Paddy Power 9/2Betfair Sportsbook 4/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 4 runners	7/2	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	7/2	-4.49pp10am → now; SP pending	9/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-4.49pp
Bath12 Sep 20265f 10y · Class 5 · Good · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	8/1	-0.25ppOpen → 10am	8/1	+0.65pp10am → SP	15/2	1st	+0.40pp
Post-race comment
Brighton23 Aug 20265f 60y · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/2	-3.09ppOpen → 10am	9/2	+6.82pp10am → SP	3/1	1st	+3.72pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 4 runners	7/2	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	7/2	-4.49pp10am → now; SP pending	9/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-4.49pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-4.49ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-4.49pp since 10am, as of 16:22. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 5 · ↑ Class rise

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Just 1 of 5 previous runs showed a larger drift, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse against its previous Open → final market price moves. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Space Dreamer has moved from 7/2 to 9/2, a developing drift (-4.49pp).

No net move by 10am. Drifted by 4.49pp since 10am. As of 16:22; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Bath · 12 Sep 2026 · 1st · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Bath✓Trip (within ½f): 4f 214y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 7/2 (4.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/4 (3.67 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 26/60 (43.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 14.4%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Undercover AffairDraw 3

Trainer: David Evans

Jockey: Billy Loughnane

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

Last run23 days ago · 1 Oct 2026

Distance changeDown 1.1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP7/42 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 13 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

2/3 placed when backed like this (67%).

When backed like this: 2/3 WON

Raw Open → Now price change: 16.3% • +2.43 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Nottingham, 02 Jul 2026 — 3rd • open 5/1 → final market price 7/4 (+19.70pp).

All 3 comparable backed runs (1st or 2nd counts as placed):

Windsor, 13 Jul 2026 — 1st • open 5/2 → final 15/8
Goodwood, 07 Jun 2026 — 1st • open 7/4 → final 5/4
Bath, 27 Apr 2026 — 4th • open 12/1 → final 10/1

Opened 7/1Market avg 11/2

Price move+2.43pp(+16.2%)

11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

13/2 7.5 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 13/27Bet 6/1BetWright 6/1Coral 6/1Dragon Bet 6/1Hollywood Bets 6/1Ladbrokes 6/1LiveScore Bet 6/1SportingIndex 6/1Spreadex 6/1Virgin Bet 6/110 Bet 11/2BetMGM 11/2BetTom 11/2Betfred 11/2Boyle Sports 11/2Midnite 11/2Quinn Bet 11/2Star Sports 11/2Unibet 11/2William Hill 11/2Betfair Sportsbook 11/2Paddy Power 11/2Bet Victor 5/1Betano 5/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 4 runners	7/1	+5.68ppOpen → 10am	9/2	-3.26pp10am → now; SP pending	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+2.43pp
Windsor13 Jul 20265f 21y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 3 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/2	+9.45ppOpen → 10am	13/8	-5.97pp10am → SP	2/1	1st	+3.48pp
Post-race comment
Redcar20 Jun 20265f · Class 4 · Good · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	+8.57ppOpen → 10am	5/2	+11.43pp10am → SP	6/4	2nd	+20.00pp
Post-race comment
Goodwood07 Jun 20265f · Class 3 · Soft · 5 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/4	+8.08ppOpen → 10am	5/4	-2.43pp10am → SP	11/8	1st	+5.65pp
Post-race comment
Chester30 May 20266f 17y · Class 4 · Good · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/2	+14.14ppOpen → 10am	7/4	+8.08pp10am → SP	5/4	2nd	+22.22pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)18 May 20265f 21y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	-9.47ppOpen → 10am	17/2	+0.00pp10am → SP	17/2	2nd	-9.47pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 4 runners	7/1	+5.68ppOpen → 10am	9/2	-3.26pp10am → now; SP pending	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+2.43pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.26pp since 10am, as of 16:22. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 13 previous Open → final market price moves. When backed in a similar way previously, it finished first or second in 2 of 3 runs. Today’s move: Undercover Affair is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 5.68pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.26pp since 10am. As of 16:22; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 4pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 1/17 (5.9%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 18 May 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 4f 214y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 4

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/2 (5.71 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 7/44 (15.9%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.7%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

Race market overview as at 21:21

Supported0 of 4 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting2 of 4 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Blake's Monarch -7.71pp
Last 15 minNo gain or drift recorded
Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min

15-minute snapshot 21:20 · no additional market query

17:00Southwell (AW) • Flat • 4f214y • Class 4 • Going: Standard

13 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Rhythm N HoovesDraw 4

Trainer: Robert Cowell

Jockey: Barry McHugh

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

10AM EMERGING PATTERNFrozen 10am Emerging market pattern. This is an early pattern, not yet a fully established repeat-winner signal.

Source: stored dcn_signal_flags classification for today. This signal is frozen at 10am; the live price can move afterwards without changing the 10am classification.

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 9/1 · 55% shorter today

Last run21 days ago · 3 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP7/21 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: +19.1% • +4.28pp

Measured NR price effect removed: -1.39pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 4/1 @ 08:55

NR @ 08:55: 7/2 → 4/1 (-1.39pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +5.67pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

92th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE92nd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

Only 1 of 12 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 3rd at Windsor on 22 Jun 2026 (+8.33pp).

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

1/5 placed when backed like this (20%).

When backed like this: 1/5 WON

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Windsor, 22 Jun 2026 — 3rd • open 5/1 → final market price 3/1 (+8.33pp).

All 5 comparable backed runs (1st or 2nd counts as placed):

Ascot, 05 Sep 2026 — 8th • open 15/2 → final 11/2
Newbury, 15 Aug 2026 — 1st • open 6/1 → final 9/2
Windsor, 18 May 2026 — 3rd • open 7/1 → final 11/2
Goodwood, 01 May 2026 — 4th • open 8/1 → final 11/2
Southwell (AW), 21 Mar 2026 — 4th • open 10/1 → final 8/1

Opened 9/2Market avg 7/2

Price move+5.67pp(+23.8%)

3/1 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 10/3 → 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 3/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

4/1 5 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 4/1Betfred 4/1SportingIndex 4/1Spreadex 4/17Bet 7/2Coral 7/2Dragon Bet 7/2Hollywood Bets 7/2Ladbrokes 7/2Midnite 7/2Quinn Bet 7/2Star Sports 7/2Betfair Sportsbook 7/2Paddy Power 7/2BetMGM 10/3BetTom 10/3BetWright 10/3LiveScore Bet 10/3Unibet 10/3Virgin Bet 10/3William Hill 10/310 Bet 3/1Bet Victor 3/1Betano 3/1Boyle Sports 3/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners	9/2	+9.88ppOpen → 10am	11/4	-4.20pp10am → now; SP pending	7/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+5.67ppNR adjusted
Ascot03 Oct 20265f · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/1	-1.40ppOpen → 10am	12/1	-1.03pp10am → SP	14/1	2nd	-2.42pp
Post-race comment
Newbury15 Aug 20265f 34y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	6/1	+1.10ppOpen → 10am	11/2	+6.84pp10am → SP	7/2	1st	+7.94pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners	9/2	+9.88ppOpen → 10am	11/4	-4.20pp10am → now; SP pending	7/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+5.67ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

TRAINER RECORD MAKES THIS SUPPORT SIGNIFICANTMarket+5.67ppGenuine support from the opening price.Trainer11.4% → 28.9%Open → SP · backed 5pp+Baseline → matching strike rate; 38 runners, Open → SP · backed 5pp+. Historical sample requires opening, 10am and official SP prices. Popup uses opening → final market price and a broader results baseline.Horse historyMissed top 2: 4/5Comparable support: 1 first/second finishes in 5 completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-4.20pp since 10am, as of 16:58. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 2 · ↓ Class drop

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

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More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Robert Cowell runners in the matching 5pp+ band have won 11/38 (a 28.9% Open→SP strike rate), compared with the trainer’s normal 11.4% strike rate. Just 1 of 12 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse against its previous Open → final market price moves. When backed in a similar way previously, it finished first or second in 1 of 5 runs. The support is accompanied by a drop from Class 2 to Class 4, giving the horse more favourable conditions today. Today’s move: Rhythm N Hooves has shortened from 9/2 to 7/2, which is support (+5.67pp).

Shortened by 9.88pp by 10am. Drifted by 4.20pp since 10am. As of 16:58; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 8pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 3/5 (60%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Ascot · 03 Oct 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Ascot✓Trip (within ½f): 4f 214y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 2

ACT NOW — DO NOT WAIT FOR ANOTHER 2PP

41.7% of Robert Cowell runners backed by at least 8pp by 10am continued to shorten from 10am to SP (5/12). Today’s live move of +5.67pp is supported by the horse or trainer evidence too. That continuation record is the reason to act now: waiting for another 2pp risks losing the available price.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 11/4 (3.73 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 3/12 (25%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.4%.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 7/2 (4.59 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

Trainer won 11/38 (28.9%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.4%.

Risk of losing the price: 5/12 (41.7%) trainer runners backed by 8pp+ by 10am shortened further into SP.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

Bona FortunaDraw 12

Trainer: Michael Appleby

Jockey: Luke Morris

🟢 Needs Support (38%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬆ CLASS RISE

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

Last run26 days ago · 28 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP11/81 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: +0.3% • +0.06pp

Measured NR price effect removed: -0.46pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 5/1 @ 08:55

NR @ 08:55: 5/1 → 5/1 (-0.46pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +0.52pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Wolverhampton (AW), 28 Sep 2026 — 1st • open 3/1 → final market price 7/4 (+11.36pp).

Opened 7/2Market avg 7/2

Price move+0.52pp(+2.3%)

10/3 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

4/1 5 decimal Betfred

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Betfred 4/1Star Sports 4/110 Bet 7/27Bet 7/2Bet365 7/2BetTom 7/2Coral 7/2Hollywood Bets 7/2Ladbrokes 7/2LiveScore Bet 7/2Midnite 7/2Quinn Bet 7/2SportingIndex 7/2Spreadex 7/2Unibet 7/2Virgin Bet 7/2William Hill 7/2Paddy Power 7/2Bet Victor 10/3BetWright 10/3Betano 10/3Boyle Sports 10/3Dragon Bet 10/3Betfair Sportsbook 10/3BetMGM 10/3

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners	7/2	-5.10ppOpen → 10am	5/1	+5.62pp10am → now; SP pending	7/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.52ppNR adjusted
Wolverhampton (AW)28 Sep 20265f 21y · Class 5 · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	3/1	-2.78ppOpen → 10am	7/2	+19.79pp10am → SP	11/8	1st	+17.02pp
Post-race comment
Brighton01 Sep 20265f 60y · Class 5 · Good · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/2	+6.82ppOpen → 10am	3/1	+3.57pp10am → SP	5/2	2nd	+10.39pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners	7/2	-5.10ppOpen → 10am	5/1	+5.62pp10am → now; SP pending	7/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.52ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amStrengthening+5.62pp since 10am, as of 16:58. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 5 · ↑ Class rise

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves. It is also stepping up from Class 5 to Class 4, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Bona Fortuna is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 5.10pp by 10am. Shortened by 5.62pp since 10am. As of 16:58; SP pending. If it keeps drifting into SP: this trainer’s runners with 5pp+ drift by 10am that kept drifting from 10am to SP won 2/23 (8.7%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 28 Sep 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 4f 214y✓Ground: Standard×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 5

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Horse support level

Support of +10.39pp · around 2/1 (3.11 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd with this much support or more (100%).

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/4 (3.74 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 16/76 (21.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12.2%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: 10am was biggest

Weakening late

Night StormDraw 10

Trainer: James Tate

Jockey: Rob Hornby

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

Last run102 days ago · 14 Jul 2026

Distance changeDown 1.1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: +0.3% • +0.05pp

Measured NR price effect removed: -0.49pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 11/2 @ 08:55

NR @ 08:55: 11/2 → 11/2 (-0.49pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +0.54pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Wolverhampton (AW), 14 Jul 2026 — 6th • open 7/2 → final market price 6/4 (+17.78pp).

Opened 11/2Market avg 11/2

Price move+0.54pp(+3.4%)

5/1 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 → 11/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

6/1 7 decimal Betfred

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Betfred 6/1Hollywood Bets 6/1Star Sports 6/1Unibet 6/1William Hill 6/110 Bet 11/27Bet 11/2Bet365 11/2BetMGM 11/2BetTom 11/2BetWright 11/2Coral 11/2Dragon Bet 11/2Ladbrokes 11/2LiveScore Bet 11/2Midnite 11/2Quinn Bet 11/2SportingIndex 11/2Spreadex 11/2Virgin Bet 11/2Bet Victor 5/1Betano 5/1Boyle Sports 5/1Paddy Power 5/1Betfair Sportsbook 9/2

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners	11/2	+3.29ppOpen → 10am	9/2	-2.75pp10am → now; SP pending	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.54ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners	11/2	+3.29ppOpen → 10am	9/2	-2.75pp10am → now; SP pending	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.54ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.75pp since 10am, as of 16:58. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Night Storm is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 3.29pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.75pp since 10am. As of 16:58; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 4/1 (5.03 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 19/56 (33.9%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 14.5%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

Shes Got A BrotherDraw 11

Trainer: Michael & David Easterby

Jockey: Billy Garritty

🟢 Needs Support (23%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

COURSE RECORD2/2 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 6/1 · Today close to the course average

Last run24 days ago · 30 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP6/12 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: +29.1% • +4.31pp

Measured NR price effect removed: -0.38pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 8/1 @ 08:55

NR @ 08:55: 15/2 → 8/1 (-0.38pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +4.69pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

89th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE89th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

Only 1 of 9 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 1st at Southwell (AW) on 28 Apr 2026 (+27.78pp).

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

1/2 placed when backed like this (50%).

When backed like this: 1/2 WON

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Southwell (AW), 28 Apr 2026 — 1st • open 7/2 → final market price EVS (+27.78pp).

All 2 comparable backed runs (1st or 2nd counts as placed):

York, 19 Aug 2026 — 10th • open 14/1 → final 17/2
Southwell (AW), 28 Apr 2026 — 1st • open 7/2 → final EVS

Opened 17/2Market avg 11/2

Price move+4.69pp(+30.8%)

5/1 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

13/2 7.5 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 13/27Bet 6/1BetWright 6/1Betfred 6/1Coral 6/1Ladbrokes 6/1LiveScore Bet 6/1Quinn Bet 6/1SportingIndex 6/1Spreadex 6/1Star Sports 6/1Unibet 6/1Virgin Bet 6/1William Hill 6/110 Bet 11/2BetMGM 11/2BetTom 11/2Dragon Bet 11/2Hollywood Bets 11/2Midnite 11/2Betfair Sportsbook 11/2Paddy Power 11/2Bet Victor 5/1Betano 5/1Boyle Sports 5/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners	17/2	+4.14ppOpen → 10am	6/1	+0.55pp10am → now; SP pending	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+4.69ppNR adjusted
Southwell (AW)28 Apr 20264f 214y · Class 3 · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/2	+25.40ppOpen → 10am	11/10	+7.03pp10am → SP	5/6	1st	+32.42pp
Post-race comment
Southwell (AW)09 Apr 20264f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/1	-4.33ppOpen → 10am	20/1	+3.57pp10am → SP	11/1	1st	-0.76pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners	17/2	+4.14ppOpen → 10am	6/1	+0.55pp10am → now; SP pending	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+4.69ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

HORSE HISTORY SUPPORTS TODAY’S MARKET MOVEMarket+4.69ppGenuine support from the opening price.Trainer9.3% → 12.7%Open → SP · backed 5pp+Baseline → matching strike rate; 79 runners, Open → SP · backed 5pp+. Historical sample requires opening, 10am and official SP prices. Popup uses opening → final market price and a broader results baseline.Horse history1/2 top 2Comparable support: 1 first/second finishes in 2 completed runs.Since 10amStrengthening+0.55pp since 10am, as of 16:58. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

Just 1 of 9 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse against its previous Open → final market price moves. When backed in a similar way previously, it finished first or second in 1 of 2 runs. The trainer evidence is important here: At 5pp+: Open→SP 10/79 won (12.7%), compared with the yard’s normal 9.3% strike rate. Today’s move: Shes Got A Brother has shortened from 17/2 to 11/2, which is support (+4.69pp).

Shortened by 4.14pp by 10am. Shortened by 0.55pp more since 10am. As of 16:58; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 4pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 7/37 (18.9%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 09 Apr 2026 · 1st · 4/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Southwell (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 4f 214y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 4

ACT NOW — DO NOT WAIT FOR ANOTHER 2PP

48.1% of Michael & David Easterby runners backed by at least 4pp by 10am continued to shorten from 10am to SP (37/77). Today’s live move of +4.69pp is supported by the horse or trainer evidence too. That continuation record is the reason to act now: waiting for another 2pp risks losing the available price.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 4/1 (4.96 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 4/26 (15.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.3%.

Risk of losing the price: 37/77 (48.1%) trainer runners backed by 4pp+ by 10am shortened further into SP.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

BetsenDraw 2

Trainer: Tony Carroll

Jockey: Kevin Stott

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 13/2 · Today close to the course average

Last run35 days ago · 19 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP3/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -26.7% • -3.51pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +0.22pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 5/1 @ 08:55

NR @ 08:55: 5/1 → 5/1 (+0.22pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -3.73pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 12 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Ascot, 08 May 2026 — 9th • open 6/1 → final market price 14/1 (-7.62pp).

Opened 5/1Market avg 13/2

Price move-3.73pp(-28.8%)

6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

7/1 8 decimal Bet365

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Bet365 7/1Coral 7/1Ladbrokes 7/1LiveScore Bet 7/1Midnite 7/1Quinn Bet 7/1Star Sports 7/1Unibet 7/1Virgin Bet 7/1William Hill 7/1Betfair Sportsbook 7/110 Bet 13/27Bet 13/2BetTom 13/2BetWright 13/2Betfred 13/2Dragon Bet 13/2Hollywood Bets 13/2Paddy Power 13/2Bet Victor 6/1BetMGM 6/1Betano 6/1Boyle Sports 6/1SportingIndex 6/1Spreadex 6/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners	5/1	+1.30ppOpen → 10am	9/2	-5.02pp10am → now; SP pending	13/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.73ppNR adjusted
Chepstow21 May 20265f 15y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	3/1	-2.78ppOpen → 10am	7/2	+2.78pp10am → SP	3/1	1st	+0.00pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners	5/1	+1.30ppOpen → 10am	9/2	-5.02pp10am → now; SP pending	13/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.73ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-5.02pp since 10am, as of 16:58. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 12 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Betsen is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.30pp by 10am. Drifted by 5.02pp since 10am. As of 16:58; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Chepstow · 21 May 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Chepstow✓Trip (within ½f): 4f 214y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Soft✓Class: Class 4

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 9/2 (5.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 7/2 (4.57 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 40/159 (25.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Glamorous BreezeDraw 3

Trainer: Christopher Mason

Jockey: Gina Mangan

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

Last run21 days ago · 3 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -29.1% • -3.00pp

Measured NR price effect removed: -0.13pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 7/1 @ 08:55

NR @ 08:55: 7/1 → 7/1 (-0.13pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -2.88pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

71th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE71st HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 7 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Goodwood, 22 May 2026 — 3rd • open 10/1 → final market price 20/1 (-4.33pp).

Opened 13/2Market avg 17/2

Price move-2.88pp(-27.5%)

8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/1 11 decimal Hollywood Bets

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Hollywood Bets 10/110 Bet 9/17Bet 9/1Bet365 9/1Betfred 9/1Coral 9/1Ladbrokes 9/1Quinn Bet 9/1SportingIndex 9/1Spreadex 9/1Star Sports 9/1Unibet 9/1William Hill 9/1BetTom 17/2BetWright 17/2Dragon Bet 17/2LiveScore Bet 17/2Midnite 17/2Virgin Bet 17/2Bet Victor 8/1BetMGM 8/1Betano 8/1Boyle Sports 8/1Betfair Sportsbook 8/1Paddy Power 8/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners	13/2	+1.08ppOpen → 10am	6/1	-3.96pp10am → now; SP pending	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.88ppNR adjusted
Windsor22 Jun 20265f 21y · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/2	-3.62ppOpen → 10am	15/2	+2.52pp10am → SP	6/1	2nd	-1.10pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners	13/2	+1.08ppOpen → 10am	6/1	-3.96pp10am → now; SP pending	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.88ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.96pp since 10am, as of 16:58. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 2 · ↓ Class drop

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 7 previous Open → final market price moves. The horse drops from Class 2 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Glamorous Breeze is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.08pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.96pp since 10am. As of 16:58; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Windsor · 22 Jun 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Windsor✓Trip (within ½f): 4f 214y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 3

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 6/1 (7.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/2 (5.49 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 4/13 (30.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 18.3%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Moulin BoojDraw 1

Trainer: George Scott

Jockey: Darragh Keenan

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

COURSE RECORD1/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 14/1 · 35% shorter today

Last run28 days ago · 26 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP6/13 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -63.0% • -6.44pp

Measured NR price effect removed: -0.06pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 7/1 @ 08:55

NR @ 08:55: 7/1 → 7/1 (-0.06pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -6.38pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

73th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE73rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 11 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 1st at Southwell (AW) on 26 Sep 2026 (-11.52pp); finished 11th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 20 Mar 2026 (-6.62pp); and finished 4th at Chelmsford (AW) on 21 Feb 2026 (-7.26pp).

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

When drifting like this: failed 3/4

When drifting like this: failed 3/4 — view runs

26 Sep 2026 · Southwell (AW)
Open 9/2 → final 14/1 · SP 14/1 · 1st

03 Apr 2026 · Lingfield (AW)
Open 14/1 → final 33/1 · SP 33/1 · 6th

20 Mar 2026 · Wolverhampton (AW)
Open 7/1 → final 16/1 · SP 16/1 · 11th

21 Feb 2026 · Chelmsford (AW)
Open 8/1 → final 25/1 · SP 20/1 · 4th

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Southwell (AW), 26 Sep 2026 — 1st • open 9/2 → final market price 14/1 (-11.52pp).

Opened 5/1Market avg 9/1

Price move-6.38pp(-62.0%)

8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/1 11 decimal Star Sports

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Star Sports 10/110 Bet 9/17Bet 9/1Bet365 9/1Betfred 9/1Coral 9/1Hollywood Bets 9/1Ladbrokes 9/1LiveScore Bet 9/1Midnite 9/1Quinn Bet 9/1SportingIndex 9/1Spreadex 9/1Unibet 9/1Virgin Bet 9/1William Hill 9/1BetTom 17/2BetWright 17/2Dragon Bet 17/2Betfair Sportsbook 17/2Paddy Power 17/2Bet Victor 8/1BetMGM 8/1Betano 8/1Boyle Sports 8/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners	5/1	-3.27ppOpen → 10am	13/2	-3.11pp10am → now; SP pending	9/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-6.38ppNR adjusted
Southwell (AW)26 Sep 20264f 215y · Class 4 · Standard · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/2	-6.42ppOpen → 10am	15/2	-5.10pp10am → SP	14/1	1st	-11.52pp
Post-race comment
Nottingham11 Aug 20265f 8y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	15/8	+1.64ppOpen → 10am	7/4	+3.64pp10am → SP	6/4	1st	+5.28pp
Post-race comment
Thirsk01 Aug 20265f · Class 4 · Good · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	-1.28ppOpen → 10am	11/2	+1.28pp10am → SP	5/1	2nd	+0.00pp
Post-race comment
Brighton21 Jun 20265f 60y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/3	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	10/3	-3.09pp10am → SP	4/1	2nd	-3.09pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)09 Mar 20265f 21y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/4	+6.67ppOpen → 10am	2/1	+1.39pp10am → SP	15/8	1st	+8.06pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners	5/1	-3.27ppOpen → 10am	13/2	-3.11pp10am → now; SP pending	9/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-6.38ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-6.38ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyMissed top 2: 3/4Displayed comparable drift runs: 1 first/second finishes in 4 completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.11pp since 10am, as of 16:58. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

Just 3 of 11 previous runs showed a larger drift, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse against its previous Open → final market price moves. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Moulin Booj has moved from 5/1 to 9/1, a developing drift (-6.38pp).

Drifted by 3.27pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.11pp more since 10am. As of 16:58; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 26 Sep 2026 · 1st · 4/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Southwell (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 4f 214y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 4

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 13/2 (7.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 7/2 (4.63 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 23/53 (43.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 17.5%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Almaty StarDraw 9

Trainer: Robert Cowell

Jockey: Robert Havlin

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 15/2 · 16% bigger today

Last run18 days ago · 6 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP8/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: +1.8% • +0.18pp

Measured NR price effect removed: -0.03pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 10/1 @ 08:55

NR @ 08:55: 10/1 → 10/1 (-0.03pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +0.22pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 10 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Wolverhampton (AW), 09 Mar 2026 — 2nd • open 4/1 → final market price 11/4 (+6.67pp).

Opened 9/1Market avg 9/1

Price move+0.22pp(+2.1%)

8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 15/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/1 11 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 10/1Star Sports 10/17Bet 9/1BetWright 9/1Betfred 9/1Coral 9/1Dragon Bet 9/1Hollywood Bets 9/1Ladbrokes 9/1LiveScore Bet 9/1Midnite 9/1Quinn Bet 9/1SportingIndex 9/1Spreadex 9/1Unibet 9/1Virgin Bet 9/1William Hill 9/1Betfair Sportsbook 9/1Paddy Power 9/1BetTom 17/2Bet Victor 8/1Betano 8/1Boyle Sports 8/110 Bet 15/2BetMGM 15/2

25 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners	9/1	+3.37ppOpen → 10am	13/2	-3.15pp10am → now; SP pending	9/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.22ppNR adjusted
Leicester06 Oct 20265f · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	16/1	-1.12ppOpen → 10am	20/1	-0.92pp10am → SP	25/1	2nd	-2.04pp
Post-race comment
Yarmouth11 Apr 20265f 42y · Class 4 · Good · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	-4.17ppOpen → 10am	7/1	-1.39pp10am → SP	8/1	1st	-5.56pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)09 Mar 20265f 21y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	+2.22ppOpen → 10am	7/2	+2.78pp10am → SP	3/1	2nd	+5.00pp
Post-race comment
Lingfield (AW)12 Jan 20265f 6y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/4	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	9/4	-2.20pp10am → SP	5/2	2nd	-2.20pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners	9/1	+3.37ppOpen → 10am	13/2	-3.15pp10am → now; SP pending	9/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.22ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.15pp since 10am, as of 16:58. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 10 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Almaty Star is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 3.37pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.15pp since 10am. As of 16:58; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 09 Mar 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 4f 214y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 4

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/2 (6.68 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 11/38 (28.9%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.4%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

AlondraDraw 6

Trainer: Scott Dixon

Jockey: Kieran O'Neill

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 17/2 · 184% bigger today

Last run25 days ago · 29 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP5/13 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -58.6% • -2.17pp

Measured NR price effect removed: -0.17pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 20/1 @ 08:55

NR @ 08:55: 20/1 → 20/1 (-0.17pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -2.00pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

42th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE42nd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 12 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

When drifting like this: failed 5/7

When drifting like this: failed 5/7 — view runs

26 Jun 2026 · Doncaster
Open 16/1 → final 28/1 · SP 25/1 · 4th

29 May 2026 · Wolverhampton (AW)
Open 13/2 → final 14/1 · SP 14/1 · 5th

30 Apr 2026 · Southwell (AW)
Open 15/2 → final 11/1 · SP 17/2 · 3rd

17 Apr 2026 · Wolverhampton (AW)
Open 10/1 → final 18/1 · SP 14/1 · 3rd

09 Mar 2026 · Wolverhampton (AW)
Open 5/1 → final 10/1 · SP 8/1 · 5th

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 16 Feb 2026 — 2nd • open 13/8 → final market price 5/2 (-9.45pp).

Opened 16/1Market avg 25/1

Price move-2.00pp(-51.7%)

22/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

28/1 31 decimal 7Bet

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7Bet 28/1Bet365 28/1Coral 28/1Ladbrokes 28/1LiveScore Bet 28/1Midnite 28/1SportingIndex 28/1Spreadex 28/1Star Sports 28/1Unibet 28/1Virgin Bet 28/1William Hill 28/110 Bet 25/1BetTom 25/1BetWright 25/1Betfred 25/1Dragon Bet 25/1Hollywood Bets 25/1Quinn Bet 25/1Betfair Sportsbook 25/1Paddy Power 25/1Bet Victor 22/1Betano 22/1Boyle Sports 22/1BetMGM 20/1

25 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners	16/1	-0.45ppOpen → 10am	18/1	-1.55pp10am → now; SP pending	25/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.00ppNR adjusted
Doncaster03 Jul 20265f 3y · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/1	+4.24ppOpen → 10am	13/2	+4.85pp10am → SP	9/2	1st	+9.09pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)16 Feb 20265f 21y · Class 4 · Standard · 5 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	13/8	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	13/8	-13.02pp10am → SP	3/1	2nd	-13.02pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)13 Feb 20265f 21y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/3	-0.87ppOpen → 10am	7/2	+6.35pp10am → SP	5/2	1st	+5.48pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)09 Feb 20265f 21y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/2	+5.63ppOpen → 10am	10/3	-12.70pp10am → SP	8/1	1st	-7.07pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners	16/1	-0.45ppOpen → 10am	18/1	-1.55pp10am → now; SP pending	25/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.00ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.55pp since 10am, as of 16:58. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 12 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Alondra is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 0.45pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.55pp more since 10am. As of 16:58; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 16 Feb 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 4f 214y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 4

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 18/1 (19.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 17/2 (9.33 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 6/47 (12.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 6.2%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

HenrythenateDraw 13

Trainer: Patrick Morris

Jockey: Jack Dace(5)

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

Last run41 days ago · 13 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP10/13 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -35.2% • -1.24pp

Measured NR price effect removed: -0.20pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 25/1 @ 08:55

NR @ 08:55: 25/1 → 25/1 (-0.20pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -1.04pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

30th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE30th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 10 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Lingfield (AW), 12 Feb 2026 — 1st • open EVS → final market price 11/4 (-23.33pp).

Opened 20/1Market avg 28/1

Price move-1.04pp(-28.0%)

25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 28/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

28/1 31 decimal 7Bet

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7Bet 28/110 Bet 28/1Bet365 28/1BetTom 28/1BetWright 28/1Betfred 28/1Coral 28/1Dragon Bet 28/1Hollywood Bets 28/1Ladbrokes 28/1LiveScore Bet 28/1Midnite 28/1Quinn Bet 28/1SportingIndex 28/1Spreadex 28/1Star Sports 28/1Unibet 28/1Virgin Bet 28/1William Hill 28/1Betfair Sportsbook 28/1Paddy Power 28/1Bet Victor 25/1Betano 25/1Boyle Sports 25/1BetMGM 20/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners	20/1	+0.20ppOpen → 10am	20/1	-1.24pp10am → now; SP pending	28/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.04ppNR adjusted
Chester22 Aug 20265f 15y · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	14/1	-0.78ppOpen → 10am	16/1	-1.53pp10am → SP	22/1	1st	-2.32pp
Post-race comment
Lingfield (AW)12 Feb 20265f 6y · Class 5 · Standard · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	EVS	-21.43ppOpen → 10am	5/2	+0.00pp10am → SP	5/2	1st	-21.43pp
Post-race comment
Lingfield (AW)24 Jan 20265f 6y · Class 5 · Standard · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	16/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	16/1	+10.78pp10am → SP	5/1	1st	+10.78pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners	20/1	+0.20ppOpen → 10am	20/1	-1.24pp10am → now; SP pending	28/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.04ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.24pp since 10am, as of 16:58. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 3 · ↓ Class drop

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 10 previous Open → final market price moves. The horse drops from Class 3 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Henrythenate is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.20pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.24pp since 10am. As of 16:58; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Chester · 22 Aug 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Chester✓Trip (within ½f): 4f 214y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Soft✓Class: Class 4

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 20/1 (21.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/1 (10.46 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 4/29 (13.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 6.4%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Sugar Hill BabeDraw 7

Trainer: Lisa Williamson

Jockey: Harry Davies

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

Last run21 days ago · 3 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP7/21 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -74.5% • -2.25pp

Measured NR price effect removed: -0.16pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 25/1 @ 08:55

NR @ 08:55: 25/1 → 25/1 (-0.16pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -2.09pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Nottingham, 20 Jun 2026 — 6th • open 15/8 → final market price 10/3 (-11.63pp).

Opened 18/1Market avg 33/1

Price move-2.09pp(-65.7%)

28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 33/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

33/1 36 decimal 7Bet

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7Bet 33/110 Bet 33/1Bet365 33/1BetTom 33/1BetWright 33/1Betfred 33/1Coral 33/1Dragon Bet 33/1Hollywood Bets 33/1Ladbrokes 33/1LiveScore Bet 33/1Midnite 33/1Quinn Bet 33/1SportingIndex 33/1Spreadex 33/1Star Sports 33/1Unibet 33/1Virgin Bet 33/1William Hill 33/1Betfair Sportsbook 33/1Paddy Power 33/1Bet Victor 28/1Betano 28/1Boyle Sports 28/1BetMGM 25/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners	18/1	-0.34ppOpen → 10am	20/1	-1.75pp10am → now; SP pending	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.09ppNR adjusted
Nottingham31 May 20265f 8y · Class 4 · Good · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/1	+5.38ppOpen → 10am	11/2	+6.84pp10am → SP	7/2	1st	+12.22pp
Post-race comment
Musselburgh29 Apr 20265f 1y · Class 4 · Good · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	12/1	+2.31ppOpen → 10am	9/1	-2.31pp10am → SP	12/1	2nd	+0.00pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners	18/1	-0.34ppOpen → 10am	20/1	-1.75pp10am → now; SP pending	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.09ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.75pp since 10am, as of 16:58. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Sugar Hill Babe is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 0.34pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.75pp more since 10am. As of 16:58; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Nottingham · 31 May 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Nottingham✓Trip (within ½f): 4f 214y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good✓Class: Class 4

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 20/1 (21.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

KanishkaDraw 8

Trainer: Ian Williams

Jockey: Ryan Kavanagh(3)

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

COURSE RECORD0/2 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 8/1 · 292% bigger today

Last run48 days ago · 6 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -164.0% • -4.78pp

Measured NR price effect removed: -0.08pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 22/1 @ 08:55

NR @ 08:55: 22/1 → 22/1 (-0.08pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -4.69pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

88th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE88th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

Only 1 of 8 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Newcastle (AW) on 26 Jun 2026 (-7.05pp).

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Newcastle (AW), 26 Jun 2026 — 6th • open 11/2 → final market price 11/1 (-7.05pp).

Opened 12/1Market avg 33/1

Price move-4.69pp(-156.5%)

28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 33/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

40/1 41 decimal Midnite

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Midnite 40/1SportingIndex 40/1Spreadex 40/17Bet 33/110 Bet 33/1Bet365 33/1BetMGM 33/1BetTom 33/1BetWright 33/1Betfred 33/1Coral 33/1Dragon Bet 33/1Hollywood Bets 33/1Ladbrokes 33/1LiveScore Bet 33/1Quinn Bet 33/1Star Sports 33/1Unibet 33/1Virgin Bet 33/1William Hill 33/1Betfair Sportsbook 33/1Paddy Power 33/1Bet Victor 28/1Betano 28/1Boyle Sports 28/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners	12/1	-2.85ppOpen → 10am	20/1	-1.85pp10am → now; SP pending	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-4.69ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today4f 214y · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners	12/1	-2.85ppOpen → 10am	20/1	-1.85pp10am → now; SP pending	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-4.69ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-4.69ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.85pp since 10am, as of 16:58. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

Just 1 of 8 previous runs showed a larger drift, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse against its previous Open → final market price moves. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Kanishka has moved from 12/1 to 33/1, a developing drift (-4.69pp).

Drifted by 2.85pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.85pp more since 10am. As of 16:58; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 20/1 (21.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 7/1 (7.93 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 27/108 (25%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.3%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Wateen

NON-RUNNERNR @ 08:55

Non-runner adjustment audit

NR recorded: 08:55:29 · recorded declaration time

Last recorded market average before NR: 40/1 (39.391) at 08:52:09

Implied probability: 2.54%

Snapshot 200 seconds before the recorded NR time.

The last captured price is shown, not an assumed exact withdrawal price. Adjustments below use each remaining horse’s measured pre/post-NR price change.

Remaining horse	Before NR / captured	Post-NR baseline	Effect removed
Rhythm N Hooves	7/2 (4.674) 08:52:09	4/1 (5.000) Baseline reference 08:55:29	-1.39pp
Bona Fortuna	5/1 (5.840) 08:52:09	5/1 (6.000) Baseline reference 08:55:29	-0.46pp
Night Storm	11/2 (6.300) 08:52:09	11/2 (6.500) Baseline reference 08:55:29	-0.49pp
Shes Got A Brother	15/2 (8.700) 08:52:09	8/1 (9.000) Baseline reference 08:55:29	-0.38pp
Betsen	5/1 (6.080) 08:52:09	5/1 (6.000) Baseline reference 08:55:29	+0.22pp
Glamorous Breeze	7/1 (7.920) 08:52:09	7/1 (8.000) Baseline reference 08:55:29	-0.13pp
Moulin Booj	7/1 (7.960) 08:52:09	7/1 (8.000) Baseline reference 08:55:29	-0.06pp
Almaty Star	10/1 (10.960) 08:52:09	10/1 (11.000) Baseline reference 08:55:29	-0.03pp
Alondra	20/1 (20.280) 08:52:09	20/1 (21.000) Baseline reference 08:55:29	-0.17pp
Henrythenate	25/1 (24.720) 08:52:09	25/1 (26.000) Baseline reference 08:55:29	-0.20pp
Sugar Hill Babe	25/1 (24.960) 08:52:09	25/1 (26.000) Baseline reference 08:55:29	-0.16pp
Kanishka	22/1 (22.560) 08:52:09	22/1 (23.000) Baseline reference 08:55:29	-0.08pp

Effect removed = (100 ÷ post-NR baseline) − (100 ÷ pre-NR price). True move = raw Open → Now move − total signed NR effects.

The post-NR baseline can be the median of captured bookmaker prices within five minutes after the NR, or the first available timeline price. Its reference time is not necessarily an individual price capture. Fractional prices are rounded; decimal prices are included for checking. Simultaneous withdrawals share one measured event.

Race market overview as at 21:21

Supported2 of 12 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Rhythm N Hooves +5.67pp
Drifting2 of 12 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Moulin Booj -6.38pp
Last 15 minNo gain or drift recorded
Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min

15-minute snapshot 21:20 · no additional market query

17:30Southwell (AW) • Flat • 1m4f14y • Class 6 • Going: Standard

14 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Spirit of NatureDraw 6

Trainer: Jim Goldie

Jockey: Harry Davies

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

Last run29 days ago · 25 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 5 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 6th at Hamilton on 11 Aug 2026 (-23.22pp); and finished 10th at Ayr on 10 Aug 2026 (-11.70pp).

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

When drifting like this: failed 3/4

When drifting like this: failed 3/4 — view runs

25 Sep 2026 · Newcastle (AW)
Open 20/1 → final 33/1 · SP 22/1 · 2nd

11 Aug 2026 · Hamilton
Open 11/4 → final 28/1 · SP 33/1 · 6th

10 Aug 2026 · Ayr
Open 7/2 → final 17/2 · SP 7/1 · 10th

27 Jul 2026 · Ayr
Open 12/1 → final 22/1 · SP 40/1 · 7th

Raw Open → Now price change: 37.7% • -7.82 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Hamilton, 11 Aug 2026 — 6th • open 11/4 → final market price 28/1 (-23.22pp).

Opened 5/2Market avg 4/1

Price move-7.82pp(-37.7%)

7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

4/1 5 decimal 10 Bet

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10 Bet 4/1BetTom 4/1BetWright 4/1Betfred 4/1Coral 4/1Hollywood Bets 4/1Ladbrokes 4/1LiveScore Bet 4/1Midnite 4/1Quinn Bet 4/1Star Sports 4/1Unibet 4/1Virgin Bet 4/1William Hill 4/1Betfair Sportsbook 4/1Paddy Power 4/17Bet 7/2Bet Victor 7/2Bet365 7/2BetMGM 7/2Betano 7/2Boyle Sports 7/2Dragon Bet 7/2SportingIndex 7/2Spreadex 7/2

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 4f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners	5/2	-3.57ppOpen → 10am	3/1	-4.25pp10am → now; SP pending	4/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-7.82pp
Newcastle (AW)25 Sep 20261m 4f 98y · Class 6 · Standard · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	20/1	-1.54ppOpen → 10am	28/1	+1.12pp10am → SP	22/1	2nd	-0.41pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 4f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners	5/2	-3.57ppOpen → 10am	3/1	-4.25pp10am → now; SP pending	4/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-7.82pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-7.82ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyMissed top 2: 3/4Displayed comparable drift runs: 1 first/second finishes in 4 completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-4.25pp since 10am, as of 17:28. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

Just 2 of 5 previous runs showed a larger drift, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse against its previous Open → final market price moves. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Spirit of Nature has moved from 5/2 to 4/1, a developing drift (-7.82pp).

Drifted by 3.57pp by 10am. Drifted by 4.25pp more since 10am. As of 17:28; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newcastle (AW) · 25 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Newcastle (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 4f 14y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 3/1 (4.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 2/1 (2.98 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 18/112 (16.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.6%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

MasegoDraw 8

Trainer: Tony Carroll

Jockey: Kevin Stott

🟢 Needs Support (10%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

Last run31 days ago · 23 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 6.6f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP9/21 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE57th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 7 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 1.6% • -0.31 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Listowel (IRE), 23 Sep 2026 — 7th • open 16/1 → final market price 33/1 (-2.94pp).

Opened 4/1Market avg 4/1

Price move-0.31pp(-1.6%)

7/2 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 4/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

5/1 6 decimal SportingIndex

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

SportingIndex 5/1Spreadex 5/17Bet 9/2Bet365 9/2Betfred 9/2Dragon Bet 9/210 Bet 4/1BetMGM 4/1BetTom 4/1BetWright 4/1Coral 4/1Hollywood Bets 4/1Ladbrokes 4/1LiveScore Bet 4/1Midnite 4/1Quinn Bet 4/1Star Sports 4/1Unibet 4/1Virgin Bet 4/1William Hill 4/1Paddy Power 4/1Bet Victor 7/2Betano 7/2Boyle Sports 7/2Betfair Sportsbook 7/2

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 4f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners	4/1	+8.57ppOpen → 10am	5/2	-8.89pp10am → now; SP pending	4/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.31pp
Down Royal (IRE)17 Jul 20261m 5f · Class — · Good · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/4	+6.77ppOpen → 10am	13/8	-7.25pp10am → SP	9/4	2nd	-0.48pp
Post-race comment
Leopardstown (IRE)15 May 20261m 4f 180y · Class — · Good · 19 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	17/2	+3.76ppOpen → 10am	6/1	+3.90pp10am → SP	9/2	1st	+7.66pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 4f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners	4/1	+8.57ppOpen → 10am	5/2	-8.89pp10am → now; SP pending	4/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.31pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-8.89pp since 10am, as of 17:28. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: class not recorded

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 7 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Masego is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 8.57pp by 10am. Drifted by 8.89pp since 10am. As of 17:28; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 8pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 14/27 (51.9%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Down Royal (IRE) · 17 Jul 2026 · 2nd · 0/3 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Down Royal (IRE)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 4f 14y · previous 1m 5f×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good?Class: Data missing

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 5/2 (3.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 3/1 (4.00 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 40/159 (25.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

WyvillDraw 2

Trainer: Ian Williams

Jockey: Billy Loughnane

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 100/1 · 98% shorter today

Last run35 days ago · 19 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE80th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 5 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 20.8% • -3.44 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Leicester, 13 Jun 2026 — 6th • open 16/1 → final market price 100/1 (-4.89pp).

Opened 4/1Market avg 5/1

Price move-3.44pp(-20.8%)

9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 → 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 4/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/2 6.5 decimal Bet365

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Bet365 11/2BetWright 11/2Coral 11/2Hollywood Bets 11/2Ladbrokes 11/2Star Sports 11/2William Hill 11/27Bet 5/1BetMGM 5/1BetTom 5/1Betfred 5/1Dragon Bet 5/1LiveScore Bet 5/1Midnite 5/1Quinn Bet 5/1SportingIndex 5/1Spreadex 5/1Unibet 5/1Virgin Bet 5/1Betfair Sportsbook 5/1Paddy Power 5/1Bet Victor 9/2Betano 9/2Boyle Sports 9/210 Bet 4/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 4f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners	4/1	-3.33ppOpen → 10am	5/1	-0.11pp10am → now; SP pending	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.44pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 4f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners	4/1	-3.33ppOpen → 10am	5/1	-0.11pp10am → now; SP pending	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.44pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amHolding-0.11pp since 10am, as of 17:28. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 5 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Wyvill is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 3.33pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.11pp more since 10am. As of 17:28; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 5/1 (6.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 3/1 (4.00 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 27/108 (25%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.3%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: 2pm was biggest

Late money still arriving

HavachocDraw 5

Trainer: Patrick Morris

Jockey: Paddy Bradley

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

COURSE RECORD1/3 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 11/2 · 20% bigger today

Last run29 days ago · 25 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP7/23 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

73th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE73rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 15 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

1/2 placed when backed like this (50%).

When backed like this: 1/2 WON

Raw Open → Now price change: 18.1% • +2.33 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Wolverhampton (AW), 08 May 2026 — 2nd • open 11/4 → final market price 6/5 (+18.79pp).

All 2 comparable backed runs (1st or 2nd counts as placed):

Newcastle (AW), 25 Sep 2026 — 6th • open 7/1 → final 5/1
Wolverhampton (AW), 16 Jan 2026 — 1st • open 8/1 → final 11/2

Opened 17/2Market avg 7/1

Price move+2.33pp(+18.1%)

13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 → 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

15/2 8.5 decimal SportingIndex

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SportingIndex 15/2Spreadex 15/27Bet 7/1Bet365 7/1BetWright 7/1Coral 7/1Dragon Bet 7/1Hollywood Bets 7/1Ladbrokes 7/1LiveScore Bet 7/1Midnite 7/1Star Sports 7/1Virgin Bet 7/1William Hill 7/110 Bet 13/2BetMGM 13/2BetTom 13/2Betfred 13/2Boyle Sports 13/2Quinn Bet 13/2Unibet 13/2Betfair Sportsbook 13/2Paddy Power 13/2Bet Victor 6/1Betano 6/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 4f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners	17/2	+2.81ppOpen → 10am	13/2	-0.48pp10am → now; SP pending	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+2.33pp
Beverley03 Jul 20261m 4f 23y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 5 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	13/2	-5.64ppOpen → 10am	12/1	+2.83pp10am → SP	17/2	2nd	-2.81pp
Post-race comment
Newcastle (AW)02 Jun 20261m 4f 98y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/4	-10.77ppOpen → 10am	4/1	+2.22pp10am → SP	7/2	2nd	-8.55pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)08 May 20261m 5f 218y · Class 6 · Standard · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/4	+17.78ppOpen → 10am	5/4	+3.17pp10am → SP	11/10	2nd	+20.95pp
Post-race comment
Newcastle (AW)15 Feb 20261m 4f 98y · Class 6 · Standard · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/8	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	11/8	-19.79pp10am → SP	7/2	1st	-19.79pp
Post-race comment
Southwell (AW)05 Feb 20261m 4f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	2/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	2/1	-4.76pp10am → SP	5/2	1st	-4.76pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)16 Jan 20261m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	8/1	+0.65ppOpen → 10am	15/2	+6.42pp10am → SP	9/2	1st	+7.07pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 4f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners	17/2	+2.81ppOpen → 10am	13/2	-0.48pp10am → now; SP pending	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+2.33pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amHolding-0.48pp since 10am, as of 17:28. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 15 previous Open → final market price moves. When backed in a similar way previously, it finished first or second in 1 of 2 runs. Today’s move: Havachoc is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 2.81pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.48pp since 10am. As of 17:28; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 05 Feb 2026 · 1st · 4/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Southwell (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 4f 14y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/2 (6.44 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 4/29 (13.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 6.4%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

Miss VeronikaDraw 10

Trainer: Brian Ellison

Jockey: Callum Rodriguez

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 66/1 · 86% shorter today

Last run46 days ago · 8 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 6.1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 8% • -0.87 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Southwell (AW), 03 Sep 2026 — 6th • open 18/1 → final market price 66/1 (-3.51pp).

Opened 15/2Market avg 8/1

Price move-0.87pp(-8.0%)

8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/1 10 decimal Coral

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Coral 9/1Hollywood Bets 9/1Ladbrokes 9/1Star Sports 9/1Bet365 17/2BetWright 17/2LiveScore Bet 17/2Quinn Bet 17/2Unibet 17/2Virgin Bet 17/2William Hill 17/2Betfair Sportsbook 17/2Paddy Power 17/210 Bet 8/17Bet 8/1BetMGM 8/1BetTom 8/1Betfred 8/1Boyle Sports 8/1Dragon Bet 8/1Midnite 8/1Bet Victor 15/2Betano 15/2SportingIndex 13/2Spreadex 13/2

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 4f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners	15/2	-2.67ppOpen → 10am	10/1	+1.80pp10am → now; SP pending	8/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.87pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 4f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners	15/2	-2.67ppOpen → 10am	10/1	+1.80pp10am → now; SP pending	8/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.87pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amStrengthening+1.80pp since 10am, as of 17:28. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 5 · ↓ Class drop

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves. The horse drops from Class 5 to Class 6, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Miss Veronika is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 2.67pp by 10am. Shortened by 1.80pp since 10am. As of 17:28; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 10/1 (11.00 decimal).

10am price recovered — watch whether it holds.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 5/1 (5.96 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 6/52 (11.5%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 5.9%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: 10am was biggest

Weakening late

Highland HarveyDraw 3

Trainer: Gihan Arnolda

Jockey: Callum Shepherd

🟢 Needs Support (27%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

Last run18 days ago · 6 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP6/51 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 12 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 35.1% • -3.71 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Newcastle (AW), 15 Feb 2026 — 3rd • open 5/2 → final market price 3/1 (-3.57pp).

Opened 6/1Market avg 17/2

Price move-3.71pp(-35.1%)

15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 17/2 → 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/1 10 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 9/1Coral 9/1Ladbrokes 9/1LiveScore Bet 9/1Unibet 9/1Virgin Bet 9/1William Hill 9/17Bet 17/2BetTom 17/2BetWright 17/2Dragon Bet 17/2Hollywood Bets 17/2Midnite 17/2Quinn Bet 17/2SportingIndex 17/2Spreadex 17/2Star Sports 17/2Betfair Sportsbook 17/2Paddy Power 17/210 Bet 8/1BetMGM 8/1Betfred 8/1Bet Victor 15/2Betano 15/2Boyle Sports 15/2

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 4f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners	6/1	+1.10ppOpen → 10am	11/2	-4.81pp10am → now; SP pending	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.71pp
Brighton01 Sep 20261m 3f 198y · Class 6 · Good · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/3	+5.32ppOpen → 10am	5/2	+7.79pp10am → SP	7/4	2nd	+13.11pp
Post-race comment
Yarmouth15 Jul 20261m 3f 104y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/4	+8.08ppOpen → 10am	5/4	+1.01pp10am → SP	6/5	1st	+9.09pp
Post-race comment
Brighton22 Jun 20261m 3f 198y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	+14.72ppOpen → 10am	15/8	+5.28pp10am → SP	6/4	2nd	+20.00pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)09 Feb 20261m 4f 51y · Class 6 · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	20/1	+3.57ppOpen → 10am	11/1	+5.00pp10am → SP	13/2	2nd	+8.57pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 4f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners	6/1	+1.10ppOpen → 10am	11/2	-4.81pp10am → now; SP pending	17/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.71pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-4.81pp since 10am, as of 17:28. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 12 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Highland Harvey is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.10pp by 10am. Drifted by 4.81pp since 10am. As of 17:28; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 09 Feb 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 4f 14y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 11/2 (6.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Horse support level

Support of +11.26pp · around 3/1 (3.92 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

4/6 finished 1st or 2nd with this much support or more (67%).

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 4/1 (5.19 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 3/17 (17.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.9%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

AlkaiosDraw 14

Trainer: Steph Hollinshead

Jockey: Dougie Costello

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

COURSE RECORD0/3 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 100/1 · 92% shorter today

Last run19 days ago · 5 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE83rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 6 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.

Raw Open → Now price change: 37.1% • +3.46 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Wolverhampton (AW), 05 Oct 2026 — 5th • open 50/1 → final market price 16/1 (+3.92pp).

Opened 16/1Market avg 10/1

Price move+3.46pp(+37.1%)

8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 17/2 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 9/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

12/1 13 decimal Bet365

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Bet365 12/1SportingIndex 12/1Spreadex 12/17Bet 11/1Dragon Bet 11/1BetMGM 10/1BetWright 10/1Coral 10/1Hollywood Bets 10/1Ladbrokes 10/1Midnite 10/1Star Sports 10/1William Hill 10/110 Bet 9/1BetTom 9/1Betfred 9/1LiveScore Bet 9/1Quinn Bet 9/1Unibet 9/1Virgin Bet 9/1Bet Victor 17/2Betano 17/2Paddy Power 17/2Boyle Sports 8/1Betfair Sportsbook 8/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 4f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners	16/1	+0.78ppOpen → 10am	14/1	+2.68pp10am → now; SP pending	10/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+3.46pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 4f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners	16/1	+0.78ppOpen → 10am	14/1	+2.68pp10am → now; SP pending	10/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+3.46pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amStrengthening+2.68pp since 10am, as of 17:28. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 6 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Alkaios is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.78pp by 10am. Shortened by 2.68pp more since 10am. As of 17:28; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 8/1 (9.19 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 4/18 (22.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 7.1%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

LednikovDraw 4

Trainer: Ivan Furtado

Jockey: Elle-May Croot(5)

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

COURSE RECORD1/7 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 14/1 · 24% shorter today

Last run26 days ago · 28 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1.9f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP18/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

64th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE64th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 14 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.

Raw Open → Now price change: 20.8% • +1.75 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Southwell (AW), 31 Aug 2026 — 5th • open 13/2 → final market price 7/2 (+8.71pp).

Opened 14/1Market avg 11/1

Price move+1.75pp(+20.8%)

9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 10/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

14/1 15 decimal SportingIndex

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SportingIndex 14/1Spreadex 14/17Bet 12/1Bet365 12/1BetWright 12/1Dragon Bet 12/1Midnite 12/1BetMGM 11/1Coral 11/1Hollywood Bets 11/1Ladbrokes 11/1LiveScore Bet 11/1Star Sports 11/1Virgin Bet 11/1William Hill 11/110 Bet 10/1BetTom 10/1Betfred 10/1Quinn Bet 10/1Unibet 10/1Paddy Power 10/1Bet Victor 9/1Betano 9/1Boyle Sports 9/1Betfair Sportsbook 9/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 4f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners	14/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	14/1	+1.75pp10am → now; SP pending	11/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.75pp
Southwell (AW)13 Mar 20261m 6f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/1	-5.64ppOpen → 10am	28/1	+1.81pp10am → SP	18/1	1st	-3.83pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 4f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners	14/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	14/1	+1.75pp10am → now; SP pending	11/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.75pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amStrengthening+1.75pp since 10am, as of 17:28. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 14 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Lednikov is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

No net move by 10am. Shortened by 1.75pp since 10am. As of 17:28; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 13 Mar 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Southwell (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 4f 14y · previous 1m 6f 21y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 15/2 (8.57 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 10/62 (16.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 8.1%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

HicktonDraw 13

Trainer: Declan Carroll

Jockey: Zak Wheatley

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

COURSE RECORD1/3 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 9/1 · 25% bigger today

Last run26 days ago · 28 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP11/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

11th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE11th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 9 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 15.6% • -1.23 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Southwell (AW), 07 May 2026 — 9th • open 11/4 → final market price 11/1 (-18.33pp).

Opened 10/1Market avg 12/1

Price move-1.23pp(-15.6%)

11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 → 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

14/1 15 decimal Star Sports

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Star Sports 14/17Bet 12/1Bet365 12/1BetWright 12/1Betfred 12/1Coral 12/1Dragon Bet 12/1Hollywood Bets 12/1Ladbrokes 12/1LiveScore Bet 12/1Midnite 12/1Quinn Bet 12/1SportingIndex 12/1Spreadex 12/1Unibet 12/1Virgin Bet 12/1William Hill 12/1Betfair Sportsbook 12/110 Bet 11/1BetMGM 11/1BetTom 11/1Boyle Sports 11/1Paddy Power 11/1Bet Victor 10/1Betano 10/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 4f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners	10/1	+2.02ppOpen → 10am	8/1	-3.25pp10am → now; SP pending	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.23pp
Southwell (AW)25 Apr 20261m 6f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	6/1	-1.79ppOpen → 10am	7/1	-4.17pp10am → SP	11/1	1st	-5.95pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 4f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners	10/1	+2.02ppOpen → 10am	8/1	-3.25pp10am → now; SP pending	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.23pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.25pp since 10am, as of 17:28. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 9 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Hickton is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 2.02pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.25pp since 10am. As of 17:28; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 25 Apr 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Southwell (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 4f 14y · previous 1m 6f 21y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 8/1 (9.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 6/1 (7.10 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 5/28 (17.9%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Clipsham NobleDraw 7

Trainer: Charlie Clover

Jockey: Rob Hornby

🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 13/2 · 107% bigger today

Last run18 days ago · 6 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP13/22 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 12 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 29.7% • -1.91 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Leicester, 25 Jun 2026 — 4th • open 2/1 → final market price 5/1 (-16.67pp).

Opened 11/1Market avg 14/1

Price move-1.91pp(-29.7%)

14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

16/1 17 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 16/1Coral 16/1Hollywood Bets 16/1Ladbrokes 16/1LiveScore Bet 16/1Star Sports 16/1Virgin Bet 16/1William Hill 16/110 Bet 14/17Bet 14/1Bet Victor 14/1BetMGM 14/1BetTom 14/1BetWright 14/1Betano 14/1Betfred 14/1Boyle Sports 14/1Dragon Bet 14/1Midnite 14/1Quinn Bet 14/1SportingIndex 14/1Spreadex 14/1Betfair Sportsbook 14/1Paddy Power 14/1Unibet 12/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 4f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners	11/1	+2.78ppOpen → 10am	8/1	-4.68pp10am → now; SP pending	14/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.91pp
Leicester22 Jul 20261m 2f · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/2	-5.56ppOpen → 10am	5/1	-3.33pp10am → SP	13/2	1st	-8.89pp
Post-race comment
Leicester25 May 20261m 3f 178y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/2	-8.89ppOpen → 10am	13/2	+0.00pp10am → SP	13/2	1st	-8.89pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 4f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners	11/1	+2.78ppOpen → 10am	8/1	-4.68pp10am → now; SP pending	14/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.91pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-4.68pp since 10am, as of 17:28. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 12 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Clipsham Noble is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 2.78pp by 10am. Drifted by 4.68pp since 10am. As of 17:28; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Leicester · 25 May 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Leicester✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 4f 14y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 6

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 8/1 (9.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 13/2 (7.50 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 12/28 (42.9%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 23%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

NymphaeaDraw 12

Trainer: Jennie Candlish

Jockey: Darragh Keenan

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

COURSE RECORD1/3 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 28/1 · Today close to the course average

Last run11 days ago · 13 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP5/22 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

43th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE43rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 14 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

When drifting like this: failed 6/8

When drifting like this: failed 6/8 — view runs

13 Oct 2026 · Wolverhampton (AW)
Open 10/1 → final 33/1 · SP 33/1 · 4th

28 Jul 2026 · Yarmouth
Open 13/8 → final 3/1 · SP 3/1 · 4th

25 Jun 2026 · Nottingham
Open 7/4 → final 11/4 · SP 9/4 · 1st

19 May 2026 · Newcastle (AW)
Open 6/1 → final 12/1 · SP 12/1 · 3rd

25 Mar 2026 · Lingfield (AW)
Open 5/1 → final 7/1 · SP 7/1 · 9th

Raw Open → Now price change: 87.7% • -3.12 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Yarmouth, 28 Jul 2026 — 4th • open 13/8 → final market price 3/1 (-13.17pp).

Opened 14/1Market avg 28/1

Price move-3.12pp(-87.7%)

28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 28/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

28/1 31 decimal 7Bet

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7Bet 28/110 Bet 28/1Bet365 28/1BetTom 28/1BetWright 28/1Boyle Sports 28/1Coral 28/1Dragon Bet 28/1Hollywood Bets 28/1Ladbrokes 28/1LiveScore Bet 28/1Midnite 28/1Quinn Bet 28/1SportingIndex 28/1Spreadex 28/1Star Sports 28/1Unibet 28/1Virgin Bet 28/1William Hill 28/1Betfair Sportsbook 28/1Paddy Power 28/1Betfred 25/1Bet Victor 22/1Betano 22/1BetMGM 20/1

25 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 4f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners	14/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	14/1	-3.12pp10am → now; SP pending	28/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.12pp
Nottingham21 Jul 20261m 2f 50y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/2	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	7/2	+4.44pp10am → SP	11/4	1st	+4.44pp
Post-race comment
Nottingham25 Jun 20261m 6f · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 4 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/4	-3.03ppOpen → 10am	2/1	-2.56pp10am → SP	9/4	1st	-5.59pp
Post-race comment
Windsor08 Jun 20261m 3f 99y · Class 6 · Good To Soft · 13 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/1	-2.45ppOpen → 10am	16/1	+8.40pp10am → SP	6/1	2nd	+5.95pp
Post-race comment
Southwell (AW)13 Mar 20261m 6f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	8/1	-3.42ppOpen → 10am	12/1	+0.64pp10am → SP	11/1	2nd	-2.78pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 4f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners	14/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	14/1	-3.12pp10am → now; SP pending	28/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.12pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.12pp since 10am, as of 17:28. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 14 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Nymphaea is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

No net move by 10am. Drifted by 3.12pp since 10am. As of 17:28; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 13 Mar 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Southwell (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 4f 14y · previous 1m 6f 21y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 14/1 (15.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 15/2 (8.57 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 14/66 (21.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 14.7%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

RayshamDraw 1

Trainer: Gihan Arnolda

Jockey: Luke Morris

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

Last run166 days ago · 11 May 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 48.1% • -1.67 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Nottingham, 18 Apr 2026 — 10th • open 11/4 → final market price 9/1 (-16.67pp).

Opened 18/1Market avg 28/1

Price move-1.67pp(-48.1%)

28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 28/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

33/1 34 decimal Bet365

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Bet365 33/1Star Sports 33/17Bet 28/110 Bet 28/1BetTom 28/1BetWright 28/1Betfred 28/1Boyle Sports 28/1Coral 28/1Dragon Bet 28/1Hollywood Bets 28/1Ladbrokes 28/1LiveScore Bet 28/1Midnite 28/1Quinn Bet 28/1SportingIndex 28/1Spreadex 28/1Unibet 28/1Virgin Bet 28/1William Hill 28/1Betfair Sportsbook 28/1Paddy Power 28/1BetMGM 25/1Bet Victor 22/1Betano 22/1

25 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 4f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners	18/1	+0.75ppOpen → 10am	16/1	-2.42pp10am → now; SP pending	28/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.67pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 4f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners	18/1	+0.75ppOpen → 10am	16/1	-2.42pp10am → now; SP pending	28/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.67pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.42pp since 10am, as of 17:28. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Raysham is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.75pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.42pp since 10am. As of 17:28; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 16/1 (17.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/1 (9.87 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 3/17 (17.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.9%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

The Ormer GathererDraw 11

Trainer: Faye Bramley

Jockey: William Cox

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

Last run27 days ago · 27 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 2.1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 65.3% • -2.20 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Bath, 12 Sep 2026 — 7th • open 25/1 → final market price 33/1 (-1.06pp).

Opened 16/1Market avg 28/1

Price move-2.20pp(-65.3%)

25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 28/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

40/1 41 decimal SportingIndex

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SportingIndex 40/1Spreadex 40/1Midnite 33/1Star Sports 33/1Betfair Sportsbook 33/1Paddy Power 33/17Bet 28/110 Bet 28/1BetTom 28/1BetWright 28/1Betfred 28/1Dragon Bet 28/1Hollywood Bets 28/1LiveScore Bet 28/1Quinn Bet 28/1Unibet 28/1Virgin Bet 28/1William Hill 28/1Bet365 25/1BetMGM 25/1Boyle Sports 25/1Coral 25/1Ladbrokes 25/1Bet Victor 22/1Betano 22/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 4f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners	16/1	+1.11ppOpen → 10am	14/1	-3.31pp10am → now; SP pending	28/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.20pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 4f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners	16/1	+1.11ppOpen → 10am	14/1	-3.31pp10am → now; SP pending	28/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.20pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.31pp since 10am, as of 17:28. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: The Ormer Gatherer is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.11pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.31pp since 10am. As of 17:28; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 14/1 (15.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 17/2 (9.47 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 12/30 (40%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 13.9%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Fighting PoetDraw 9

Trainer: Richard Phillips

Jockey: Robert Havlin

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

Last run59 days ago · 26 Aug 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE63rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 8 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

When drifting like this: failed 5/6

When drifting like this: failed 5/6 — view runs

26 Aug 2026 · Wolverhampton (AW)
Open 5/1 → final 11/1 · SP 10/1 · 7th

18 Aug 2026 · Lingfield (AW)
Open 7/1 → final 10/1 · SP 10/1 · 3rd

11 Aug 2026 · Lingfield (AW)
Open 40/1 → final 66/1 · SP 80/1 · 2nd

21 Jul 2026 · Wolverhampton (AW)
Open 33/1 → final 100/1 · SP 100/1 · 9th

22 Jun 2026 · Brighton
Open 9/1 → final 18/1 · SP 22/1 · 6th

Raw Open → Now price change: 164.2% • -3.27 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 26 Aug 2026 — 7th • open 5/1 → final market price 11/1 (-8.91pp).

Opened 18/1Market avg 50/1

Price move-3.27pp(-164.2%)

50/1 → 50/1 ↓ 40/1 ↑ 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↓ 40/1 ↑ 50/1 → 50/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

50/1 51 decimal 10 Bet

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10 Bet 50/17Bet 50/1Bet365 50/1BetMGM 50/1BetTom 50/1BetWright 50/1Betfred 50/1Boyle Sports 50/1Coral 50/1Dragon Bet 50/1Hollywood Bets 50/1Ladbrokes 50/1LiveScore Bet 50/1Midnite 50/1Quinn Bet 50/1SportingIndex 50/1Spreadex 50/1Star Sports 50/1Unibet 50/1Virgin Bet 50/1William Hill 50/1Betfair Sportsbook 50/1Paddy Power 50/1Bet Victor 40/1Betano 40/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 4f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners	18/1	-1.42ppOpen → 10am	25/1	-1.85pp10am → now; SP pending	50/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.27pp
Lingfield (AW)11 Aug 20261m 4f · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	40/1	-0.94ppOpen → 10am	80/1	+0.00pp10am → SP	80/1	2nd	-0.94pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 4f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 14 runners	18/1	-1.42ppOpen → 10am	25/1	-1.85pp10am → now; SP pending	50/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.27pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.85pp since 10am, as of 17:28. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 8 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Fighting Poet is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 1.42pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.85pp more since 10am. As of 17:28; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Lingfield (AW) · 11 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Lingfield (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 4f 14y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 25/1 (26.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 17/2 (9.74 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 1/6 (16.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 3.2%. Small sample.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Race market overview as at 21:21

Supported0 of 14 runners at +4pp or more
Drifting1 of 14 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Spirit of Nature -7.82pp
Last 15 minNo gain or drift recorded
Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min

15-minute snapshot 21:20 · no additional market query

18:00Southwell (AW) • Flat • 1m13y • Class 3 • Going: Standard

10 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

National AnthemDraw 9

Trainer: John & Thady Gosden

Jockey: Robert Havlin

PRO RACECARD ↗

Last runNot recorded

Distance changeNot recorded

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 27.6% • +14.50 probability points

Opened 13/8Market avg 10/11

Price move+14.50pp(+27.6%)

EVS ↓ 5/6 → 5/6 ↑ 10/11 → 10/11 ↓ 4/5 ↑ 10/11 → 10/11 → 10/11 ↓ 5/6

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/10 2.1 decimal Hollywood Bets

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Hollywood Bets 11/10Coral EVSLadbrokes EVSLiveScore Bet EVSVirgin Bet EVS7Bet 10/11Bet Victor 10/11Bet365 10/11BetWright 10/11Betano 10/11Dragon Bet 10/11SportingIndex 10/11Spreadex 10/11Star Sports 10/11Unibet 10/11William Hill 10/1110 Bet 5/6Betfred 5/6Boyle Sports 5/6Midnite 5/6Quinn Bet 5/6Paddy Power 5/6BetMGM 4/5Betfair Sportsbook 4/5

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	13/8	+6.42ppOpen → 10am	5/4	+8.08pp10am → now; SP pending	10/11Current; SP pending	Pending	+14.50pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	13/8	+6.42ppOpen → 10am	5/4	+8.08pp10am → now; SP pending	10/11Current; SP pending	Pending	+14.50pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

TRAINER RECORD MAKES THIS SUPPORT SIGNIFICANTMarket+14.50ppGenuine support from the opening price.Trainer23.9% → 45.8%Open → SP · backed 10pp+Baseline → matching strike rate; 48 runners, Open → SP · backed 10pp+. Historical sample requires opening, 10am and official SP prices. Popup uses opening → final market price and a broader results baseline.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amStrengthening+8.08pp since 10am, as of 17:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: class not recorded

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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John & Thady Gosden runners in the matching 10pp+ band have won 22/48 (a 45.8% Open→SP strike rate), compared with the trainer’s normal 23.9% strike rate. There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: National Anthem has shortened from 13/8 to 10/11, which is strong support (+14.50pp).

Shortened by 6.42pp by 10am. Shortened by 8.08pp more since 10am. As of 17:57; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 6pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 11/26 (42.3%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +15.00pp · around 10/11 (1.89 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 13/27 (48.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 23.9%.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/8 (2.32 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

Trainer won 37/107 (34.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 23.9%.

Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 11/10 (2.08 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

Trainer won 22/48 (45.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 23.9%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

Ring of MusicDraw 7

Trainer: Hugo Palmer

Jockey: Callum Rodriguez

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

Last run23 days ago · 1 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 7.9% • +1.98 probability points

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final market support in the recorded sample.

Opened 10/3Market avg 3/1

Price move+1.98pp(+7.9%)

3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1 → 3/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/3 4.2 decimal BetMGM

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BetMGM 10/310 Bet 3/17Bet 3/1Bet Victor 3/1Bet365 3/1BetTom 3/1BetWright 3/1Betano 3/1Betfred 3/1Boyle Sports 3/1Coral 3/1Dragon Bet 3/1Hollywood Bets 3/1Ladbrokes 3/1LiveScore Bet 3/1Midnite 3/1Quinn Bet 3/1SportingIndex 3/1Spreadex 3/1Star Sports 3/1Unibet 3/1Virgin Bet 3/1William Hill 3/1Betfair Sportsbook 11/4Paddy Power 11/4

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	10/3	+6.32ppOpen → 10am	5/2	-4.34pp10am → now; SP pending	3/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.98pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	10/3	+6.32ppOpen → 10am	5/2	-4.34pp10am → now; SP pending	3/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.98pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-4.34pp since 10am, as of 17:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: Class 3 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Ring of Music is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 6.32pp by 10am. Drifted by 4.34pp since 10am. As of 17:57; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 6pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 5/22 (22.7%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 5/2 (3.56 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 26/99 (26.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

Night MileDraw 8

Trainer: Owen Burrows

Jockey: Daniel Muscutt

PRO RACECARD ↗

Last runNot recorded

Distance changeNot recorded

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 58.9% • -8.56 probability points

Opened 10/3Market avg 6/1

Price move-8.56pp(-58.9%)

11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

13/2 7.5 decimal BetMGM

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BetMGM 13/2Unibet 13/210 Bet 6/17Bet 6/1BetWright 6/1Betfred 6/1Coral 6/1Dragon Bet 6/1Ladbrokes 6/1Midnite 6/1Quinn Bet 6/1SportingIndex 6/1Spreadex 6/1Star Sports 6/1William Hill 6/1Betfair Sportsbook 6/1Paddy Power 6/1Bet Victor 11/2Bet365 11/2BetTom 11/2Betano 11/2Boyle Sports 11/2Hollywood Bets 11/2LiveScore Bet 11/2Virgin Bet 11/2

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	10/3	-0.87ppOpen → 10am	7/2	-7.69pp10am → now; SP pending	6/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-8.56pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	10/3	-0.87ppOpen → 10am	7/2	-7.69pp10am → now; SP pending	6/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-8.56pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

SIGNIFICANT MARKET DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-8.56ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-7.69pp since 10am, as of 17:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: class not recorded

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Night Mile has moved from 10/3 to 6/1, a significant drift (-8.56pp).

Drifted by 0.87pp by 10am. Drifted by 7.69pp more since 10am. As of 17:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 7/2 (4.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 5/2 (3.56 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 8/32 (25%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 17.8%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Steel NationDraw 1

Trainer: George Boughey

Jockey: Billy Loughnane

PRO RACECARD ↗

Last runNot recorded

Distance changeNot recorded

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 50.1% • -3.93 probability points

Opened 15/2Market avg 12/1

Price move-3.93pp(-50.1%)

11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

12/1 13 decimal 10 Bet

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10 Bet 12/17Bet 12/1Bet365 12/1BetMGM 12/1BetWright 12/1Betfred 12/1Coral 12/1Dragon Bet 12/1Hollywood Bets 12/1Ladbrokes 12/1Midnite 12/1Quinn Bet 12/1SportingIndex 12/1Spreadex 12/1Star Sports 12/1Unibet 12/1William Hill 12/1Betfair Sportsbook 12/1Paddy Power 12/1Bet Victor 11/1BetTom 11/1Betano 11/1Boyle Sports 11/1LiveScore Bet 11/1Virgin Bet 11/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	15/2	-0.65ppOpen → 10am	8/1	-3.27pp10am → now; SP pending	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.93pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	15/2	-0.65ppOpen → 10am	8/1	-3.27pp10am → now; SP pending	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.93pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.27pp since 10am, as of 17:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: class not recorded

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Steel Nation is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 0.65pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.27pp more since 10am. As of 17:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 8/1 (9.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 5/1 (5.96 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 31/85 (36.5%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 18.1%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Political ResidentDraw 6

Trainer: Andrew Balding

Jockey: Callum Hutchinson

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

Last run25 days ago · 29 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 84.4% • -5.09 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Bath, 29 Sep 2026 — 4th • open 7/1 → final market price 12/1 (-4.81pp).

Opened 8/1Market avg 16/1

Price move-5.09pp(-84.4%)

16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1 → 16/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

16/1 17 decimal 10 Bet

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10 Bet 16/17Bet 16/1Bet Victor 16/1Bet365 16/1BetTom 16/1BetWright 16/1Betano 16/1Betfred 16/1Boyle Sports 16/1Coral 16/1Dragon Bet 16/1Ladbrokes 16/1Midnite 16/1Quinn Bet 16/1SportingIndex 16/1Spreadex 16/1Star Sports 16/1Unibet 16/1William Hill 16/1Paddy Power 16/1BetMGM 14/1Hollywood Bets 14/1LiveScore Bet 14/1Virgin Bet 14/1Betfair Sportsbook 14/1

25 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	8/1	-2.78ppOpen → 10am	11/1	-2.31pp10am → now; SP pending	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-5.09pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	8/1	-2.78ppOpen → 10am	11/1	-2.31pp10am → now; SP pending	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-5.09pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-5.09ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.31pp since 10am, as of 17:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: Class 3 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Political Resident has moved from 8/1 to 16/1, a developing drift (-5.09pp).

Drifted by 2.78pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.31pp more since 10am. As of 17:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 11/1 (12.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 5/1 (6.21 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 75/228 (32.9%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 18.7%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Quite SimpleDraw 3

Trainer: Simon Crisford

Jockey: Jack Mitchell

PRO RACECARD ↗

Last runNot recorded

Distance changeNot recorded

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 66.2% • -3.62 probability points

Opened 10/1Market avg 18/1

Price move-3.62pp(-66.2%)

16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

20/1 21 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 20/110 Bet 18/17Bet 18/1BetMGM 18/1BetWright 18/1Betfred 18/1Coral 18/1Dragon Bet 18/1Ladbrokes 18/1LiveScore Bet 18/1Quinn Bet 18/1Virgin Bet 18/1William Hill 18/1Betfair Sportsbook 18/1Paddy Power 18/1Bet Victor 16/1BetTom 16/1Betano 16/1Boyle Sports 16/1Hollywood Bets 16/1Midnite 16/1SportingIndex 16/1Spreadex 16/1Star Sports 16/1Unibet 16/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	10/1	+2.02ppOpen → 10am	8/1	-5.64pp10am → now; SP pending	18/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.62pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	10/1	+2.02ppOpen → 10am	8/1	-5.64pp10am → now; SP pending	18/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.62pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-5.64pp since 10am, as of 17:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: class not recorded

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Quite Simple is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 2.02pp by 10am. Drifted by 5.64pp since 10am. As of 17:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 8/1 (9.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Naval EmpireDraw 10

Trainer: Stuart Williams

Jockey: Dylan Hogan

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

Last run27 days ago · 27 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 0.7f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 122.8% • -5.51 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Ffos Las, 27 Sep 2026 — 3rd • open 10/1 → final market price 14/1 (-2.42pp).

Opened 9/1Market avg 22/1

Price move-5.51pp(-122.8%)

20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 22/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

22/1 23 decimal 10 Bet

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10 Bet 22/1Bet365 22/1BetWright 22/1Betfred 22/1Coral 22/1Dragon Bet 22/1Hollywood Bets 22/1Ladbrokes 22/1LiveScore Bet 22/1Quinn Bet 22/1SportingIndex 22/1Spreadex 22/1Star Sports 22/1Virgin Bet 22/1William Hill 22/1Paddy Power 22/17Bet 20/1Bet Victor 20/1BetMGM 20/1BetTom 20/1Betano 20/1Boyle Sports 20/1Midnite 20/1Unibet 20/1Betfair Sportsbook 20/1

25 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	9/1	-2.86ppOpen → 10am	12/1	-2.65pp10am → now; SP pending	22/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-5.51pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	9/1	-2.86ppOpen → 10am	12/1	-2.65pp10am → now; SP pending	22/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-5.51pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-5.51ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.65pp since 10am, as of 17:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: Class 3 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Naval Empire has moved from 9/1 to 22/1, a developing drift (-5.51pp).

Drifted by 2.86pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.65pp more since 10am. As of 17:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 12/1 (14.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/2 (6.67 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 20/61 (32.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.5%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Jeepers FortuneDraw 2

Trainer: Harry Eustace

Jockey: Pierre-Louis Jamin

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

Last run29 days ago · 25 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1.1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 77.6% • -2.91 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Kempton (AW), 02 Sep 2026 — 6th • open 10/1 → final market price 25/1 (-4.85pp).

Opened 14/1Market avg 25/1

Price move-2.91pp(-77.6%)

22/1 → 22/1 → 22/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 22/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

40/1 41 decimal SportingIndex

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SportingIndex 40/1Spreadex 40/1Bet365 33/17Bet 28/1BetWright 28/1Dragon Bet 28/1Midnite 28/1BetMGM 25/1Coral 25/1Ladbrokes 25/1LiveScore Bet 25/1Virgin Bet 25/1William Hill 25/110 Bet 22/1Bet Victor 22/1BetTom 22/1Betano 22/1Betfred 22/1Boyle Sports 22/1Hollywood Bets 22/1Quinn Bet 22/1Star Sports 22/1Unibet 22/1Betfair Sportsbook 22/1Paddy Power 22/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	14/1	-3.22ppOpen → 10am	28/1	+0.31pp10am → now; SP pending	25/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.91pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	14/1	-3.22ppOpen → 10am	28/1	+0.31pp10am → now; SP pending	25/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.91pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amHolding+0.31pp since 10am, as of 17:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: Class 3 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Jeepers Fortune is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 3.22pp by 10am. Shortened by 0.31pp since 10am. As of 17:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 28/1 (29.00 decimal).

10am price recovered — watch whether it holds.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 15/2 (8.57 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 13/34 (38.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12.8%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: 10am was biggest

Weakening late

ChertseyDraw 4

Trainer: Sir Mark Prescott Bt

Jockey: Luke Morris

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 100/1 · 74% shorter today

Last run9 days ago · 15 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 147.8% • -2.84 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Southwell (AW), 15 Oct 2026 — 3rd • open 66/1 → final market price 100/1 (-1.00pp).

Opened 20/1Market avg 50/1

Price move-2.84pp(-147.8%)

50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 → 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 → 50/1 → 50/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

66/1 67 decimal Bet365

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Bet365 66/1BetWright 66/1Dragon Bet 66/110 Bet 50/17Bet 50/1Bet Victor 50/1BetMGM 50/1BetTom 50/1Betano 50/1Betfred 50/1Boyle Sports 50/1Coral 50/1Hollywood Bets 50/1Ladbrokes 50/1LiveScore Bet 50/1Midnite 50/1Quinn Bet 50/1SportingIndex 50/1Spreadex 50/1Star Sports 50/1Virgin Bet 50/1William Hill 50/1Betfair Sportsbook 50/1Paddy Power 50/1Unibet 40/1

25 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	20/1	-1.31ppOpen → 10am	28/1	-1.53pp10am → now; SP pending	50/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.84pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	20/1	-1.31ppOpen → 10am	28/1	-1.53pp10am → now; SP pending	50/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.84pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.53pp since 10am, as of 17:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: Class 3 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Chertsey is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 1.31pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.53pp more since 10am. As of 17:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 28/1 (29.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/1 (10.24 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 23/62 (37.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 17.9%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

SplinteredDraw 5

Trainer: Jonathan Portman

Jockey: Rob Hornby

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

Last run19 days ago · 5 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 124.7% • -0.69 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Kempton (AW), 05 Oct 2026 — 8th • open 50/1 → final market price 100/1 (-1.56pp).

Opened 80/1Market avg 100/1

Price move-0.69pp(-124.7%)

100/1 → 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 → 100/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

100/1 251 decimal Bet365

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Bet365 100/1Bet Victor 100/1BetTom 100/1Betano 100/1Betfred 100/1Boyle Sports 100/1Coral 100/1Hollywood Bets 100/1Ladbrokes 100/1LiveScore Bet 100/1Midnite 100/1Quinn Bet 100/1Star Sports 100/1Virgin Bet 100/1William Hill 100/1Betfair Sportsbook 100/1Paddy Power 100/110 Bet 100/17Bet 100/1BetMGM 100/1BetWright 100/1Dragon Bet 100/1Unibet 100/1SportingIndex 100/1Spreadex 100/1

25 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	80/1	-0.24ppOpen → 10am	100/1	-0.44pp10am → now; SP pending	100/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.69pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	80/1	-0.24ppOpen → 10am	100/1	-0.44pp10am → now; SP pending	100/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.69pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amHolding-0.44pp since 10am, as of 17:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: Class 3 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Splintered is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 0.24pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.44pp more since 10am. As of 17:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 100/1 (101.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 16/1 (16.04 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 10/39 (25.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.6%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Race market overview as at 21:21

Supported1 of 10 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: National Anthem +14.50pp
Drifting3 of 10 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Night Mile -8.56pp
Last 15 minNo gain or drift recorded
Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min

15-minute snapshot 21:20 · no additional market query

18:30Southwell (AW) • Flat • 1m13y • Class 3 • Going: Standard

10 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

GeometryDraw 10

Trainer: Roger Varian

Jockey: Jack Mitchell

10AM EMERGING PATTERNFrozen 10am Emerging market pattern. This is an early pattern, not yet a fully established repeat-winner signal.

Source: stored dcn_signal_flags classification for today. This signal is frozen at 10am; the live price can move afterwards without changing the 10am classification.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

COURSE RECORD1/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 14/1 · 88% shorter today

Last run18 days ago · 6 Oct 2026

Distance changeUp 1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 11.2% • +6.03 probability points

Built 10:46 → 11:13

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Newcastle (AW), 05 Sep 2026 — 3rd • open 9/4 → final market price 5/4 (+13.19pp).

Opened 11/10Market avg 5/6

Price move+6.03pp(+11.2%)

5/6 ↑ 10/11 ↓ 5/6 ↑ 10/11 ↓ 5/6 → 5/6 ↑ 10/11 ↓ 5/6 ↑ 10/11 ↓ 4/5

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/11 1.91 decimal 7Bet

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7Bet 10/11Bet365 10/11BetWright 10/11Betfred 10/11Coral 10/11Dragon Bet 10/11Hollywood Bets 10/11Ladbrokes 10/11SportingIndex 10/11Spreadex 10/11William Hill 10/11Bet Victor 5/6BetMGM 5/6BetTom 5/6Betano 5/6Boyle Sports 5/6LiveScore Bet 5/6Midnite 5/6Quinn Bet 5/6Star Sports 5/6Unibet 5/6Virgin Bet 5/6Betfair Sportsbook 5/6Paddy Power 5/610 Bet 4/5

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	11/10	+10.18ppOpen → 10am	8/11	-4.16pp10am → now; SP pending	5/6Current; SP pending	Pending	+6.03pp
Southwell (AW)06 Oct 20267f 14y · Class 3 · Standard · 13 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	13/2	+3.33ppOpen → 10am	5/1	-10.00pp10am → SP	14/1	2nd	-6.67pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	11/10	+10.18ppOpen → 10am	8/11	-4.16pp10am → now; SP pending	5/6Current; SP pending	Pending	+6.03pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

TRAINER RECORD MAKES THIS SUPPORT SIGNIFICANTMarket+6.03ppGenuine support from the opening price.Trainer21.5% → 38.5%Open → SP · backed 5pp+Baseline → matching strike rate; 96 runners, Open → SP · backed 5pp+. Historical sample requires opening, 10am and official SP prices. Popup uses opening → final market price and a broader results baseline.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-4.16pp since 10am, as of 18:27. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: Class 3 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

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More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Roger Varian runners in the matching 5pp+ band have won 37/96 (a 38.5% Open→SP strike rate), compared with the trainer’s normal 21.5% strike rate. There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Geometry has shortened from 11/10 to 5/6, which is support (+6.03pp).

Shortened by 10.18pp by 10am. Drifted by 4.16pp since 10am. As of 18:27; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 10pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 10/15 (66.7%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 06 Oct 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Southwell (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 13y · previous 7f 14y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 3

ACT NOW — DO NOT WAIT FOR ANOTHER 2PP

41.7% of Roger Varian runners backed by at least 10pp by 10am continued to shorten from 10am to SP (15/36). Today’s live move of +6.03pp is supported by the horse or trainer evidence too. That continuation record is the reason to act now: waiting for another 2pp risks losing the available price.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 8/11 (1.74 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 22/55 (40%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 21.5%.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 10/11 (1.90 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

Trainer won 37/96 (38.5%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 21.5%.

Risk of losing the price: 15/36 (41.7%) trainer runners backed by 10pp+ by 10am shortened further into SP.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

Kings MedalDraw 2

Trainer: John & Thady Gosden

Jockey: Robert Havlin

PRO RACECARD ↗

Last runNot recorded

Distance changeNot recorded

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 31.2% • -6.34 probability points

Opened 11/4Market avg 4/1

Price move-6.34pp(-31.2%)

4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

4/1 5 decimal 10 Bet

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10 Bet 4/17Bet 4/1Bet Victor 4/1BetTom 4/1Betano 4/1Betfred 4/1Boyle Sports 4/1Coral 4/1Hollywood Bets 4/1Ladbrokes 4/1LiveScore Bet 4/1Midnite 4/1Quinn Bet 4/1SportingIndex 4/1Spreadex 4/1Star Sports 4/1Unibet 4/1Virgin Bet 4/1William Hill 4/1Betfair Sportsbook 4/1Paddy Power 4/1Bet365 7/2BetMGM 7/2BetWright 7/2Dragon Bet 7/2

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	11/4	+1.11ppOpen → 10am	5/2	-7.45pp10am → now; SP pending	4/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-6.34pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	11/4	+1.11ppOpen → 10am	5/2	-7.45pp10am → now; SP pending	4/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-6.34pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-6.34ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-7.45pp since 10am, as of 18:27. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: class not recorded

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

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More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Kings Medal has moved from 11/4 to 4/1, a developing drift (-6.34pp).

Shortened by 1.11pp by 10am. Drifted by 7.45pp since 10am. As of 18:27; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 5/2 (3.60 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/4 (3.16 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 37/107 (34.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 23.9%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

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Best time: 11am was biggest

Weakening late

Champagne PoetryDraw 6

Trainer: George Boughey

Jockey: Billy Loughnane

PRO RACECARD ↗

Last runNot recorded

Distance changeNot recorded

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 14.8% • +2.67 probability points

Opened 11/2Market avg 9/2

Price move+2.67pp(+14.8%)

9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

5/1 6 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 5/1Betfred 5/1SportingIndex 5/1Spreadex 5/110 Bet 9/27Bet 9/2Bet Victor 9/2BetMGM 9/2BetTom 9/2BetWright 9/2Betano 9/2Boyle Sports 9/2Coral 9/2Dragon Bet 9/2Hollywood Bets 9/2Ladbrokes 9/2LiveScore Bet 9/2Midnite 9/2Quinn Bet 9/2Star Sports 9/2Unibet 9/2Virgin Bet 9/2William Hill 9/2Paddy Power 9/2Betfair Sportsbook 7/2

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	11/2	+7.71ppOpen → 10am	10/3	-5.04pp10am → now; SP pending	9/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+2.67pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	11/2	+7.71ppOpen → 10am	10/3	-5.04pp10am → now; SP pending	9/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+2.67pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-5.04pp since 10am, as of 18:27. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: class not recorded

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Champagne Poetry is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 7.71pp by 10am. Drifted by 5.04pp since 10am. As of 18:27; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 6pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 14/25 (56%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 4/1 (4.91 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 31/85 (36.5%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 18.1%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

JebayliDraw 9

Trainer: Simon Crisford

Jockey: Harry Davies

PRO RACECARD ↗

Last runNot recorded

Distance changeNot recorded

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 31.7% • -3.44 probability points

Opened 6/1Market avg 8/1

Price move-3.44pp(-31.7%)

8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/1 10 decimal LiveScore Bet

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LiveScore Bet 9/1Virgin Bet 9/1Betfred 17/2Coral 17/2Hollywood Bets 17/2Ladbrokes 17/2Quinn Bet 17/2SportingIndex 17/2Spreadex 17/2Unibet 17/2William Hill 17/2Betfair Sportsbook 17/2Paddy Power 17/210 Bet 8/1Bet Victor 8/1Bet365 8/1BetTom 8/1Betano 8/1Boyle Sports 8/1Midnite 8/1Star Sports 8/17Bet 15/2BetMGM 15/2BetWright 15/2Dragon Bet 15/2

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	6/1	+1.10ppOpen → 10am	11/2	-4.54pp10am → now; SP pending	8/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.44pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	6/1	+1.10ppOpen → 10am	11/2	-4.54pp10am → now; SP pending	8/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.44pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-4.54pp since 10am, as of 18:27. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: class not recorded

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Jebayli is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.10pp by 10am. Drifted by 4.54pp since 10am. As of 18:27; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 11/2 (6.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Saxon LawDraw 3

Trainer: David O'Meara

Jockey: Mark Winn

PRO RACECARD ↗

Last runNot recorded

Distance changeNot recorded

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 11.8% • +0.78 probability points

Opened 16/1Market avg 14/1

Price move+0.78pp(+11.8%)

14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

16/1 17 decimal LiveScore Bet

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LiveScore Bet 16/1Virgin Bet 16/110 Bet 14/17Bet 14/1Bet Victor 14/1Bet365 14/1BetTom 14/1BetWright 14/1Betano 14/1Betfred 14/1Boyle Sports 14/1Coral 14/1Dragon Bet 14/1Hollywood Bets 14/1Ladbrokes 14/1Midnite 14/1Quinn Bet 14/1SportingIndex 14/1Spreadex 14/1Star Sports 14/1William Hill 14/1Betfair Sportsbook 14/1Paddy Power 14/1BetMGM 12/1Unibet 12/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	16/1	+3.64ppOpen → 10am	9/1	-2.86pp10am → now; SP pending	14/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.78pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	16/1	+3.64ppOpen → 10am	9/1	-2.86pp10am → now; SP pending	14/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.78pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.86pp since 10am, as of 18:27. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: class not recorded

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Saxon Law is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 3.64pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.86pp since 10am. As of 18:27; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 8/1 (9.19 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 26/120 (21.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.8%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

Haldon FireDraw 5

Trainer: Andrew Balding

Jockey: Callum Hutchinson

PRO RACECARD ↗

Last runNot recorded

Distance changeNot recorded

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 71% • -3.46 probability points

Opened 11/1Market avg 20/1

Price move-3.46pp(-71.0%)

20/1 → 20/1 ↓ 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

20/1 21 decimal 10 Bet

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10 Bet 20/17Bet 20/1BetTom 20/1Betfred 20/1Boyle Sports 20/1Coral 20/1Hollywood Bets 20/1Ladbrokes 20/1LiveScore Bet 20/1Midnite 20/1Quinn Bet 20/1SportingIndex 20/1Spreadex 20/1Star Sports 20/1Unibet 20/1Virgin Bet 20/1William Hill 20/1Betfair Sportsbook 20/1Paddy Power 20/1Bet Victor 18/1Bet365 18/1BetMGM 18/1BetWright 18/1Betano 18/1Dragon Bet 18/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	11/1	-0.64ppOpen → 10am	12/1	-2.82pp10am → now; SP pending	20/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.46pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	11/1	-0.64ppOpen → 10am	12/1	-2.82pp10am → now; SP pending	20/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.46pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.82pp since 10am, as of 18:27. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: class not recorded

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Haldon Fire is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 0.64pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.82pp more since 10am. As of 18:27; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 12/1 (13.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 13/2 (7.50 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 75/228 (32.9%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 18.7%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

OldbullyoungbullDraw 4

Trainer: Alan King

Jockey: Rob Hornby

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

Last run17 days ago · 7 Oct 2026

Distance changeUp 1.1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 183.6% • -6.47 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Kempton (AW), 07 Oct 2026 — 6th • open 10/1 → final market price 12/1 (-1.40pp).

Opened 9/1Market avg 28/1

Price move-6.47pp(-183.6%)

28/1 → 28/1 ↓ 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 28/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

28/1 31 decimal 7Bet

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7Bet 28/110 Bet 28/1BetTom 28/1Betfred 28/1Boyle Sports 28/1Coral 28/1Hollywood Bets 28/1Ladbrokes 28/1LiveScore Bet 28/1Midnite 28/1Quinn Bet 28/1SportingIndex 28/1Spreadex 28/1Star Sports 28/1Unibet 28/1Virgin Bet 28/1William Hill 28/1Betfair Sportsbook 28/1Paddy Power 28/1Bet Victor 25/1Bet365 25/1BetMGM 25/1BetWright 25/1Betano 25/1Dragon Bet 25/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	9/1	-3.75ppOpen → 10am	14/1	-2.72pp10am → now; SP pending	28/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-6.47pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	9/1	-3.75ppOpen → 10am	14/1	-2.72pp10am → now; SP pending	28/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-6.47pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-6.47ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.72pp since 10am, as of 18:27. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: Class 3 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

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More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Oldbullyoungbull has moved from 9/1 to 28/1, a developing drift (-6.47pp).

Drifted by 3.75pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.72pp more since 10am. As of 18:27; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 14/1 (16.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/2 (6.67 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 23/63 (36.5%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 15.7%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Yellow VisionDraw 7

Trainer: William Knight

Jockey: Taylor Fisher

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 100/1 · 64% shorter today

Last run32 days ago · 22 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 14.1% • -0.39 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Southwell (AW), 22 Sep 2026 — 6th • open 66/1 → final market price 100/1 (-0.50pp).

Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1

Price move-0.39pp(-14.1%)

28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↑ 80/1 ↓ 33/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 33/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

80/1 81 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 80/1Coral 40/1Hollywood Bets 40/1Ladbrokes 40/1Unibet 40/1William Hill 40/17Bet 33/110 Bet 33/1Bet Victor 33/1BetMGM 33/1BetTom 33/1BetWright 33/1Betano 33/1Betfred 33/1Dragon Bet 33/1Midnite 33/1Quinn Bet 33/1SportingIndex 33/1Spreadex 33/1Star Sports 33/1Betfair Sportsbook 28/1Paddy Power 28/1Boyle Sports 28/1LiveScore Bet 28/1Virgin Bet 28/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	33/1	+1.22ppOpen → 10am	22/1	-1.61pp10am → now; SP pending	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.39pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	33/1	+1.22ppOpen → 10am	22/1	-1.61pp10am → now; SP pending	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.39pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.61pp since 10am, as of 18:27. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: Class 3 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Yellow Vision is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.22pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.61pp since 10am. As of 18:27; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 22/1 (23.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/1 (12.31 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 16/69 (23.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.7%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Golden EagleDraw 1

Trainer: George Boughey

Jockey: Jack Callan

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

Last run43 days ago · 11 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 415.7% • -6.72 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Salisbury, 11 Sep 2026 — 6th • open 4/7 → final market price 28/1 (-60.65pp).

Opened 11/1Market avg 66/1

Price move-6.72pp(-415.7%)

66/1 → 66/1 → 66/1 ↓ 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 → 50/1 ↑ 66/1 ↓ 50/1 ↑ 66/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

66/1 67 decimal 10 Bet

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10 Bet 66/1Bet Victor 66/1BetTom 66/1Betano 66/1Betfred 66/1Boyle Sports 66/1Coral 66/1Hollywood Bets 66/1Ladbrokes 66/1Midnite 66/1Quinn Bet 66/1SportingIndex 66/1Spreadex 66/1Star Sports 66/1William Hill 66/1Betfair Sportsbook 66/1Paddy Power 66/17Bet 50/1Bet365 50/1BetMGM 50/1BetWright 50/1Dragon Bet 50/1LiveScore Bet 50/1Unibet 50/1Virgin Bet 50/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	11/1	-4.89ppOpen → 10am	28/1	-1.83pp10am → now; SP pending	66/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-6.72pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	11/1	-4.89ppOpen → 10am	28/1	-1.83pp10am → now; SP pending	66/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-6.72pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-6.72ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.83pp since 10am, as of 18:27. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: Class 3 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Golden Eagle has moved from 11/1 to 66/1, a developing drift (-6.72pp).

Drifted by 4.89pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.83pp more since 10am. As of 18:27; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 28/1 (29.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 13/2 (7.50 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 31/85 (36.5%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 18.1%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Stellar MaxDraw 8

Trainer: Sir Mark Prescott Bt

Jockey: Luke Morris

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

Last run12 days ago · 12 Oct 2026

Distance changeUp 1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

Raw Open → Now price change: 448.3% • -2.27 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Kempton (AW), 30 Sep 2026 — 11th • open 14/1 → final market price 28/1 (-3.22pp).

Opened 33/1Market avg 100/1

Price move-2.27pp(-448.3%)

100/1 ↓ 100/1 → 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↓ 100/1 ↑ 100/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

100/1 251 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 100/1Boyle Sports 100/1Hollywood Bets 100/1Midnite 100/1Quinn Bet 100/1William Hill 100/1Betfair Sportsbook 100/1Paddy Power 100/110 Bet 100/1Bet Victor 100/1BetTom 100/1Betano 100/1Betfred 100/1Coral 100/1Ladbrokes 100/1LiveScore Bet 100/1Star Sports 100/1Virgin Bet 100/17Bet 100/1BetMGM 100/1BetWright 100/1Dragon Bet 100/1Unibet 100/1SportingIndex 80/1Spreadex 80/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	33/1	-1.29ppOpen → 10am	66/1	-0.99pp10am → now; SP pending	100/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.27pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 3 · Standard · 10 runners	33/1	-1.29ppOpen → 10am	66/1	-0.99pp10am → now; SP pending	100/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.27pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-0.99pp since 10am, as of 18:27. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 3 · Last run: Class 3 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Stellar Max is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 1.29pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.99pp more since 10am. As of 18:27; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 66/1 (67.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 12/1 (12.86 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 23/62 (37.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 17.9%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Race market overview as at 21:21

Supported1 of 10 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Geometry +6.03pp
Drifting3 of 10 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Golden Eagle -6.72pp
Last 15 minNo gain or drift recorded
Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min

15-minute snapshot 21:20 · no additional market query

19:00Southwell (AW) • Flat • 1m13y • Class 6 • Going: Standard

14 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Love You MoreDraw 7

Trainer: Joseph Parr

Jockey: Jack Mitchell

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 9/2 · 20% shorter today

Last run25 days ago · 29 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1.4f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP10/31 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: +63.5% • +14.49pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +2.60pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 9/2 @ 08:52

NR @ 08:52: 11/2 → 9/2 (+2.60pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +11.89pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

88th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE88th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

Only 1 of 8 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 7th at Windsor on 29 Jun 2026 (+13.89pp).

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

0/3 placed when backed like this (0%).

When backed like this: 0/3 WON

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Windsor, 29 Jun 2026 — 7th • open 11/1 → final market price 7/2 (+13.89pp).

All 3 comparable backed runs (1st or 2nd counts as placed):

Southwell (AW), 16 Aug 2026 — 6th • open 8/1 → final 9/2
Windsor, 29 Jun 2026 — 7th • open 11/1 → final 7/2
Brighton, 09 Jun 2026 — 10th • open 14/1 → final 11/2

Opened 11/1Market avg 10/3

Price move+11.89pp(+58.8%)

3/1 ↑ 10/3 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 10/3 → 10/3 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 3/1 ↑ 7/2 ↓ 3/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

4/1 5 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 4/1Coral 4/1Ladbrokes 4/17Bet 7/2BetWright 7/2Dragon Bet 7/2Midnite 7/2SportingIndex 7/2Spreadex 7/2Star Sports 7/2Unibet 7/2William Hill 7/2BetMGM 10/3BetTom 10/3Betfred 10/3Hollywood Bets 10/3LiveScore Bet 10/3Quinn Bet 10/3Virgin Bet 10/310 Bet 3/1Bet Victor 3/1Betano 3/1Boyle Sports 3/1Paddy Power 3/1Betfair Sportsbook 11/4

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners	11/1	+14.07ppOpen → 10am	3/1	-2.18pp10am → now; SP pending	10/3Current; SP pending	Pending	+11.89ppNR adjusted
Lingfield (AW)13 Jul 20261m 1y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	3/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	3/1	-1.91pp10am → SP	10/3	1st	-1.91pp
Post-race comment
Nottingham18 Apr 20261m 75y · Class 6 · Good · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/1	-3.99ppOpen → 10am	22/1	+3.34pp10am → SP	12/1	2nd	-0.64pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners	11/1	+14.07ppOpen → 10am	3/1	-2.18pp10am → now; SP pending	10/3Current; SP pending	Pending	+11.89ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

TRAINER RECORD MAKES THIS SUPPORT SIGNIFICANTMarket+11.89ppGenuine support from the opening price.Trainer6.8% → 20%Open → SP · backed 10pp+Baseline → matching strike rate; 10 runners, Open → SP · backed 10pp+. Historical sample requires opening, 10am and official SP prices. Popup uses opening → final market price and a broader results baseline.Horse historyMissed top 2: 3/3Comparable support: 0 first/second finishes in 3 completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.18pp since 10am, as of 18:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

Joseph Parr runners in the matching 10pp+ band have won 2/10 (a 20% Open→SP strike rate), compared with the trainer’s normal 6.8% strike rate. Just 1 of 8 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse against its previous Open → final market price moves. When backed in a similar way previously, it finished first or second in 0 of 3 runs. Today’s move: Love You More has shortened from 11/1 to 10/3, which is strong support (+11.89pp).

Shortened by 14.07pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.18pp since 10am. As of 18:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Lingfield (AW) · 13 Jul 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Lingfield (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 13y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +15.00pp · around 11/4 (3.86 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 2/5 (40%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 6.8%. Small sample.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/2 (6.28 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

Trainer won 4/21 (19%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 6.8%.

Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 4/1 (4.78 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

Trainer won 2/10 (20%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 6.8%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

Lili MarleenDraw 14

Trainer: Jack Jones

Jockey: Luke Morris

10AM EMERGING PATTERNFrozen 10am Emerging market pattern. This is an early pattern, not yet a fully established repeat-winner signal.

Source: stored dcn_signal_flags classification for today. This signal is frozen at 10am; the live price can move afterwards without changing the 10am classification.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

COURSE RECORD1/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 14/1 · 67% shorter today

Last run7 days ago · 17 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: +1.7% • +0.35pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +2.22pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 4/1 @ 08:52

NR @ 08:52: 9/2 → 4/1 (+2.22pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -1.87pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

86th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE86th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 7 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Kempton (AW), 12 Aug 2026 — 10th • open 40/1 → final market price 100/1 (-1.94pp).

Opened 4/1Market avg 4/1

Price move-1.87pp(-10.3%)

7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/2 5.5 decimal Coral

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Coral 9/2Ladbrokes 9/27Bet 4/1BetTom 4/1BetWright 4/1Betfred 4/1Dragon Bet 4/1Hollywood Bets 4/1LiveScore Bet 4/1Midnite 4/1Quinn Bet 4/1SportingIndex 4/1Spreadex 4/1Star Sports 4/1Unibet 4/1Virgin Bet 4/1William Hill 4/1Betfair Sportsbook 4/1Paddy Power 4/110 Bet 7/2Bet Victor 7/2Bet365 7/2Betano 7/2Boyle Sports 7/2BetMGM 10/3

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners	4/1	+1.59ppOpen → 10am	10/3	-3.46pp10am → now; SP pending	4/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.87ppNR adjusted
Southwell (AW)17 Oct 20261m 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	18/1	+1.54ppOpen → 10am	14/1	+0.00pp10am → SP	14/1	2nd	+1.54pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners	4/1	+1.59ppOpen → 10am	10/3	-3.46pp10am → now; SP pending	4/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.87ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.46pp since 10am, as of 18:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

Although 4/1 is shorter than the opening 4/1, the non-runner shortened the market. After removing that effect, this horse shows a net drift of 1.87pp.

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 7 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Lili Marleen is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.59pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.46pp since 10am. As of 18:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 17 Oct 2026 · 2nd · 4/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Southwell (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 13y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 10/3 (4.20 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/4 (3.67 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 15/41 (36.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12.7%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

KevDraw 13

Trainer: William Muir & Chris Grassick

Jockey: Daniel Muscutt

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

Last run25 days ago · 29 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 0.6f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP17/22 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -17.6% • -2.99pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +1.57pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 9/2 @ 08:52

NR @ 08:52: 5/1 → 9/2 (+1.57pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -4.57pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Largest drift recorded across 8 previous runs.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Bath, 17 Apr 2026 — 8th • open 18/1 → final market price 40/1 (-2.82pp).

Opened 4/1Market avg 5/1

Price move-4.57pp(-29.6%)

9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/2 6.5 decimal Coral

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Coral 11/2Ladbrokes 11/2Star Sports 11/27Bet 5/1Bet365 5/1BetWright 5/1Betfred 5/1Dragon Bet 5/1Hollywood Bets 5/1LiveScore Bet 5/1Midnite 5/1Quinn Bet 5/1Spreadex 5/1Unibet 5/1Virgin Bet 5/1William Hill 5/110 Bet 9/2Bet Victor 9/2BetMGM 9/2BetTom 9/2Betano 9/2Boyle Sports 9/2SportingIndex 9/2Betfair Sportsbook 9/2Paddy Power 9/2

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners	4/1	+2.24ppOpen → 10am	10/3	-6.80pp10am → now; SP pending	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-4.57ppNR adjusted
Wolverhampton (AW)29 Sep 20261m 142y · Class 6 · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/4	+1.17ppOpen → 10am	5/2	+13.45pp10am → SP	11/8	1st	+14.62pp
Post-race comment
Bath13 Sep 20261m 2f 37y · Class 6 · Good · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	-1.05ppOpen → 10am	9/2	-2.80pp10am → SP	11/2	2nd	-3.85pp
Post-race comment
Lingfield (AW)27 Aug 20261m 2f · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	12/1	-1.03ppOpen → 10am	14/1	-0.78pp10am → SP	16/1	1st	-1.81pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners	4/1	+2.24ppOpen → 10am	10/3	-6.80pp10am → now; SP pending	5/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-4.57ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

THIS IS THE HORSE’S LARGEST RECORDED DRIFTMarket-4.57ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLargest recorded driftLargest recorded drift across 8 previous runs. This flags unusual market weakness; it does not claim a finishing record.Since 10amWeakening-6.80pp since 10am, as of 18:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

Across 8 previous runs, this is the horse’s largest recorded drift compared with its previous Open → final market price moves. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Kev has moved from 4/1 to 5/1, a developing drift (-4.57pp).

Shortened by 2.24pp by 10am. Drifted by 6.80pp since 10am. As of 18:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 29 Sep 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Wolverhampton (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 13y · previous 1m 142y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 10/3 (4.20 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/4 (3.76 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 9/31 (29%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 8.6%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Crown The FutureDraw 3

Trainer: Tony Carroll

Jockey: Charlie Tucker(7)

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

Last run26 days ago · 28 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 0.6f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP5/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -34.8% • -5.16pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +0.59pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 7/1 @ 08:52

NR @ 08:52: 15/2 → 7/1 (+0.59pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -5.75pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

88th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE88th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

Only 1 of 8 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 1st at Wolverhampton (AW) on 28 Sep 2026 (-6.82pp).

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 28 Sep 2026 — 1st • open 3/1 → final market price 9/2 (-6.82pp).

Opened 4/1Market avg 11/2

Price move-5.75pp(-40.4%)

5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 → 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

7/1 8 decimal SportingIndex

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SportingIndex 7/1Spreadex 7/17Bet 6/1BetWright 6/1Coral 6/1Dragon Bet 6/1Ladbrokes 6/1Midnite 6/1Quinn Bet 6/1Star Sports 6/1Unibet 6/1William Hill 6/110 Bet 11/2Bet365 11/2BetMGM 11/2BetTom 11/2Betfred 11/2Hollywood Bets 11/2LiveScore Bet 11/2Virgin Bet 11/2Paddy Power 11/2Bet Victor 5/1Betano 5/1Boyle Sports 5/1Betfair Sportsbook 5/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners	4/1	-5.20ppOpen → 10am	11/2	-0.55pp10am → now; SP pending	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-5.75ppNR adjusted
Wolverhampton (AW)28 Sep 20261m 142y · Class 6 · Standard · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	3/1	-9.62ppOpen → 10am	11/2	+1.28pp10am → SP	5/1	1st	-8.33pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)07 Sep 20261m 142y · Class 6 · Standard · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	12/1	-2.38ppOpen → 10am	20/1	+4.33pp10am → SP	10/1	2nd	+1.95pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners	4/1	-5.20ppOpen → 10am	11/2	-0.55pp10am → now; SP pending	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-5.75ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MARKET DRIFT DETECTED — TRAINER IMPACT IS LIMITEDMarket-5.75ppMarket weakness from the opening price.Trainer12% → 11.9%Open → 10am · drifted 5pp+Baseline → matching strike rate; 151 runners, Open → 10am · drifted 5pp+. Historical sample requires opening, 10am and official SP prices. Popup uses opening → final market price and a broader results baseline.Horse history1/2 top 2Displayed comparable drift runs: 1 first/second finishes in 2 completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-0.55pp since 10am, as of 18:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

Just 1 of 8 previous runs showed a larger drift, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse against its previous Open → final market price moves. The trainer’s drift record adds context: When this trainer's runners had drifted by 5pp+ by 10am, 18/151 won (11.9%), compared with the yard's normal 12% strike rate. Today’s move: Crown The Future has moved from 4/1 to 11/2, a developing drift (-5.75pp).

Drifted by 5.20pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.55pp more since 10am. As of 18:57; SP pending. If it keeps drifting into SP: this trainer’s runners with 5pp+ drift by 10am that kept drifting from 10am to SP won 5/71 (7%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 28 Sep 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Wolverhampton (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 13y · previous 1m 142y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 11/2 (6.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 3/1 (3.91 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 40/159 (25.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: 11am was biggest

Late money still arriving

African SpiritDraw 5

Trainer: Ian Williams

Jockey: Billy Loughnane

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

Last run25 days ago · 29 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 0.6f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP11/81 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -27.0% • -3.54pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +0.72pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 5/1 @ 08:52

NR @ 08:52: 11/2 → 5/1 (+0.72pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -4.26pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE83rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

Only 1 of 6 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Wolverhampton (AW) on 30 Jul 2026 (-5.88pp).

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 30 Jul 2026 — 3rd • open 15/2 → final market price 16/1 (-5.88pp).

Opened 5/1Market avg 13/2

Price move-4.26pp(-34.4%)

6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 11/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

15/2 8.5 decimal Coral

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Coral 15/2Ladbrokes 15/27Bet 7/1Bet365 7/1BetWright 7/1Dragon Bet 7/1SportingIndex 7/1Spreadex 7/1Star Sports 7/1Unibet 7/1William Hill 7/1BetTom 13/2Betfred 13/2Hollywood Bets 13/2LiveScore Bet 13/2Midnite 13/2Quinn Bet 13/2Virgin Bet 13/2Betfair Sportsbook 13/2Bet Victor 6/1BetMGM 6/1Betano 6/1Boyle Sports 6/1Paddy Power 6/110 Bet 11/2

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners	5/1	+2.61ppOpen → 10am	4/1	-6.88pp10am → now; SP pending	13/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-4.26ppNR adjusted
Wolverhampton (AW)29 Sep 20261m 142y · Class 6 · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	3/1	+4.18ppOpen → 10am	5/2	+13.45pp10am → SP	11/8	1st	+17.63pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners	5/1	+2.61ppOpen → 10am	4/1	-6.88pp10am → now; SP pending	13/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-4.26ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-4.26ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyMissed top 2: 2/2Displayed comparable drift runs: 0 first/second finishes in 2 completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-6.88pp since 10am, as of 18:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

Just 1 of 6 previous runs showed a larger drift, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse against its previous Open → final market price moves. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: African Spirit has moved from 5/1 to 13/2, a developing drift (-4.26pp).

Shortened by 2.61pp by 10am. Drifted by 6.88pp since 10am. As of 18:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 29 Sep 2026 · 1st · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Wolverhampton (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 13y · previous 1m 142y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 4/1 (5.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 7/2 (4.47 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 27/108 (25%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.3%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

KnightmareDraw 10

Trainer: David Evans

Jockey: Jack Callan

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

Last run25 days ago · 29 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 0.6f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP9/41 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: +13.0% • +1.25pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +0.42pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 14/1 @ 08:52

NR @ 08:52: 14/1 → 14/1 (+0.42pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +0.83pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 15 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Wolverhampton (AW), 02 Jun 2026 — 2nd • open 5/1 → final market price 5/2 (+11.90pp).

Opened 11/1Market avg 9/1

Price move+0.83pp(+9.0%)

8/1 ↑ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 8/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 9/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

11/1 12 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 11/1SportingIndex 11/1Spreadex 11/17Bet 10/1BetWright 10/1Coral 10/1Dragon Bet 10/1Ladbrokes 10/1LiveScore Bet 10/1Star Sports 10/1Virgin Bet 10/1William Hill 10/110 Bet 9/1BetTom 9/1Betfred 9/1Hollywood Bets 9/1Midnite 9/1Quinn Bet 9/1Unibet 9/1Betfair Sportsbook 9/1Paddy Power 9/1Bet Victor 8/1BetMGM 8/1Betano 8/1Boyle Sports 8/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners	11/1	-0.42ppOpen → 10am	11/1	+1.25pp10am → now; SP pending	9/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.83ppNR adjusted
Ffos Las28 Jul 20261m · Class 6 · Good · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	6/4	-3.64ppOpen → 10am	7/4	+9.09pp10am → SP	6/5	2nd	+5.45pp
Post-race comment
Chepstow24 Jul 20261m 14y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	13/8	-0.15ppOpen → 10am	13/8	-7.25pp10am → SP	9/4	1st	-7.40pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)07 Jul 20261m 142y · Class 6 · Standard · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/6	-9.19ppOpen → 10am	6/5	+4.55pp10am → SP	EVS	2nd	-4.64pp
Post-race comment
Bath01 Jul 20261m · Class 6 · Firm · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	3/1	+1.67ppOpen → 10am	11/4	-1.67pp10am → SP	3/1	2nd	+0.00pp
Post-race comment
Ffos Las23 Jun 20261m 2f · Class 6 · Good · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	13/2	+3.33ppOpen → 10am	5/1	-2.38pp10am → SP	6/1	2nd	+0.95pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)02 Jun 20261m 142y · Class 6 · Standard · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	+14.10ppOpen → 10am	9/4	+0.00pp10am → SP	9/4	2nd	+14.10pp
Post-race comment
Kempton (AW)14 Jan 20267f · Class 6 · Standard To Slow · 6 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/2	-8.57ppOpen → 10am	4/1	-9.47pp10am → SP	17/2	2nd	-18.05pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners	11/1	-0.42ppOpen → 10am	11/1	+1.25pp10am → now; SP pending	9/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.83ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amStrengthening+1.25pp since 10am, as of 18:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 15 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Knightmare is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 0.42pp by 10am. Shortened by 1.25pp since 10am. As of 18:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Ffos Las · 28 Jul 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Ffos Las✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 13y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good✓Class: Class 6

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 13/2 (7.27 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 7/44 (15.9%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.7%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

DumfriesDraw 6

Trainer: Ruth Carr

Jockey: William Pyle

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

COURSE RECORD0/2 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 12/1 · 13% shorter today

Last run14 days ago · 10 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: +28.2% • +2.31pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +0.04pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 14/1 @ 08:52

NR @ 08:52: 14/1 → 14/1 (+0.04pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +2.28pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE83rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 6 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Beverley, 28 Jul 2026 — 5th • open 12/1 → final market price 17/2 (+2.83pp).

Opened 16/1Market avg 11/1

Price move+2.28pp(+27.9%)

10/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

12/1 13 decimal 7Bet

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners	16/1	+5.19ppOpen → 10am	8/1	-2.91pp10am → now; SP pending	11/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+2.28ppNR adjusted
Wolverhampton (AW)29 Sep 20261m 142y · Class 6 · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/3	-0.51ppOpen → 10am	7/2	-2.22pp10am → SP	4/1	2nd	-2.73pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners	16/1	+5.19ppOpen → 10am	8/1	-2.91pp10am → now; SP pending	11/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+2.28ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.91pp since 10am, as of 18:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 6 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Dumfries is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 5.19pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.91pp since 10am. As of 18:57; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 4pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 9/29 (31%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 29 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Wolverhampton (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 1m 13y · previous 1m 142y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 8/1 (9.16 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 18/86 (20.9%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.9%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

Al Suil EileDraw 12

Trainer: Derek Shaw

Jockey: Taryn Langley(5)

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

COURSE RECORD0/2 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 66/1 · 73% shorter today

Last run30 days ago · 24 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -39.0% • -2.34pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +0.77pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 17/2 @ 08:52

NR @ 08:52: 9/1 → 17/2 (+0.77pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -3.11pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 18 Sep 2026 — 4th • open 14/1 → final market price 33/1 (-3.51pp).

Opened 11/1Market avg 16/1

Price move-3.11pp(-59.5%)

14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

18/1 19 decimal Coral

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Coral 18/1Ladbrokes 18/1Star Sports 18/110 Bet 16/17Bet 16/1Bet365 16/1BetTom 16/1BetWright 16/1Betfred 16/1Dragon Bet 16/1Hollywood Bets 16/1LiveScore Bet 16/1Midnite 16/1Quinn Bet 16/1Virgin Bet 16/1William Hill 16/1Betfair Sportsbook 16/1Paddy Power 16/1Bet Victor 14/1BetMGM 14/1Betano 14/1Boyle Sports 14/1SportingIndex 14/1Spreadex 14/1Unibet 14/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners	11/1	+2.01ppOpen → 10am	8/1	-5.12pp10am → now; SP pending	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.11ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners	11/1	+2.01ppOpen → 10am	8/1	-5.12pp10am → now; SP pending	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-3.11ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-5.12pp since 10am, as of 18:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Al Suil Eile is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 2.01pp by 10am. Drifted by 5.12pp since 10am. As of 18:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 8/1 (9.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 6/1 (7.09 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 3/10 (30%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 3.4%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Blue SamunaDraw 11

Trainer: James Owen

Jockey: Robert Havlin

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

Last run17 days ago · 7 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: +20.2% • +1.20pp

Measured NR price effect removed: -0.14pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 18/1 @ 08:52

NR @ 08:52: 18/1 → 18/1 (-0.14pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +1.35pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Newmarket, 15 May 2026 — 7th • open 16/1 → final market price 14/1 (+0.78pp).

Opened 20/1Market avg 16/1

Price move+1.35pp(+22.0%)

14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

18/1 19 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 18/1Coral 18/1Ladbrokes 18/1Star Sports 18/17Bet 16/1BetTom 16/1BetWright 16/1Betfred 16/1Dragon Bet 16/1Hollywood Bets 16/1LiveScore Bet 16/1Midnite 16/1Quinn Bet 16/1SportingIndex 16/1Spreadex 16/1Virgin Bet 16/1Betfair Sportsbook 16/1Paddy Power 16/110 Bet 14/1Bet Victor 14/1BetMGM 14/1Betano 14/1Boyle Sports 14/1Unibet 14/1William Hill 14/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners	20/1	+3.07ppOpen → 10am	12/1	-1.73pp10am → now; SP pending	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.35ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners	20/1	+3.07ppOpen → 10am	12/1	-1.73pp10am → now; SP pending	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.35ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.73pp since 10am, as of 18:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Blue Samuna is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 3.07pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.73pp since 10am. As of 18:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/1 (10.40 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 66/220 (30%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 16.2%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

Oscar's SisterDraw 9

Trainer: Julie Camacho

Jockey: Rob Hornby

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

Last run98 days ago · 18 Jul 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -4.6% • -0.23pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +0.24pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 28/1 @ 08:52

NR @ 08:52: 28/1 → 28/1 (+0.24pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -0.47pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Doncaster, 18 Jul 2026 — 6th • open 11/4 → final market price 14/1 (-20.00pp).

Opened 18/1Market avg 18/1

Price move-0.47pp(-9.9%)

16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 18/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

22/1 23 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 22/17Bet 20/1BetWright 20/1Coral 20/1Dragon Bet 20/1Hollywood Bets 20/1Ladbrokes 20/1LiveScore Bet 20/1Midnite 20/1SportingIndex 20/1Spreadex 20/1Star Sports 20/1Virgin Bet 20/1William Hill 20/110 Bet 18/1BetTom 18/1Betfred 18/1Quinn Bet 18/1Unibet 18/1Betfair Sportsbook 18/1Paddy Power 18/1Bet Victor 16/1BetMGM 16/1Betano 16/1Boyle Sports 16/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners	18/1	-0.24ppOpen → 10am	18/1	-0.23pp10am → now; SP pending	18/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.47ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners	18/1	-0.24ppOpen → 10am	18/1	-0.23pp10am → now; SP pending	18/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.47ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amHolding-0.23pp since 10am, as of 18:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Oscar's Sister is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 0.24pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.23pp more since 10am. As of 18:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 18/1 (19.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 17/2 (9.52 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 12/48 (25%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 7.8%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Captain CorelliDraw 8

Trainer: Julie Camacho

Jockey: Dylan Hogan

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

Last run33 days ago · 21 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1.1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -9.5% • -0.41pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +0.22pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 18/1 @ 08:52

NR @ 08:52: 18/1 → 18/1 (+0.22pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -0.64pp

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Redcar, 09 Sep 2026 — 13th • open 40/1 → final market price 40/1 (-0.06pp).

Opened 20/1Market avg 22/1

Price move-0.64pp(-15.4%)

18/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 22/1 → 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 18/1 ↑ 20/1 → 20/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

28/1 29 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 28/1Midnite 28/1Coral 25/1Ladbrokes 25/1Star Sports 25/1William Hill 25/1BetTom 22/1BetWright 22/1Betfred 22/1Dragon Bet 22/1Hollywood Bets 22/1LiveScore Bet 22/1Quinn Bet 22/1SportingIndex 22/1Spreadex 22/1Virgin Bet 22/110 Bet 20/17Bet 20/1BetMGM 20/1Unibet 20/1Betfair Sportsbook 20/1Paddy Power 20/1Bet Victor 18/1Betano 18/1Boyle Sports 18/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners	20/1	-0.22ppOpen → 10am	20/1	-0.41pp10am → now; SP pending	22/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.64ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners	20/1	-0.22ppOpen → 10am	20/1	-0.41pp10am → now; SP pending	22/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.64ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amHolding-0.41pp since 10am, as of 18:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Captain Corelli is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 0.22pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.41pp more since 10am. As of 18:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 20/1 (21.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/1 (10.02 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 12/48 (25%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 7.8%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Grand CitadelDraw 1

Trainer: Micky Fenton

Jockey: Grace McEntee

🟢 Needs Support (13%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 9/1 · 204% bigger today

Last run9 days ago · 15 Oct 2026

Distance changeUp 2.1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP11/41 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -44.8% • -1.47pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +0.12pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 22/1 @ 08:52

NR @ 08:52: 22/1 → 22/1 (+0.12pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -1.59pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

73th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE73rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 11 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Kempton (AW), 14 Jan 2026 — 5th • open 8/1 → final market price 22/1 (-6.76pp).

Opened 20/1Market avg 28/1

Price move-1.59pp(-50.4%)

25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 28/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

33/1 36 decimal 7Bet

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7Bet 33/1Bet365 33/1BetWright 33/1Coral 33/1Dragon Bet 33/1Ladbrokes 33/1Midnite 33/1Star Sports 33/1William Hill 33/110 Bet 28/1BetTom 28/1Betfred 28/1Hollywood Bets 28/1LiveScore Bet 28/1Quinn Bet 28/1SportingIndex 28/1Spreadex 28/1Unibet 28/1Virgin Bet 28/1Betfair Sportsbook 28/1Paddy Power 28/1Bet Victor 25/1BetMGM 25/1Betano 25/1Boyle Sports 25/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners	20/1	+0.38ppOpen → 10am	18/1	-1.97pp10am → now; SP pending	28/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.59ppNR adjusted
Leicester25 May 20267f · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/4	+4.10ppOpen → 10am	9/4	-4.10pp10am → SP	11/4	1st	+0.00pp
Post-race comment
Lingfield19 May 20267f 135y · Class 6 · Good · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/1	+12.50ppOpen → 10am	3/1	+0.00pp10am → SP	3/1	2nd	+12.50pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners	20/1	+0.38ppOpen → 10am	18/1	-1.97pp10am → now; SP pending	28/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.59ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.97pp since 10am, as of 18:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 11 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Grand Citadel is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.38pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.97pp since 10am. As of 18:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Lingfield · 19 May 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Lingfield✓Trip (within ½f): 1m 13y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good✓Class: Class 6

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 18/1 (19.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Horse support level

Support of +4.10pp · around 10/1 (11.13 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

2/3 finished 1st or 2nd with this much support or more (67%).

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Rogue DesireDraw 4

Trainer: Tony Carroll

Jockey: Kevin Stott

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

COURSE RECORD0/2 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 100/1 · 71% shorter today

Last run32 days ago · 22 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 8.4f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: +8.1% • +0.25pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +0.45pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 16/1 @ 08:52

NR @ 08:52: 18/1 → 16/1 (+0.45pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -0.21pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE0th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 5 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 04 Apr 2026 — 5th • open 9/4 → final market price 7/2 (-8.55pp).

Opened 33/1Market avg 33/1

Price move-0.21pp(-8.1%)

28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↑ 40/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 28/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

40/1 41 decimal Bet365

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Bet365 40/1Star Sports 40/17Bet 33/1BetMGM 33/1BetWright 33/1Betfred 33/1Coral 33/1Dragon Bet 33/1Hollywood Bets 33/1Ladbrokes 33/1LiveScore Bet 33/1Midnite 33/1Quinn Bet 33/1SportingIndex 33/1Spreadex 33/1Virgin Bet 33/1William Hill 33/1Betfair Sportsbook 33/1Paddy Power 33/110 Bet 28/1BetTom 28/1Boyle Sports 28/1Bet Victor 25/1Betano 25/1Unibet 25/1

25 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners	33/1	+2.03ppOpen → 10am	18/1	-2.24pp10am → now; SP pending	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.21ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today1m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners	33/1	+2.03ppOpen → 10am	18/1	-2.24pp10am → now; SP pending	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.21ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.24pp since 10am, as of 18:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

Although 33/1 is shorter than the opening 33/1, the non-runner shortened the market. After removing that effect, this horse shows a net drift of 0.21pp. It has eased from the post-NR baseline of 16/1 to 33/1.

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 5 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Rogue Desire is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 2.03pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.24pp since 10am. As of 18:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 18/1 (19.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/1 (12.15 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 40/159 (25.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

Battle Standard

NON-RUNNERNR @ 08:52

Non-runner adjustment audit

NR recorded: 08:52:09 · recorded declaration time

Last recorded market average before NR: 7/2 (4.462) at 08:50:23

Implied probability: 22.41%

Snapshot 106 seconds before the recorded NR time.

The last captured price is shown, not an assumed exact withdrawal price. Adjustments below use each remaining horse’s measured pre/post-NR price change.

Remaining horse	Before NR / captured	Post-NR baseline	Effect removed
Love You More	11/2 (6.417) 08:50:23	9/2 (5.500) Baseline reference 08:52:09	+2.60pp
Lili Marleen	9/2 (5.625) 08:50:23	4/1 (5.000) Baseline reference 08:52:09	+2.22pp
Kev	5/1 (6.021) 08:50:23	9/2 (5.500) Baseline reference 08:52:09	+1.57pp
Crown The Future	15/2 (8.396) 08:50:23	7/1 (8.000) Baseline reference 08:52:09	+0.59pp
African Spirit	11/2 (6.271) 08:50:23	5/1 (6.000) Baseline reference 08:52:09	+0.72pp
Knightmare	14/1 (16.000) 08:50:23	14/1 (15.000) Baseline reference 08:52:09	+0.42pp
Dumfries	14/1 (15.083) 08:50:23	14/1 (15.000) Baseline reference 08:52:09	+0.04pp
Al Suil Eile	9/1 (10.250) 08:50:23	17/2 (9.500) Baseline reference 08:52:09	+0.77pp
Blue Samuna	18/1 (18.500) 08:50:23	18/1 (19.000) Baseline reference 08:52:09	-0.14pp
Oscar's Sister	28/1 (31.167) 08:50:23	28/1 (29.000) Baseline reference 08:52:09	+0.24pp
Captain Corelli	18/1 (19.833) 08:50:23	18/1 (19.000) Baseline reference 08:52:09	+0.22pp
Grand Citadel	22/1 (23.667) 08:50:23	22/1 (23.000) Baseline reference 08:52:09	+0.12pp
Rogue Desire	18/1 (18.417) 08:50:23	16/1 (17.000) Baseline reference 08:52:09	+0.45pp

Effect removed = (100 ÷ post-NR baseline) − (100 ÷ pre-NR price). True move = raw Open → Now move − total signed NR effects.

The post-NR baseline can be the median of captured bookmaker prices within five minutes after the NR, or the first available timeline price. Its reference time is not necessarily an individual price capture. Fractional prices are rounded; decimal prices are included for checking. Simultaneous withdrawals share one measured event.

Race market overview as at 21:21

Supported1 of 13 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Love You More +11.89pp
Drifting3 of 13 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Crown The Future -5.75pp
Last 15 minNo gain or drift recorded
Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min

15-minute snapshot 21:20 · no additional market query

19:30Southwell (AW) • Flat • 7f14y • Class 5 • Going: Standard

14 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

AnthropologistDraw 3

Trainer: Michael Herrington

Jockey: Dylan Hogan

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

COURSE RECORD1/4 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 12/1 · 64% shorter today

Last run29 days ago · 25 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP15/21 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

92th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE92nd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 13 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.

Raw Open → Now price change: 9.1% • +1.82 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Southwell (AW), 14 Mar 2026 — 2nd • open 12/1 → final market price 8/1 (+3.42pp).

Opened 9/2Market avg 4/1

Price move+1.82pp(+9.1%)

7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 4/1 → 4/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/2 5.5 decimal Coral

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Coral 9/2Ladbrokes 9/2Star Sports 9/2Unibet 9/210 Bet 4/17Bet 4/1Bet365 4/1BetMGM 4/1BetTom 4/1BetWright 4/1Betfred 4/1Dragon Bet 4/1Hollywood Bets 4/1Midnite 4/1Quinn Bet 4/1SportingIndex 4/1Spreadex 4/1Virgin Bet 4/1William Hill 4/1Paddy Power 4/1LiveScore Bet 4/1Bet Victor 7/2Betano 7/2Boyle Sports 7/2Betfair Sportsbook 7/2

25 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	9/2	+1.82ppOpen → 10am	4/1	+0.00pp10am → now; SP pending	4/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.82pp
Newcastle (AW)05 Sep 20267f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	-3.74ppOpen → 10am	5/1	-4.17pp10am → SP	7/1	2nd	-7.91pp
Post-race comment
Newcastle (AW)27 Mar 20267f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/2	-5.68ppOpen → 10am	7/1	-0.74pp10am → SP	15/2	1st	-6.42pp
Post-race comment
Southwell (AW)14 Mar 20267f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	12/1	+3.42ppOpen → 10am	8/1	+0.65pp10am → SP	15/2	2nd	+4.07pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	9/2	+1.82ppOpen → 10am	4/1	+0.00pp10am → now; SP pending	4/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.82pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amHolding+0.00pp since 10am, as of 19:27. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 13 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Anthropologist is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.82pp by 10am. No further net move since 10am. As of 19:27; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 14 Mar 2026 · 2nd · 4/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Southwell (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 14y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 10/3 (4.31 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 16/68 (23.5%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 17.4%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Flat late

PacketofbiscuitsDraw 4

Trainer: John Mackie

Jockey: Oisin Orr

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

10AM EMERGING PATTERNFrozen 10am Emerging market pattern. This is an early pattern, not yet a fully established repeat-winner signal.

Source: stored dcn_signal_flags classification for today. This signal is frozen at 10am; the live price can move afterwards without changing the 10am classification.

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

COURSE RECORD3/6 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 11/2 · Today close to the course average

Last run15 days ago · 9 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP11/22 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

93th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE93rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

Only 1 of 14 previous runs showed stronger support: the horse finished 3rd at Newcastle (AW) on 10 Feb 2026 (+5.88pp).

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.

Raw Open → Now price change: 30.5% • +4.63 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Newcastle (AW), 10 Feb 2026 — 3rd • open 16/1 → final market price 15/2 (+5.88pp).

Opened 17/2Market avg 11/2

Price move+4.63pp(+30.5%)

5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 11/2 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 5/1 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 9/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

13/2 7.5 decimal Bet365

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Bet365 13/2SportingIndex 13/2Spreadex 13/27Bet 6/1BetWright 6/1Coral 6/1Dragon Bet 6/1Ladbrokes 6/1Midnite 6/1BetMGM 11/2Betfred 11/2Hollywood Bets 11/2Quinn Bet 11/2Star Sports 11/2Unibet 11/2Virgin Bet 11/2William Hill 11/2Betfair Sportsbook 11/2LiveScore Bet 11/2Bet Victor 5/1BetTom 5/1Betano 5/1Boyle Sports 5/1Paddy Power 5/110 Bet 9/2

25 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	17/2	+3.76ppOpen → 10am	6/1	+0.87pp10am → now; SP pending	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+4.63pp
Yarmouth17 Sep 20261m 3y · Class 5 · Good · 14 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	14/1	-1.40ppOpen → 10am	18/1	-1.81pp10am → SP	28/1	2nd	-3.22pp
Post-race comment
Southwell (AW)11 Mar 20267f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/2	-1.90ppOpen → 10am	11/4	+0.00pp10am → SP	11/4	2nd	-1.90pp
Post-race comment
Southwell (AW)28 Feb 20267f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	-1.82ppOpen → 10am	9/2	+16.54pp10am → SP	15/8	1st	+14.72pp
Post-race comment
Southwell (AW)20 Feb 20267f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/1	+1.44ppOpen → 10am	17/2	-0.53pp10am → SP	9/1	1st	+0.91pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	17/2	+3.76ppOpen → 10am	6/1	+0.87pp10am → now; SP pending	11/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+4.63pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

TRAINER RECORD MAKES THIS SUPPORT SIGNIFICANTMarket+4.63ppGenuine support from the opening price.Trainer8.5% → 37.5%Open → SP · backed 5pp+Baseline → matching strike rate; 16 runners, Open → SP · backed 5pp+. Historical sample requires opening, 10am and official SP prices. Popup uses opening → final market price and a broader results baseline.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amStrengthening+0.87pp since 10am, as of 19:27. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 4 · ↓ Class drop

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

John Mackie runners in the matching 5pp+ band have won 6/16 (a 37.5% Open→SP strike rate), compared with the trainer’s normal 8.5% strike rate. Just 1 of 14 previous runs showed a stronger move, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse against its previous Open → final market price moves. The support is accompanied by a drop from Class 4 to Class 5, giving the horse more favourable conditions today. Today’s move: Packetofbiscuits has shortened from 17/2 to 11/2, which is support (+4.63pp).

Shortened by 3.76pp by 10am. Shortened by 0.87pp more since 10am. As of 19:27; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 11 Mar 2026 · 2nd · 4/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Southwell (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 14y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/2 (6.44 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 6/16 (37.5%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 8.5%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

Captain ParmaDraw 8

Trainer: James Owen

Jockey: Luke Morris

🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

Last run22 days ago · 2 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP4/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE38th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 8 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 17% • -2.42 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Lingfield (AW), 14 Jan 2026 — 2nd • open EVS → final market price 4/1 (-30.00pp).

Opened 5/1Market avg 6/1

Price move-2.42pp(-17.0%)

11/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1 → 6/1 ↓ 11/2 → 11/2 ↑ 6/1 → 6/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

13/2 7.5 decimal Coral

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Coral 13/2Ladbrokes 13/2Midnite 13/2SportingIndex 13/2Spreadex 13/2Star Sports 13/210 Bet 6/17Bet 6/1BetMGM 6/1BetTom 6/1BetWright 6/1Betfred 6/1Dragon Bet 6/1Hollywood Bets 6/1Quinn Bet 6/1Unibet 6/1Virgin Bet 6/1William Hill 6/1Paddy Power 6/1LiveScore Bet 6/1Bet Victor 11/2Bet365 11/2Betano 11/2Boyle Sports 11/2Betfair Sportsbook 11/2

25 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	5/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	5/1	-2.42pp10am → now; SP pending	6/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.42pp
Chelmsford (AW)26 Feb 20267f · Class 5 · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	3/1	-5.00ppOpen → 10am	4/1	+0.00pp10am → SP	4/1	1st	-5.00pp
Post-race comment
Lingfield (AW)14 Jan 20267f 1y · Class 5 · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	EVS	-34.62ppOpen → 10am	11/2	+4.62pp10am → SP	4/1	2nd	-30.00pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	5/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	5/1	-2.42pp10am → now; SP pending	6/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.42pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.42pp since 10am, as of 19:27. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 8 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Captain Parma is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

No net move by 10am. Drifted by 2.42pp since 10am. As of 19:27; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Chelmsford (AW) · 26 Feb 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Chelmsford (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 14y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 5/1 (6.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 7/2 (4.62 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 66/220 (30%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 16.2%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Shaw ParkDraw 10

Trainer: Scott Dixon

Jockey: Kieran O'Neill

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

COURSE RECORD1/7 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 20/1 · 62% shorter today

Last run7 days ago · 17 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 10 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 2.6% • -0.32 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Southwell (AW), 05 Feb 2026 — 3rd • open 15/2 → final market price 22/1 (-7.42pp).

Opened 7/1Market avg 7/1

Price move-0.32pp(-2.6%)

13/2 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 7/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 7/1 → 7/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

15/2 8.5 decimal Bet365

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	7/1	+5.36ppOpen → 10am	9/2	-5.68pp10am → now; SP pending	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.32pp
Southwell (AW)08 Oct 20261m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/1	-0.91ppOpen → 10am	10/1	-4.74pp10am → SP	22/1	2nd	-5.65pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	7/1	+5.36ppOpen → 10am	9/2	-5.68pp10am → now; SP pending	7/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-0.32pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-5.68pp since 10am, as of 19:27. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 10 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Shaw Park is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 5.36pp by 10am. Drifted by 5.68pp since 10am. As of 19:27; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 4pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 2/16 (12.5%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 08 Oct 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Southwell (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 7f 14y · previous 1m 13y✓Ground: Standard×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 6

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 9/2 (5.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/2 (5.61 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 6/47 (12.8%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 6.2%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Red Hat EagleDraw 5

Trainer: William Knight

Jockey: Taylor Fisher

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 18/1 · 55% shorter today

Last run15 days ago · 9 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 10 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 0% • +0.00 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Kempton (AW), 09 Oct 2026 — 5th • open 9/2 → final market price 3/1 (+6.82pp).

Opened 15/2Market avg 15/2

Price move+0.00pp(+0.0%)

13/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

8/1 9 decimal 7Bet

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	15/2	+0.74ppOpen → 10am	7/1	-0.74pp10am → now; SP pending	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.00pp
Lingfield (AW)20 Aug 20267f 1y · Class 5 · Standard · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	6/1	+5.29ppOpen → 10am	4/1	+0.00pp10am → SP	4/1	2nd	+5.29pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	15/2	+0.74ppOpen → 10am	7/1	-0.74pp10am → now; SP pending	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.00pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-0.74pp since 10am, as of 19:27. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 10 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Red Hat Eagle is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.74pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.74pp since 10am. As of 19:27; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Lingfield (AW) · 20 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Lingfield (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 14y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 5/1 (5.96 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 16/69 (23.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.7%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

GladiadoraDraw 1

Trainer: Charlie Clover

Jockey: Jack Callan

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬆ CLASS RISE

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

COURSE RECORD2/3 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 11/2 · 38% bigger today

Last run28 days ago · 26 Sep 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP6/12 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

91th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE91st HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 11 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 24% • -2.76 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Nottingham, 08 Apr 2026 — 2nd • open 5/1 → final market price 13/2 (-3.33pp).

Opened 6/1Market avg 15/2

Price move-2.76pp(-24.0%)

7/1 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 → 15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 13/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

8/1 9 decimal 7Bet

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	6/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	6/1	-2.76pp10am → now; SP pending	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.76pp
Southwell (AW)17 Sep 20261m 13y · Class 6 · Standard · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	16/1	+8.23ppOpen → 10am	6/1	-0.95pp10am → SP	13/2	1st	+7.27pp
Post-race comment
Kempton (AW)08 Jul 20261m · Class 6 · Standard / Slow · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	3/1	-1.91ppOpen → 10am	10/3	+3.57pp10am → SP	11/4	2nd	+1.67pp
Post-race comment
Nottingham08 Apr 20261m 75y · Class 6 · Good · 15 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	-1.28ppOpen → 10am	11/2	+0.00pp10am → SP	11/2	2nd	-1.28pp
Post-race comment
Southwell (AW)28 Mar 20267f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	15/2	-1.24ppOpen → 10am	17/2	+3.76pp10am → SP	6/1	1st	+2.52pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	6/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	6/1	-2.76pp10am → now; SP pending	15/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.76pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.76pp since 10am, as of 19:27. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 6 · ↑ Class rise

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 11 previous Open → final market price moves. It is also stepping up from Class 6 to Class 5, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Gladiadora is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

No net move by 10am. Drifted by 2.76pp since 10am. As of 19:27; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 28 Mar 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Southwell (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 14y✓Ground: Standard×Class: Today Class 5 · previous Class 6

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 6/1 (7.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 4/1 (5.19 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 12/28 (42.9%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 23%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Finn IronsideDraw 11

Trainer: Ivan Furtado

Jockey: Elle-May Croot(5)

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬆ CLASS RISE

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

COURSE RECORD0/2 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 22/1 · 60% shorter today

Last run22 days ago · 2 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP5/12 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

90th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE90th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

Only 1 of 10 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 4th at Kempton (AW) on 08 Jul 2026 (-4.44pp).

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 37.8% • -4.22 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Kempton (AW), 08 Jul 2026 — 4th • open 8/1 → final market price 14/1 (-4.44pp).

Opened 11/2Market avg 8/1

Price move-4.22pp(-37.8%)

15/2 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

17/2 9.5 decimal 7Bet

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7Bet 17/2Coral 17/2Ladbrokes 17/2Star Sports 17/2Unibet 17/210 Bet 8/1Bet365 8/1BetMGM 8/1BetWright 8/1Betfred 8/1Dragon Bet 8/1Hollywood Bets 8/1Midnite 8/1Quinn Bet 8/1SportingIndex 8/1Spreadex 8/1Virgin Bet 8/1William Hill 8/1Paddy Power 8/1LiveScore Bet 8/1BetTom 15/2Boyle Sports 15/2Betfair Sportsbook 15/2Bet Victor 7/1Betano 7/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	11/2	-2.05ppOpen → 10am	13/2	-2.17pp10am → now; SP pending	8/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-4.22pp
Newcastle (AW)02 Oct 20267f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	3/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	3/1	+1.67pp10am → SP	11/4	1st	+1.67pp
Post-race comment
Newcastle (AW)05 Sep 20267f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/1	+0.30ppOpen → 10am	7/1	-0.74pp10am → SP	15/2	1st	-0.43pp
Post-race comment
Newcastle (AW)31 Jul 20267f 14y · Class 6 · Standard / Slow · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/3	-0.87ppOpen → 10am	7/2	+0.87pp10am → SP	10/3	2nd	+0.00pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	11/2	-2.05ppOpen → 10am	13/2	-2.17pp10am → now; SP pending	8/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-4.22pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-4.22ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.17pp since 10am, as of 19:27. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 6 · ↑ Class rise

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

Just 1 of 10 previous runs showed a larger drift, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse against its previous Open → final market price moves. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. It is also stepping up from Class 6 to Class 5, which adds another test today. Today’s move: Finn Ironside has moved from 11/2 to 8/1, a developing drift (-4.22pp).

Drifted by 2.05pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.17pp more since 10am. As of 19:27; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newcastle (AW) · 05 Sep 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Newcastle (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 14y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 13/2 (7.50 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 4/1 (4.91 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 10/62 (16.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 8.1%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Ribble EmperorDraw 6

Trainer: Mark Loughnane

Jockey: Billy Loughnane

PRO RACECARD ↗

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

Last run146 days ago · 31 May 2026

Distance changeUp 0.8f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE75th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 16.5% • +1.80 probability points

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Listowel (IRE), 31 May 2026 — 11th • open 20/1 → final market price 11/1 (+3.57pp).

Opened 10/1Market avg 8/1

Price move+1.80pp(+16.5%)

15/2 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 8/1 → 8/1 → 8/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 7/1 ↑ 17/2 ↓ 8/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/1 10 decimal Coral

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Coral 9/1Ladbrokes 9/1Unibet 9/17Bet 17/2Bet365 17/2Betfred 17/2Dragon Bet 17/2Hollywood Bets 17/2Quinn Bet 17/2Star Sports 17/2Virgin Bet 17/2William Hill 17/2LiveScore Bet 17/210 Bet 8/1BetMGM 8/1BetTom 8/1BetWright 8/1Midnite 8/1Betfair Sportsbook 8/1Paddy Power 8/1Boyle Sports 15/2SportingIndex 15/2Spreadex 15/2Bet Victor 7/1Betano 7/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	10/1	+5.19ppOpen → 10am	6/1	-3.39pp10am → now; SP pending	8/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.80pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	10/1	+5.19ppOpen → 10am	6/1	-3.39pp10am → now; SP pending	8/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+1.80pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.39pp since 10am, as of 19:27. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: class not recorded

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Ribble Emperor is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 5.19pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.39pp since 10am. As of 19:27; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 4pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 3/12 (25%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 6/1 (7.10 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 7/42 (16.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 4.9%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

EspanitaDraw 7

Trainer: Charlie Johnston

Jockey: Callum Shepherd

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 10/11 · 731% bigger today

Last run12 days ago · 12 Oct 2026

Distance changeDown 1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP8/13 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

83th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE83rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

2 of 12 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 8th at Nottingham on 19 May 2026 (-7.74pp); and finished 2nd at Kempton (AW) on 18 Feb 2026 (-5.19pp).

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

When drifting like this: failed 1/3

When drifting like this: failed 1/3 — view runs

31 Jul 2026 · Wolverhampton (AW)
Open 14/1 → final 22/1 · SP 20/1 · 1st

19 May 2026 · Nottingham
Open 7/1 → final 20/1 · SP 18/1 · 8th

18 Feb 2026 · Kempton (AW)
Open 6/1 → final 10/1 · SP 10/1 · 2nd

Raw Open → Now price change: 67.2% • -4.23 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Nottingham, 19 May 2026 — 8th • open 7/1 → final market price 20/1 (-7.74pp).

Opened 17/2Market avg 14/1

Price move-4.23pp(-67.2%)

12/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 12/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 14/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

16/1 17 decimal 7Bet

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7Bet 16/1Bet365 16/1BetWright 16/1Betfred 16/1Coral 16/1Dragon Bet 16/1Hollywood Bets 16/1Ladbrokes 16/1Midnite 16/1Quinn Bet 16/1Star Sports 16/1Unibet 16/1William Hill 16/1Betfair Sportsbook 16/110 Bet 14/1BetMGM 14/1BetTom 14/1LiveScore Bet 14/1SportingIndex 14/1Spreadex 14/1Virgin Bet 14/1Paddy Power 14/1Bet Victor 12/1Betano 12/1Boyle Sports 12/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	17/2	+0.58ppOpen → 10am	8/1	-4.81pp10am → now; SP pending	14/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-4.23pp
Newcastle (AW)01 Oct 20267f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	6/4	+2.02ppOpen → 10am	11/8	-7.29pp10am → SP	15/8	2nd	-5.28pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)21 Sep 20261m 142y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	-7.84ppOpen → 10am	15/2	+13.24pp10am → SP	3/1	2nd	+5.39pp
Post-race comment
Lingfield (AW)12 Sep 20261m 1y · Class 5 · Standard · 4 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	+6.09ppOpen → 10am	7/2	+8.55pp10am → SP	9/4	1st	+14.64pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)31 Jul 20267f 36y · Class 5 · Standard · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	14/1	+1.03ppOpen → 10am	12/1	-2.93pp10am → SP	20/1	1st	-1.90pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)03 Mar 20267f 36y · Class 4 · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	25/1	+41.61ppOpen → 10am	6/5	-3.44pp10am → SP	11/8	1st	+38.17pp
Post-race comment
Kempton (AW)18 Feb 20267f · Class 4 · Standard To Slow · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	6/1	+3.90ppOpen → 10am	9/2	-9.09pp10am → SP	10/1	2nd	-5.19pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	17/2	+0.58ppOpen → 10am	8/1	-4.81pp10am → now; SP pending	14/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-4.23pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-4.23ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse history2/3 top 2Displayed comparable drift runs: 2 first/second finishes in 3 completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-4.81pp since 10am, as of 19:27. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Just 2 of 12 previous runs showed a larger drift, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse against its previous Open → final market price moves. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Espanita has moved from 17/2 to 14/1, a developing drift (-4.23pp).

Shortened by 0.58pp by 10am. Drifted by 4.81pp since 10am. As of 19:27; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newcastle (AW) · 01 Oct 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Newcastle (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 14y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 8/1 (9.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/2 (6.44 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 26/116 (22.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 10.8%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Flash RascalDraw 2

Trainer: David Loughnane

Jockey: Kevin Stott

🟢 Needs Support (17%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

COURSE RECORD0/2 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 12/1 · 29% bigger today

Last run15 days ago · 9 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP3/11 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

63th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE63rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 8 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 20.3% • -1.12 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 18 Sep 2026 — 8th • open 15/2 → final market price 14/1 (-4.96pp).

Opened 14/1Market avg 18/1

Price move-1.12pp(-20.3%)

16/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 14/1 ↑ 18/1 ↓ 16/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

20/1 21 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 20/17Bet 18/1BetTom 18/1BetWright 18/1Betfred 18/1Coral 18/1Dragon Bet 18/1Hollywood Bets 18/1Ladbrokes 18/1Quinn Bet 18/1Star Sports 18/1Virgin Bet 18/1William Hill 18/1Betfair Sportsbook 18/1Paddy Power 18/1LiveScore Bet 18/110 Bet 16/1BetMGM 16/1Boyle Sports 16/1Midnite 16/1SportingIndex 16/1Spreadex 16/1Bet Victor 14/1Betano 14/1Unibet 12/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	14/1	-0.78ppOpen → 10am	16/1	-0.34pp10am → now; SP pending	18/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.12pp
Haydock25 Apr 20266f · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	+1.52ppOpen → 10am	9/2	+6.82pp10am → SP	3/1	1st	+8.33pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)03 Feb 20265f 21y · Class 5 · Standard · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	6/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	6/1	+16.48pp10am → SP	9/4	2nd	+16.48pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	14/1	-0.78ppOpen → 10am	16/1	-0.34pp10am → now; SP pending	18/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.12pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amHolding-0.34pp since 10am, as of 19:27. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 8 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Flash Rascal is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 0.78pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.34pp more since 10am. As of 19:27; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 03 Feb 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Wolverhampton (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 7f 14y · previous 5f 21y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 16/1 (17.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Horse support level

Support of +1.52pp · around 11/1 (12.22 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

2/2 finished 1st or 2nd with this much support or more (100%).

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 15/2 (8.57 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 10/39 (25.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.1%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Santiago BoyDraw 14

Trainer: Charles Hills

Jockey: Rob Hornby

🔴 Ignores MarketThis horse has won or placed despite drifting. Market weakness does NOT negatively impact performance. Can be a value angle when price weakens.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

Last run15 days ago · 9 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 9 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 7th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 18 Sep 2026 (-20.48pp); finished 4th at Ffos Las on 28 Aug 2026 (-6.59pp); and finished 7th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 27 Apr 2026 (-12.31pp).

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

When drifting like this: failed 4/6

When drifting like this: failed 4/6 — view runs

18 Sep 2026 · Wolverhampton (AW)
Open 5/2 → final 12/1 · SP 12/1 · 7th

28 Aug 2026 · Ffos Las
Open 6/1 → final 12/1 · SP 14/1 · 4th

19 Aug 2026 · Kempton (AW)
Open 4/1 → final 11/2 · SP 6/1 · 2nd

10 Aug 2026 · Kempton (AW)
Open 33/1 → final 50/1 · SP 50/1 · 2nd

20 May 2026 · Kempton (AW)
Open 18/1 → final 50/1 · SP 100/1 · 5th

Raw Open → Now price change: 102.1% • -5.26 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 18 Sep 2026 — 7th • open 5/2 → final market price 12/1 (-20.48pp).

Opened 17/2Market avg 18/1

Price move-5.26pp(-102.1%)

12/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1 → 18/1 ↑ 20/1 ↓ 16/1 ↑ 18/1 → 18/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

20/1 21 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 20/1Betfred 20/1Coral 20/1Hollywood Bets 20/1Ladbrokes 20/1Quinn Bet 20/1Star Sports 20/1Virgin Bet 20/1William Hill 20/1Betfair Sportsbook 20/1Paddy Power 20/1LiveScore Bet 20/110 Bet 18/17Bet 18/1BetMGM 18/1BetTom 18/1BetWright 18/1Dragon Bet 18/1Midnite 18/1Unibet 18/1Bet Victor 16/1Betano 16/1SportingIndex 16/1Spreadex 16/1Boyle Sports 12/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	17/2	-3.75ppOpen → 10am	14/1	-1.51pp10am → now; SP pending	18/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-5.26pp
Kempton (AW)19 Aug 20267f · Class 5 · Standard / Slow · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	-2.23ppOpen → 10am	9/2	-3.90pp10am → SP	6/1	2nd	-6.12pp
Post-race comment
Kempton (AW)10 Aug 20261m · Class 5 · Standard / Slow · 14 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	33/1	+0.51ppOpen → 10am	28/1	-1.49pp10am → SP	50/1	2nd	-0.98pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	17/2	-3.75ppOpen → 10am	14/1	-1.51pp10am → now; SP pending	18/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-5.26pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

DRIFT DETECTED — BUT THIS HORSE HAS DEFIED IT BEFOREMarket-5.26ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyMissed top 2: 3/5Displayed comparable drift runs: 2 first/second finishes in 5 completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.51pp since 10am, as of 19:27. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

Just 3 of 9 previous runs showed a larger drift, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse against its previous Open → final market price moves. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Importantly, this horse has previously won or placed despite drifting, so market weakness has not automatically prevented it from performing. Today’s move: Santiago Boy has moved from 17/2 to 18/1, a developing drift (-5.26pp).

Drifted by 3.75pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.51pp more since 10am. As of 19:27; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Kempton (AW) · 19 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Kempton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 7f 14y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Standard / Slow✓Class: Class 5

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 14/1 (15.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/2 (6.49 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 13/37 (35.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 13.1%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

JanoraDraw 12

Trainer: Seb Spencer

Jockey: Dale Swift

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

Last run29 days ago · 25 Sep 2026

Distance changeUp 1.1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

33th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE33rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

2 of 3 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 3rd at Newcastle (AW) on 25 Sep 2026 (-19.66pp); and finished 6th at Newcastle (AW) on 20 Aug 2026 (-43.14pp).

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

When drifting like this: failed 3/3

When drifting like this: failed 3/3 — view runs

25 Sep 2026 · Newcastle (AW)
Open 9/4 → final 8/1 · SP 8/1 · 3rd

05 Sep 2026 · Newcastle (AW)
Open 50/1 → final 100/1 · SP 100/1 · 4th

20 Aug 2026 · Newcastle (AW)
Open EVS → final 16/1 · SP 16/1 · 6th

Raw Open → Now price change: 116.9% • -4.15 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Newcastle (AW), 20 Aug 2026 — 6th • open EVS → final market price 16/1 (-43.14pp).

Opened 12/1Market avg 28/1

Price move-4.15pp(-116.9%)

25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 28/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

33/1 34 decimal SportingIndex

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SportingIndex 33/1Spreadex 33/1Betfair Sportsbook 33/1Paddy Power 33/17Bet 28/110 Bet 28/1BetWright 28/1Dragon Bet 28/1Hollywood Bets 28/1Midnite 28/1Star Sports 28/1Virgin Bet 28/1LiveScore Bet 28/1Bet365 25/1BetMGM 25/1BetTom 25/1Betfred 25/1Boyle Sports 25/1Coral 25/1Ladbrokes 25/1Quinn Bet 25/1Unibet 25/1William Hill 25/1Bet Victor 22/1Betano 22/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	12/1	-3.85ppOpen → 10am	25/1	-0.30pp10am → now; SP pending	28/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-4.15pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	12/1	-3.85ppOpen → 10am	25/1	-0.30pp10am → now; SP pending	28/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-4.15pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-4.15ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyMissed top 2: 3/3Displayed comparable drift runs: 0 first/second finishes in 3 completed runs.Since 10amHolding-0.30pp since 10am, as of 19:27. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 4 · ↓ Class drop

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

2 of 3 previous runs showed a larger drift, so today’s market behaviour is not unusual for this horse against its previous Open → final market price moves. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Despite dropping from Class 4 to Class 5, the market is still weakening. Today’s move: Janora has moved from 12/1 to 28/1, a developing drift (-4.15pp).

Drifted by 3.85pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.30pp more since 10am. As of 19:27; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 25/1 (26.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 7/1 (7.88 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 3/12 (25%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 5.2%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Piscean StarDraw 13

Trainer: Ed Dunlop

Jockey: Robert Havlin

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 4/1 · 542% bigger today

Last run19 days ago · 5 Oct 2026

Distance changeDown 0.9f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE60th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 5 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Raw Open → Now price change: 88.7% • -2.77 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Newmarket (July), 20 Aug 2026 — 6th • open 14/1 → final market price 40/1 (-3.81pp).

Opened 16/1Market avg 33/1

Price move-2.77pp(-88.7%)

28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 33/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

33/1 36 decimal 7Bet

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

7Bet 33/110 Bet 33/1Bet365 33/1BetTom 33/1BetWright 33/1Betfred 33/1Coral 33/1Dragon Bet 33/1Hollywood Bets 33/1Ladbrokes 33/1Quinn Bet 33/1Star Sports 33/1Unibet 33/1Virgin Bet 33/1William Hill 33/1Betfair Sportsbook 33/1Paddy Power 33/1LiveScore Bet 33/1Boyle Sports 28/1Midnite 28/1Bet Victor 25/1BetMGM 25/1Betano 25/1SportingIndex 25/1Spreadex 25/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	16/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	16/1	-2.77pp10am → now; SP pending	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.77pp
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	16/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	16/1	-2.77pp10am → now; SP pending	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.77pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.77pp since 10am, as of 19:27. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 5 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

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More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 5 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Piscean Star is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

No net move by 10am. Drifted by 2.77pp since 10am. As of 19:27; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 16/1 (17.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 8/1 (9.19 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 6/39 (15.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.8%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

AkabusiDraw 9

Trainer: Micky Fenton

Jockey: Grace McEntee

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

Last run15 days ago · 9 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP10/31 recorded win in the loaded Market Form sample

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

86th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE86th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

2 of 14 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 4th at Windsor on 23 May 2026 (-8.07pp); and finished 9th at Wolverhampton (AW) on 17 Mar 2026 (-7.26pp).

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

When drifting like this: failed 6/6

When drifting like this: failed 6/6 — view runs

16 Sep 2026 · Yarmouth
Open 11/1 → final 16/1 · SP 16/1 · 3rd

07 Aug 2026 · Newmarket (July)
Open 12/1 → final 22/1 · SP 25/1 · 8th

23 May 2026 · Windsor
Open 13/2 → final 18/1 · SP 20/1 · 4th

17 Apr 2026 · Bath
Open 14/1 → final 40/1 · SP 22/1 · 8th

03 Apr 2026 · Lingfield (AW)
Open 16/1 → final 33/1 · SP 28/1 · 4th

Raw Open → Now price change: 182.8% • -5.62 probability points

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Windsor, 23 May 2026 — 4th • open 13/2 → final market price 18/1 (-8.07pp).

Opened 10/1Market avg 33/1

Price move-5.62pp(-182.8%)

28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 33/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

33/1 36 decimal 7Bet

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7Bet 33/110 Bet 33/1Bet365 33/1BetTom 33/1BetWright 33/1Betfred 33/1Coral 33/1Dragon Bet 33/1Hollywood Bets 33/1Ladbrokes 33/1Midnite 33/1Quinn Bet 33/1Star Sports 33/1Unibet 33/1Virgin Bet 33/1William Hill 33/1Betfair Sportsbook 33/1Paddy Power 33/1LiveScore Bet 33/1Boyle Sports 28/1SportingIndex 28/1Spreadex 28/1Bet Victor 25/1BetMGM 25/1Betano 25/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	10/1	-3.93ppOpen → 10am	20/1	-1.69pp10am → now; SP pending	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-5.62pp
Newmarket15 May 20266f · Class 5 · Good · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/1	+3.33ppOpen → 10am	13/2	+9.76pp10am → SP	10/3	1st	+13.09pp
Post-race comment
Lingfield (AW)31 Dec 20256f 1y · Class 5 · Standard · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	4/1	-1.82ppOpen → 10am	9/2	+1.82pp10am → SP	4/1	2nd	+0.00pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today7f 14y · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners	10/1	-3.93ppOpen → 10am	20/1	-1.69pp10am → now; SP pending	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-5.62pp
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-5.62ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyMissed top 2: 5/5Displayed comparable drift runs: 0 first/second finishes in 5 completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.69pp since 10am, as of 19:27. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 5 · Last run: Class 4 · ↓ Class drop

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Just 2 of 14 previous runs showed a larger drift, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse against its previous Open → final market price moves. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Despite dropping from Class 4 to Class 5, the market is still weakening. Today’s move: Akabusi has moved from 10/1 to 33/1, a developing drift (-5.62pp).

Drifted by 3.93pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.69pp more since 10am. As of 19:27; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Lingfield (AW) · 31 Dec 2025 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Lingfield (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 7f 14y · previous 6f 1y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 5

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 20/1 (21.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Race market overview as at 21:21

Supported1 of 14 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Packetofbiscuits +4.63pp
Drifting5 of 14 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Akabusi -5.62pp
Last 15 minNo gain or drift recorded
Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min

15-minute snapshot 21:20 · no additional market query

20:00Southwell (AW) • Flat • 6f16y • Class 4 • Going: Standard

8 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

Crystal DarkDraw 1

Trainer: Edward Bethell

Jockey: Callum Shepherd

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

Last run21 days ago · 3 Oct 2026

Distance changeDown 0.9f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: +3.7% • +1.31pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +0.59pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 13/8 @ 09:28

NR @ 09:28: 13/8 → 13/8 (+0.59pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +0.72pp

Previous market evidence

No previous positive open-to-final market support in the recorded sample.

Opened 15/8Market avg 7/4

Price move+0.72pp(+2.0%)

13/8 ↑ 15/8 ↓ 13/8 ↑ 15/8 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 15/8 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 13/8 ↑ 15/8 ↓ 7/4

BEST FIXED ODDS

2/1 3 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 2/17Bet 15/8BetMGM 15/8BetWright 15/8Betfred 15/8Dragon Bet 15/8Hollywood Bets 15/8Quinn Bet 15/8Virgin Bet 15/8William Hill 15/8Paddy Power 15/8LiveScore Bet 15/810 Bet 7/4BetTom 7/4Coral 7/4Ladbrokes 7/4Midnite 7/4Star Sports 7/4Unibet 7/4Betfair Sportsbook 7/4Bet Victor 13/8Betano 13/8Boyle Sports 13/8SportingIndex 13/8Spreadex 13/8

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners	15/8	+6.94ppOpen → 10am	11/8	-6.23pp10am → now; SP pending	7/4Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.72ppNR adjusted
Redcar03 Oct 20267f · Class 3 · Good · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	3/1	-9.62ppOpen → 10am	11/2	+7.71pp10am → SP	10/3	2nd	-1.91pp
Post-race comment
Newcastle (AW)05 Sep 20267f 14y · Class 3 · Standard · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/3	-0.71ppOpen → 10am	10/3	-3.09pp10am → SP	4/1	2nd	-3.81pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners	15/8	+6.94ppOpen → 10am	11/8	-6.23pp10am → now; SP pending	7/4Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.72ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-6.23pp since 10am, as of 19:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 3 · ↓ Class drop

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The horse drops from Class 3 to Class 4, but the market has not responded with meaningful support. Today’s move: Crystal Dark is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 6.94pp by 10am. Drifted by 6.23pp since 10am. As of 19:57; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 6pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 6/19 (31.6%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newcastle (AW) · 05 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Newcastle (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 6f 16y · previous 7f 14y✓Ground: Standard×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 3

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 6/4 (2.50 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 27/104 (26%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 16%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

Flick of An EyeDraw 8

Trainer: Simon Crisford

Jockey: Jack Mitchell

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

Last run39 days ago · 15 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -16.7% • -5.72pp

Measured NR price effect removed: -0.18pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 7/4 @ 09:28

NR @ 09:28: 7/4 → 7/4 (-0.18pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -5.54pp

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Newbury, 26 Aug 2026 — 3rd • open 6/1 → final market price 7/1 (-1.79pp).

Opened 6/4Market avg 15/8

Price move-5.54pp(-16.1%)

2/1 → 2/1 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 15/8 → 15/8 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 15/8 ↑ 2/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

2/1 3 decimal 10 Bet

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10 Bet 2/1Bet365 2/1Betfred 2/1Boyle Sports 2/1Hollywood Bets 2/1Quinn Bet 2/1Star Sports 2/1Unibet 2/1Virgin Bet 2/1William Hill 2/1Betfair Sportsbook 2/1Paddy Power 2/1LiveScore Bet 2/17Bet 15/8BetTom 15/8BetWright 15/8Coral 15/8Dragon Bet 15/8Ladbrokes 15/8Midnite 15/8Bet Victor 7/4BetMGM 7/4Betano 7/4SportingIndex 7/4Spreadex 7/4

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners	6/4	+4.63ppOpen → 10am	5/4	-10.16pp10am → now; SP pending	15/8Current; SP pending	Pending	-5.54ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners	6/4	+4.63ppOpen → 10am	5/4	-10.16pp10am → now; SP pending	15/8Current; SP pending	Pending	-5.54ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-5.54ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-10.16pp since 10am, as of 19:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 2 · ↓ Class drop

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Despite dropping from Class 2 to Class 4, the market is still weakening. Today’s move: Flick of An Eye has moved from 6/4 to 15/8, a developing drift (-5.54pp).

Shortened by 4.63pp by 10am. Drifted by 10.16pp since 10am. As of 19:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 5/4 (2.25 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Al ArraabDraw 3

Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey

Jockey: Oisin Orr

PRO RACECARD ↗

⬇ CLASS DROP

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

Last run51 days ago · 3 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: +34.0% • +6.44pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +0.37pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 11/2 @ 09:28

NR @ 09:28: 11/2 → 11/2 (+0.37pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +6.07pp

Limited data: 1 similar run only. Not a proven betting pattern.

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Haydock, 03 Sep 2026 — 2nd • open 18/1 → final market price 10/1 (+3.69pp).

Opened 7/1Market avg 9/2

Price move+6.07pp(+32.7%)

4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 ↑ 9/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

5/1 6 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 5/110 Bet 9/2Betfred 9/2Coral 9/2Hollywood Bets 9/2Ladbrokes 9/2Quinn Bet 9/2Star Sports 9/2Unibet 9/2Virgin Bet 9/2William Hill 9/2Betfair Sportsbook 9/2Paddy Power 9/2LiveScore Bet 9/2Bet Victor 4/1BetMGM 4/1BetTom 4/1BetWright 4/1Betano 4/1Boyle Sports 4/1Dragon Bet 4/1Midnite 4/1SportingIndex 4/1Spreadex 4/17Bet 7/2

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners	7/1	+9.35ppOpen → 10am	7/2	-3.28pp10am → now; SP pending	9/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+6.07ppNR adjusted
Haydock03 Sep 20266f · Class 3 · Soft · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	18/1	+4.59ppOpen → 10am	9/1	-0.91pp10am → SP	10/1	2nd	+3.69pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners	7/1	+9.35ppOpen → 10am	7/2	-3.28pp10am → now; SP pending	9/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+6.07ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

TRAINER RECORD MAKES THIS SUPPORT SIGNIFICANTMarket+6.07ppGenuine support from the opening price.Trainer9.7% → 28.7%Open → SP · backed 5pp+Baseline → matching strike rate; 87 runners, Open → SP · backed 5pp+. Historical sample requires opening, 10am and official SP prices. Popup uses opening → final market price and a broader results baseline.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.28pp since 10am, as of 19:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 3 · ↓ Class drop

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Richard & Peter Fahey runners in the matching 5pp+ band have won 25/87 (a 28.7% Open→SP strike rate), compared with the trainer’s normal 9.7% strike rate. There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. The support is accompanied by a drop from Class 3 to Class 4, giving the horse more favourable conditions today. Today’s move: Al Arraab has shortened from 7/1 to 9/2, which is support (+6.07pp).

Shortened by 9.35pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.28pp since 10am. As of 19:57; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 8pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 3/10 (30%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Haydock · 03 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Haydock✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 16y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Soft×Class: Today Class 4 · previous Class 3

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 10/3 (4.37 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 12/33 (36.4%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.7%.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/2 (5.60 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

Trainer won 25/87 (28.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.7%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

SigmaDraw 7

Trainer: Harry Eustace

Jockey: Daniel Muscutt

PRO RACECARD ↗

Last runNot recorded

Distance changeNot recorded

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -15.3% • -1.56pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +0.00pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 17/2 @ 09:28

NR @ 09:28: 17/2 → 17/2 (+0.00pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -1.56pp

Opened 15/2Market avg 9/1

Price move-1.56pp(-15.3%)

9/1 → 9/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 17/2 ↑ 9/1 → 9/1 ↑ 10/1 ↓ 15/2 ↑ 17/2 ↑ 9/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

10/1 11 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 10/110 Bet 9/1BetMGM 9/1BetTom 9/1Betfred 9/1Boyle Sports 9/1Coral 9/1Ladbrokes 9/1Quinn Bet 9/1SportingIndex 9/1Spreadex 9/1Star Sports 9/1Unibet 9/1Virgin Bet 9/1William Hill 9/1Betfair Sportsbook 9/1Paddy Power 9/17Bet 17/2BetWright 17/2Dragon Bet 17/2Hollywood Bets 17/2Midnite 17/2LiveScore Bet 17/2Bet Victor 15/2Betano 15/2

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners	15/2	-0.65ppOpen → 10am	8/1	-0.91pp10am → now; SP pending	9/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.56ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners	15/2	-0.65ppOpen → 10am	8/1	-0.91pp10am → now; SP pending	9/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.56ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-0.91pp since 10am, as of 19:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: class not recorded

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Sigma is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 0.65pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.91pp more since 10am. As of 19:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 8/1 (9.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 5/1 (5.96 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 13/34 (38.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12.8%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

HunstantonDraw 2

Trainer: George Boughey

Jockey: Billy Loughnane

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 4/1 · 135% bigger today

Last run22 days ago · 2 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -23.8% • -2.02pp

Measured NR price effect removed: -0.14pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 12/1 @ 09:28

NR @ 09:28: 12/1 → 12/1 (-0.14pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -1.88pp

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Newcastle (AW), 02 Oct 2026 — 4th • open 12/1 → final market price 66/1 (-6.20pp).

Opened 17/2Market avg 11/1

Price move-1.88pp(-21.7%)

11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 11/1 ↓ 10/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1 ↓ 9/1 ↑ 11/1 → 11/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

12/1 13 decimal SportingIndex

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SportingIndex 12/1Spreadex 12/110 Bet 11/17Bet 11/1Bet365 11/1BetMGM 11/1BetWright 11/1Betfred 11/1Boyle Sports 11/1Coral 11/1Hollywood Bets 11/1Ladbrokes 11/1Midnite 11/1Quinn Bet 11/1Star Sports 11/1Unibet 11/1Virgin Bet 11/1William Hill 11/1Paddy Power 11/1BetTom 10/1Dragon Bet 10/1Betfair Sportsbook 10/1LiveScore Bet 10/1Bet Victor 9/1Betano 9/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners	17/2	-2.05ppOpen → 10am	11/1	+0.17pp10am → now; SP pending	11/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.88ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners	17/2	-2.05ppOpen → 10am	11/1	+0.17pp10am → now; SP pending	11/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.88ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amHolding+0.17pp since 10am, as of 19:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

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More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: Hunstanton is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 2.05pp by 10am. Shortened by 0.17pp since 10am. As of 19:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 11/1 (12.00 decimal).

10am price recovered — watch whether it holds.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 11/2 (6.50 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 31/85 (36.5%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 18.1%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: 12pm was biggest

Weakening late

The Honey ThiefDraw 6

Trainer: Archie Watson

Jockey: Luke Morris

PRO RACECARD ↗

Last runNot recorded

Distance changeNot recorded

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -106.5% • -6.45pp

Measured NR price effect removed: -0.20pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 11/1 @ 09:28

NR @ 09:28: 11/1 → 11/1 (-0.20pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -6.25pp

Opened 7/1Market avg 16/1

Price move-6.25pp(-99.9%)

16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1 ↓ 14/1 → 14/1 → 14/1 ↑ 16/1 → 16/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

16/1 17 decimal 10 Bet

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10 Bet 16/17Bet 16/1BetTom 16/1BetWright 16/1Boyle Sports 16/1Coral 16/1Hollywood Bets 16/1Ladbrokes 16/1Midnite 16/1Quinn Bet 16/1SportingIndex 16/1Spreadex 16/1Star Sports 16/1Unibet 16/1Virgin Bet 16/1William Hill 16/1Betfair Sportsbook 16/1Paddy Power 16/1LiveScore Bet 16/1Bet Victor 14/1Bet365 14/1BetMGM 14/1Betano 14/1Betfred 14/1Dragon Bet 14/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners	7/1	-4.61ppOpen → 10am	12/1	-1.64pp10am → now; SP pending	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-6.25ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners	7/1	-4.61ppOpen → 10am	12/1	-1.64pp10am → now; SP pending	16/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-6.25ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-6.25ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.64pp since 10am, as of 19:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: class not recorded

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: The Honey Thief has moved from 7/1 to 16/1, a developing drift (-6.25pp).

Drifted by 4.61pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.64pp more since 10am. As of 19:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 12/1 (13.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 5/1 (5.78 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 12/45 (26.7%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12.4%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

World StarDraw 5

Trainer: Ollie Sangster

Jockey: Callum Rodriguez

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

Last run37 days ago · 17 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -100.2% • -2.94pp

Measured NR price effect removed: -0.10pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 25/1 @ 09:28

NR @ 09:28: 25/1 → 25/1 (-0.10pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -2.85pp

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Pontefract, 17 Sep 2026 — 3rd • open 5/1 → final market price 40/1 (-13.69pp).

Opened 16/1Market avg 33/1

Price move-2.85pp(-93.8%)

33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 28/1 ↑ 33/1 → 33/1 → 33/1 ↓ 28/1 → 28/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 33/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

40/1 41 decimal SportingIndex

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

SportingIndex 40/1Spreadex 40/17Bet 33/110 Bet 33/1BetMGM 33/1BetTom 33/1BetWright 33/1Betfred 33/1Boyle Sports 33/1Coral 33/1Dragon Bet 33/1Hollywood Bets 33/1Ladbrokes 33/1Midnite 33/1Quinn Bet 33/1Star Sports 33/1Unibet 33/1Virgin Bet 33/1William Hill 33/1Betfair Sportsbook 33/1Paddy Power 33/1LiveScore Bet 33/1Bet Victor 28/1Bet365 28/1Betano 28/1

25 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners	16/1	-1.94ppOpen → 10am	25/1	-0.91pp10am → now; SP pending	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.85ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners	16/1	-1.94ppOpen → 10am	25/1	-0.91pp10am → now; SP pending	33/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-2.85ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-0.91pp since 10am, as of 19:57. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 4 · Last run: Class 4 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

There is only one comparable recorded run for this horse, so its own history is an early clue rather than a reliable pattern. Today’s move: World Star is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 1.94pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.91pp more since 10am. As of 19:57; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 25/1 (26.00 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 17/2 (9.27 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 26/60 (43.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 14.4%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Hot Moonstone

NON-RUNNERNR @ 09:28

Non-runner adjustment audit

NR recorded: 09:28:09 · recorded declaration time

Last recorded market average before NR: 50/1 (48.762) at 09:26:26

Implied probability: 2.05%

Snapshot 103 seconds before the recorded NR time.

The last captured price is shown, not an assumed exact withdrawal price. Adjustments below use each remaining horse’s measured pre/post-NR price change.

Remaining horse	Before NR / captured	Post-NR baseline	Effect removed
Crystal Dark	13/8 (2.672) 09:26:26	13/8 (2.630) Baseline reference 09:28:09	+0.59pp
Flick of An Eye	7/4 (2.736) 09:26:26	7/4 (2.750) Baseline reference 09:28:09	-0.18pp
Al Arraab	11/2 (6.660) 09:26:26	11/2 (6.500) Baseline reference 09:28:09	+0.37pp
Sigma	17/2 (9.500) 09:26:26	17/2 (9.500) Baseline reference 09:28:09	+0.00pp
Hunstanton	12/1 (12.760) 09:26:26	12/1 (13.000) Baseline reference 09:28:09	-0.14pp
The Honey Thief	11/1 (11.720) 09:26:26	11/1 (12.000) Baseline reference 09:28:09	-0.20pp
World Star	25/1 (25.360) 09:26:26	25/1 (26.000) Baseline reference 09:28:09	-0.10pp

Effect removed = (100 ÷ post-NR baseline) − (100 ÷ pre-NR price). True move = raw Open → Now move − total signed NR effects.

The post-NR baseline can be the median of captured bookmaker prices within five minutes after the NR, or the first available timeline price. Its reference time is not necessarily an individual price capture. Fractional prices are rounded; decimal prices are included for checking. Simultaneous withdrawals share one measured event.

Race market overview as at 21:21

Supported1 of 7 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Al Arraab +6.07pp
Drifting2 of 7 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: The Honey Thief -6.25pp
Last 15 minNo gain or drift recorded
Market surges0 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min

15-minute snapshot 21:20 · no additional market query

20:30Southwell (AW) • Flat • 6f16y • Class 6 • Going: Standard

14 runners

Runner EliminatorTick the evidence you require. Runners that fail a selected test are faded out. Uses full available horse history. Runners awaiting evidence stay visible until it is ready.

Full field shown.

MehmarDraw 7

Trainer: Jack Jones

Jockey: Callum Shepherd

PRO RACECARD ↗

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

Last run94 days ago · 22 Jul 2026

Distance changeDown 1.9f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: +55.6% • +19.24pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +4.00pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 9/4 @ 11:03

NR @ 07:37: 5/1 → 9/2 (+1.04pp removed)

NR @ 08:12: 4/1 → 7/2 (+1.71pp removed)

NR @ 11:03: 5/2 → 9/4 (+1.25pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +15.24pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILETHE STRONGEST MOVE RECORDED (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Strongest support recorded across 10 previous runs.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

0/2 placed when backed like this (0%).

When backed like this: 0/2 WON

Built 00:00 → 18:42

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Fairyhouse (IRE), 28 May 2026 — 5th • open 16/1 → final market price 5/1 (+10.78pp).

All 2 comparable backed runs (1st or 2nd counts as placed):

Fairyhouse (IRE), 28 May 2026 — 5th • open 16/1 → final 5/1
Dundalk (AW) (IRE), 16 Jan 2026 — 6th • open 33/1 → final 10/1

Opened 11/2Market avg 15/8

Price move+15.24pp(+49.8%)

7/4 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 15/8 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 2/1 ↓ 15/8 ↓ 7/4 ↑ 15/8 ↓ 15/8

BEST FIXED ODDS

9/4 3.25 decimal SportingIndex

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

SportingIndex 9/4Spreadex 9/4BetMGM 2/1Betfred 2/1Midnite 2/1William Hill 2/1Virgin Bet 2/17Bet 15/810 Bet 15/8Bet365 15/8BetWright 15/8Dragon Bet 15/8Quinn Bet 15/8Unibet 15/8Paddy Power 15/8Bet Victor 7/4BetTom 7/4Betano 7/4Boyle Sports 7/4Coral 7/4Hollywood Bets 7/4Ladbrokes 7/4Star Sports 7/4Betfair Sportsbook 7/4

24 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	11/2	+15.20ppOpen → 10am	2/1	+0.04pp10am → now; SP pending	15/8Current; SP pending	Pending	+15.24ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	11/2	+15.20ppOpen → 10am	2/1	+0.04pp10am → now; SP pending	15/8Current; SP pending	Pending	+15.24ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

TRAINER RECORD MAKES THIS SUPPORT SIGNIFICANTMarket+15.24ppGenuine support from the opening price.Trainer12.7% → 33.3%Open → SP · backed 15pp+Baseline → matching strike rate; 9 runners, Open → SP · backed 15pp+. Historical sample requires opening, 10am and official SP prices. Popup uses opening → final market price and a broader results baseline.Horse historyMissed top 2: 2/2Comparable support: 0 first/second finishes in 2 completed runs.Since 10amHolding+0.04pp since 10am, as of 20:28. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: class not recorded

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Jack Jones runners in the matching 15pp+ band have won 3/9 (a 33.3% Open→SP strike rate), compared with the trainer’s normal 12.7% strike rate. Across 10 previous runs, this is the horse’s strongest recorded support compared with its previous Open → final market price moves. When backed in a similar way previously, it finished first or second in 0 of 2 runs. Today’s move: Mehmar has shortened from 11/2 to 15/8, which is exceptional support (+15.24pp).

Shortened by 15.20pp by 10am. Shortened by 0.04pp more since 10am. As of 20:28; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +20.00pp · around 6/4 (2.54 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 3/5 (60%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12.7%. Small sample.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 3/1 (4.10 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

Trainer won 15/41 (36.6%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12.7%.

Trainer support level

Support of +10.00pp · around 5/2 (3.40 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

Trainer won 6/17 (35.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12.7%.

Trainer support level

Support of +15.00pp · around 15/8 (2.91 decimal).

Level reached — watch whether support holds.

Trainer won 3/9 (33.3%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12.7%. Small sample.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

Age of TimeDraw 9

Trainer: Tony Carroll

Jockey: Kevin Stott

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

COURSE RECORD0/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 5/1 · 22% shorter today

Last run18 days ago · 6 Oct 2026

Distance changeUp 1.1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -4.0% • -0.85pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +3.68pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 7/2 @ 11:03

NR @ 07:37: 4/1 → 10/3 (+2.39pp removed)

NR @ 08:12: 4/1 → 7/2 (+1.39pp removed)

NR @ 11:03: 7/2 → 7/2 (-0.09pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -4.54pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

100th HISTORICAL PERCENTILESTRONGEST RECORDED DRIFT FOR THIS HORSE (100th percentile)

EXTREME FOR THIS HORSE

Largest drift recorded across 10 previous runs.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 01 Jun 2026 — 5th • open 6/1 → final market price 17/2 (-3.76pp).

Opened 7/2Market avg 7/2

Price move-4.54pp(-25.6%)

7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2 ↑ 4/1 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 7/2 → 7/2 → 7/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

4/1 5 decimal BetMGM

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

BetMGM 4/1Betfred 4/1Midnite 4/1Quinn Bet 4/1SportingIndex 4/1Spreadex 4/1William Hill 4/1Betfair Sportsbook 4/1Paddy Power 4/110 Bet 7/27Bet 7/2Bet Victor 7/2BetTom 7/2BetWright 7/2Betano 7/2Boyle Sports 7/2Coral 7/2Dragon Bet 7/2Hollywood Bets 7/2Ladbrokes 7/2Star Sports 7/2Unibet 7/2Virgin Bet 7/2Bet365 10/3

24 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	7/2	-1.00ppOpen → 10am	3/1	-3.54pp10am → now; SP pending	7/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-4.54ppNR adjusted
Newcastle (AW)24 Feb 20267f 14y · Class 6 · Standard · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/2	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	5/2	+4.76pp10am → SP	2/1	2nd	+4.76pp
Post-race comment
Kempton (AW)04 Feb 20261m · Class 6 · Standard To Slow · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/1	+0.53ppOpen → 10am	17/2	+6.14pp10am → SP	5/1	2nd	+6.67pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	7/2	-1.00ppOpen → 10am	3/1	-3.54pp10am → now; SP pending	7/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-4.54ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

THIS IS THE HORSE’S LARGEST RECORDED DRIFTMarket-4.54ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLargest recorded driftLargest recorded drift across 10 previous runs. This flags unusual market weakness; it does not claim a finishing record.Since 10amWeakening-3.54pp since 10am, as of 20:28. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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Across 10 previous runs, this is the horse’s largest recorded drift compared with its previous Open → final market price moves. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Age of Time has moved from 7/2 to 7/2, a developing drift (-4.54pp).

Drifted by 1.00pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.54pp more since 10am. As of 20:28; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newcastle (AW) · 24 Feb 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Newcastle (AW)×Trip (within ½f): Today 6f 16y · previous 7f 14y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 3/1 (4.01 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/4 (3.24 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 40/159 (25.2%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 12%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Edmond HalleyDraw 13

Trainer: Edward Bethell

Jockey: Jack Callan

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

Last run12 days ago · 12 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: +22.9% • +4.56pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +0.61pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 9/2 @ 11:03

NR @ 07:37: 6/1 → 11/2 (+0.97pp removed)

NR @ 08:12: 5/1 → 11/2 (-0.72pp removed)

NR @ 11:03: 9/2 → 9/2 (+0.37pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +3.95pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 9 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

0/3 placed when backed like this (0%).

When backed like this: 0/3 WON

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Hamilton, 21 Sep 2026 — 3rd • open 11/4 → final market price 4/5 (+28.53pp).

All 3 comparable backed runs (1st or 2nd counts as placed):

Musselburgh, 25 Aug 2026 — 5th • open 7/2 → final 5/2
Catterick, 15 Jul 2026 — 5th • open 15/2 → final 6/1
Naas (IRE), 22 Mar 2026 — 10th • open 25/1 → final 20/1

Opened 11/2Market avg 4/1

Price move+3.95pp(+20.4%)

4/1 ↑ 9/2 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1 ↓ 10/3 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 4/1 → 4/1 → 4/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

5/1 6 decimal Bet365

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Bet365 5/1Betfred 9/2William Hill 9/210 Bet 4/17Bet 4/1Bet Victor 4/1BetTom 4/1BetWright 4/1Betano 4/1Boyle Sports 4/1Coral 4/1Dragon Bet 4/1Hollywood Bets 4/1Ladbrokes 4/1Midnite 4/1Quinn Bet 4/1Star Sports 4/1Unibet 4/1Betfair Sportsbook 4/1Paddy Power 4/1Virgin Bet 4/1SportingIndex 7/2Spreadex 7/2BetMGM 10/3

24 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	11/2	+8.18ppOpen → 10am	10/3	-4.23pp10am → now; SP pending	4/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+3.95ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	11/2	+8.18ppOpen → 10am	10/3	-4.23pp10am → now; SP pending	4/1Current; SP pending	Pending	+3.95ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-4.23pp since 10am, as of 20:28. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 9 previous Open → final market price moves. When backed in a similar way previously, it finished first or second in 0 of 3 runs. Today’s move: Edmond Halley is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 8.18pp by 10am. Drifted by 4.23pp since 10am. As of 20:28; SP pending. If it keeps shortening into SP: this trainer’s runners with 8pp+ support by 10am that kept shortening from 10am to SP won 3/11 (27.3%). This is a historical win rate, not a prediction.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 4/1 (4.76 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 27/104 (26%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 16%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

Uncle SamDraw 1

Trainer: Ray Craggs

Jockey: Callum Rodriguez

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

COURSE RECORD1/1 top 2Southwell (AW) · 1 run onlyAverage course SP 4/1 · 13% bigger today

Last run29 days ago · 25 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine shortening after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: +8.9% • +1.58pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +1.29pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 9/2 @ 11:03

NR @ 07:37: 11/2 → 11/2 (-0.20pp removed)

NR @ 08:12: 4/1 → 7/2 (+2.08pp removed)

NR @ 11:03: 9/2 → 9/2 (-0.59pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: +0.29pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Previous market evidence

Strongest previous Open → final market support: Newcastle (AW), 03 Sep 2026 — 3rd • open 10/3 → final market price 5/2 (+4.76pp).

Opened 5/1Market avg 9/2

Price move+0.29pp(+1.8%)

9/2 ↑ 5/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2 ↑ 6/1 ↓ 9/2 → 9/2 → 9/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

6/1 7 decimal Bet365

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Bet365 6/1William Hill 11/2Betfred 5/1Unibet 5/110 Bet 9/27Bet 9/2Bet Victor 9/2BetMGM 9/2BetTom 9/2BetWright 9/2Betano 9/2Boyle Sports 9/2Coral 9/2Dragon Bet 9/2Hollywood Bets 9/2Ladbrokes 9/2Midnite 9/2Quinn Bet 9/2SportingIndex 9/2Spreadex 9/2Star Sports 9/2Betfair Sportsbook 9/2Paddy Power 9/2Virgin Bet 9/2

24 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	5/1	+5.08ppOpen → 10am	10/3	-4.80pp10am → now; SP pending	9/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.29ppNR adjusted
Newcastle (AW)25 Sep 20266f · Class 6 · Standard · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/2	-2.80ppOpen → 10am	11/2	+1.28pp10am → SP	5/1	2nd	-1.52pp
Post-race comment
Southwell (AW)18 Jun 20264f 214y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	5/1	+3.33pp10am → SP	4/1	2nd	+3.33pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	5/1	+5.08ppOpen → 10am	10/3	-4.80pp10am → now; SP pending	9/2Current; SP pending	Pending	+0.29ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-4.80pp since 10am, as of 20:28. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 4 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Uncle Sam is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 5.08pp by 10am. Drifted by 4.80pp since 10am. As of 20:28; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Newcastle (AW) · 25 Sep 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Newcastle (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 16y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

No evidence-backed price trigger for this runner yet. Use Notify Me to monitor it; the current records do not justify a target price.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Open was biggest

Weakening late

Mount RuapehuDraw 10

Trainer: Iain Jardine

Jockey: Zak Wheatley

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

COURSE RECORD3/3 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 11/2 · 17% bigger today

Last run12 days ago · 12 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP11/23 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -36.7% • -4.89pp

Measured NR price effect removed: -0.61pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 7/1 @ 11:03

NR @ 07:37: 5/1 → 5/1 (+0.56pp removed)

NR @ 08:12: 13/2 → 7/1 (-0.54pp removed)

NR @ 11:03: 13/2 → 7/1 (-0.62pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -4.28pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

87th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE87th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

UNUSUAL FOR THIS HORSE

2 of 15 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 8th at Catterick on 11 May 2026 (-6.82pp); and finished 2nd at Hamilton on 03 May 2026 (-5.48pp).

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

When drifting like this: failed 5/6

When drifting like this: failed 5/6 — view runs

02 Sep 2026 · Hamilton
Open 12/1 → final 20/1 · SP 18/1 · 8th

01 Aug 2026 · Hamilton
Open 16/1 → final 28/1 · SP 33/1 · 8th

09 Jul 2026 · Carlisle
Open 9/1 → final 12/1 · SP 11/1 · 6th

10 Jun 2026 · Hamilton
Open 13/2 → final 9/1 · SP 12/1 · 6th

11 May 2026 · Catterick
Open 3/1 → final 9/2 · SP 5/1 · 8th

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Catterick, 11 May 2026 — 8th • open 3/1 → final market price 9/2 (-6.82pp).

Opened 9/2Market avg 13/2

Price move-4.28pp(-30.8%)

6/1 ↑ 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 8/1 ↓ 6/1 ↑ 13/2 → 13/2

BEST FIXED ODDS

8/1 9 decimal Bet365

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Bet365 8/1William Hill 15/2Unibet 7/110 Bet 13/27Bet 13/2BetTom 13/2BetWright 13/2Betfred 13/2Coral 13/2Dragon Bet 13/2Hollywood Bets 13/2Ladbrokes 13/2Midnite 13/2Quinn Bet 13/2SportingIndex 13/2Spreadex 13/2Star Sports 13/2Paddy Power 13/2Virgin Bet 13/2Bet Victor 6/1BetMGM 6/1Betano 6/1Boyle Sports 6/1Betfair Sportsbook 6/1

24 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	9/2	-1.53ppOpen → 10am	5/1	-2.75pp10am → now; SP pending	13/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-4.28ppNR adjusted
Hamilton03 May 20265f 7y · Class 6 · Good · 12 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/2	-3.57ppOpen → 10am	3/1	-2.78pp10am → SP	7/2	2nd	-6.35pp
Post-race comment
Southwell (AW)28 Apr 20266f 16y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/2	-5.48ppOpen → 10am	10/3	+3.57pp10am → SP	11/4	1st	-1.90pp
Post-race comment
Southwell (AW)21 Mar 20266f 16y · Class 6 · Standard · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	6/1	+3.90ppOpen → 10am	9/2	+0.00pp10am → SP	9/2	1st	+3.90pp
Post-race comment
Southwell (AW)14 Mar 20266f 16y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	13/2	-1.57ppOpen → 10am	15/2	-1.76pp10am → SP	9/1	1st	-3.33pp
Post-race comment
Dundalk (AW) (IRE)13 Jan 20266f · Class — · Standard · 14 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/2	-1.90ppOpen → 10am	11/4	-4.44pp10am → SP	7/2	2nd	-6.35pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	9/2	-1.53ppOpen → 10am	5/1	-2.75pp10am → now; SP pending	13/2Current; SP pending	Pending	-4.28ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-4.28ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyMissed top 2: 5/5Displayed comparable drift runs: 0 first/second finishes in 5 completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.75pp since 10am, as of 20:28. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

Just 2 of 15 previous runs showed a larger drift, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse against its previous Open → final market price moves. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Mount Ruapehu has moved from 9/2 to 13/2, a developing drift (-4.28pp).

Drifted by 1.53pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.75pp more since 10am. As of 20:28; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 28 Apr 2026 · 1st · 4/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Southwell (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 16y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 5/1 (6.23 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 7/2 (4.43 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 14/65 (21.5%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 11.1%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Due DateDraw 11

Trainer: Charlie Wallis

Jockey: Rob Hornby

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

Last run39 days ago · 15 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -32.9% • -2.48pp

Measured NR price effect removed: -0.65pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 12/1 @ 11:03

NR @ 07:37: 10/1 → 10/1 (-0.32pp removed)

NR @ 08:12: 11/1 → 11/1 (-0.21pp removed)

NR @ 11:03: 12/1 → 12/1 (-0.12pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -1.83pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

44th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE44th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 9 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Wolverhampton (AW), 03 Mar 2026 — 8th • open 4/1 → final market price 50/1 (-18.04pp).

Opened 9/1Market avg 12/1

Price move-1.83pp(-22.4%)

11/1 ↑ 12/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1 → 12/1 ↑ 16/1 ↓ 11/1 ↑ 12/1 → 12/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

16/1 17 decimal Bet365

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Bet365 16/1SportingIndex 14/1Spreadex 14/1William Hill 14/110 Bet 12/17Bet 12/1BetMGM 12/1BetTom 12/1BetWright 12/1Betfred 12/1Coral 12/1Dragon Bet 12/1Hollywood Bets 12/1Ladbrokes 12/1Midnite 12/1Quinn Bet 12/1Star Sports 12/1Unibet 12/1Betfair Sportsbook 12/1Paddy Power 12/1Virgin Bet 12/1Bet Victor 11/1Betano 11/1Boyle Sports 11/1

24 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	9/1	+0.53ppOpen → 10am	9/1	-2.36pp10am → now; SP pending	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.83ppNR adjusted
Leicester04 Jul 20266f · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 5 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	12/1	-1.03ppOpen → 10am	14/1	+3.33pp10am → SP	9/1	2nd	+2.31pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	9/1	+0.53ppOpen → 10am	9/1	-2.36pp10am → now; SP pending	12/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.83ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.36pp since 10am, as of 20:28. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 9 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Due Date is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 0.53pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.36pp since 10am. As of 20:28; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Leicester · 04 Jul 2026 · 2nd · 2/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Leicester✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 16y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 6

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 9/1 (10.12 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

He's An AngelDraw 5

Trainer: Kevin & Lauren Frost

Jockey: William Pyle

🟢 Needs Support (36%)This horse only delivers (1st/2nd) when backed in the market. Historical wins/2nds all showed significant market support. If support is missing → performance risk increases.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

COURSE RECORD0/2 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 13/2 · 194% bigger today

Last run102 days ago · 14 Jul 2026

Distance changeUp 1.1f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP11/42 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -41.9% • -1.97pp

Measured NR price effect removed: -0.59pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 20/1 @ 11:03

NR @ 07:37: 16/1 → 16/1 (-0.21pp removed)

NR @ 08:12: 20/1 → 22/1 (-0.25pp removed)

NR @ 11:03: 20/1 → 20/1 (-0.13pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -1.38pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE50th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 14 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Newcastle (AW), 13 Jan 2026 — 5th • open 10/3 → final market price 11/2 (-7.71pp).

Opened 14/1Market avg 20/1

Price move-1.38pp(-26.1%)

20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 20/1 → 20/1 → 20/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

25/1 26 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 25/1William Hill 22/110 Bet 20/17Bet 20/1Bet Victor 20/1BetMGM 20/1BetTom 20/1BetWright 20/1Betano 20/1Betfred 20/1Boyle Sports 20/1Coral 20/1Dragon Bet 20/1Hollywood Bets 20/1Ladbrokes 20/1Midnite 20/1Quinn Bet 20/1SportingIndex 20/1Spreadex 20/1Star Sports 20/1Unibet 20/1Betfair Sportsbook 20/1Paddy Power 20/1Virgin Bet 20/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	14/1	-0.33ppOpen → 10am	16/1	-1.06pp10am → now; SP pending	20/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.38ppNR adjusted
Wetherby04 Jun 20265f 110y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	6/1	+3.90ppOpen → 10am	9/2	+0.00pp10am → SP	9/2	2nd	+3.90pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)01 Jun 20265f 21y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	8/1	+22.22ppOpen → 10am	2/1	-4.76pp10am → SP	5/2	1st	+17.46pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)26 Jan 20266f 20y · Class 6 · Standard · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/2	-1.10ppOpen → 10am	6/1	+10.71pp10am → SP	3/1	1st	+9.62pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	14/1	-0.33ppOpen → 10am	16/1	-1.06pp10am → now; SP pending	20/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.38ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-1.06pp since 10am, as of 20:28. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

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MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

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TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

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No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 14 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: He's An Angel is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 0.33pp by 10am. Drifted by 1.06pp more since 10am. As of 20:28; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Wolverhampton (AW) · 26 Jan 2026 · 1st · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Wolverhampton (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 16y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 16/1 (17.39 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Horse support level

Support of +7.94pp · around 6/1 (7.14 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

3/4 finished 1st or 2nd with this much support or more (75%).

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 8/1 (9.03 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 6/26 (23.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.9%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Papa Don't PreachDraw 3

Trainer: Kevin & Lauren Frost

Jockey: Matthew Lloyd Slater(7)

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

COURSE RECORD0/3 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 11/1 · 97% bigger today

Last run39 days ago · 15 Sep 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -42.6% • -1.76pp

Measured NR price effect removed: -0.04pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 33/1 @ 11:03

NR @ 07:37: 22/1 → 22/1 (-0.15pp removed)

NR @ 08:12: 20/1 → 20/1 (-0.12pp removed)

NR @ 11:03: 33/1 → 33/1 (+0.23pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -1.71pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

55th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE55th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 11 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

When drifting like this: failed 4/4

When drifting like this: failed 4/4 — view runs

09 May 2026 · Nottingham
Open 3/1 → final 10/1 · SP 17/2 · 9th

28 Mar 2026 · Southwell (AW)
Open 12/1 → final 18/1 · SP 16/1 · 5th

02 Mar 2026 · Wolverhampton (AW)
Open 9/1 → final 14/1 · SP 16/1 · 5th

22 Jan 2026 · Southwell (AW)
Open 6/1 → final 14/1 · SP 14/1 · 5th

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Nottingham, 09 May 2026 — 9th • open 3/1 → final market price 10/1 (-15.91pp).

Opened 16/1Market avg 22/1

Price move-1.71pp(-41.1%)

20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 22/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

28/1 29 decimal Bet365

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Bet365 28/1SportingIndex 28/1Spreadex 28/17Bet 25/1BetMGM 25/1BetWright 25/1Dragon Bet 25/1Midnite 25/1William Hill 25/110 Bet 22/1BetTom 22/1Betfred 22/1Coral 22/1Hollywood Bets 22/1Ladbrokes 22/1Quinn Bet 22/1Star Sports 22/1Unibet 22/1Betfair Sportsbook 22/1Paddy Power 22/1Virgin Bet 22/1Bet Victor 20/1Betano 20/1Boyle Sports 20/1

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What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	16/1	-1.77ppOpen → 10am	25/1	+0.05pp10am → now; SP pending	22/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.71ppNR adjusted
Yarmouth02 Aug 20265f 42y · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 7 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	5/2	-1.90ppOpen → 10am	11/4	+20.95pp10am → SP	11/10	2nd	+19.05pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	16/1	-1.77ppOpen → 10am	25/1	+0.05pp10am → now; SP pending	22/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.71ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amHolding+0.05pp since 10am, as of 20:28. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 11 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Papa Don't Preach is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 1.77pp by 10am. Shortened by 0.05pp since 10am. As of 20:28; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Yarmouth · 02 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 1/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Yarmouth×Trip (within ½f): Today 6f 16y · previous 5f 42y×Ground: Today Standard · previous Good To Firm✓Class: Class 6

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 25/1 (24.55 decimal).

10am price recovered — watch whether it holds.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 8/1 (9.23 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 6/26 (23.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.9%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: 10am was biggest

Weakening late

PiperstownDraw 6

Trainer: Kevin & Lauren Frost

Jockey: Oliver Stammers

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

COURSE RECORD1/3 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 11/2 · 268% bigger today

Last run12 days ago · 12 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP9/23 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -188.7% • -7.69pp

Measured NR price effect removed: +0.00pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 22/1 @ 11:03

NR @ 07:37: 17/2 → 9/1 (-0.30pp removed)

NR @ 08:12: 9/1 → 9/1 (+0.42pp removed)

NR @ 11:03: 22/1 → 22/1 (-0.12pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -7.69pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NORMAL HISTORICAL RANGE

3 of 9 previous runs recorded a larger drift: the horse finished 5th at Thirsk on 18 Apr 2026 (-8.33pp); finished 1st at Southwell (AW) on 11 Apr 2026 (-7.71pp); and finished 5th at Southwell (AW) on 24 Feb 2026 (-10.71pp).

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

When drifting like this: failed 3/4

When drifting like this: failed 3/4 — view runs

12 Oct 2026 · Newcastle (AW)
Open 11/2 → final 10/1 · SP 10/1 · 12th

18 Apr 2026 · Thirsk
Open 3/1 → final 5/1 · SP 11/2 · 5th

11 Apr 2026 · Southwell (AW)
Open 10/3 → final 11/2 · SP 4/1 · 1st

24 Feb 2026 · Southwell (AW)
Open 3/1 → final 6/1 · SP 6/1 · 5th

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Southwell (AW), 24 Feb 2026 — 5th • open 3/1 → final market price 6/1 (-10.71pp).

Opened 15/2Market avg 25/1

Price move-7.69pp(-188.9%)

20/1 ↑ 22/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 22/1 ↑ 25/1 → 25/1 ↓ 20/1 ↑ 25/1 ↓ 22/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

33/1 34 decimal SportingIndex

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SportingIndex 33/1Spreadex 33/17Bet 25/1Bet365 25/1BetMGM 25/1BetWright 25/1Dragon Bet 25/1Midnite 25/1William Hill 25/110 Bet 22/1BetTom 22/1Betfred 22/1Coral 22/1Hollywood Bets 22/1Ladbrokes 22/1Quinn Bet 22/1Star Sports 22/1Unibet 22/1Betfair Sportsbook 22/1Paddy Power 22/1Virgin Bet 22/1Bet Victor 20/1Betano 20/1Boyle Sports 20/1

24 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	15/2	-4.19ppOpen → 10am	12/1	-3.50pp10am → now; SP pending	25/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-7.69ppNR adjusted
Southwell (AW)11 Apr 20266f 16y · Class 6 · Standard · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/3	-3.09ppOpen → 10am	4/1	+0.00pp10am → SP	4/1	1st	-3.09pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)23 Mar 20266f 20y · Class 6 · Standard · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	9/2	+6.82ppOpen → 10am	3/1	-2.78pp10am → SP	7/2	1st	+4.04pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)09 Feb 20266f 20y · Class 6 · Standard · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/3	+1.91ppOpen → 10am	3/1	-1.91pp10am → SP	10/3	2nd	+0.00pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)16 Jan 20266f 20y · Class 6 · Standard · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/1	+2.02ppOpen → 10am	8/1	+4.27pp10am → SP	11/2	1st	+6.29pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	15/2	-4.19ppOpen → 10am	12/1	-3.50pp10am → now; SP pending	25/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-7.69ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

MEANINGFUL DRIFT DETECTEDMarket-7.69ppMarket weakness from the opening price.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyMissed top 2: 3/4Displayed comparable drift runs: 1 first/second finishes in 4 completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-3.50pp since 10am, as of 20:28. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

Just 3 of 9 previous runs showed a larger drift, so today’s market behaviour is significant for this particular horse against its previous Open → final market price moves. This horse did not have a confirmed 5pp+ drift by 10am, so the trainer’s early-drift record is not being applied. Today’s move: Piperstown has moved from 15/2 to 25/1, a developing drift (-7.69pp).

Drifted by 4.19pp by 10am. Drifted by 3.50pp more since 10am. As of 20:28; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Southwell (AW) · 11 Apr 2026 · 1st · 4/4 known conditions match

✓Track: Southwell (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 16y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 12/1 (13.20 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 5/1 (5.96 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 6/26 (23.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 9.9%.

Current support is below target while the horse is drifting. Any earlier recorded hit is retained above so you can see that the move reversed. Check whether it recovers rather than treating the bigger odds as value on their own.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Dr AliDraw 14

Trainer: J. R. Jenkins

Jockey: Jonny Peate

🟡 Mixed ProfileNo consistent market pattern yet. Horse has delivered both with support and while drifting. Market signals are less reliable for this runner for now.

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHStays on AW

COURSE RECORD0/2 top 2Southwell (AW)Average course SP 11/1 · 121% bigger today

Last run19 days ago · 5 Oct 2026

Distance changeSimilar trip to last run

More evidence

Average winning SP8/12 recorded wins in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -52.9% • -2.04pp

Measured NR price effect removed: -0.44pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 18/1 @ 11:03

NR @ 07:37: 18/1 → 18/1 (-0.17pp removed)

NR @ 08:12: 20/1 → 20/1 (-0.16pp removed)

NR @ 11:03: 18/1 → 18/1 (-0.11pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -1.60pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

73th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE73rd HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 11 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

When drifting like this: failed 2/3

When drifting like this: failed 2/3 — view runs

28 Apr 2026 · Southwell (AW)
Open 5/1 → final 10/1 · SP 15/2 · 6th

24 Feb 2026 · Southwell (AW)
Open 5/1 → final 18/1 · SP 14/1 · 7th

19 Jan 2026 · Kempton (AW)
Open 7/1 → final 14/1 · SP 14/1 · 1st

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Southwell (AW), 24 Feb 2026 — 7th • open 5/1 → final market price 18/1 (-11.40pp).

Opened 16/1Market avg 25/1

Price move-1.60pp(-37.4%)

25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

28/1 29 decimal Bet365

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Bet365 28/1William Hill 28/110 Bet 25/17Bet 25/1Bet Victor 25/1BetMGM 25/1BetTom 25/1BetWright 25/1Betano 25/1Betfred 25/1Boyle Sports 25/1Coral 25/1Dragon Bet 25/1Hollywood Bets 25/1Ladbrokes 25/1Midnite 25/1Quinn Bet 25/1Star Sports 25/1Unibet 25/1Betfair Sportsbook 25/1Paddy Power 25/1Virgin Bet 25/1SportingIndex 22/1Spreadex 22/1

24 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	16/1	+1.11ppOpen → 10am	14/1	-2.71pp10am → now; SP pending	25/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.60ppNR adjusted
Lingfield (AW)08 Aug 20266f 1y · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	12/1	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	12/1	+0.00pp10am → SP	12/1	2nd	+0.00pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)24 Mar 20266f 20y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	10/3	+11.63ppOpen → 10am	15/8	-3.95pp10am → SP	9/4	1st	+7.67pp
Post-race comment
Wolverhampton (AW)10 Mar 20266f 20y · Class 6 · Standard · 9 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	11/2	+0.00ppOpen → 10am	11/2	+0.00pp10am → SP	11/2	2nd	+0.00pp
Post-race comment
Kempton (AW)19 Jan 20266f · Class 6 · Standard To Slow · 8 runnersClick for post-race comment ▾	7/1	+0.83ppOpen → 10am	13/2	-6.67pp10am → SP	14/1	1st	-5.83pp
Post-race comment

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	16/1	+1.11ppOpen → 10am	14/1	-2.71pp10am → now; SP pending	25/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.60ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-2.71pp since 10am, as of 20:28. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 11 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Dr Ali is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Shortened by 1.11pp by 10am. Drifted by 2.71pp since 10am. As of 20:28; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPAREClosest recorded top-two run: Lingfield (AW) · 08 Aug 2026 · 2nd · 3/4 known conditions match

×Track: Today Southwell (AW) · previous Lingfield (AW)✓Trip (within ½f): 6f 16y✓Ground: Standard✓Class: Class 6

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 14/1 (15.26 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Havana JoyDraw 2

Trainer: Charles Hills

Jockey: Daniel Muscutt

PRO RACECARD ↗

↔ SAME CLASS

SURFACE SWITCHTurf → AW

Last run148 days ago · 29 May 2026

Distance changeDown 0.9f from last run

More evidence

Average winning SP—No recorded winning SP in the loaded Market Form sample

NR adjusted

Genuine drift after removing the measured NR price effect.

Raw Open → Now: -43.6% • -1.60pp

Measured NR price effect removed: -0.52pp

Latest confirmed post-NR price: 28/1 @ 11:03

NR @ 07:37: 22/1 → 22/1 (-0.14pp removed)

NR @ 08:12: 28/1 → 28/1 (-0.16pp removed)

NR @ 11:03: 25/1 → 28/1 (-0.22pp removed)

GENUINE NR-ADJUSTED MOVE: -1.08pp

HISTORICAL COMPARISON: Open → final market price

67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE67th HISTORICAL PERCENTILE

NO MEANINGFUL MOVE YET

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves.

Today Open → Now compared with previous Open → final market price moves. Ratings compare with Open → recorded SP.

Previous market evidence

Largest previous Open → final market drift: Lingfield (AW), 29 Jan 2026 — 6th • open 6/1 → final market price 20/1 (-9.52pp).

Opened 18/1Market avg 25/1

Price move-1.08pp(-25.9%)

25/1 → 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1 → 25/1 ↑ 33/1 ↓ 25/1 ↑ 28/1 ↓ 25/1

BEST FIXED ODDS

33/1 34 decimal Bet365

● Live bookmakers30s refresh

Bet365 33/17Bet 28/1BetWright 28/1Dragon Bet 28/1Midnite 28/1SportingIndex 28/1Spreadex 28/1William Hill 28/110 Bet 25/1Bet Victor 25/1BetMGM 25/1BetTom 25/1Betano 25/1Betfred 25/1Boyle Sports 25/1Coral 25/1Hollywood Bets 25/1Ladbrokes 25/1Quinn Bet 25/1Star Sports 25/1Unibet 25/1Betfair Sportsbook 25/1Paddy Power 25/1Virgin Bet 25/1

24 bookmakers · scroll for all

What do this horse’s best and worst runs look like?

Today is highlighted in both tabs. Worst runs shows the five highest recorded finishing positions (third or worse). Click a past run for its post-race comment. Green pp = shortening; red pp = drifting. Open → 10am shows early support; 10am → SP shows what followed; Open → SP shows the full move. Today uses current prices until SP is available, with measured non-runner effects removed.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	18/1	-0.21ppOpen → 10am	20/1	-0.88pp10am → now; SP pending	25/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.08ppNR adjusted
No recorded first or second finishes for this horse yet.

Racecourse	Open	Open → 10am	10am	10am → SP/Now	SP / current	Finish	Open → SP/Now
Southwell (AW)Today6f 16y · Class 6 · Standard · 11 runners	18/1	-0.21ppOpen → 10am	20/1	-0.88pp10am → now; SP pending	25/1Current; SP pending	Pending	-1.08ppNR adjusted
Open this tab to load the five worst recorded finishing positions.

NO MEANINGFUL MARKET SIGNAL YETMarketNo signalNo meaningful market move yet.TrainerLimited dataNot enough matching trainer evidence.Horse historyLimited dataNot enough comparable completed runs.Since 10amWeakening-0.88pp since 10am, as of 20:28. Measures the current move, not a forecast.View Market ReadHide Market Read

CLASSToday: Class 6 · Last run: Class 6 · Same class

IS THE MOVE HOLDING?

Reading the available captures…

More market evidence

AGAINST THE REST OF THE FIELD

Reading cached evidence…

MATCHING MARKET JOURNEYS

Reading cached evidence…

TRAINER RECORD AT COMPARABLE ODDS

Reading cached evidence…

No meaningful directional move yet. Historical comparison uses 3 previous Open → final market price moves. Today’s move: Havana Joy is trading close enough to its opening position that neither meaningful support nor meaningful weakness has been established.

Drifted by 0.21pp by 10am. Drifted by 0.88pp more since 10am. As of 20:28; SP pending.

HOW TODAY’S CONDITIONS COMPARENo recorded first or second finish with comparable conditions available.

WHAT TO WATCH NOW

Recover the 10am price

Back to the 10am position · around 22/1 (22.03 decimal).

Watch for the price to recover to this level.

A return to this price would unwind the drift since 10am. A recovery alone does not prove the horse is a good bet.

Trainer support level

Support of +5.00pp · around 9/1 (10.26 decimal).

Not reached — watch for support to reach this level.

Trainer won 13/37 (35.1%) when backed this much by SP; normal strike rate 13.1%.

Times show the first recorded capture available, not the exact market crossing. Earlier hits remain visible if support reverses. These records use final/SP moves; a level reached live is provisional until the off and does not guarantee a result.

TIMING & CONTEXT

EARLY BETTING MARKET

Previous evening · average odds · UK time

Open this section to load the evening prices.

Best time: Now was biggest

Weakening late

Montpellier Green

NON-RUNNERNR @ 07:37

Non-runner adjustment audit

NR recorded: 07:37:08 · recorded declaration time

Last recorded market average before NR: 14/1 (14.167) at 07:36:06

Implied probability: 7.06%

Snapshot 62 seconds before the recorded NR time.

The last captured price is shown, not an assumed exact withdrawal price. Adjustments below use each remaining horse’s measured pre/post-NR price change.

Remaining horse	Before NR / captured	Post-NR baseline	Effect removed
Mehmar	5/1 (5.833) 07:36:06	9/2 (5.500) Baseline reference 07:37:08	+1.04pp
Age of Time	4/1 (4.854) 07:36:06	10/3 (4.350) Baseline reference 07:37:08	+2.39pp
Edmond Halley	6/1 (6.938) 07:36:06	11/2 (6.500) Baseline reference 07:37:08	+0.97pp
Uncle Sam	11/2 (6.417) 07:36:06	11/2 (6.500) Baseline reference 07:37:08	-0.20pp
Mount Ruapehu	5/1 (6.208) 07:36:06	5/1 (6.000) Baseline reference 07:37:08	+0.56pp
Due Date	10/1 (10.625) 07:36:06	10/1 (11.000) Baseline reference 07:37:08	-0.32pp
He's An Angel	16/1 (16.417) 07:36:06	16/1 (17.000) Baseline reference 07:37:08	-0.21pp
Papa Don't Preach	22/1 (22.208) 07:36:06	22/1 (23.000) Baseline reference 07:37:08	-0.15pp
Piperstown	17/2 (9.708) 07:36:06	9/1 (10.000) Baseline reference 07:37:08	-0.30pp
Dr Ali	18/1 (18.417) 07:36:06	18/1 (19.000) Baseline reference 07:37:08	-0.17pp
Havana Joy	22/1 (22.292) 07:36:06	22/1 (23.000) Baseline reference 07:37:08	-0.14pp

Effect removed = (100 ÷ post-NR baseline) − (100 ÷ pre-NR price). True move = raw Open → Now move − total signed NR effects.

The post-NR baseline can be the median of captured bookmaker prices within five minutes after the NR, or the first available timeline price. Its reference time is not necessarily an individual price capture. Fractional prices are rounded; decimal prices are included for checking. Simultaneous withdrawals share one measured event.

Addictive

NON-RUNNERNR @ 08:12

Non-runner adjustment audit

NR recorded: 08:12:22 · recorded declaration time

Last recorded market average before NR: 25/1 (25.917) at 08:10:29

Implied probability: 3.86%

Snapshot 113 seconds before the recorded NR time.

The last captured price is shown, not an assumed exact withdrawal price. Adjustments below use each remaining horse’s measured pre/post-NR price change.

Remaining horse	Before NR / captured	Post-NR baseline	Effect removed
Mehmar	4/1 (4.875) 08:10:29	7/2 (4.500) Baseline reference 08:12:22	+1.71pp
Age of Time	4/1 (4.800) 08:10:29	7/2 (4.500) Baseline reference 08:12:22	+1.39pp
Edmond Halley	5/1 (6.208) 08:10:29	11/2 (6.500) Baseline reference 08:12:22	-0.72pp
Uncle Sam	4/1 (4.965) 08:10:29	7/2 (4.500) Baseline reference 08:12:22	+2.08pp
Mount Ruapehu	13/2 (7.667) 08:10:29	7/1 (8.000) Baseline reference 08:12:22	-0.54pp
Due Date	11/1 (11.708) 08:10:29	11/1 (12.000) Baseline reference 08:12:22	-0.21pp
He's An Angel	20/1 (21.750) 08:10:29	22/1 (23.000) Baseline reference 08:12:22	-0.25pp
Papa Don't Preach	20/1 (20.500) 08:10:29	20/1 (21.000) Baseline reference 08:12:22	-0.12pp
Piperstown	9/1 (10.438) 08:10:29	9/1 (10.000) Baseline reference 08:12:22	+0.42pp
Dr Ali	20/1 (20.333) 08:10:29	20/1 (21.000) Baseline reference 08:12:22	-0.16pp
Havana Joy	28/1 (27.750) 08:10:29	28/1 (29.000) Baseline reference 08:12:22	-0.16pp

Effect removed = (100 ÷ post-NR baseline) − (100 ÷ pre-NR price). True move = raw Open → Now move − total signed NR effects.

The post-NR baseline can be the median of captured bookmaker prices within five minutes after the NR, or the first available timeline price. Its reference time is not necessarily an individual price capture. Fractional prices are rounded; decimal prices are included for checking. Simultaneous withdrawals share one measured event.

Dragon God

NON-RUNNERNR @ 11:03

Non-runner adjustment audit

NR recorded: 11:03:09 · recorded declaration time

Last recorded market average before NR: 28/1 (29.480) at 11:00:33

Implied probability: 3.39%

Snapshot 156 seconds before the recorded NR time.

The last captured price is shown, not an assumed exact withdrawal price. Adjustments below use each remaining horse’s measured pre/post-NR price change.

Remaining horse	Before NR / captured	Post-NR baseline	Effect removed
Mehmar	5/2 (3.388) 10:52:36	9/4 (3.250) Baseline reference 11:03:09	+1.25pp
Age of Time	7/2 (4.481) 10:52:36	7/2 (4.500) Baseline reference 11:03:09	-0.09pp
Edmond Halley	9/2 (5.613) 10:52:36	9/2 (5.500) Baseline reference 11:03:09	+0.37pp
Uncle Sam	9/2 (5.328) 10:52:36	9/2 (5.500) Baseline reference 11:03:09	-0.59pp
Mount Ruapehu	13/2 (7.620) 10:52:36	7/1 (8.000) Baseline reference 11:03:09	-0.62pp
Due Date	12/1 (12.800) 10:52:36	12/1 (13.000) Baseline reference 11:03:09	-0.12pp
He's An Angel	20/1 (20.440) 10:52:36	20/1 (21.000) Baseline reference 11:03:09	-0.13pp
Papa Don't Preach	33/1 (36.840) 10:52:36	33/1 (34.000) Baseline reference 11:03:09	+0.23pp
Piperstown	22/1 (22.400) 10:52:36	22/1 (23.000) Baseline reference 11:03:09	-0.12pp
Dr Ali	18/1 (18.600) 10:52:36	18/1 (19.000) Baseline reference 11:03:09	-0.11pp
Havana Joy	25/1 (27.240) 10:52:36	28/1 (29.000) Baseline reference 11:03:09	-0.22pp

Effect removed = (100 ÷ post-NR baseline) − (100 ÷ pre-NR price). True move = raw Open → Now move − total signed NR effects.

The post-NR baseline can be the median of captured bookmaker prices within five minutes after the NR, or the first available timeline price. Its reference time is not necessarily an individual price capture. Fractional prices are rounded; decimal prices are included for checking. Simultaneous withdrawals share one measured event.

Race market overview as at 21:21

Supported1 of 11 runners at +4pp or more · strongest: Mehmar +15.24pp
Drifting3 of 11 runners at −4pp or worse · largest: Piperstown -7.69pp
Last 15 minbiggest gain: Mehmar +3.30pp · biggest drift: Age of Time -2.22pp
Market surges1 runners gained at least +3pp in 15 min · Mehmar

15-minute snapshot 21:20 · no additional market query

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