Racing Today – Wednesday 5th November – Long Road to Musselburgh for Ed Walker
🏇 DC Racing Network Daily Insights
Exclusive Member Update by Ian Rayner
📅 [05/11/2025]
🏆 Previous Track Wins
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(*Indicates win at today’s race distance)
14.25 Musselburgh – Sophiesticate* 3 wins from 3 runs (100%)
13.40 Nottingham – Expressionless 3 wins from 6 runs (50%)
17.30 Kempton – Heathcliff 3 wins from 7 runs (43%)
🔥 Hot Trainers (Last 14 Days)
Patrick T Foley (3/5 60%)
14.45 Dundalk – Tokyo Treasure (11/4)
Sam Thomas (3/6 50%)
12.30 Chepstow – Rocking Man (7/4)
15.00 Chepstow – Palacio (15/2)
Chris Dwyer (2/4 50%)
18.00 Kempton – Cameley Days (3/1)
🏇 Hot Jockeys (Last 14 Days)
Tom Broughton (3/5 60%)
13.30 Chepstow – Chief Black Robe (15/4)
William Buick (5/11 45%)
14.50 Kempton – Abashiri (5/6)
15.55 Kempton – Fort Rock (5/4)
Neil Callan (3/8 38%)
14.20 Kempton – Clayton Bay (9/1)
15.20 Kempton – Anwen (28/1)
17.00 Kempton – Longlai (12/1)
18.00 Kempton – Calafrio (11/1)
🚐 Long-Distance Travellers
(Over 250 miles – shows intent)
Ed Walker → Musselburgh (371 mi)
Tim Vaughan → Musselburgh (368 mi)
William Haggas → Musselburgh (350 mi)
🎯 Trainers & Jockeys with One Runner / Ride Today
(Entries worth noting on strike rate)
Selected Trainers
Julie Camacho – 17.30 Kempton (35% Strike Rate)
Adam Nicol – 16.03 Musselburgh (27% Strike Rate)
Selected Jockeys
Colin Keane – 14.50 Kempton (36% Strike Rate)
📈 Stat of the Day
At Kempton, the combination of William Haggas and James Doyle have a combined win rate of 63%
15.55 Kempton – Poetry Of Time (10/3)
📊 Market Movers
🎯 Today’s AI Daily Double
🏇 Double Selection
1. Itaintmebabe 5/2 – 15.35 Chepstow
2. Gweedore 3/1 – 15.28 Musselburgh
8/1 Double
📊 AI System Notes
🔍 AI Confidence Score: 7.8/10
📊 Breakdown:
🏇 Selection 1: Itaintmebabe (IRE) – 3:35 Chepstow
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Trainer: Sarah Humphrey – Recent strike rate: 13% (1 win from last 8 runners)
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Jockey: Jamie Gambin – Retains the ride after a commanding win at Fakenham
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Age/Sex: 6-year-old bay gelding
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Pedigree: Sired by Sageburg (IRE) out of Grande Solitaire (FR), dam’s sire Loup Solitaire (USA)
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Form Insight:
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Won by 8½ lengths at Fakenham on October 29 in a 0-100 conditional jockeys’ handicap hurdle
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Escapes a penalty for that win, making him well-treated at the weights
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Prior to that, ran poorly at Worcester and Southwell, but the recent win suggests a turning point
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Odds: Estimated around 5/2
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AI Confidence Score: 8/10 – Recent win, no penalty, and jockey continuity are strong positives
🏇 Selection 2: Gweedore – 3:28 Musselburgh
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Trainer: Katie Scott – Recent strike rate: 0% (0 wins from last 7 runners)
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Owner: Lamont Racing
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Age/Sex: 8-year-old bay gelding
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Pedigree: Sired by Epaulette (AUS) out of Ares Choix (GB), dam’s sire Choisir (AUS)
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Form Insight:
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Course specialist with 12 wins from 61 career starts, including multiple wins at Musselburgh
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Last win came off a mark of 89; now running off 79, 10lb below that win
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Recent runs in Class 2 handicaps at Doncaster and York were respectable but not threatening
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Drops in class today, which could reignite form
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Odds: Estimated around 3/1
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AI Confidence Score: 7.5/10 – Strong course record and favorable handicap mark, though recent form is mixed
💡 Double Bet Notes:
Summary: This double combines a well-handicapped, in-form hurdler (Itaintmebabe) with a course-loving handicapper (Gweedore) dropping in class. The main risk lies with Gweedore’s recent form and trainer’s strike rate, but the setup is ideal for a bounce-back.
Ian Rayner’s Daily Tip
No tips today
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